Ranking Regatta #3

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Lakeside School Lakeside School Lions 43 44 87
2 Gig Harbor High School Gig Harbor High School Tides 21 74 95
3 Spring Street International School Spring Street International School Green 54 55 109
4 Garfield High School Garfield High School Bulldogs 77 33 110
5 Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 55 59 114
6 Hood River Valley High School Hood River Valley High School Eagles 75 49 124
7 Bellarmine Preparatory School Bellarmine Preparatory School Lions 50 79 129
8 Capital High School Capital High School Cougars 69 64 133
9 Central Kitsap High School Central Kitsap High School Cougars 92 61 153
10 Lincoln High School (OR) Lincoln High School (OR) Cardinals 66 98 164
11 Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 59 109 168
12 Kingston High School Kingston High School Kraken 84 85 169
13 Port Angeles High School Port Angeles High School Roughriders 101 80 181
14 Olympic High School (WA) Olympic High School (WA) Trojans 121 81 202
15 North Kitsap High School North Kitsap High School Dogfish 114 112 226
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Gig Harbor High School Gig Harbor High School Tides 7 1 1 1 1 1 1 6 2 21 Finn Deprez '25
Nate Dietrich '26
Lakeside School Lakeside School Lions 10 3 2 2 4 2 6 4 10 43 Nikhil Damji '25
William Layton '25
Bellarmine Preparatory School Bellarmine Preparatory School Lions 3 2 7 3 5 8 9 2 11 50 William Embick '26
Cameron Ramirez '26
Spring Street International School Spring Street International School Green 1 7 4 4 10 5 7 11 5 54 Emmett Beadnall '27
Matilda Twigg '25
Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 11 5 3 6 12 3 2 7 6 55 Liam Taylor '25
Ingrid Christensen '27
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 4 6 5 5 6 6 14 12 1 59 Cameron Furin '25
Sophie Reddick '27
Lincoln High School (OR) Lincoln High School (OR) Cardinals 8 4 13 11 2 14 5 1 8 66 Andrew Dolle '25
Jocelyn Emery '26
Capital High School Capital High School Cougars 2 11 6 8 11 4 12 8 7 69 Aidan Budelman '25
Ryan Solie '25
Hood River Valley High School Hood River Valley High School Eagles 13 8 10 9 8 12 3 3 9 75 Lauren Mack '27
Julian Traviesa '28
Garfield High School Garfield High School Bulldogs 6 12 9 7 DSQ 9 4 10 4 77 Lydia Carscaddon '26
Kairo Zimmerman Goad '25
Kingston High School Kingston High School Kraken 5 10 12 10 9 7 13 5 13 84 Shelby Chandler '25
Ana Villa '25
Central Kitsap High School Central Kitsap High School Cougars 9 13 8 14 7 10 8 9 14 92 Elijah Dekker '26
Maya Zander '26
Port Angeles High School Port Angeles High School Roughriders 14 14 11 12 13 11 10 13 3 101 Andrew Corson '25
Benedict Davids '27
North Kitsap High School North Kitsap High School Dogfish 12 9 15 15 3 15 15 15 15 114 Amber Faragalli '26 [1-9]
Sadie Evans '27 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Elliot Myhre '28 [3-4, 7-8]
Olympic High School (WA) Olympic High School (WA) Trojans 15 15 14 13 14 13 11 14 12 121 Elsa Bischoff '26 [1-9]
Tanaya Justice '25 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Logan Duthie '25 [3-4, 7-8]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Garfield High School Garfield High School Bulldogs 8 6 1 1 5 2 3 2 5 33 Hadley Carscaddon '26
Vivian Geri '26
Lakeside School Lakeside School Lions 4 8 12 5 1 3 9 1 1 44 Noelani Li '26
Pia Apurva '27
Hood River Valley High School Hood River Valley High School Eagles 3 1 2 6 14 4 2 11 6 49 Cassidy Reitman '25
Kelsey Jacobson '26
Spring Street International School Spring Street International School Green 1 2 10 10 9 5 1 7 10 55 Else Ranker '26
Lyric Melville '27
Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 7 9 3 7 4 11 4 3 11 59 Alyssa Leong '26
Cate Griffith '27
Central Kitsap High School Central Kitsap High School Cougars 2 5 OCS 2 7 1 12 4 12 61 Keller Matthews '26
Erin Eliason '26
Capital High School Capital High School Cougars 6 3 DSQ 11 8 7 5 6 2 64 Alijah Manzanares '25
Siri Biswas '28
Gig Harbor High School Gig Harbor High School Tides 13 7 6 3 6 6 14 15 4 74 Wesley Wysham '28
Finnegan Drennan '28
Bellarmine Preparatory School Bellarmine Preparatory School Lions 11 14 5 13 3 12 13 5 3 79 Skylar Vasko '26
Aspen Merrill '25
Port Angeles High School Port Angeles High School Roughriders 5 4 11 4 12 8 11 10 15 80 Charlie Kasten '26
Serenity Romo '25
Olympic High School (WA) Olympic High School (WA) Trojans 10 12 4 8 2 13 7 12 13 81 Kaisen Olkonen '27
Liem Webb Magallanez '27
Kingston High School Kingston High School Kraken 12 11 7 9 10 9 6 13 8 85 Leo Taylor '25
Harlow Uhrich '28
Lincoln High School (OR) Lincoln High School (OR) Cardinals 9 10 13 15 11 10 8 8 14 98 Trinity Ashton '28
Mara Block '27
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 15 13 9 12 13 14 10 14 9 109 Chase Johnson '27
Lucas Cornelius '25
North Kitsap High School North Kitsap High School Dogfish 14 15 8 14 15 15 15 9 7 112 Ian Anthony '27
Eli Carlson '28
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.170+0.17
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2019 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
Anacortes High SchoolAnacortes High School Seahawks113355779
Bellarmine Preparatory SchoolBellarmine Preparatory School Lions2244668810
Capital High SchoolCapital High School Cougars3355779911
Central Kitsap High SchoolCentral Kitsap High School Cougars446688101012
Garfield High SchoolGarfield High School Bulldogs557799111113
Gig Harbor High SchoolGig Harbor High School Tides66881010121214
Hood River Valley High SchoolHood River Valley High School Eagles77991111131315
Kingston High SchoolKingston High School Kraken881010121214141
Lakeside SchoolLakeside School Lions991111131315152
Lincoln High School (OR)Lincoln High School (OR) Cardinals101012121414113
North Kitsap High SchoolNorth Kitsap High School Dogfish111113131515224
Olympia High SchoolOlympia High School Bears1212141411335
Olympic High School (WA)Olympic High School (WA) Trojans1313151522446
Port Angeles High SchoolPort Angeles High School Roughriders14141133557
Spring Street International SchoolSpring Street International School Green15152244668

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
Anacortes High SchoolAnacortes High School Seahawks2244668810
Bellarmine Preparatory SchoolBellarmine Preparatory School Lions3355779911
Capital High SchoolCapital High School Cougars446688101012
Central Kitsap High SchoolCentral Kitsap High School Cougars557799111113
Garfield High SchoolGarfield High School Bulldogs66881010121214
Gig Harbor High SchoolGig Harbor High School Tides77991111131315
Hood River Valley High SchoolHood River Valley High School Eagles881010121214141
Kingston High SchoolKingston High School Kraken991111131315152
Lakeside SchoolLakeside School Lions101012121414113
Lincoln High School (OR)Lincoln High School (OR) Cardinals111113131515224
North Kitsap High SchoolNorth Kitsap High School Dogfish1212141411335
Olympia High SchoolOlympia High School Bears1313151522446
Olympic High School (WA)Olympic High School (WA) Trojans14141133557
Port Angeles High SchoolPort Angeles High School Roughriders15152244668
Spring Street International SchoolSpring Street International School Green113355779
School / Team SkipperCrew
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Cameron Furin '25 Sophie Reddick '27
Seahawks Chase Johnson '27 Lucas Cornelius '25
Bellarmine Preparatory School Bellarmine Preparatory School William Embick '26 Cameron Ramirez '26
Lions Skylar Vasko '26 Aspen Merrill '25
Capital High School Capital High School Aidan Budelman '25 Ryan Solie '25
Cougars Alijah Manzanares '25 Siri Biswas '28
Central Kitsap High School Central Kitsap High School Elijah Dekker '26 Maya Zander '26
Cougars Keller Matthews '26 Erin Eliason '26
Garfield High School Garfield High School Lydia Carscaddon '26 Kairo Zimmerman Goad '25
Bulldogs Hadley Carscaddon '26 Vivian Geri '26
Gig Harbor High School Gig Harbor High School Finn Deprez '25 Nate Dietrich '26
Tides Wesley Wysham '28 Finnegan Drennan '28
Hood River Valley High School Hood River Valley High School Lauren Mack '27 Julian Traviesa '28
Eagles Cassidy Reitman '25 Kelsey Jacobson '26
Kingston High School Kingston High School Shelby Chandler '25 Ana Villa '25
Kraken Leo Taylor '25 Harlow Uhrich '28
Lakeside School Lakeside School Nikhil Damji '25 William Layton '25
Lions Noelani Li '26 Pia Apurva '27
Lincoln High School (OR) Lincoln High School (OR) Andrew Dolle '25 Jocelyn Emery '26
Cardinals Trinity Ashton '28 Mara Block '27
North Kitsap High School North Kitsap High School Amber Faragalli '26 [1-9] Sadie Evans '27 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Elliot Myhre '28 [3-4, 7-8]
Dogfish Ian Anthony '27 Eli Carlson '28
Olympia High School Olympia High School Liam Taylor '25 Ingrid Christensen '27
Bears Alyssa Leong '26 Cate Griffith '27
Olympic High School (WA) Olympic High School (WA) Elsa Bischoff '26 [1-9] Tanaya Justice '25 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Logan Duthie '25 [3-4, 7-8]
Trojans Kaisen Olkonen '27 Liem Webb Magallanez '27
Port Angeles High School Port Angeles High School Andrew Corson '25 Benedict Davids '27
Roughriders Charlie Kasten '26 Serenity Romo '25
Spring Street International School Spring Street International School Emmett Beadnall '27 Matilda Twigg '25
Green Else Ranker '26 Lyric Melville '27

Conditions — 04/05/2025 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 71%  ·  Pressure 1024.7 hPa

Temperature

52°F
↑ 57°F   ↓ 41°F
Feels like 49°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
2.9 kn
avg  ·  max 3.7 kn
Gusts to 11.5 kn
From NNE (32°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover70% Sunshine10.9 hrs Humidity71% Pressure1024.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 6 kn · W 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Port Angeles: an underdogs’ day (−0.05)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.06 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.01
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.25 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 5% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Port Angeles by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at Port Angeles, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →