SailMaine Cup

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Southern ME 2 Southern ME 2 Southern ME 2 16 10 26
2 Southern ME 1 Southern ME 1 Southern ME 1 12 17 29
3 Falmouth High School (ME) Falmouth High School (ME) Navigators 1 25 7 32
4 Cape Elizabeth High School Cape Elizabeth High School Capers 2 21 26 47
5 Yarmouth High School Yarmouth High School Clippers 31 26 57
6 Falmouth High School (ME) Falmouth High School (ME) Navigators 2 23 35 58
7 Cape Elizabeth High School Cape Elizabeth High School Capers 1 21 43 64
8 Bulldogs Bulldogs Bulldogs 37 41 78
9 Rangers Rangers Rangers 53 35 88
10 Varsity Varsity Varsity 45 43 88
11 Piscataqua Youth Piscataqua Youth Piscataqua Youth 46 47 93
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Southern ME 1 Southern ME 1 Southern ME 1 4 1 1 4 2 12
Southern ME 2 Southern ME 2 Southern ME 2 2 3 2 2 7 16
Cape Elizabeth High School Cape Elizabeth High School Capers 1 3 6 3 6 3 21 Sophia Lee '28
Elliot Northup '26
Cape Elizabeth High School Cape Elizabeth High School Capers 2 6 4 7 3 1 21 Luca Kleeman '27
Erik Frey '28
Falmouth High School (ME) Falmouth High School (ME) Navigators 2 1 2 6 9 5 23 Molly Gerding '26
Claire Kusel '28
Falmouth High School (ME) Falmouth High School (ME) Navigators 1 5 5 4 5 6 25 Noelle Caola '28
Savannah Talbert '25
Yarmouth High School Yarmouth High School Clippers 8 10 8 1 4 31 Julius Sawhney '25
Myah Hassan '25
Bulldogs Bulldogs Bulldogs 7 8 5 8 9 37
Varsity Varsity Varsity 11 9 10 7 8 45
Piscataqua Youth Piscataqua Youth Piscataqua Youth 9 7 9 10 11 46
Rangers Rangers Rangers 10 11 11 11 10 53
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Falmouth High School (ME) Falmouth High School (ME) Navigators 1 2 1 1 1 2 7 Wilson Langston '25
Beck Langston '27
Southern ME 2 Southern ME 2 Southern ME 2 1 3 3 2 1 10
Southern ME 1 Southern ME 1 Southern ME 1 3 2 2 3 7 17
Cape Elizabeth High School Cape Elizabeth High School Capers 2 5 7 4 7 3 26 Ruby Mcgonigal '28
No Show
Yarmouth High School Yarmouth High School Clippers 7 5 6 4 4 26 Maxwell Miller '28
Lachlan Dodge '27
Falmouth High School (ME) Falmouth High School (ME) Navigators 2 4 6 7 8 10 35 Ian Doherty '25
Quinn Hackett '25
Rangers Rangers Rangers 6 4 9 10 6 35
Bulldogs Bulldogs Bulldogs 8 8 8 9 8 41
Cape Elizabeth High School Cape Elizabeth High School Capers 1 9 9 11 5 9 43 Keaton Mosunic '28
Shiloh Doody '27
Varsity Varsity Varsity 11 11 5 11 5 43
Piscataqua Youth Piscataqua Youth Piscataqua Youth 10 10 10 6 11 47
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2023 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Cape Elizabeth High SchoolCape Elizabeth High School Capers 122446
Cape Elizabeth High SchoolCape Elizabeth High School Capers 233557
VarsityVarsity Varsity44668
Falmouth High School (ME)Falmouth High School (ME) Navigators 155779
Falmouth High School (ME)Falmouth High School (ME) Navigators 2668810
RangersRangers Rangers779911
BulldogsBulldogs Bulldogs88101012
Piscataqua YouthPiscataqua Youth Piscataqua Youth1111224
Southern ME 1Southern ME 1 Southern ME 19911112
Southern ME 2Southern ME 2 Southern ME 2101012123
Yarmouth High SchoolYarmouth High School Clippers1212335

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Cape Elizabeth High SchoolCape Elizabeth High School Capers 133557
Cape Elizabeth High SchoolCape Elizabeth High School Capers 244668
VarsityVarsity Varsity55779
Falmouth High School (ME)Falmouth High School (ME) Navigators 1668810
Falmouth High School (ME)Falmouth High School (ME) Navigators 2779911
RangersRangers Rangers88101012
BulldogsBulldogs Bulldogs9911112
Piscataqua YouthPiscataqua Youth Piscataqua Youth1212335
Southern ME 1Southern ME 1 Southern ME 1101012123
Southern ME 2Southern ME 2 Southern ME 21111224
Yarmouth High SchoolYarmouth High School Clippers22446

Conditions — 10/19/2024 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 66%  ·  Pressure 1030.4 hPa

Temperature

58°F
↑ 66°F   ↓ 40°F
Feels like 56°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
2.7 kn
avg  ·  max 4.9 kn
Gusts to 9.5 kn
From SSW (200°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover1% Sunshine10.7 hrs Humidity66% Pressure1030.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Cape Elizabeth: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.12 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.11
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.52 ± 0.29)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Cape Elizabeth by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at Cape Elizabeth, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →