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Sea Otter 2024 - GOLD

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Mater Dei High School Mater Dei High School Monarchs 1 25 39 64
2 Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 1 46 31 77
3 Mater Dei High School Mater Dei High School Monarchs 2 28 61 89
4 San Marcos High School San Marcos High School Knights 1 84 43 127
5 Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 2 70 57 127
6 Santa Monica High School Santa Monica High School Vikings 67 108 175
7 Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 1 85 92 177
8 Redwood Redwood Giants 1 104 75 179
9 Santa Barbara High School Santa Barbara High School Dons 123 69 192
10 Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School Dons 1 83 135 218
11 Crossroads Crossroads Varsity 115 124 239
12 Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 1 127 113 240
13 Mission Bay High School Mission Bay High School Buccaneer 1 119 136 255
14 Dos Pueblos Dos Pueblos Chargers 161 103 264
15 Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 2 150 121 271
16 The Bay School of San Francisco The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 86 187 273
17 Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 2 174 112 286
18 Palos Verdes High School Palos Verdes High School Sea Kings 150 137 287
19 San Marcos High School San Marcos High School Knights 2 163 125 288
20 Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School Dons 2 136 158 294
21 Redwood Redwood Giants 2 179 127 306
22 Parker Parker Parker 159 151 310
23 Alameda High School Alameda High School Hornets 136 177 313
24 San Domenico High School San Domenico High School Panthers 142 201 343
25 Mission Bay High School Mission Bay High School Buccaneer 2 140 204 344
26 Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Cubs 199 MRP 148 MRP 347 MRP
27 Los Alamitos High School Los Alamitos High School Griffins 160 189 349
28 St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco Wildcats 146 222 368
29 San Pedro High School San Pedro High School Pirates 172 197 369
30 Harvard-Westlake Harvard-Westlake Varsity 239 MRP 141 MRP 380 MRP
31 Bishop's School Bishop's School Knights 217 221 438
32 La Jolla High School La Jolla High School Vikings 238 242 480
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Mater Dei High School Mater Dei High School Monarchs 1 2 5 1 4 2 3 3 5 25 Tate Christopher '25
Madison Mansour '26
Mater Dei High School Mater Dei High School Monarchs 2 1 1 2 1 1 5 15 2 28 Brady Kennedy '25
Madison Jones '26
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 1 5 3 20 5 4 7 1 1 46 Wyatt Kelly '26
Julia Stewart '26
Santa Monica High School Santa Monica High School Vikings 9 6 23 6 10 1 8 4 67 Cooper Keeves '26
Eames Weeks '25
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 2 8 2 15 7 14 9 9 6 70 Oscar Parzen '26
Kristin Hawkins '25
Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School Dons 1 4 12 19 21 5 2 6 14 83 Owen Fretwell '26
Carlin Fretwell '26
San Marcos High School San Marcos High School Knights 1 7 16 11 8 12 8 12 10 84 Carly Kieding '25
Taylor Escola '27
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 1 11 14 5 10 7 4 22 12 85 Michael Sentovich '26
Julia Getter '26
The Bay School of San Francisco The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 16 15 8 3 9 13 11 BKD 86 Caleb Everett '26
Anna Rauh '26
Redwood Redwood Giants 1 19 7 3 20 6 10 24 15 104 Mark Xu '26
Henry Vare '26
Crossroads Crossroads Varsity 18 10 13 29 8 15 19 3 115 Harry Bryan '25
Sloane Davis '27
Mission Bay High School Mission Bay High School Buccaneer 1 12 13 6 9 27 11 BKD 26 119 Kaden Miller '25
Sarah Ozaki '25
Santa Barbara High School Santa Barbara High School Dons OCS 9 17 16 3 17 7 21 123 Crue Ziskind '25
Grant Long '26
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 1 OCS 4 29 18 20 12 2 9 127 Conrad Cook '25
Samantha Villard '26
Alameda High School Alameda High School Hornets 15 11 12 27 31 29 4 7 136 Reid Sojka '26
Tristan Banthi '28
Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School Dons 2 OCS 8 9 22 21 19 5 19 136 Sean Kaseburg '28
Lauren Grace Macvaugh-Howe '27
Mission Bay High School Mission Bay High School Buccaneer 2 17 30 7 2 18 20 29 17 140 Josh Kozak '25
Alister Muto '25
San Domenico High School San Domenico High School Panthers 13 19 BKD BKD 29 6 23 16 142 Merritt Sellers '26
Cara Parks '27
St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco Wildcats 24 25 4 13 13 14 28 25 146 Marina Priskich '25
Helen Plam '26
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 2 20 22 10 14 16 24 26 18 150 Cash Espinoza '25
Milana Dedriech '28
Palos Verdes High School Palos Verdes High School Sea Kings 21 32 26 11 11 16 25 8 150 Nic Messano '28
Tatianna Faragallah '27
Parker Parker Parker 10 18 16 24 24 27 13 27 159 Emily Otto '26
Fenja Bahrenburg '25
Los Alamitos High School Los Alamitos High School Griffins 22 24 21 28 15 23 14 13 160 Stewart Mccaleb '26
Reef Settlemire '27
Dos Pueblos Dos Pueblos Chargers 14 28 14 26 25 18 16 20 161 Porter Murray '26
Leo Korman '26
San Marcos High School San Marcos High School Knights 2 6 20 28 12 23 30 20 24 163 Sam Wells '26
Ariyana Haley '27
San Pedro High School San Pedro High School Pirates 23 21 18 31 19 22 10 28 172 Nicholas Parsnik '26 [1-8]
Niko Seiple '27 [1-4]
Gwen Hildebrand '25 [5-8]
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 2 3 17 24 17 32 28 21 32 174 Nevin Elliott '26 [1-4]
Liam Ensley '25 [5-8]
Ashley Turner '25 [1-4]
Emerson Shoemaker '28 [5-6]
Alex Letourneau '26 [7-8]
Redwood Redwood Giants 2 27 23 31 15 22 21 17 23 179 Blake Oberbauer '26
Onnalie Anela '27
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Cubs 25 31 32 19 17 26 18 11 199 MRP Aaron Toy-Lim '26 [1-8]
Jack Wicker '27 [1-4, 7-8]
Bernard Huger '28 [5-6]
Bishop's School Bishop's School Knights 26 27 27 25 26 25 31 30 217 Celeste Oder '26
Nico Bravo '28
La Jolla High School La Jolla High School Vikings 28 29 30 30 28 32 30 31 238 Maggie Ugoretz '28
Trevor Dunklee '26
Harvard-Westlake Harvard-Westlake Varsity 29 26 22 32 30 31 27 22 239 MRP Helena Salas '25 [1-8]
Lily Yao '26 [1-5, 7-8]
Cj Phelan '26 [6]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 1 17 1 1 2 1 3 5 1 31 Anton Schmid '26
Olive Kanemasu '27
Mater Dei High School Mater Dei High School Monarchs 1 1 11 6 5 6 2 3 5 39 Noah Stapleton '25 [1-4, 7-8]
Kingston Keyoung '27 [5-6]
Hannah Crompton '26 [1-4, 7-8]
Sophia Corzine '26 [5-6]
San Marcos High School San Marcos High School Knights 1 21 4 2 1 2 5 1 7 43 Teo Lee '26
Brynn Behrens '26
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 2 12 10 9 3 4 4 12 3 57 Zachary Peterson '26 [1-6]
Ryan Downey '25 [7-8]
Jonah Wozniak '25 [1-6]
Naya Mclaughlin '26 [7-8]
Mater Dei High School Mater Dei High School Monarchs 2 7 5 5 8 7 14 13 2 61 Walter Mcfarland '25 [1-4, 7-8]
Nickolas Lech '26 [5-6]
Olivia Norton '27 [1-4, 7-8]
Fiona Barbeito '26 [5-6]
Santa Barbara High School Santa Barbara High School Dons 29 2 3 14 5 1 2 13 69 Dylan Seawards '26
Niko Barbee '27
Redwood Redwood Giants 1 3 6 16 10 10 20 6 4 75 Rhett Krawitt '26
Akira Bratti '26
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 1 6 13 21 9 14 7 11 11 92 Maddie Nichols '27 [1-6]
Zarrin Flowers '26 [7-8]
Isabella Clark '25 [1-6]
Jillian Kaufman '26 [7-8]
Dos Pueblos Dos Pueblos Chargers 28 3 4 6 3 18 16 25 103 Emerson Wadell '28
Nicholas Daniele '27
Santa Monica High School Santa Monica High School Vikings 14 12 7 7 15 15 32 6 108 Wills Stratton '25
Joseph Novak '26
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 2 2 14 18 11 9 25 15 18 112 Siena Nichols '27
Isabel Lewis '26
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 1 10 15 12 4 21 11 25 15 113 Charlotte Carmichael '27
Madison Jo '28
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 2 15 24 8 19 17 8 BKD BKD 121 Reid White '27
Quinten Mahdi '28
Crossroads Crossroads Varsity 24 8 25 12 13 23 9 10 124 Leticia Lagutenko '28
Vivi Lagutenko '27
San Marcos High School San Marcos High School Knights 2 22 23 17 16 22 9 8 8 125 Ryan Wells '26
Paul Mcclain '26
Redwood Redwood Giants 2 9 9 28 13 11 10 31 16 127 Nathan Posard '26 [1-8]
Jackson Kurtowicz '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Luke Pialloux '28 [3-4, 7-8]
Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School Dons 1 8 7 22 22 19 13 23 21 135 Liam Kaseburg '26
Charlie Corney '26
Mission Bay High School Mission Bay High School Buccaneer 1 19 19 14 15 8 24 17 20 136 Alex Markworth '25
Indigo Craig '25
Palos Verdes High School Palos Verdes High School Sea Kings 20 18 15 20 12 17 18 17 137 Jason Chan '26
Leland Howard '26
Harvard-Westlake Harvard-Westlake Varsity 31 16 13 17 16 6 10 12 141 MRP Matthew Commons '25
Sean Ozalpasan '25
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Cubs 5 20 10 28 23 26 7 9 148 MRP Ryan Tonkovich '26
Mila Kane '25
Parker Parker Parker 30 21 20 21 20 16 4 19 151 Mitchell Janes '26
Noelle Yuen '25
Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School Dons 2 4 22 24 18 24 22 22 22 158 Bennett Simpson '28 [1-4, 7-8]
Enzo Loth '25 [5-6]
Sean Getty '28 [1-4, 7-8]
Finn Smith '28 [5-6]
Alameda High School Alameda High School Hornets 18 17 11 26 29 28 20 28 177 Joby Overton '26
Aubrie Grimes '26
The Bay School of San Francisco The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 13 25 27 27 25 12 27 31 187 Gus Gossett '27
Maya Urfer '25
Los Alamitos High School Los Alamitos High School Griffins 32 27 29 25 18 30 14 14 189 Mathilde Smith '26
Henry Tran '28
San Pedro High School San Pedro High School Pirates 23 26 26 24 28 19 28 23 197 Gwen Hildebrand '25 [1-4]
Kennedy Hildebrand '27 [5-8]
Iliana Hernandez '27 [1-4]
Bradley Uyematsu '25 [5-8]
San Domenico High School San Domenico High School Panthers 16 28 23 29 30 32 19 24 201 Seamus Crain '26
Xander Helming '26
Mission Bay High School Mission Bay High School Buccaneer 2 11 29 30 32 26 21 26 29 204 Lucas Sarouhan '27
Maeve Mcgovern '26
Bishop's School Bishop's School Knights 26 32 19 30 31 29 24 30 221 Maxfield Payne '25
Cameron Rosso '27
St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco Wildcats 27 30 32 23 27 27 30 26 222 Miles White '25
Brooke Hiller '25
La Jolla High School La Jolla High School Vikings 25 31 31 31 32 31 29 32 242 Malia Wilke '28
Owen Sterbenz '28
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.180+0.18
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2024 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Alameda High SchoolAlameda High School Hornets11335577
Cathedral Catholic High SchoolCathedral Catholic High School Dons 133557799
Cathedral Catholic High SchoolCathedral Catholic High School Dons 2442232323030
Convent and Stuart Hall High SchoolsConvent and Stuart Hall High Schools Cubs5577991111
Corona del Mar High SchoolCorona del Mar High School Sea Kings 16644223232
Corona del Mar High SchoolCorona del Mar High School Sea Kings 2779911111313
CrossroadsCrossroads Varsity88664422
Dos PueblosDos Pueblos Chargers99111113131515
ParkerParker Parker1010886644
Harvard-WestlakeHarvard-Westlake Varsity1111131315151717
La Jolla High SchoolLa Jolla High School Vikings121210108866
Los Alamitos High SchoolLos Alamitos High School Griffins1313151517171919
Mater Dei High SchoolMater Dei High School Monarchs 114141212101088
Mater Dei High SchoolMater Dei High School Monarchs 21515171719192121
Mission Bay High SchoolMission Bay High School Buccaneer 11616141412121010
Mission Bay High SchoolMission Bay High School Buccaneer 21717191921212323
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Sailors 11818161614141212
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Sailors 21919212123232525
Palos Verdes High SchoolPalos Verdes High School Sea Kings2020181816161414
Point Loma High SchoolPoint Loma High School Pointers 12121232325252727
Point Loma High SchoolPoint Loma High School Pointers 22222202018181616
RedwoodRedwood Giants 12323252527272929
RedwoodRedwood Giants 22424222220201818
San Domenico High SchoolSan Domenico High School Panthers2525272729293131
San Marcos High SchoolSan Marcos High School Knights 12626242422222020
San Marcos High SchoolSan Marcos High School Knights 227272929313111
San Pedro High SchoolSan Pedro High School Pirates2828262624242222
Santa Barbara High SchoolSanta Barbara High School Dons292931311133
Santa Monica High SchoolSanta Monica High School Vikings3030282826262424
St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San FranciscoSt. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco Wildcats3131113355
The Bay School of San FranciscoThe Bay School of San Francisco Breakers3232303028282626
Bishop's SchoolBishop's School Knights22323230302828

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Alameda High SchoolAlameda High School Hornets22446688
Cathedral Catholic High SchoolCathedral Catholic High School Dons 14466881010
Cathedral Catholic High SchoolCathedral Catholic High School Dons 2331131312929
Convent and Stuart Hall High SchoolsConvent and Stuart Hall High Schools Cubs668810101212
Corona del Mar High SchoolCorona del Mar High School Sea Kings 15533113131
Corona del Mar High SchoolCorona del Mar High School Sea Kings 288101012121414
CrossroadsCrossroads Varsity77553311
Dos PueblosDos Pueblos Chargers1010121214141616
ParkerParker Parker99775533
Harvard-WestlakeHarvard-Westlake Varsity1212141416161818
La Jolla High SchoolLa Jolla High School Vikings1111997755
Los Alamitos High SchoolLos Alamitos High School Griffins1414161618182020
Mater Dei High SchoolMater Dei High School Monarchs 1131311119977
Mater Dei High SchoolMater Dei High School Monarchs 21616181820202222
Mission Bay High SchoolMission Bay High School Buccaneer 115151313111199
Mission Bay High SchoolMission Bay High School Buccaneer 21818202022222424
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Sailors 11717151513131111
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Sailors 22020222224242626
Palos Verdes High SchoolPalos Verdes High School Sea Kings1919171715151313
Point Loma High SchoolPoint Loma High School Pointers 12222242426262828
Point Loma High SchoolPoint Loma High School Pointers 22121191917171515
RedwoodRedwood Giants 12424262628283030
RedwoodRedwood Giants 22323212119191717
San Domenico High SchoolSan Domenico High School Panthers2626282830303232
San Marcos High SchoolSan Marcos High School Knights 12525232321211919
San Marcos High SchoolSan Marcos High School Knights 228283030323222
San Pedro High SchoolSan Pedro High School Pirates2727252523232121
Santa Barbara High SchoolSanta Barbara High School Dons303032322244
Santa Monica High SchoolSanta Monica High School Vikings2929272725252323
St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San FranciscoSt. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco Wildcats3232224466
The Bay School of San FranciscoThe Bay School of San Francisco Breakers3131292927272525
Bishop's SchoolBishop's School Knights11313129292727
School / Team SkipperCrew
Alameda High School Alameda High School Reid Sojka '26 Tristan Banthi '28
Hornets Joby Overton '26 Aubrie Grimes '26
Bishop's School Bishop's School Celeste Oder '26 Nico Bravo '28
Knights Maxfield Payne '25 Cameron Rosso '27
Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School Owen Fretwell '26 Carlin Fretwell '26
Dons 1 Liam Kaseburg '26 Charlie Corney '26
Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School Sean Kaseburg '28 Lauren Grace Macvaugh-Howe '27
Dons 2 Bennett Simpson '28 [1-4, 7-8]
Enzo Loth '25 [5-6]		 Sean Getty '28 [1-4, 7-8]
Finn Smith '28 [5-6]
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Aaron Toy-Lim '26 [1-8] Jack Wicker '27 [1-4, 7-8]
Bernard Huger '28 [5-6]
Cubs Ryan Tonkovich '26 Mila Kane '25
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Michael Sentovich '26 Julia Getter '26
Sea Kings 1 Maddie Nichols '27 [1-6]
Zarrin Flowers '26 [7-8]		 Isabella Clark '25 [1-6]
Jillian Kaufman '26 [7-8]
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Nevin Elliott '26 [1-4]
Liam Ensley '25 [5-8]		 Ashley Turner '25 [1-4]
Emerson Shoemaker '28 [5-6]
Alex Letourneau '26 [7-8]
Sea Kings 2 Siena Nichols '27 Isabel Lewis '26
Crossroads Crossroads Harry Bryan '25 Sloane Davis '27
Varsity Leticia Lagutenko '28 Vivi Lagutenko '27
Dos Pueblos Dos Pueblos Porter Murray '26 Leo Korman '26
Chargers Emerson Wadell '28 Nicholas Daniele '27
Harvard-Westlake Harvard-Westlake Helena Salas '25 [1-8] Lily Yao '26 [1-5, 7-8]
Cj Phelan '26 [6]
Varsity Matthew Commons '25 Sean Ozalpasan '25
La Jolla High School La Jolla High School Maggie Ugoretz '28 Trevor Dunklee '26
Vikings Malia Wilke '28 Owen Sterbenz '28
Los Alamitos High School Los Alamitos High School Stewart Mccaleb '26 Reef Settlemire '27
Griffins Mathilde Smith '26 Henry Tran '28
Mater Dei High School Mater Dei High School Tate Christopher '25 Madison Mansour '26
Monarchs 1 Noah Stapleton '25 [1-4, 7-8]
Kingston Keyoung '27 [5-6]		 Hannah Crompton '26 [1-4, 7-8]
Sophia Corzine '26 [5-6]
Mater Dei High School Mater Dei High School Brady Kennedy '25 Madison Jones '26
Monarchs 2 Walter Mcfarland '25 [1-4, 7-8]
Nickolas Lech '26 [5-6]		 Olivia Norton '27 [1-4, 7-8]
Fiona Barbeito '26 [5-6]
Mission Bay High School Mission Bay High School Kaden Miller '25 Sarah Ozaki '25
Buccaneer 1 Alex Markworth '25 Indigo Craig '25
Mission Bay High School Mission Bay High School Josh Kozak '25 Alister Muto '25
Buccaneer 2 Lucas Sarouhan '27 Maeve Mcgovern '26
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Conrad Cook '25 Samantha Villard '26
Sailors 1 Charlotte Carmichael '27 Madison Jo '28
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Cash Espinoza '25 Milana Dedriech '28
Sailors 2 Reid White '27 Quinten Mahdi '28
Palos Verdes High School Palos Verdes High School Nic Messano '28 Tatianna Faragallah '27
Sea Kings Jason Chan '26 Leland Howard '26
Parker Parker Emily Otto '26 Fenja Bahrenburg '25
Parker Mitchell Janes '26 Noelle Yuen '25
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Wyatt Kelly '26 Julia Stewart '26
Pointers 1 Anton Schmid '26 Olive Kanemasu '27
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Oscar Parzen '26 Kristin Hawkins '25
Pointers 2 Zachary Peterson '26 [1-6]
Ryan Downey '25 [7-8]		 Jonah Wozniak '25 [1-6]
Naya Mclaughlin '26 [7-8]
Redwood Redwood Mark Xu '26 Henry Vare '26
Giants 1 Rhett Krawitt '26 Akira Bratti '26
Redwood Redwood Blake Oberbauer '26 Onnalie Anela '27
Giants 2 Nathan Posard '26 [1-8] Jackson Kurtowicz '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Luke Pialloux '28 [3-4, 7-8]
San Domenico High School San Domenico High School Merritt Sellers '26 Cara Parks '27
Panthers Seamus Crain '26 Xander Helming '26
San Marcos High School San Marcos High School Carly Kieding '25 Taylor Escola '27
Knights 1 Teo Lee '26 Brynn Behrens '26
San Marcos High School San Marcos High School Sam Wells '26 Ariyana Haley '27
Knights 2 Ryan Wells '26 Paul Mcclain '26
San Pedro High School San Pedro High School Nicholas Parsnik '26 [1-8] Niko Seiple '27 [1-4]
Gwen Hildebrand '25 [5-8]
Pirates Gwen Hildebrand '25 [1-4]
Kennedy Hildebrand '27 [5-8]		 Iliana Hernandez '27 [1-4]
Bradley Uyematsu '25 [5-8]
Santa Barbara High School Santa Barbara High School Crue Ziskind '25 Grant Long '26
Dons Dylan Seawards '26 Niko Barbee '27
Santa Monica High School Santa Monica High School Cooper Keeves '26 Eames Weeks '25
Vikings Wills Stratton '25 Joseph Novak '26
St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco Marina Priskich '25 Helen Plam '26
Wildcats Miles White '25 Brooke Hiller '25
The Bay School of San Francisco The Bay School of San Francisco Caleb Everett '26 Anna Rauh '26
Breakers Gus Gossett '27 Maya Urfer '25

Conditions — 10/12/2024 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 79%  ·  Pressure 1020.1 hPa

Temperature

66°F
↑ 70°F   ↓ 60°F
Feels like 68°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.5 kn
avg  ·  max 6.3 kn
Gusts to 16.7 kn
From NW (312°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover27% Sunshine9.8 hrs Humidity79% Pressure1020.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 8 kn · NW 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Pacific Grove: an underdogs’ day (−0.02)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.09 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.12
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.05 ± 0.07)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Pacific Grove by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Pacific Grove: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →