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W.I.N.B. Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Garfield High School Garfield High School Bulldogs 30 27 57
2 Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 2 30 44 74
3 Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 49 26 75
4 Spring Street International School Spring Street International School Green 56 28 84
5 Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 1 32 58 90
6 The Downtown School The Downtown School Sockeye Salmon 38 68 106
7 Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 1 50 62 112
8 Bellarmine Preparatory School Bellarmine Preparatory School Lions 77 44 121
9 Capital High School Capital High School Cougars 74 50 124
10 Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 43 107 150
11 Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 1 92 72 164
12 Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 2 83 86 169
13 Central Kitsap High School Central Kitsap High School Cougars 82 91 173
14 Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 3 114 88 202
15 Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 2 109 110 219
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 2 1 8 2 2 4 4 7 2 30 Esther Ireland '25
Lilly Bellmer '27
Garfield High School Garfield High School Bulldogs 5 6 4 3 3 1 2 6 30 Lydia Carscaddon '26
Ninon Petitpierre '28
Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 1 7 11 1 4 1 6 1 1 32 Simone Reck '27
Connie Chen '28
The Downtown School The Downtown School Sockeye Salmon 2 3 3 10 6 3 8 3 38 Francesca Dougherty '25
Isadora Ford '27
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 3 5 8 1 2 10 4 10 43 Allison Lehmann '26
Emri Vincent '26
Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 6 4 6 9 5 7 3 9 49 Dagny Kruger '25
Juliette Mckenney '25
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 1 10 2 9 8 10 2 5 4 50 Stella Saleh '26 [1-8]
Emma Jackson '26 [1-4, 7-8]
Gabrielle Jelic '27 [5-6]
Spring Street International School Spring Street International School Green 9 9 5 6 8 8 6 5 56 Matilda Twigg '25
Nonie Prout '25
Capital High School Capital High School Cougars 13 1 11 11 9 13 9 7 74 Siri Biswas '28
Lucy Buikema '28
Bellarmine Preparatory School Bellarmine Preparatory School Lions RDG 14 7 5 7 5 15 14 77 Hannah Welch '25 [1-8]
Annalise Landy '27 [1-4]
Genie Greenfield '26 [5-6]
Agatha Pape '26 [7-8]
Central Kitsap High School Central Kitsap High School Cougars 4 10 13 7 11 11 14 12 82 Amber Faragalli '26 [1-6]
Gracie Yeadon '27 [7-8]
June Bernhardt '28 [1-4]
Miranda Wallace Jones '27 [5-6]
Amber Faragalli '26 [7-8]
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 2 12 7 10 13 14 9 10 8 83 Eleanor Crandall '25 [1-5]
Una Allen '26 [6-8]
Antalya Williamson '25 [1-5]
Lucia Dausz '27 [6-8]
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 1 8 12 12 12 13 12 12 11 92 Jocelyn Emery '26
Denali Kenney '27
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 2 14 13 14 14 12 14 13 15 109 Tabor Houghtaling '27 [1-8]
Hattie Madia '28 [1-6]
Tatum Mcgee '28 [7-8]
Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 3 15 15 15 15 15 15 11 13 114 Jessica Patton '26 [1-8]
Siena Kiehl '27 [1-4]
Faye Hervieux '26 [5-8]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 5 2 1 7 7 1 1 2 26 Lola Walker '26 [1-8]
Miranda Wallace Jones '27 [1-2, 7-8]
Wren Ontjes '27 [3-6]
Garfield High School Garfield High School Bulldogs 4 6 2 5 3 4 2 1 27 Hadley Carscaddon '26 [1-8]
Francesca Dougherty '25 [1-2, 5-8]
Isadora Ford '27 [3-4]
Spring Street International School Spring Street International School Green 2 4 7 3 4 2 3 3 28 Else Ranker '26
Denali Sommer '28
Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 2 1 1 6 4 1 DSQ 10 5 44 Cate Griffith '27
Ingrid Christensen '27
Bellarmine Preparatory School Bellarmine Preparatory School Lions 7 3 3 8 5 7 5 6 44 Genevieve Davis '26 [1-6]
Genie Greenfield '26 [7-8]
Agatha Pape '26 [1-6]
Annalise Landy '27 [7-8]
Capital High School Capital High School Cougars 6 7 5 6 10 5 4 7 50 Adi Vannice '28
Seher Kasmani '27
Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 1 13 9 4 2 11 6 9 4 58 Alyssa Leong '26
Caleigh Mingay '25
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 1 3 5 13 11 2 3 12 13 62 Gretchen Fiscus '26 [1-8]
Ella Baker '27 [1-6]
Gabrielle Jelic '27 [7-8]
The Downtown School The Downtown School Sockeye Salmon 8 8 9 1 13 11 7 11 68 Avery Saliba '28
Chloe Hudson '27
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 1 12 10 10 12 6 8 6 8 72 Trinity Ashton '28
Mara Block '27
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 2 11 14 8 9 14 10 11 9 86
Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 3 9 11 14 14 9 13 8 10 88 Olivia Tuttle '28
Clare Hopkins '28
Central Kitsap High School Central Kitsap High School Cougars 10 12 12 15 8 9 13 12 91 Gracie Yeadon '27 [1-3]
Maya Zander '26 [4-8]
Maya Zander '26 [1-3]
Grace Wolf '28 [4-8]
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 15 15 15 10 12 12 14 14 107 Cynthia Zimmerman '26
Kaitlin Metz '27
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 2 14 13 11 13 15 14 15 15 110 Jules Dewey '29 [1-8]
Tatum Mcgee '28 [1-4]
Riley Wert '28 [5-8]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.200+0.20
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2019 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Anacortes High SchoolAnacortes High School Seahawks2121232325252828
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Spartans 12222242426263030
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Spartans 22323252528283131
Bellarmine Preparatory SchoolBellarmine Preparatory School Lions24242626303011
Capital High SchoolCapital High School Cougars25252828313122
Central Kitsap High SchoolCentral Kitsap High School Cougars262630301133
Garfield High SchoolGarfield High School Bulldogs282831312244
Lincoln High School - Portland, ORLincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 13030113355
Lincoln High School - Portland, ORLincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 23131224466
Olympia High SchoolOlympia High School Bears 11133552121
Olympia High SchoolOlympia High School Bears 22244662222
Olympia High SchoolOlympia High School Bears 3335521212323
Orcas High SchoolOrcas High School Vikings446622222424
Spring Street International SchoolSpring Street International School Green55212123232525
The Downtown SchoolThe Downtown School Sockeye Salmon66222224242626

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Anacortes High SchoolAnacortes High School Seahawks2222242426263030
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Spartans 12323252528283131
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Spartans 224242626303011
Bellarmine Preparatory SchoolBellarmine Preparatory School Lions25252828313122
Capital High SchoolCapital High School Cougars262630301133
Central Kitsap High SchoolCentral Kitsap High School Cougars282831312244
Garfield High SchoolGarfield High School Bulldogs3030113355
Lincoln High School - Portland, ORLincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 13131224466
Lincoln High School - Portland, ORLincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 21133552121
Olympia High SchoolOlympia High School Bears 12244662222
Olympia High SchoolOlympia High School Bears 2335521212323
Olympia High SchoolOlympia High School Bears 3446622222424
Orcas High SchoolOrcas High School Vikings55212123232525
Spring Street International SchoolSpring Street International School Green66222224242626
The Downtown SchoolThe Downtown School Sockeye Salmon2121232325252828
School / Team SkipperCrew
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Allison Lehmann '26 Emri Vincent '26
Seahawks Cynthia Zimmerman '26 Kaitlin Metz '27
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Stella Saleh '26 [1-8] Emma Jackson '26 [1-4, 7-8]
Gabrielle Jelic '27 [5-6]
Spartans 1 Gretchen Fiscus '26 [1-8] Ella Baker '27 [1-6]
Gabrielle Jelic '27 [7-8]
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Tabor Houghtaling '27 [1-8] Hattie Madia '28 [1-6]
Tatum Mcgee '28 [7-8]
Spartans 2 Jules Dewey '29 [1-8] Tatum Mcgee '28 [1-4]
Riley Wert '28 [5-8]
Bellarmine Preparatory School Bellarmine Preparatory School Hannah Welch '25 [1-8] Annalise Landy '27 [1-4]
Genie Greenfield '26 [5-6]
Agatha Pape '26 [7-8]
Lions Genevieve Davis '26 [1-6]
Genie Greenfield '26 [7-8]		 Agatha Pape '26 [1-6]
Annalise Landy '27 [7-8]
Capital High School Capital High School Siri Biswas '28 Lucy Buikema '28
Cougars Adi Vannice '28 Seher Kasmani '27
Central Kitsap High School Central Kitsap High School Amber Faragalli '26 [1-6]
Gracie Yeadon '27 [7-8]		 June Bernhardt '28 [1-4]
Miranda Wallace Jones '27 [5-6]
Amber Faragalli '26 [7-8]
Cougars Gracie Yeadon '27 [1-3]
Maya Zander '26 [4-8]		 Maya Zander '26 [1-3]
Grace Wolf '28 [4-8]
Garfield High School Garfield High School Lydia Carscaddon '26 Ninon Petitpierre '28
Bulldogs Hadley Carscaddon '26 [1-8] Francesca Dougherty '25 [1-2, 5-8]
Isadora Ford '27 [3-4]
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Jocelyn Emery '26 Denali Kenney '27
Cardinals 1 Trinity Ashton '28 Mara Block '27
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Eleanor Crandall '25 [1-5]
Una Allen '26 [6-8]		 Antalya Williamson '25 [1-5]
Lucia Dausz '27 [6-8]
Cardinals 2
Olympia High School Olympia High School Simone Reck '27 Connie Chen '28
Bears 1 Alyssa Leong '26 Caleigh Mingay '25
Olympia High School Olympia High School Esther Ireland '25 Lilly Bellmer '27
Bears 2 Cate Griffith '27 Ingrid Christensen '27
Olympia High School Olympia High School Jessica Patton '26 [1-8] Siena Kiehl '27 [1-4]
Faye Hervieux '26 [5-8]
Bears 3 Olivia Tuttle '28 Clare Hopkins '28
Orcas High School Orcas High School Dagny Kruger '25 Juliette Mckenney '25
Vikings Lola Walker '26 [1-8] Miranda Wallace Jones '27 [1-2, 7-8]
Wren Ontjes '27 [3-6]
Spring Street International School Spring Street International School Matilda Twigg '25 Nonie Prout '25
Green Else Ranker '26 Denali Sommer '28
The Downtown School The Downtown School Francesca Dougherty '25 Isadora Ford '27
Sockeye Salmon Avery Saliba '28 Chloe Hudson '27

Conditions — 09/21/2024 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 78%  ·  Pressure 1022.7 hPa

Temperature

59°F
↑ 62°F   ↓ 51°F
Feels like 59°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
1.6 kn
avg  ·  max 2.1 kn
Gusts to 9.5 kn
From E (84°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover44% Sunshine9.0 hrs Humidity78% Pressure1022.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 4 kn · S 5 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Orcas: a favourites’ day (+0.02)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.11 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.13
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.15 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Orcas by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 2 labelled days at Orcas, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →