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MDISA DC Sail T3 Fleet Race

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Bishop O'Connell High School Bishop O'Connell High School Knights 6 24 30
2 West Springfield High School West Springfield High School Spartans 5 25 30
3 Yorktown High School Yorktown High School Patriots 27 7 34
4 Washington Latin Washington Latin Lions 24 15 39
5 Washington Liberty High School Washington Liberty High School Washington Liberty 21 23 44
6 Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 18 28 46
7 Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 36 10 46
8 Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 28 19 47
9 Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 32 16 48
10 Bethesda Chevy-Chase HS Bethesda Chevy-Chase HS Battlin' Baron 23 26 49
11 Gunston Gunston Herons 17 34 51
12 Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 26 32 58
13 St. Mary's Ryken St. Mary's Ryken Knights 27 37 64
14 The Tome School The Tome School Titans 35 31 66
15 Patuxent Patuxent Panthers 40 34 74
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
West Springfield High School West Springfield High School Spartans 3 1 1 5 Dylan Jacobson '28
Alexandria Hou '29
Bishop O'Connell High School Bishop O'Connell High School Knights 1 3 2 6 James Reilly '28
Romeo Cayangyang '27
Gunston Gunston Herons 5 5 7 17 Connor Joyce '26 [1-2]
Joseph Boucher '27 [3]
Kate Seybert '25 [1-2]
Tiago Paul '27 [3]
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 4 10 4 18 Brandon Hall '28 [1-3]
Lucille Leigh '28 [1-2]
Logan Lahtinen '28 [3]
Washington Liberty High School Washington Liberty High School Washington Liberty 9 7 5 21 Dean Fetter '28
Mia Laguerre '30
Bethesda Chevy-Chase HS Bethesda Chevy-Chase HS Battlin' Baron 12 8 3 23 Eve Cintron '26
Chloe Cummings '25
Washington Latin Washington Latin Lions DNF 2 6 24 Mercer Rensberger '28
Arabella Laws-Dunn '28
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 6 6 14 26 Avery Lynch '27 [1-3]
Nikki Rahim '29 [1-2]
Vikki Rahim '29 [3]
Yorktown High School Yorktown High School Patriots 7 9 11 27 Erez Engler '25
Mark Driver '27
St. Mary's Ryken St. Mary's Ryken Knights 10 4 13 27 Michael Groat '27 [1-3]
Tejas Suri '28 [1-2]
David Turner '26 [3]
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 2 DSQ 10 28 Ian Murphy '29
Parker Roy '29
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 8 12 12 32 Henry Macmillan '26 [1-2]
Samuel Wells '27 [3]
Teagan Leigh '28 [1-2]
Gavin Klakring '27 [3]
The Tome School The Tome School Titans 14 13 8 35 John Arty '29
Hunter Miller '26
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 11 DNF 9 36 Austin Brelage '30
Mary Muir '25
Patuxent Patuxent Panthers 13 11 DSQ 40 Jekari Mason '29 [1-3]
Logan Coons '26 [1-2]
Owen Myers '29 [3]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Yorktown High School Yorktown High School Patriots 4 1 2 7 Carter Zang '28
Avelyn Dannes '28
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 1 2 7 10 Noah Sebaa '29
Owen Smith '26
Washington Latin Washington Latin Lions 6 8 1 15 Eliana Arteaga '29 [1, 3]
Kailash Hsu '30 [2]
Kailash Hsu '30 [1, 3]
Eliana Arteaga '29 [2]
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 10 3 3 16 Cole Ramsey '28
Nathan Cayer '28
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 3 6 10 19 Charlie Butler '29
William Dennis '29
Washington Liberty High School Washington Liberty High School Washington Liberty 2 7 14 23 Jack Murphy '29
Bodhi Bhalla-Ladd '26
Bishop O'Connell High School Bishop O'Connell High School Knights 9 11 4 24 Ashley Kroeger '26 [1-3]
Anna Grace Gutfleish '27 [1-2]
Madelyn Clark '28 [3]
West Springfield High School West Springfield High School Spartans 11 5 9 25 Elias Del Solar '28 [1-3]
Sophia Lenzner '27 [1-2]
Karsten Glazier '28 [3]
Bethesda Chevy-Chase HS Bethesda Chevy-Chase HS Battlin' Baron DNF 4 6 26 Ethan Snyder '27
Ben Rashkin '28
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 8 15 5 28 Ryan Stebbins '28 [1-3]
Carson Zinkgraf '28 [1-2]
Caleb Carrasco '28 [3]
The Tome School The Tome School Titans 13 10 8 31 Ellie Neikrash '29
Charles Partridge '28
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 7 13 12 32 Erin Hannon '28
Addy Carlson '28
Patuxent Patuxent Panthers 5 14 15 34 Annabelle Yurko '29 [1-3]
Loundin Curtis '26 [1-2]
Logan Coons '26 [3]
Gunston Gunston Herons 12 9 13 34 Harrison Lavery '26 [1-2]
Aj Friedrich '27 [3]
Soren Badger '26 [1-2]
Meredith Dalzell '28 [3]
St. Mary's Ryken St. Mary's Ryken Knights 14 12 11 37 Alex Dusterwald '27 [1-3]
Lindsey Jahn '26 [1-2]
Bailey Geisz '27 [3]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2024 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A
Archbishop SpaldingArchbishop Spalding Cavaliers113
Bethesda Chevy-Chase HSBethesda Chevy-Chase HS Battlin' Baron224
Bishop O'Connell High SchoolBishop O'Connell High School Knights335
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Bruins446
Great Mills High SchoolGreat Mills High School Hornets557
Kent Island High SchoolKent Island High School Buccaneers779
Leonardtown High SchoolLeonardtown High School Raiders8810
PatuxentPatuxent Panthers9911
St. Mary's RykenSt. Mary's Ryken Knights101012
GunstonGunston Herons668
The Tome SchoolThe Tome School Titans111113
Washington LatinWashington Latin Lions121214
Washington Liberty High SchoolWashington Liberty High School Washington Liberty131315
West Springfield High SchoolWest Springfield High School Spartans14141
Yorktown High SchoolYorktown High School Patriots15152

Division B

Team1B2B3B
Archbishop SpaldingArchbishop Spalding Cavaliers224
Bethesda Chevy-Chase HSBethesda Chevy-Chase HS Battlin' Baron335
Bishop O'Connell High SchoolBishop O'Connell High School Knights446
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Bruins557
Great Mills High SchoolGreat Mills High School Hornets668
Kent Island High SchoolKent Island High School Buccaneers8810
Leonardtown High SchoolLeonardtown High School Raiders9911
PatuxentPatuxent Panthers101012
St. Mary's RykenSt. Mary's Ryken Knights111113
GunstonGunston Herons779
The Tome SchoolThe Tome School Titans121214
Washington LatinWashington Latin Lions131315
Washington Liberty High SchoolWashington Liberty High School Washington Liberty14141
West Springfield High SchoolWest Springfield High School Spartans15152
Yorktown High SchoolYorktown High School Patriots113
School / Team SkipperCrew
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Avery Lynch '27 [1-3] Nikki Rahim '29 [1-2]
Vikki Rahim '29 [3]
Cavaliers Erin Hannon '28 Addy Carlson '28
Bethesda Chevy-Chase HS Bethesda Chevy-Chase HS Eve Cintron '26 Chloe Cummings '25
Battlin' Baron Ethan Snyder '27 Ben Rashkin '28
Bishop O'Connell High School Bishop O'Connell High School James Reilly '28 Romeo Cayangyang '27
Knights Ashley Kroeger '26 [1-3] Anna Grace Gutfleish '27 [1-2]
Madelyn Clark '28 [3]
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Brandon Hall '28 [1-3] Lucille Leigh '28 [1-2]
Logan Lahtinen '28 [3]
Bruins Ryan Stebbins '28 [1-3] Carson Zinkgraf '28 [1-2]
Caleb Carrasco '28 [3]
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Austin Brelage '30 Mary Muir '25
Hornets Noah Sebaa '29 Owen Smith '26
Gunston Gunston Connor Joyce '26 [1-2]
Joseph Boucher '27 [3]		 Kate Seybert '25 [1-2]
Tiago Paul '27 [3]
Herons Harrison Lavery '26 [1-2]
Aj Friedrich '27 [3]		 Soren Badger '26 [1-2]
Meredith Dalzell '28 [3]
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Henry Macmillan '26 [1-2]
Samuel Wells '27 [3]		 Teagan Leigh '28 [1-2]
Gavin Klakring '27 [3]
Buccaneers Cole Ramsey '28 Nathan Cayer '28
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Ian Murphy '29 Parker Roy '29
Raiders Charlie Butler '29 William Dennis '29
Patuxent Patuxent Jekari Mason '29 [1-3] Logan Coons '26 [1-2]
Owen Myers '29 [3]
Panthers Annabelle Yurko '29 [1-3] Loundin Curtis '26 [1-2]
Logan Coons '26 [3]
St. Mary's Ryken St. Mary's Ryken Michael Groat '27 [1-3] Tejas Suri '28 [1-2]
David Turner '26 [3]
Knights Alex Dusterwald '27 [1-3] Lindsey Jahn '26 [1-2]
Bailey Geisz '27 [3]
The Tome School The Tome School John Arty '29 Hunter Miller '26
Titans Ellie Neikrash '29 Charles Partridge '28
Washington Latin Washington Latin Mercer Rensberger '28 Arabella Laws-Dunn '28
Lions Eliana Arteaga '29 [1, 3]
Kailash Hsu '30 [2]		 Kailash Hsu '30 [1, 3]
Eliana Arteaga '29 [2]
Washington Liberty High School Washington Liberty High School Dean Fetter '28 Mia Laguerre '30
Washington Liberty Jack Murphy '29 Bodhi Bhalla-Ladd '26
West Springfield High School West Springfield High School Dylan Jacobson '28 Alexandria Hou '29
Spartans Elias Del Solar '28 [1-3] Sophia Lenzner '27 [1-2]
Karsten Glazier '28 [3]
Yorktown High School Yorktown High School Erez Engler '25 Mark Driver '27
Patriots Carter Zang '28 Avelyn Dannes '28

Conditions — 10/27/2024 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 49%  ·  Pressure 1030.0 hPa

Temperature

52°F
↑ 57°F   ↓ 42°F
Feels like 47°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
2.2 kn
avg  ·  max 3.8 kn
Gusts to 9.7 kn
From NE (49°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover51% Sunshine10.1 hrs Humidity49% Pressure1030.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Bishop O'Connell H.S/Washington Latin: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.16 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.16
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.21 ± 0.30)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Bishop O'Connell H.S/Washington Latin by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Bishop O'Connell H.S/Washington Latin, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →