Tier 3

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 1 4 3 7
2 Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Romans 1 5 3 8
3 Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Romans 2 5 6 11
4 Lake Forest High School Lake Forest High School Scouts 1 11 8 19
5 DePaul College Prep DePaul College Prep Varsity 13 12 25
6 Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 1 20 11 31
7 Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies 17 15 32
8 Lycee Francais de Chicago Lycee Francais de Chicago Lycee Francais 15 17 32
9 Lake Forest High School Lake Forest High School Scouts 2 30 15 45
10 New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 2 19 30 49
11 Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 30 30 60
12 Lane Tech College Prep Lane Tech College Prep Varsity 30 30 60
13 Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 2 30 30 60
14 Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 30 30 60
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2023 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A
DePaul College PrepDePaul College Prep Varsity11
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Wildkits22
Lake Forest High SchoolLake Forest High School Scouts 133
Lake Forest High SchoolLake Forest High School Scouts 244
Lane Tech College PrepLane Tech College Prep Varsity55
Latin School of ChicagoLatin School of Chicago Romans 166
Latin School of ChicagoLatin School of Chicago Romans 277
Loyola AcademyLoyola Academy Ramblers88
Lycee Francais de ChicagoLycee Francais de Chicago Lycee Francais99
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian 11010
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian 21111
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, ILSaint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 11212
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, ILSaint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 21313
Walter Payton College Preparatory High SchoolWalter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies1414

Division B

Team1B2B
DePaul College PrepDePaul College Prep Varsity22
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Wildkits33
Lake Forest High SchoolLake Forest High School Scouts 144
Lake Forest High SchoolLake Forest High School Scouts 255
Lane Tech College PrepLane Tech College Prep Varsity66
Latin School of ChicagoLatin School of Chicago Romans 177
Latin School of ChicagoLatin School of Chicago Romans 288
Loyola AcademyLoyola Academy Ramblers99
Lycee Francais de ChicagoLycee Francais de Chicago Lycee Francais1010
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian 11111
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian 21212
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, ILSaint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 11313
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, ILSaint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 21414
Walter Payton College Preparatory High SchoolWalter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies11
School / Team SkipperCrew
DePaul College Prep DePaul College Prep Charlie Herman '24 David Hand '25
Varsity Alexander Faber '28 Jack Markuson '27
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Ty Nedoss '26 Nolan Graham '28
Wildkits Anton Johnston '27 Liam Kipnis '27
Lake Forest High School Lake Forest High School Avery Keane '27 Vivienne Kelly '27
Scouts 1 Ranya Patel '27 Sean Carroll '27
Lake Forest High School Lake Forest High School Peter Janowicz '25 Miles Richardson '25
Scouts 2 Andrew Ter Louw '26 Ryder Mungo '24
Lane Tech College Prep Lane Tech College Prep Oliver Brenner '26 Ethan Longman '25
Varsity No Show No Show
Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Oliver Gray '25 Ophelia Sheridan '28
Romans 1 Kira Mahoney '25 Laine Reshefsky '24
Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Robert Danciu '27 Alexander Stamos '27
Romans 2 Jordan Abell '27 Hannah Danziger '26
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Bryce Banach '27 Coady Klein '27
Ramblers No Show No Show
Lycee Francais de Chicago Lycee Francais de Chicago Adler Lafayette '28 Claire Schmitt '28
Lycee Francais Alexandra Marten '27 Neel Pfau '28
New Trier HS New Trier HS Preston Levy '24 Bennett Waters '26
Trevian 1 Lillian Lipford '24 Ava Pankauskas '24
New Trier HS New Trier HS Santiago Benes '24 David Szymanski '24
Trevian 2 William Pilant '27 Ralph Lipford '27
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Spongebob Squarepants '28 Isabel Viere '25
Wolfpack 1 Christopher Sawicz '24 Eva Castrejon '24
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Frankie Ryba '27 Rj Montplaisir '26
Wolfpack 2 Will Daly '27 Andrew Garza '27
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Anika Alavilli '26 Anjali Rodrigo '25
Grizzlies Aria Shah '25 Edwin Wainwright '26

Conditions — 09/17/2023 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 85%  ·  Pressure 1014.7 hPa

Temperature

62°F
↑ 64°F   ↓ 60°F
Feels like 59°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
11.1 kn
avg  ·  max 14.9 kn
Gusts to 22.9 kn
From NNE (18°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover73% Sunshine3.3 hrs Humidity85% Pressure1014.7 hPa Rain1.78 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 13 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Jones College Prep/Lane Tech College Pr/Lincoln Park/U Chicago Laboratory/Whitney Young: an underdogs’ day (−0.05)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.12 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.07
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.43 ± 0.36)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Jones College Prep/Lane Tech College Pr/Lincoln Park/U Chicago Laboratory/Whitney Young by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Jones College Prep/Lane Tech College Pr/Lincoln Park/U Chicago Laboratory/Whitney Young, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →