NJISA 2023 Fall Series 8

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 1 6 4 10
2 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 1 11 7 18
3 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 2 9 16 25
4 Toms River South Toms River South Indians 1 18 11 29
5 Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 1 15 21 36
6 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 4 21 21 42
7 Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 25 19 44
8 Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 2 24 21 45
9 Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 2 22 26 48
10 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 3 24 32 56
11 Toms River South Toms River South Indians 2 32 27 59
12 Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 1 34 35 69
13 Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 2 40 33 73
14 Ridge High School Ridge High School Red Devils 39 44 83
15 Marine Academy of Science and Technology Marine Academy of Science and Technology Rangers 41 48 89
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 1 1 1 4 6 Turner Ryon '25 [1-3]
Erin Little '24 [1-2]
No Show [3]
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 2 2 4 3 9 Mitchell Hnatt '24 [1-3]
Luke Pennisi '24 [1-2]
Alton Deoliveria '26 [3]
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 1 7 3 1 11 Christopher Small '26
Matthew Dupree '25
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 1 3 2 10 15 Liam Marcell '26
Nicholas Fatigate '24
Toms River South Toms River South Indians 1 5 5 8 18 Ella Demand '24
Maryn Demand '27
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 4 8 8 5 21 Matthew Moses '24
Daniel Kuzloski '25
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 2 4 DNF 2 22 Jude Ryon '27 [1-3]
Noah Tallman '25 [1-2]
No Show [3]
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 2 6 9 9 24 Grace Ciak '26
Scarlett Colman '26
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 3 11 7 6 24 Cole Buczkowski '27
Daniel Stephan '24
Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 12 6 7 25 Lewis Forrest '25
Anthony Abboud '25
Toms River South Toms River South Indians 2 10 10 12 32 Joseph Krajewski '26
Mollie Smith '25
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 1 9 11 14 34 Margaret Burns '27 [1-3]
Alex Dacosta '24 [1-2]
Samantha Goldberg '26 [3]
Ridge High School Ridge High School Red Devils 14 12 13 39 James Mccarthy '26
Ryan Amicone '25
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 2 15 14 11 40 Sophia Galiano '26
Evelyn Magee '26
Marine Academy of Science and Technology Marine Academy of Science and Technology Rangers 13 13 15 41 Sam Puleio '24
Jack Puleio '27
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 1 2 1 1 4 Belle Placa '25
Erin Little '24
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 1 1 2 4 7 Jules Buczkowski '26
Donald Johnston '25
Toms River South Toms River South Indians 1 3 3 5 11 Rex Salzer '26
Ava Mcnabb '24
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 2 7 7 2 16 Luke Pennisi '24 [1-3]
Alton Deoliveria '26 [1-2]
No Show [3]
Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 6 5 8 19 Jack Pentony '26
Keira Mooar '27
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 4 4 6 11 21 Greyson Colman '25
Dylan Thomas '27
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 2 5 9 7 21 Nicole Small '27
Annabelle Arcuri '27
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 1 10 8 3 21 Cameron Hart '27
Richard Mcgowan '25
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 2 9 4 13 26 Noah Tallman '25
No Show
Toms River South Toms River South Indians 2 11 10 6 27 Jacob Palombo '26
Chase Kalwinsky '26
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 3 8 12 12 32 Kyle Lombardino '25
Erick Shi '24
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 2 13 11 9 33 Caroline Duffy '25 [1-3]
Greta Senft '24 [1-2]
Vanessa Mccartin '26 [3]
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 1 12 13 10 35 Allison Beisel '24
Julianna Walsh '24
Ridge High School Ridge High School Red Devils DNF 14 14 44 Ethan Law '25
Ally Pellegrino '25
Marine Academy of Science and Technology Marine Academy of Science and Technology Rangers DNF DNS DNS 48 No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.150+0.15
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2019 (14 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 1111
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 2222
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 3333
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 4444
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 1555
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 2666
Marine Academy of Science and TechnologyMarine Academy of Science and Technology Rangers777
Ranney SchoolRanney School Panthers888
Ridge High SchoolRidge High School Red Devils101010
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams 1111111
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams 2121212
Toms River SouthToms River South Indians 1151515
Toms River SouthToms River South Indians 2171717
Trinity HallTrinity Hall Monarchs 1181818
Trinity HallTrinity Hall Monarchs 2191919

Division B

Team1B2B3B
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 1111
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 2222
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 3333
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 4444
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 1555
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 2666
Marine Academy of Science and TechnologyMarine Academy of Science and Technology Rangers777
Ranney SchoolRanney School Panthers888
Ridge High SchoolRidge High School Red Devils101010
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams 1111111
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams 2121212
Toms River SouthToms River South Indians 1151515
Toms River SouthToms River South Indians 2171717
Trinity HallTrinity Hall Monarchs 1181818
Trinity HallTrinity Hall Monarchs 2191919
School / Team SkipperCrew
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Christopher Small '26 Matthew Dupree '25
Colts 1 Jules Buczkowski '26 Donald Johnston '25
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Mitchell Hnatt '24 [1-3] Luke Pennisi '24 [1-2]
Alton Deoliveria '26 [3]
Colts 2 Luke Pennisi '24 [1-3] Alton Deoliveria '26 [1-2]
No Show [3]
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Cole Buczkowski '27 Daniel Stephan '24
Colts 3 Kyle Lombardino '25 Erick Shi '24
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Matthew Moses '24 Daniel Kuzloski '25
Colts 4 Greyson Colman '25 Dylan Thomas '27
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Liam Marcell '26 Nicholas Fatigate '24
Griffins 1 Cameron Hart '27 Richard Mcgowan '25
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Grace Ciak '26 Scarlett Colman '26
Griffins 2 Nicole Small '27 Annabelle Arcuri '27
Marine Academy of Science and Technology Marine Academy of Science and Technology Sam Puleio '24 Jack Puleio '27
Rangers No Show No Show
Ranney School Ranney School Lewis Forrest '25 Anthony Abboud '25
Panthers Jack Pentony '26 Keira Mooar '27
Ridge High School Ridge High School James Mccarthy '26 Ryan Amicone '25
Red Devils Ethan Law '25 Ally Pellegrino '25
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Turner Ryon '25 [1-3] Erin Little '24 [1-2]
No Show [3]
Rams 1 Belle Placa '25 Erin Little '24
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Jude Ryon '27 [1-3] Noah Tallman '25 [1-2]
No Show [3]
Rams 2 Noah Tallman '25 No Show
Toms River South Toms River South Ella Demand '24 Maryn Demand '27
Indians 1 Rex Salzer '26 Ava Mcnabb '24
Toms River South Toms River South Joseph Krajewski '26 Mollie Smith '25
Indians 2 Jacob Palombo '26 Chase Kalwinsky '26
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Margaret Burns '27 [1-3] Alex Dacosta '24 [1-2]
Samantha Goldberg '26 [3]
Monarchs 1 Allison Beisel '24 Julianna Walsh '24
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Sophia Galiano '26 Evelyn Magee '26
Monarchs 2 Caroline Duffy '25 [1-3] Greta Senft '24 [1-2]
Vanessa Mccartin '26 [3]

Conditions — 11/01/2023 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 58%  ·  Pressure 1017.2 hPa

Temperature

45°F
↑ 49°F   ↓ 42°F
Feels like 37°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.1 kn
avg  ·  max 10.5 kn
Gusts to 25.5 kn
From NW (325°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover50% Sunshine6.8 hrs Humidity58% Pressure1017.2 hPa Rain0.05 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 10 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Christian Brothers: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.03 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.01
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.02 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Christian Brothers by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 11 labelled days at Christian Brothers, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →