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SAISA South Points 2 JV

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 1 16 13 29
2 Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions 2 15 16 31
3 Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions 1 26 6 32
4 Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 2 10 39 49
5 MAST Academy MAST Academy Mast Academy 30 19 49
6 St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 26 24 50
7 H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 32 33 65
8 South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 42 34 76
9 Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School 30 55 85
10 Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 49 43 92
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 2 2 3 3 1 1 10 Antonio De Andrade '27
Sofia Rhone '26
Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions 2 3 6 1 3 2 15 David Mateo Coates '27
Lucia Martinez Moore '25
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 1 1 5 5 2 3 16 Max Wolfensberger '26
Mia Bouyoucef '25
Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions 1 5 4 2 8 7 26 Isabella Henrich '26
Alejandro Escudero '27
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 7 2 6 7 4 26 Reid Mendelblatt '26 [1-4]
Ryder Ellis '27 [5]
Jad Abedrabbo '26 [1-2]
Sophie (Aviva) Krikstanas '27 [3-4]
Dluzneski Luke '24 [5]
MAST Academy MAST Academy Mast Academy 6 7 8 4 5 30 Martin Barrera '24
Kai Lingswiler '27
Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School 8 1 4 6 DNS 30 Alexandra Kolaya '27
Martina Santos '26
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 4 8 9 5 6 32 Jarah Maynor '24
Shea Mcgraw '27
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 9 9 7 9 8 42 Savannah Kautz '25
Ruby Suereth '24
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 10 10 10 10 9 49 Delaney Romeyk '26
Kai Wolter '24
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions 1 1 1 1 2 1 6 Beck Brill '27
Christian Gutierrez '23
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 1 3 2 3 3 2 13 Sabine Wolfensberger '27
Daniel Figueroa '24
Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions 2 5 4 2 1 4 16 Marina Wardlaw '27 [1-2]
Leonardo Tarzani '27 [3-5]
Leonardo Tarzani '27 [1-2]
Marina Wardlaw '27 [3-5]
MAST Academy MAST Academy Mast Academy 4 3 5 4 3 19 Andrea Bolz '27
Theodore Mccormick '26
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 2 5 4 7 6 24 Finnegan Cox '27
Hannah Mccaffree '26
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 8 8 6 6 5 33 Jackson Lee '25 [1-2]
Violet Jonas '27 [3-5]
William Phipps '27 [1-2]
Alexander Scarberry '28 [3-5]
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 6 7 7 5 9 34 No Show
Jonathan Bratt '26
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 2 7 6 8 DNS 7 39 Leyla Amjad '26 [1-2]
Jonah Fishman '25 [3-5]
Simone Carrasco '27 [1-2]
Adi Arul '26 [3-5]
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 9 9 9 8 8 43 Ellie Freeman '26
No Show
Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 55 No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2021 (6 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Carrollton School of the Sacred HeartCarrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School7171717171
Immaculata La Salle High SchoolImmaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions 178237823782378237823
Immaculata La Salle High SchoolImmaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions 2843843843843843
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School Falcons87608760876087608760
MAST AcademyMAST Academy Mast Academy10261026102610261026
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers18011801180118011801
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders 111111
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders 222222
South Fork High SchoolSouth Fork High School SF BULLDOGS87568756875687568756
St. Petersburg High SchoolSt. Petersburg High School Green Devils1414141414

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Carrollton School of the Sacred HeartCarrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School7171717171
Immaculata La Salle High SchoolImmaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions 178237823782378237823
Immaculata La Salle High SchoolImmaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions 2843843843843843
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School Falcons87608760876087608760
MAST AcademyMAST Academy Mast Academy10261026102610261026
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers18011801180118011801
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders 111111
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders 222222
South Fork High SchoolSouth Fork High School SF BULLDOGS87568756875687568756
St. Petersburg High SchoolSt. Petersburg High School Green Devils1414141414

Conditions — 10/21/2023 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 50%  ·  Pressure 1012.3 hPa

Temperature

82°F
↑ 87°F   ↓ 69°F
Feels like 84°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.1 kn
avg  ·  max 8.0 kn
Gusts to 16.3 kn
From NW (312°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover1% Sunshine10.4 hrs Humidity50% Pressure1012.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Jensen Beach: a favourites’ day (+0.10)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.08 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.18
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.30 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.10 means a rating gap counts about 9% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Jensen Beach by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 6 labelled days at Jensen Beach, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →