Peninsula Regional Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 1 7 29 36
2 Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 2 30 9 39
3 Central Kitsap High School Central Kitsap High School Cougars 1 27 17 44
4 Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 3 32 33 65
5 Port Angeles High School Port Angeles High School Roughriders 1 31 40 71
6 Central Kitsap High School Central Kitsap High School Cougars 2 54 30 84
7 Port Angeles High School Port Angeles High School Roughriders 2 37 54 91
8 Port Angeles High School Port Angeles High School Roughriders 3 43 48 91
9 Central Kitsap High School Central Kitsap High School Cougars 3 56 56 112
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 7 Nelson Dorsey '26 [1-7]
Beckett Ladenburg '27 [1-6]
Elijah Owen '28 [7]
Central Kitsap High School Central Kitsap High School Cougars 1 4 3 7 4 3 3 3 27 Elijah Dekker '26 [1-7]
Alexia Cochran '26 [1-6]
Keller Matthews '26 [7]
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 2 7 6 4 3 2 6 2 30 Gretchen Fiscus '26 [1-4]
Stone Dewey '26 [5-7]
Tabor Houghtaling '27 [1-4]
Hattie Madia '28 [5-7]
Port Angeles High School Port Angeles High School Roughriders 1 8 2 3 5 4 5 4 31 Andrew Corson '25 [1-2]
Charlie Kasten '26 [3-7]
Gryphon Shields '26 [1-2]
Benedict Davids '27 [3-7]
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 3 5 7 2 2 5 2 9 32 Ella Baker '27
Holden Goodham '26
Port Angeles High School Port Angeles High School Roughriders 2 2 4 9 6 7 4 5 37 Caelan Prater '27 [1-2]
Andrew Corson '25 [3-7]
Keira Andersen '28 [1-2]
Gryphon Shields '26 [3-7]
Port Angeles High School Port Angeles High School Roughriders 3 3 5 6 8 8 7 6 43 Charlie Kasten '26 [1-2]
Eliot Minarchek '28 [3-7]
Benedict Davids '27 [1-2]
Robin Haney '28 [3-4]
Sophia Schiess '26 [5-6]
Serenity Romo '25 [7]
Central Kitsap High School Central Kitsap High School Cougars 2 DNS 8 5 7 9 8 7 54 Maya Zander '26 [1-2, 5]
Avery Lawley '25 [3-4, 6-7]
Avery Lawley '25 [1-2, 5]
Maya Zander '26 [3-4, 6-7]
Central Kitsap High School Central Kitsap High School Cougars 3 6 9 8 DNS 6 9 8 56 Victor Gehring '26 [1-7]
Erin Eliason '26 [1-4]
Sadie Evans '27 [5-7]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 2 1 1 1 3 1 1 1 9 Daniel Chapman '27 [1-7]
Owen Willhoit '28 [1-2, 5-7]
Elijah Owen '28 [3-4]
Central Kitsap High School Central Kitsap High School Cougars 1 2 2 4 2 2 3 2 17 Keller Matthews '26
Tyler Jenne '27
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 1 DNS 4 3 4 3 2 3 29 Suraj Siddaiah '26 [1-7]
Hattie Madia '28 [1-2]
Jules Dewey '29 [3-7]
Central Kitsap High School Central Kitsap High School Cougars 2 4 5 2 1 7 5 6 30 Amber Faragalli '26 [1-4, 7]
Lucas Burbank '26 [5-6]
Sadie Evans '27 [1-2]
Lucas Burbank '26 [3-4, 7]
Amber Faragalli '26 [5-6]
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 3 5 3 6 6 4 4 5 33 Jules Dewey '29 [1-2]
Carson Domansky '26 [3-7]
Atlas Montgomery '27 [1-2]
Port Angeles High School Port Angeles High School Roughriders 1 6 9 5 5 5 6 4 40 Eliot Minarchek '28 [1-2]
Caelan Prater '27 [3-7]
Sophia Schiess '26 [1-2]
Keira Andersen '28 [3-7]
Port Angeles High School Port Angeles High School Roughriders 3 3 8 8 7 6 7 9 48 Isaac Anderson '27 [1-2]
William Weidenhoeft '28 [3-7]
Peter Schiess '27 [1-2]
Serenity Romo '25 [3-4]
Robin Haney '28 [5-6]
Sophia Schiess '26 [7]
Port Angeles High School Port Angeles High School Roughriders 2 8 7 7 8 8 8 8 54 William Weidenhoeft '28 [1-2]
Isaac Anderson '27 [3-7]
Robin Haney '28 [1-2]
Peter Schiess '27 [3-7]
Central Kitsap High School Central Kitsap High School Cougars 3 7 6 9 9 9 9 7 56 Ian Anthony '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Gracie Yeadon '27 [3-4, 7]
Gracie Yeadon '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Ian Anthony '27 [3-4, 7]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2019 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Spartans 135353737127127153
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Spartans 23636126126151151154
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Spartans 33737127127153153155
Central Kitsap High SchoolCentral Kitsap High School Cougars 112612615115115415435
Central Kitsap High SchoolCentral Kitsap High School Cougars 212712715315315515536
Central Kitsap High SchoolCentral Kitsap High School Cougars 3151151154154353537
Port Angeles High SchoolPort Angeles High School Roughriders 11531531551553636126
Port Angeles High SchoolPort Angeles High School Roughriders 215415435353737127
Port Angeles High SchoolPort Angeles High School Roughriders 31551553636126126151

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Spartans 13636126126151151154
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Spartans 23737127127153153155
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Spartans 312612615115115415435
Central Kitsap High SchoolCentral Kitsap High School Cougars 112712715315315515536
Central Kitsap High SchoolCentral Kitsap High School Cougars 2151151154154353537
Central Kitsap High SchoolCentral Kitsap High School Cougars 31531531551553636126
Port Angeles High SchoolPort Angeles High School Roughriders 115415435353737127
Port Angeles High SchoolPort Angeles High School Roughriders 21551553636126126151
Port Angeles High SchoolPort Angeles High School Roughriders 335353737127127153
School / Team SkipperCrew
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Nelson Dorsey '26 [1-7] Beckett Ladenburg '27 [1-6]
Elijah Owen '28 [7]
Spartans 1 Suraj Siddaiah '26 [1-7] Hattie Madia '28 [1-2]
Jules Dewey '29 [3-7]
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Gretchen Fiscus '26 [1-4]
Stone Dewey '26 [5-7]
Tabor Houghtaling '27 [1-4]
Hattie Madia '28 [5-7]
Spartans 2 Daniel Chapman '27 [1-7] Owen Willhoit '28 [1-2, 5-7]
Elijah Owen '28 [3-4]
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Ella Baker '27 Holden Goodham '26
Spartans 3 Jules Dewey '29 [1-2]
Carson Domansky '26 [3-7]
Atlas Montgomery '27 [1-2]
Central Kitsap High School Central Kitsap High School Elijah Dekker '26 [1-7] Alexia Cochran '26 [1-6]
Keller Matthews '26 [7]
Cougars 1 Keller Matthews '26 Tyler Jenne '27
Central Kitsap High School Central Kitsap High School Maya Zander '26 [1-2, 5]
Avery Lawley '25 [3-4, 6-7]
Avery Lawley '25 [1-2, 5]
Maya Zander '26 [3-4, 6-7]
Cougars 2 Amber Faragalli '26 [1-4, 7]
Lucas Burbank '26 [5-6]
Sadie Evans '27 [1-2]
Lucas Burbank '26 [3-4, 7]
Amber Faragalli '26 [5-6]
Central Kitsap High School Central Kitsap High School Victor Gehring '26 [1-7] Erin Eliason '26 [1-4]
Sadie Evans '27 [5-7]
Cougars 3 Ian Anthony '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Gracie Yeadon '27 [3-4, 7]
Gracie Yeadon '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Ian Anthony '27 [3-4, 7]
Port Angeles High School Port Angeles High School Andrew Corson '25 [1-2]
Charlie Kasten '26 [3-7]
Gryphon Shields '26 [1-2]
Benedict Davids '27 [3-7]
Roughriders 1 Eliot Minarchek '28 [1-2]
Caelan Prater '27 [3-7]
Sophia Schiess '26 [1-2]
Keira Andersen '28 [3-7]
Port Angeles High School Port Angeles High School Caelan Prater '27 [1-2]
Andrew Corson '25 [3-7]
Keira Andersen '28 [1-2]
Gryphon Shields '26 [3-7]
Roughriders 2 William Weidenhoeft '28 [1-2]
Isaac Anderson '27 [3-7]
Robin Haney '28 [1-2]
Peter Schiess '27 [3-7]
Port Angeles High School Port Angeles High School Charlie Kasten '26 [1-2]
Eliot Minarchek '28 [3-7]
Benedict Davids '27 [1-2]
Robin Haney '28 [3-4]
Sophia Schiess '26 [5-6]
Serenity Romo '25 [7]
Roughriders 3 Isaac Anderson '27 [1-2]
William Weidenhoeft '28 [3-7]
Peter Schiess '27 [1-2]
Serenity Romo '25 [3-4]
Robin Haney '28 [5-6]
Sophia Schiess '26 [7]

Conditions — 10/05/2024 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 81%  ·  Pressure 1024.7 hPa

Temperature

52°F
↑ 55°F   ↓ 47°F
Feels like 50°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
2.5 kn
avg  ·  max 3.8 kn
Gusts to 10.9 kn
From NE (36°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover91% Sunshine6.0 hrs Humidity81% Pressure1024.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 6 kn* · NE 4 kn (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Port Angeles: an underdogs’ day (−0.05)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.14 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.09
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.07 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Port Angeles by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at Port Angeles, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →