2024 PCISA NORCAL 4 GOLD

HostAlameda
Date11/03/2024
TypeIn-District
BoatCFJ
Scoring1 Division

#	School	Team	A	TOT
1	Alameda High School	Hornets 2	27	27
2	Redwood	Giants 3	33	33
3	Stevenson School	Pirates 1	36	36
4	Alameda High School	Hornets 3	37	37
5	Carlmont	The Scots	41	41
6	St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco	Wildcats	49	49
7	Mountain View High School (CA)	Mountain View 2	55	55
8	Redwood	Giants 1	60	60
9	The Urban School	Blues	61	61
10	Design Tech High School	Dragons 3	77	77
11	Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Cubs	78	78
12	Mountain View High School (CA)	Mountain View 1	84	84
13	Redwood	Giants 2	92	92
14	Design Tech High School	Dragons 2	94	94
15	SF University High School	Red Devils	100	100
16	The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 3	104	104
17	Redwood	Giants 4	104	104
18	Stevenson School	Pirates 2	105	105
19	Oakland Technical High School	Oakland Tech 2	105	105
20	Oakland Technical High School	Oakland Tech 1	108	108
21	The Nueva School	The Nueva	112	112
22	Saint Mary's (Berkeley, CA)	Varsity	132	132
23	San Domenico High School	Panthers	132	132
24	The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 1	134	134
25	Design Tech High School	Dragons 1	135	135
26	The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 2	147	147
27	Miramonte High School	Matadors	148	148
28	Alameda High School	Hornets 1	150	150
29	St. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CA	St Joseph Notre Dame 1	152	152
30	Pacific Grove High School	Breakers	155	155
31	Stevenson School	Pirates 3	169	169
32	Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks	183	183
33	Stevenson School	Pirates 4	187	187
34	Piedmont High School	Varsity	195	195
35	St. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CA	St Joseph Notre Dame 2	197	197

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	TOT	Sailors
Alameda High School	Hornets 2	1	1	16	1	4	4	27	Reid Sojka '26 Tristan Banthi '28
Redwood	Giants 3	6	2	1	18	1	5	33	Rhett Krawitt '26 Whitney Feagin '27
Stevenson School	Pirates 1	17	5	2	4	7	1	36	Patrick O'Hara '27 Claire Lee '26
Alameda High School	Hornets 3	11	9	7	2	5	3	37	Joby Overton '26 Aubrie Grimes '26
Carlmont	The Scots	9	6	4	5	15	2	41	Carter Newhauser '28 Luca Mejia-Young '28
St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco	Wildcats	13	11	6	3	2	14	49	Marina Priskich '25 Lauren Yu '27
Mountain View High School (CA)	Mountain View 2	14	3	15	6	11	6	55	William Jojarth '27 Riley Vo '25
Redwood	Giants 1	4	10	17	19	3	7	60	Beckett Kern '28 Luke Pialloux '28
The Urban School	Blues	2	13	3	7	17	19	61	Henry Scalise '26 Mackenzie Burns '28
Design Tech High School	Dragons 3	10	12	12	15	19	9	77	Will Kizer '25 Sam Cheng '25
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Cubs	5	18	13	11	10	21	78	Mila Kane '25 Maya Youssef '28
Mountain View High School (CA)	Mountain View 1	8	4	21	RDG	23	15	84	Liberty Evans '26 Adrian Maciuca '25
Redwood	Giants 2	20	7	31	12	6	16	92	Nathan Posard '26 Jackson Kurtowicz '28
Design Tech High School	Dragons 2	23	17	18	10	14	12	94	Tibet Saldamli '28 Arushi Lee '28
SF University High School	Red Devils	7	14	9	22	18	30	100	James Franzone '27 Tj Walsh '28
The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 3	16	19	20	8	13	28	104	Oscar Melet '27 Anna Rauh '26
Redwood	Giants 4	21	20	10	9	8	DNF	104	Blake Oberbauer '26 Zara Pavelka '26
Stevenson School	Pirates 2	12	8	11	RAF	20	18	105	Liah Yamamura '26 Dillan Spence '27
Oakland Technical High School	Oakland Tech 2	19	25	14	17	22	8	105	Hera Handy-Madsen '27 Teagan Ezakovich '27
Oakland Technical High School	Oakland Tech 1	31	15	5	24	16	17	108	Garrett Connorton '27 [1-6] Tenzin Pahl '27 [1-4] Emilio Bottrell-Rogers '27 [5-6]
The Nueva School	The Nueva	3	24	24	21	27	13	112	Max Kaufman '26 Agata Iachello '26
Saint Mary's (Berkeley, CA)	Varsity	15	27	8	20	33	29	132	Shea Baggeroer '27 Katie Koh '27
San Domenico High School	Panthers	24	26	22	26	9	25	132	Seamus Crain '26 Zach Mar-Elia '27
The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 1	22	23	33	RDG	12	22	134	Gus Gossett '27 Nola Jesenko '26
Design Tech High School	Dragons 1	28	29	19	28	21	10	135	Skye Crawford '25 Arushi Lee '28
The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 2	26	DNF	23	14	25	23	147	Milo Sperry '25 [1-6] Asher Ellis '27 [1-2, 5-6] Jt Scott '28 [3-4]
Miramonte High School	Matadors	18	21	28	30	31	20	148	Giulia Delling '26 Zoe Miller '29
Alameda High School	Hornets 1	30	16	27	25	26	26	150	Logan Schwimmer '26 [1-6] Sabine Lee '25 [1-3] Charles Maxey '25 [4-6]
St. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CA	St Joseph Notre Dame 1	27	22	29	27	DSQ	11	152	Melina Ahrens '27 Ella Schwartz '27
Pacific Grove High School	Breakers	25	DNF	26	16	28	24	155	Kieran Sherlock '25 Tyra Liljegard '25
Stevenson School	Pirates 3	29	30	30	23	30	27	169	Tommy O'Hara '29 Ryan Ferguson '28
Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks	33	28	25	29	32	DNF	183	Reid Imwalle '26 [1-2, 5-6] Cameron Collman '26 [3-4] Gabe Heller '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Stevenson School	Pirates 4	34	32	34	31	24	32	187	Nate Burgstone '28 Marc Cheung '28
Piedmont High School	Varsity	32	33	35	33	29	33	195	Elliana Anderson '29 Sophie Hess '25
St. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CA	St Joseph Notre Dame 2	35	31	32	32	DNF	31	197	Tyrus Hall '28 Cecilia De La Torre '26

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.140+0.14

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2018 (12 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A
Alameda High School Hornets 1	41	41	41	41	41	41
Alameda High School Hornets 2	42	42	42	42	42	42
Alameda High School Hornets 3	43	43	43	43	43	43
Carlmont The Scots	21	21	21	21	21	21
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Cubs	8	8	8	8	8	8
Design Tech High School Dragons 1	30	30	30	30	30	30
Design Tech High School Dragons 2	29	29	29	29	29	29
Design Tech High School Dragons 3	28	28	28	28	28	28
Miramonte High School Matadors	46	46	46	46	46	46
Mountain View High School (CA) Mountain View 1	134	134	134	134	134	134
Mountain View High School (CA) Mountain View 2	33	33	33	33	33	33
Oakland Technical High School Oakland Tech 1	51	51	51	51	51	51
Oakland Technical High School Oakland Tech 2	52	52	52	52	52	52
Pacific Grove High School Breakers	12	12	12	12	12	12
Piedmont High School Varsity	57	57	57	57	57	57
Redwood Giants 1	136	136	136	136	136	136
Redwood Giants 2	121	121	121	121	121	121
Redwood Giants 3	122	122	122	122	122	122
Redwood Giants 4	135	135	135	135	135	135
San Domenico High School Panthers	16	16	16	16	16	16
SF University High School Red Devils	1	1	1	1	1	1
St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco Wildcats	3	3	3	3	3	3
St. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CA St Joseph Notre Dame 1	50	50	50	50	50	50
St. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CA St Joseph Notre Dame 2	49	49	49	49	49	49
Saint Mary's (Berkeley, CA) Varsity	56	56	56	56	56	56
Stevenson School Pirates 1	198	198	198	198	198	198
Stevenson School Pirates 2	197	197	197	197	197	197
Stevenson School Pirates 3	98	98	98	98	98	98
Stevenson School Pirates 4	97	97	97	97	97	97
Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks	79	79	79	79	79	79
The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 1	81	81	81	81	81	81
The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 2	83	83	83	83	83	83
The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 3	82	82	82	82	82	82
The Nueva School The Nueva	22	22	22	22	22	22
The Urban School Blues	5	5	5	5	5	5

School	Team	Skipper	Crew
Alameda High School	Hornets 1	Logan Schwimmer '26 [1-6]	Sabine Lee '25 [1-3] Charles Maxey '25 [4-6]
Alameda High School	Hornets 2	Reid Sojka '26	Tristan Banthi '28
Alameda High School	Hornets 3	Joby Overton '26	Aubrie Grimes '26
Carlmont	The Scots	Carter Newhauser '28	Luca Mejia-Young '28
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Cubs	Mila Kane '25	Maya Youssef '28
Design Tech High School	Dragons 1	Skye Crawford '25	Arushi Lee '28
Design Tech High School	Dragons 2	Tibet Saldamli '28	Arushi Lee '28
Design Tech High School	Dragons 3	Will Kizer '25	Sam Cheng '25
Miramonte High School	Matadors	Giulia Delling '26	Zoe Miller '29
Mountain View High School (CA)	Mountain View 1	Liberty Evans '26	Adrian Maciuca '25
Mountain View High School (CA)	Mountain View 2	William Jojarth '27	Riley Vo '25
Oakland Technical High School	Oakland Tech 1	Garrett Connorton '27 [1-6]	Tenzin Pahl '27 [1-4] Emilio Bottrell-Rogers '27 [5-6]
Oakland Technical High School	Oakland Tech 2	Hera Handy-Madsen '27	Teagan Ezakovich '27
Pacific Grove High School	Breakers	Kieran Sherlock '25	Tyra Liljegard '25
Piedmont High School	Varsity	Elliana Anderson '29	Sophie Hess '25
Redwood	Giants 1	Beckett Kern '28	Luke Pialloux '28
Redwood	Giants 2	Nathan Posard '26	Jackson Kurtowicz '28
Redwood	Giants 3	Rhett Krawitt '26	Whitney Feagin '27
Redwood	Giants 4	Blake Oberbauer '26	Zara Pavelka '26
SF University High School	Red Devils	James Franzone '27	Tj Walsh '28
Saint Mary's (Berkeley, CA)	Varsity	Shea Baggeroer '27	Katie Koh '27
San Domenico High School	Panthers	Seamus Crain '26	Zach Mar-Elia '27
St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco	Wildcats	Marina Priskich '25	Lauren Yu '27
St. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CA	St Joseph Notre Dame 1	Melina Ahrens '27	Ella Schwartz '27
St. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CA	St Joseph Notre Dame 2	Tyrus Hall '28	Cecilia De La Torre '26
Stevenson School	Pirates 1	Patrick O'Hara '27	Claire Lee '26
Stevenson School	Pirates 2	Liah Yamamura '26	Dillan Spence '27
Stevenson School	Pirates 3	Tommy O'Hara '29	Ryan Ferguson '28
Stevenson School	Pirates 4	Nate Burgstone '28	Marc Cheung '28
Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks	Reid Imwalle '26 [1-2, 5-6] Cameron Collman '26 [3-4]	Gabe Heller '27 [1-2, 5-6]
The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 1	Gus Gossett '27	Nola Jesenko '26
The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 2	Milo Sperry '25 [1-6]	Asher Ellis '27 [1-2, 5-6] Jt Scott '28 [3-4]
The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 3	Oscar Melet '27	Anna Rauh '26
The Nueva School	The Nueva	Max Kaufman '26	Agata Iachello '26
The Urban School	Blues	Henry Scalise '26	Mackenzie Burns '28

Conditions — 11/03/2024 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky

Humidity 47% · Pressure 1017.9 hPa

Temperature

64°F

↑ 70°F ↓ 51°F

Feels like 57°F

Wind

● from ▲ toward

8.4 kn

avg · max 11.6 kn

Gusts to 25.3 kn

From NNW (347°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover1% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity47% Pressure1017.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 12 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)

In this breeze at Alameda: a typical day (−0.00)

Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.

Fleet adjustment −0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.01

Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.02 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Alameda by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at Alameda, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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