Port Angeles High School '25
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| -0.20 (fleet -0.31) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | −0.01 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 6–15 (29%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2025 | 2 | 6–15 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 2 graded regattas (21 matches) the record is 6–15 against 6.0 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−0.0). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 0 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 0 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-26 | Silver Team Racing Championship | skipper | -0.12 | 0.27 | 3–4 | 2.6 | +0.39 | 0.1 | 52% |
| 2025-04-12 | Team Race Seeding Regatta | skipper | -0.19 | -0.42 | 3–11 | 3.4 | −0.23 | 0.1 | 71% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Silver Team Racing Championship | Skipper | TR | 10 | 40% | — |
| Ranking Regatta #3 | Skipper | A | 9 | 11.2 | -0.69 |
| NWISA Gold Ranking Regatta #2 | Skipper | B | 8 | 14.2 | -0.98 |
| NWISA Fleet Race Championships | Skipper | A | 9 | 16.1 | -1.06 |
| Team Race Seeding Regatta | Skipper | TR | 14 | 21% | — |
| Fall 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Peninsula Regional Regatta | Skipper | A | 7 | 5.9 | -0.14 |
| Fall Championships (RR#1) | Skipper | B | 11 | 11.1 | -0.53 |
| Cascadia Cup Gold | Skipper | A | 5 | 19.2 | -3.85 |
| Spring 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| NWISA Ranking Regatta #2 - Gold | Skipper | A | 11 | 19.3 | -2.17 |
| NWISA Ranking Regatta #3 GOLD | Skipper | A | 10 | 18.5 | -1.19 |
| Fall 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| Fall Championships-RR#1 | Skipper | A | 12 | 20.5 | -2.19 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
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