Cathedral Catholic High School '28
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.95 (fleet 3.12) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.02 ± 0.17 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 12–15 (44%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 | 1 | 6–8 | — |
| Spring 2025 | 1 | 6–7 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 2 graded regattas (27 matches) the record is 12–15 against 10.6 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+1.4). 1 regatta clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 0 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 2 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | 2026 PCISA Team Racing Championship | skipper | 2.22 | 1.85 | 6–8 | 6.7 | −0.37 | 0.1 | 78% |
| 2025-04-26 | PCISA Team Race PCCs | skipper | 1.94 | 3.27 | 6–7 | 3.9 | +1.33 | 1.6 | 12% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| 2026 PCISA Team Racing Championship | Skipper | TR | 17 | 41% | — |
| 2026 PCISA Golden Bear Gold | Skipper | B | 6 | 7.8 | 3.40 |
| 2026 PCISA Gaucho Gold | Skipper | B | 10 | 11.2 | 2.79 |
| 2026 PCISA Fleet Racing Championship | Skipper | B | 14 | 4.5 | 3.48 |
| Fall 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| 2026 Rose Bowl Regatta - GOLD | Skipper | B | 6 | 11.5 | 2.68 |
| 2025 PCISA Keelboat Qualifier Keelboat | Crew | A | 6 | 5.0 | — |
| 2025 PCISA Anteater Gold | Skipper | B | 10 | 5.9 | 3.69 |
| Spring 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| PCISA Team Race PCCs | Skipper | TR | 13 | 46% | — |
| PCISA Gaucho Regatta - Gold | Skipper | B | 8 | 12.0 | 2.55 |
| 2025 PCISA GOLDEN BEAR GOLD | Skipper | B | 6 | 10.3 | 2.76 |
| 2025 PCISA Gold PCC's | Skipper | B | 6 | 8.3 | 2.25 |
| Fall 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Sea Otter 2024 - GOLD | Skipper | A | 7 | 14.7 | 1.36 |
| 2025 Rose Bowl Regatta - HS GOLD | Skipper | B | 6 | 12.2 | 2.67 |
| 2024 PCISA Keelboat Challenge Keelboat | Crew | A | 6 | 5.7 | — |
| 2024 Anteater Regatta - GOLD | Skipper | B | 6 | 9.3 | 2.23 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
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