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2024 Anteater Regatta - GOLD

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 1 15 27 42
2 Mater Dei High School Mater Dei High School Monarchs 1 41 49 90
3 Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 3 67 43 110
4 Mater Dei High School Mater Dei High School Monarchs 2 22 90 112
5 Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 2 31 89 120
6 San Marcos High School San Marcos High School Knights 1 64 64 128
7 Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 2 96 58 154
8 Mater Dei High School Mater Dei High School Monarchs 3 80 77 157
9 Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School Dons 1 100 65 165
10 Santa Barbara High School Santa Barbara High School Dons 104 66 170
11 Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 1 107 74 181
12 Santa Monica High School Santa Monica High School Vikings 112 103 215
13 Redwood Redwood Giants 1 120 97 217
14 Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 2 156 84 240
15 Mission Bay High School Mission Bay High School Buccaneer 1 103 139 242
16 Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 1 82 160 242
17 The Bay School of San Francisco The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 111 145 256
18 Dos Pueblos Dos Pueblos Chargers 160 108 268
19 Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Cubs 153 120 273
20 Alameda High School Alameda High School Hornets 135 144 279
21 Redwood Redwood Giants 2 171 112 283
22 Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School Dons 2 139 151 290
23 Crossroads Crossroads Varsity 168 132 300
24 St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco Wildcats 134 168 302
25 Parker Parker Parker 156 148 304
26 San Marcos High School San Marcos High School Knights 2 134 184 318
27 Harvard-Westlake Harvard-Westlake Varsity 131 188 319
28 Los Alamitos High School Los Alamitos High School Griffins 145 176 321
29 Palos Verdes High School Palos Verdes High School Sea Kings 153 178 331
30 Mission Bay High School Mission Bay High School Buccaneer 2 180 156 336
31 San Pedro High School San Pedro High School Pirates 172 183 355
32 SF University High School SF University High School Red Devils 210 154 364
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 1 3 2 1 2 4 2 1 15 Ian Nyenhuis '25
Skye Terrell '25
Mater Dei High School Mater Dei High School Monarchs 2 6 3 2 1 3 4 3 22 Tate Christopher '25
Madison Mansour '26
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 2 5 4 3 8 2 3 6 31 Wyatt Kelly '26
Julia Stewart '26
Mater Dei High School Mater Dei High School Monarchs 1 8 1 11 5 1 1 14 41 Noah Stapleton '25
Hannah Crompton '26
San Marcos High School San Marcos High School Knights 1 4 7 6 13 10 6 18 64 Carly Kieding '25
Taylor Escola '27
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 3 1 OCS 7 12 5 5 4 67 Oscar Parzen '26
Kristin Hawkins '25
Mater Dei High School Mater Dei High School Monarchs 3 2 8 5 3 18 31 13 80 Nickolas Lech '26
Fiona Barbeito '26
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 1 15 6 4 18 11 12 16 82 Conrad Cook '25 [1-7]
Madison Jo '28 [1-6]
Lucy Mccray '28 [7]
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 2 9 21 17 14 14 13 8 96 Siena Nichols '27
Isabel Lewis '26
Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School Dons 1 16 13 OCS 11 7 11 9 100 Owen Fretwell '26
Carlin Fretwell '26
Mission Bay High School Mission Bay High School Buccaneer 1 13 12 12 15 6 14 31 103 Kaden Miller '25 [1-7]
Bridget Buettner '26 [1-6]
Sarah Ozaki '25 [7]
Santa Barbara High School Santa Barbara High School Dons OCS 5 OCS 7 12 7 7 104 Crue Ziskind '25
Grant Long '26
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 1 12 9 9 19 9 21 28 107 Michael Sentovich '26 [1-6]
Nevin Elliott '26 [7]
Julia Getter '26 [1-6]
Ashley Turner '25 [7]
The Bay School of San Francisco The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 10 19 OCS 6 13 18 12 111 Caleb Everett '26
Anna Rauh '26
Santa Monica High School Santa Monica High School Vikings 14 15 OCS 4 17 19 10 112 Wills Stratton '25
Joseph Novak '26
Redwood Redwood Giants 1 18 11 16 9 19 25 22 120 Mark Xu '26
Zara Pavelka '26
Harvard-Westlake Harvard-Westlake Varsity 21 14 OCS 20 16 8 19 131 Matthew Commons '25 [1-7]
Sean Ozalpasan '25 [1-4]
Cj Phelan '26 [5-7]
San Marcos High School San Marcos High School Knights 2 7 OCS OCS 21 8 15 17 134 Sam Wells '26
Paul Mcclain '26
St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco Wildcats 28 22 8 26 22 26 2 134 Beckett Shinn '25
Helen Plam '26
Alameda High School Alameda High School Hornets 24 23 20 10 21 16 21 135 Reid Sojka '26
Tristan Banthi '28
Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School Dons 2 19 10 22 29 30 9 20 139 Liam Kaseburg '26
Charlie Corney '26
Los Alamitos High School Los Alamitos High School Griffins 29 24 19 23 15 20 15 145 Stewart Mccaleb '26
Josh Mee '28
Palos Verdes High School Palos Verdes High School Sea Kings 11 17 OCS 30 29 10 23 153 Nic Messano '28
Sevianne Botiller '26
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Cubs 17 26 15 22 25 24 24 153 Aaron Toy-Lim '26 [1-7]
Mila Kane '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Suri Severaid '25 [3-4, 7]
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 2 22 16 13 24 26 28 27 156 Cash Espinoza '25
Lucy Mccray '28
Parker Parker Parker 23 29 18 16 27 17 26 156 Caeden Nodurft '25
Fenja Bahrenburg '25
Dos Pueblos Dos Pueblos Chargers 20 18 OCS 28 23 OCS 5 160 Porter Murray '26
Leo Korman '26
Crossroads Crossroads Varsity 25 OCS 14 17 20 29 30 168 Harry Bryan '25
Sloane Davis '27
Redwood Redwood Giants 2 OCS 27 23 31 24 22 11 171 Nathan Posard '26
Lauren Crawford '27
San Pedro High School San Pedro High School Pirates 26 20 10 OCS 31 27 25 172 Nicholas Parsnik '26 [1-7]
Gwen Hildebrand '25 [1-4]
Stephanie Roney '26 [5-7]
Mission Bay High School Mission Bay High School Buccaneer 2 27 25 21 27 28 23 29 180 Loki Barrett '26
Maeve Mcgovern '26
SF University High School SF University High School Red Devils 30 28 OCS 25 32 30 32 210 Alice Newmeyer '25 [1-7]
Andrew James '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Audrey Mcbride '26 [3-4, 7]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 1 1 1 3 1 3 1 17 27 Anton Schmid '26
Olive Kanemasu '27
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 3 5 10 13 4 4 5 2 43 Kevin Cason '27
Paige Tillson '26
Mater Dei High School Mater Dei High School Monarchs 1 4 3 2 2 2 3 OCS 49 Brady Kennedy '25
Madison Jones '26
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 2 11 18 4 6 10 6 3 58 Zarrin Flowers '26
Jillian Kaufman '26
San Marcos High School San Marcos High School Knights 1 16 4 12 5 8 13 6 64 Teo Lee '26
Brynn Behrens '26
Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School Dons 1 3 8 23 12 1 RDG 9 65 Sean Kaseburg '28
Lauren Grace Macvaugh-Howe '27
Santa Barbara High School Santa Barbara High School Dons 9 16 5 9 7 2 18 66 Dylan Seawards '26
Niko Barbee '27
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 1 8 13 1 3 6 10 OCS 74 Maddie Nichols '27
Isabella Clark '25
Mater Dei High School Mater Dei High School Monarchs 3 2 2 16 15 5 4 OCS 77 Kingston Keyoung '27 [1-7]
Sophia Corzine '26 [1-4, 7]
Maddie Liu '28 [5-6]
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 2 6 6 11 16 15 17 13 84 Reid White '27
Milana Dedriech '28
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 2 18 14 8 11 19 18 1 89 Zachary Peterson '26 [1-7]
Sofie Vermaas '26 [1-6]
Jonah Wozniak '25 [7]
Mater Dei High School Mater Dei High School Monarchs 2 14 7 DSQ 8 11 7 10 90 Walter Mcfarland '25 [1-6]
Gage Christopher '28 [7]
Olivia Norton '27 [1-7]
Redwood Redwood Giants 1 19 17 6 10 12 21 12 97 Rhett Krawitt '26 [1-4, 7]
Beckett Kern '28 [5-6]
Whitney Feagin '27 [1-4]
Luke Pialloux '28 [5-7]
Santa Monica High School Santa Monica High School Vikings 7 11 7 7 DSQ 19 19 103 Cooper Keeves '26
Eames Weeks '25
Dos Pueblos Dos Pueblos Chargers OCS 9 9 18 21 11 7 108 Emerson Wadell '28
Nicholas Daniele '27
Redwood Redwood Giants 2 10 21 15 22 16 20 8 112 Blake Oberbauer '26 [1-7]
Beckett Kern '28 [1-4]
Keira Faye '29 [5-7]
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Cubs 26 22 17 13 18 9 15 120 Ryan Tonkovich '26 [1-7]
Maya Youssef '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Casiel Toy-Lim '28 [3-4, 7]
Crossroads Crossroads Varsity 12 30 25 20 28 12 5 132 Leticia Lagutenko '28 [1-7]
Zack Kennedy '26 [1-4]
Vivi Lagutenko '27 [5-7]
Mission Bay High School Mission Bay High School Buccaneer 1 15 15 10 14 22 30 OCS 139 Alex Markworth '25
Indigo Craig '25
Alameda High School Alameda High School Hornets 25 28 28 23 9 8 23 144 Chase Carson '25
Charles Dumitrescu '28
The Bay School of San Francisco The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 17 19 20 27 14 27 21 145 Nico Anders '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Milo Sperry '25 [3-4, 7]
Nola Jesenko '26 [1-2, 7]
Maya Urfer '25 [3-6]
Parker Parker Parker 24 27 18 24 23 28 4 148 Emily Otto '26
Noelle Yuen '25
Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School Dons 2 27 29 14 25 26 16 14 151 Bennett Simpson '28 [1-7]
Sean Getty '28 [1-6]
Hugo Jiang '28 [7]
SF University High School SF University High School Red Devils 13 12 21 19 27 29 OCS 154 James Franzone '27
Tj Walsh '28
Mission Bay High School Mission Bay High School Buccaneer 2 21 23 29 21 29 22 11 156 Josh Kozak '25
Alister Muto '25
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 1 23 20 27 26 17 14 OCS 160 Charlotte Carmichael '27 [1-7]
Samantha Villard '26 [1-2, 5-7]
Chloe Curtin '27 [3-4]
St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco Wildcats 20 26 19 17 20 DSQ OCS 168 Marina Priskich '25 [1-7]
Brooke Hiller '25 [1-2, 7]
Mikah Panisik '25 [3-6]
Los Alamitos High School Los Alamitos High School Griffins 30 24 26 32 25 23 16 176 Mathilde Smith '26
Henry Tran '28
Palos Verdes High School Palos Verdes High School Sea Kings 31 31 22 31 13 26 24 178 Leland Howard '26
Tatianna Faragallah '27
San Pedro High School San Pedro High School Pirates 28 32 24 28 24 25 22 183 Kennedy Hildebrand '27 [1-2]
Iliana Hernandez '27 [3-7]
Iliana Hernandez '27 [1-2]
Bradley Uyematsu '25 [3-7]
San Marcos High School San Marcos High School Knights 2 22 5 31 30 30 DNF OCS 184 Ryan Wells '26
Ariyana Haley '27
Harvard-Westlake Harvard-Westlake Varsity 29 25 30 29 31 24 20 188 Helena Salas '25 [1-7]
Lily Yao '26 [1-4]
Mira Goldman '27 [5-7]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Alameda High SchoolAlameda High School Hornets1133557
Cathedral Catholic High SchoolCathedral Catholic High School Dons 1223232303028
Cathedral Catholic High SchoolCathedral Catholic High School Dons 23355779
Convent and Stuart Hall High SchoolsConvent and Stuart Hall High Schools Cubs4422323230
Corona del Mar High SchoolCorona del Mar High School Sea Kings 155779911
Corona del Mar High SchoolCorona del Mar High School Sea Kings 266442232
CrossroadsCrossroads Varsity7799111113
Dos PueblosDos Pueblos Chargers8866442
ParkerParker Parker991111131315
Harvard-WestlakeHarvard-Westlake Varsity101088664
Los Alamitos High SchoolLos Alamitos High School Griffins11111313151517
Mater Dei High SchoolMater Dei High School Monarchs 112121010886
Mater Dei High SchoolMater Dei High School Monarchs 213131515171719
Mater Dei High SchoolMater Dei High School Monarchs 31414121210108
Mission Bay High SchoolMission Bay High School Buccaneer 115151717191921
Mission Bay High SchoolMission Bay High School Buccaneer 216161414121210
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Sailors 117171919212123
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Sailors 218181616141412
Palos Verdes High SchoolPalos Verdes High School Sea Kings19192121232325
Point Loma High SchoolPoint Loma High School Pointers 120201818161614
Point Loma High SchoolPoint Loma High School Pointers 221212323252527
Point Loma High SchoolPoint Loma High School Pointers 322222020181816
RedwoodRedwood Giants 123232525272729
RedwoodRedwood Giants 224242222202018
San Marcos High SchoolSan Marcos High School Knights 126262424222220
San Marcos High SchoolSan Marcos High School Knights 22727292931311
San Pedro High SchoolSan Pedro High School Pirates28282626242422
Santa Barbara High SchoolSanta Barbara High School Dons29293131113
Santa Monica High SchoolSanta Monica High School Vikings30302828262624
SF University High SchoolSF University High School Red Devils25252727292931
St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San FranciscoSt. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco Wildcats313111335
The Bay School of San FranciscoThe Bay School of San Francisco Breakers32323030282826

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
Alameda High SchoolAlameda High School Hornets2244668
Cathedral Catholic High SchoolCathedral Catholic High School Dons 1113131292927
Cathedral Catholic High SchoolCathedral Catholic High School Dons 244668810
Convent and Stuart Hall High SchoolsConvent and Stuart Hall High Schools Cubs3311313129
Corona del Mar High SchoolCorona del Mar High School Sea Kings 16688101012
Corona del Mar High SchoolCorona del Mar High School Sea Kings 255331131
CrossroadsCrossroads Varsity881010121214
Dos PueblosDos Pueblos Chargers7755331
ParkerParker Parker10101212141416
Harvard-WestlakeHarvard-Westlake Varsity9977553
Los Alamitos High SchoolLos Alamitos High School Griffins12121414161618
Mater Dei High SchoolMater Dei High School Monarchs 1111199775
Mater Dei High SchoolMater Dei High School Monarchs 214141616181820
Mater Dei High SchoolMater Dei High School Monarchs 313131111997
Mission Bay High SchoolMission Bay High School Buccaneer 116161818202022
Mission Bay High SchoolMission Bay High School Buccaneer 21515131311119
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Sailors 118182020222224
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Sailors 217171515131311
Palos Verdes High SchoolPalos Verdes High School Sea Kings20202222242426
Point Loma High SchoolPoint Loma High School Pointers 119191717151513
Point Loma High SchoolPoint Loma High School Pointers 222222424262628
Point Loma High SchoolPoint Loma High School Pointers 321211919171715
RedwoodRedwood Giants 124242626282830
RedwoodRedwood Giants 223232121191917
San Marcos High SchoolSan Marcos High School Knights 125252323212119
San Marcos High SchoolSan Marcos High School Knights 22828303032322
San Pedro High SchoolSan Pedro High School Pirates27272525232321
Santa Barbara High SchoolSanta Barbara High School Dons30303232224
Santa Monica High SchoolSanta Monica High School Vikings29292727252523
SF University High SchoolSF University High School Red Devils26262828303032
St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San FranciscoSt. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco Wildcats323222446
The Bay School of San FranciscoThe Bay School of San Francisco Breakers31312929272725
School / Team SkipperCrew
Alameda High School Alameda High School Reid Sojka '26 Tristan Banthi '28
Hornets Chase Carson '25 Charles Dumitrescu '28
Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School Owen Fretwell '26 Carlin Fretwell '26
Dons 1 Sean Kaseburg '28 Lauren Grace Macvaugh-Howe '27
Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School Liam Kaseburg '26 Charlie Corney '26
Dons 2 Bennett Simpson '28 [1-7] Sean Getty '28 [1-6]
Hugo Jiang '28 [7]
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Aaron Toy-Lim '26 [1-7] Mila Kane '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Suri Severaid '25 [3-4, 7]
Cubs Ryan Tonkovich '26 [1-7] Maya Youssef '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Casiel Toy-Lim '28 [3-4, 7]
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Michael Sentovich '26 [1-6]
Nevin Elliott '26 [7]		 Julia Getter '26 [1-6]
Ashley Turner '25 [7]
Sea Kings 1 Maddie Nichols '27 Isabella Clark '25
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Siena Nichols '27 Isabel Lewis '26
Sea Kings 2 Zarrin Flowers '26 Jillian Kaufman '26
Crossroads Crossroads Harry Bryan '25 Sloane Davis '27
Varsity Leticia Lagutenko '28 [1-7] Zack Kennedy '26 [1-4]
Vivi Lagutenko '27 [5-7]
Dos Pueblos Dos Pueblos Porter Murray '26 Leo Korman '26
Chargers Emerson Wadell '28 Nicholas Daniele '27
Harvard-Westlake Harvard-Westlake Matthew Commons '25 [1-7] Sean Ozalpasan '25 [1-4]
Cj Phelan '26 [5-7]
Varsity Helena Salas '25 [1-7] Lily Yao '26 [1-4]
Mira Goldman '27 [5-7]
Los Alamitos High School Los Alamitos High School Stewart Mccaleb '26 Josh Mee '28
Griffins Mathilde Smith '26 Henry Tran '28
Mater Dei High School Mater Dei High School Noah Stapleton '25 Hannah Crompton '26
Monarchs 1 Brady Kennedy '25 Madison Jones '26
Mater Dei High School Mater Dei High School Tate Christopher '25 Madison Mansour '26
Monarchs 2 Walter Mcfarland '25 [1-6]
Gage Christopher '28 [7]		 Olivia Norton '27 [1-7]
Mater Dei High School Mater Dei High School Nickolas Lech '26 Fiona Barbeito '26
Monarchs 3 Kingston Keyoung '27 [1-7] Sophia Corzine '26 [1-4, 7]
Maddie Liu '28 [5-6]
Mission Bay High School Mission Bay High School Kaden Miller '25 [1-7] Bridget Buettner '26 [1-6]
Sarah Ozaki '25 [7]
Buccaneer 1 Alex Markworth '25 Indigo Craig '25
Mission Bay High School Mission Bay High School Loki Barrett '26 Maeve Mcgovern '26
Buccaneer 2 Josh Kozak '25 Alister Muto '25
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Conrad Cook '25 [1-7] Madison Jo '28 [1-6]
Lucy Mccray '28 [7]
Sailors 1 Charlotte Carmichael '27 [1-7] Samantha Villard '26 [1-2, 5-7]
Chloe Curtin '27 [3-4]
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Cash Espinoza '25 Lucy Mccray '28
Sailors 2 Reid White '27 Milana Dedriech '28
Palos Verdes High School Palos Verdes High School Nic Messano '28 Sevianne Botiller '26
Sea Kings Leland Howard '26 Tatianna Faragallah '27
Parker Parker Caeden Nodurft '25 Fenja Bahrenburg '25
Parker Emily Otto '26 Noelle Yuen '25
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Ian Nyenhuis '25 Skye Terrell '25
Pointers 1 Anton Schmid '26 Olive Kanemasu '27
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Wyatt Kelly '26 Julia Stewart '26
Pointers 2 Zachary Peterson '26 [1-7] Sofie Vermaas '26 [1-6]
Jonah Wozniak '25 [7]
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Oscar Parzen '26 Kristin Hawkins '25
Pointers 3 Kevin Cason '27 Paige Tillson '26
Redwood Redwood Mark Xu '26 Zara Pavelka '26
Giants 1 Rhett Krawitt '26 [1-4, 7]
Beckett Kern '28 [5-6]		 Whitney Feagin '27 [1-4]
Luke Pialloux '28 [5-7]
Redwood Redwood Nathan Posard '26 Lauren Crawford '27
Giants 2 Blake Oberbauer '26 [1-7] Beckett Kern '28 [1-4]
Keira Faye '29 [5-7]
SF University High School SF University High School Alice Newmeyer '25 [1-7] Andrew James '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Audrey Mcbride '26 [3-4, 7]
Red Devils James Franzone '27 Tj Walsh '28
San Marcos High School San Marcos High School Carly Kieding '25 Taylor Escola '27
Knights 1 Teo Lee '26 Brynn Behrens '26
San Marcos High School San Marcos High School Sam Wells '26 Paul Mcclain '26
Knights 2 Ryan Wells '26 Ariyana Haley '27
San Pedro High School San Pedro High School Nicholas Parsnik '26 [1-7] Gwen Hildebrand '25 [1-4]
Stephanie Roney '26 [5-7]
Pirates Kennedy Hildebrand '27 [1-2]
Iliana Hernandez '27 [3-7]		 Iliana Hernandez '27 [1-2]
Bradley Uyematsu '25 [3-7]
Santa Barbara High School Santa Barbara High School Crue Ziskind '25 Grant Long '26
Dons Dylan Seawards '26 Niko Barbee '27
Santa Monica High School Santa Monica High School Wills Stratton '25 Joseph Novak '26
Vikings Cooper Keeves '26 Eames Weeks '25
St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco Beckett Shinn '25 Helen Plam '26
Wildcats Marina Priskich '25 [1-7] Brooke Hiller '25 [1-2, 7]
Mikah Panisik '25 [3-6]
The Bay School of San Francisco The Bay School of San Francisco Caleb Everett '26 Anna Rauh '26
Breakers Nico Anders '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Milo Sperry '25 [3-4, 7]		 Nola Jesenko '26 [1-2, 7]
Maya Urfer '25 [3-6]

Conditions — 11/09/2024 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 20%  ·  Pressure 1014.5 hPa

Temperature

69°F
↑ 78°F   ↓ 51°F
Feels like 63°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.7 kn
avg  ·  max 5.8 kn
Gusts to 12.8 kn
From WSW (247°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine10.4 hrs Humidity20% Pressure1014.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 7 kn · SW 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Mater Dei: an underdogs’ day (−0.02)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.09 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.12
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.19 ± 0.08)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Mater Dei by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Mater Dei: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →