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MDISA T3 Regatta NERYC

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Tri State Christian Academy Tri State Christian Academy Tri State Christian 19 11 30
2 Friends School of Baltimore Friends School of Baltimore Quakers 26 18 44
3 Notre Dame Preparatory School Notre Dame Preparatory School Blazers 8 38 46
4 Rockbridge Academy Rockbridge Academy Scots 33 19 52
5 The Tome School The Tome School Titans 28 25 53
6 South River High School South River High School Seahawks 37 29 66
7 Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 28 39 67
8 Gunston Gunston Herons 37 37 74
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Notre Dame Preparatory School Notre Dame Preparatory School Blazers 2 1 1 2 1 1 8 Sophia Hammond '26
Sebastian Haber '27
Tri State Christian Academy Tri State Christian Academy Tri State Christian 3 5 4 1 4 2 19 Holden Shrum '28 [1-6]
Hunter Miller '26 [1-4]
Gideon Garber '28 [5-6]
Friends School of Baltimore Friends School of Baltimore Quakers 1 4 7 8 3 3 26 Richard Nesti '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Ruby Turner '26 [3-4]
Mason Coates '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Will Carnell '27 [3-4]
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 4 3 3 6 7 5 28 Cole Ramsey '28 [1-6]
Teagan Leigh '28 [1-2]
Nathan Cayer '28 [3-4]
Viana Johnston '28 [5-6]
The Tome School The Tome School Titans 8 2 2 7 2 7 28 John Arty '29
John Mcmonigle '28
Rockbridge Academy Rockbridge Academy Scots 5 8 5 5 6 4 33 Maddie Atwood '26
Corrin Hakala '26
Gunston Gunston Herons 6 7 8 3 5 8 37 Logan Kille '25 [1-6]
Soren Badger '26 [1-2]
Tiago Paul '27 [3-4]
Aj Baldwin '27 [5-6]
South River High School South River High School Seahawks 7 6 6 4 8 6 37 Charan Ghambir '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Micheal-Patrick Sarich '28 [3-4]
Rory Campbell '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Hazen ... '28 [3-4]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Tri State Christian Academy Tri State Christian Academy Tri State Christian 3 1 3 2 1 1 11 Abigayle Wyman '25 [1-4]
Emerson Stehl '26 [5-6]
Emerson Stehl '26 [1-4]
Nathaniel Wyman '28 [5-6]
Friends School of Baltimore Friends School of Baltimore Quakers 1 2 1 1 5 8 18 Anna Makovich '26
Carter Robbins '25
Rockbridge Academy Rockbridge Academy Scots 2 3 7 3 2 2 19 Maram Rihane '28
Helen Heller-Padilla '28
The Tome School The Tome School Titans 6 6 2 4 4 3 25 Ellie Niekrash '29
Charles Partridge '28
South River High School South River High School Seahawks 5 4 4 6 3 7 29 Matthew Treatman-Clark '27 [1-6]
Ludovic Vernieres '28 [1-2]
Baxter Primeaux '28 [3-6]
Gunston Gunston Herons 7 7 5 7 7 4 37 Liam Freihofer '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Aj Friedrich '27 [3-4]
Meredith Dalzell '28 [1-2]
Alayna Thompson '26 [3-4]
Campbell Malone '28 [5-6]
Notre Dame Preparatory School Notre Dame Preparatory School Blazers 8 8 6 5 6 5 38 Katy Stansbury '27
Cameron Baummer '27
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 4 5 8 8 8 6 39 Henry Macmillan '26 [1-2]
Samuel Wells '27 [3-6]
Lillyanne Spelhaug '27 [1-2, 5-6]
George Macmillian '29 [3-4]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2018 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Friends School of BaltimoreFriends School of Baltimore Quakers9911111313
Kent Island High SchoolKent Island High School Buccaneers111113131515
Notre Dame Preparatory SchoolNotre Dame Preparatory School Blazers121214141616
Rockbridge AcademyRockbridge Academy Scots1313151599
South River High SchoolSouth River High School Seahawks141416161010
GunstonGunston Herons101012121414
The Tome SchoolThe Tome School Titans1515991111
Tri State Christian AcademyTri State Christian Academy Tri State Christian161610101212

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Friends School of BaltimoreFriends School of Baltimore Quakers101012121414
Kent Island High SchoolKent Island High School Buccaneers121214141616
Notre Dame Preparatory SchoolNotre Dame Preparatory School Blazers1313151599
Rockbridge AcademyRockbridge Academy Scots141416161010
South River High SchoolSouth River High School Seahawks1515991111
GunstonGunston Herons111113131515
The Tome SchoolThe Tome School Titans161610101212
Tri State Christian AcademyTri State Christian Academy Tri State Christian9911111313
School / Team SkipperCrew
Friends School of Baltimore Friends School of Baltimore Richard Nesti '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Ruby Turner '26 [3-4]		 Mason Coates '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Will Carnell '27 [3-4]
Quakers Anna Makovich '26 Carter Robbins '25
Gunston Gunston Logan Kille '25 [1-6] Soren Badger '26 [1-2]
Tiago Paul '27 [3-4]
Aj Baldwin '27 [5-6]
Herons Liam Freihofer '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Aj Friedrich '27 [3-4]		 Meredith Dalzell '28 [1-2]
Alayna Thompson '26 [3-4]
Campbell Malone '28 [5-6]
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Cole Ramsey '28 [1-6] Teagan Leigh '28 [1-2]
Nathan Cayer '28 [3-4]
Viana Johnston '28 [5-6]
Buccaneers Henry Macmillan '26 [1-2]
Samuel Wells '27 [3-6]		 Lillyanne Spelhaug '27 [1-2, 5-6]
George Macmillian '29 [3-4]
Notre Dame Preparatory School Notre Dame Preparatory School Sophia Hammond '26 Sebastian Haber '27
Blazers Katy Stansbury '27 Cameron Baummer '27
Rockbridge Academy Rockbridge Academy Maddie Atwood '26 Corrin Hakala '26
Scots Maram Rihane '28 Helen Heller-Padilla '28
South River High School South River High School Charan Ghambir '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Micheal-Patrick Sarich '28 [3-4]		 Rory Campbell '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Hazen ... '28 [3-4]
Seahawks Matthew Treatman-Clark '27 [1-6] Ludovic Vernieres '28 [1-2]
Baxter Primeaux '28 [3-6]
The Tome School The Tome School John Arty '29 John Mcmonigle '28
Titans Ellie Niekrash '29 Charles Partridge '28
Tri State Christian Academy Tri State Christian Academy Holden Shrum '28 [1-6] Hunter Miller '26 [1-4]
Gideon Garber '28 [5-6]
Tri State Christian Abigayle Wyman '25 [1-4]
Emerson Stehl '26 [5-6]		 Emerson Stehl '26 [1-4]
Nathaniel Wyman '28 [5-6]

Conditions — 10/05/2024 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 56%  ·  Pressure 1021.2 hPa

Temperature

71°F
↑ 76°F   ↓ 62°F
Feels like 70°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.5 kn
avg  ·  max 6.6 kn
Gusts to 15.9 kn
From N (356°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover1% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity56% Pressure1021.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at North East River Yacht Club: a typical day (−0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.16 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.15
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.49 ± 0.24)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at North East River Yacht Club by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 2 labelled days at North East River Yacht Club, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →