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MDISA BCSC Tier 2 September Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Severn School Severn School Admirals 8 14 22
2 Maret Maret Frogs 29 20 49
3 Indian Creek School Indian Creek School Eagles 33 24 57
4 Calvert Hall College High School Calvert Hall College High School Cardinals 28 38 66
5 Gilman School Gilman School Greyhounds 58 26 84
6 Notre Dame Preparatory School Notre Dame Preparatory School Blazers 24 70 94
7 Key School Key School Zags 39 58 97
8 Towson High School Towson High School Generals 50 56 106
9 Severna Park Severna Park Falcons 53 56 109
10 Park School Park School Bruins 46 66 112
11 Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 72 42 114
12 Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 65 52 117
13 Washington Latin Washington Latin Lions 72 59 131
14 Annapolis High School Annapolis High School Panthers 60 76 136
15 Patuxent Patuxent Panthers 80 64 144
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Severn School Severn School Admirals 2 1 1 1 2 1 8 Grace Crespin '29
Ellie Lawrence '29
Notre Dame Preparatory School Notre Dame Preparatory School Blazers 3 11 5 2 1 2 24 Sophia Hammond '26
Eloise Graf '26
Calvert Hall College High School Calvert Hall College High School Cardinals 1 4 6 6 6 5 28 Soren Lange '28
Will Nelson '26
Maret Maret Frogs 7 7 3 4 4 4 29 Walter Daigle '30
Eleanore Cowles '30
Indian Creek School Indian Creek School Eagles 6 DSQ 2 3 3 3 33 Jack Mills '30
Audrey Yankus '28
Key School Key School Zags 10 3 4 7 9 6 39 Whitman Hwa-Crabb '30 [1-6]
Mia Richardson '29 [1-4]
Connor Swift '29 [5-6]
Park School Park School Bruins 11 2 13 8 5 7 46 Sky Hillel '28
Norah Surcel-Debes '28
Towson High School Towson High School Generals 13 9 7 5 8 8 50 George Shaeffer '26 [1-2]
Sebastian Haber '27 [3-6]
Eli Eib '26 [1-2]
Valerie Lemko '28 [3-6]
Severna Park Severna Park Falcons 5 5 11 9 10 13 53 James Cingel '29 [1-2, 5-6]
Elliana Willens '29 [3-4]
Issac Heffes '29 [1-2]
Audrey Lukowski '29 [3-4]
Gabrielle Mckenna '28 [5-6]
Gilman School Gilman School Greyhounds 4 10 8 13 11 12 58 Richard Nesti '26 [1-6]
Ryan Michael '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Aarav Trivedi '28 [3-4]
Annapolis High School Annapolis High School Panthers 12 12 9 10 7 BKD 60 Kadee Clowry '28
Jason Bergerson '28
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 8 6 14 14 14 9 65 Matthew Synoracki '28
Vika Ferus '27
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 9 13 15 12 13 10 72 Carson Zinkgraf '28 [1-4]
Brandon Hall '28 [5-6]
Logan Lahtinen '28 [1-4]
Washington Latin Washington Latin Lions 14 14 10 11 12 11 72 Eliana Arteaga '29 [1-6]
Cecelia Lepore '29 [1-2, 5-6]
Noah French '29 [3-4]
Patuxent Patuxent Panthers 15 8 12 15 15 15 80 Owen Myers '29
Loundin Curtis '26
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Severn School Severn School Admirals 2 7 1 1 1 2 14 Emory Mcallister '29
Margot Mcgeagh '29
Maret Maret Frogs 5 3 4 2 2 4 20 Eleanor Moore '30
William Moore '30
Indian Creek School Indian Creek School Eagles 1 2 2 3 11 5 24 Tyler Skibo '27
Piper Pipkin '30
Gilman School Gilman School Greyhounds 3 1 3 4 9 6 26 Mason Coates '27 [1-6]
Victor Sanda '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Peter Berry '29 [3-4]
Calvert Hall College High School Calvert Hall College High School Cardinals 7 4 9 5 6 7 38 Liam Lange '28 [1-2]
Marcus Kozlowski '26 [3-6]
Ricky Dixon '28 [1-2]
Liam Lange '28 [3-6]
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 4 9 7 11 8 3 42 Finn Erickson '29
Ellie Dorman '29
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 9 8 10 7 7 11 52 Dylan Cook '29
Liam Peterson '29
Towson High School Towson High School Generals 8 6 15 12 3 12 56 Ruby Turner '26 [1-2]
Eli Eib '26 [3-4]
Will Carnell '27 [5-6]
Will Carnell '27 [1-2]
Naomi Middleman '30 [3-6]
Severna Park Severna Park Falcons 13 10 5 13 5 10 56 Stuart Wermer '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Issac Heffes '29 [3-4]
Gabrielle Mckenna '28 [1-2]
George Bigden '29 [3-6]
Key School Key School Zags 10 15 12 DSQ 4 1 58 Quinn Barone '27 [1-6]
Charllote Krahe '31 [1-2, 5-6]
Connor Swift '29 [3-4]
Washington Latin Washington Latin Lions 11 5 8 10 10 15 59 Kailash Hsu '30 [1-6]
Arabella Laws Dunn '29 [1-2]
Tyler Mcgeorge '28 [3-6]
Patuxent Patuxent Panthers 14 14 6 8 13 9 64 Annabelle Yurko '29
Jackson Myers '31
Park School Park School Bruins 6 13 13 14 12 8 66 Ezra Ebert '26
Sophie Nusbaum '29
Notre Dame Preparatory School Notre Dame Preparatory School Blazers 12 12 11 6 15 14 70 Izzy Norgaard '26
Alette Norgaard '30
Annapolis High School Annapolis High School Panthers 15 11 14 9 14 13 76 Finn Falk '30
John Thomas Pachler '30
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2025 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Annapolis High SchoolAnnapolis High School Panthers113355
Archbishop SpaldingArchbishop Spalding Cavaliers224466
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Bruins335577
Calvert Hall College High SchoolCalvert Hall College High School Cardinals446688
Gilman SchoolGilman School Greyhounds557799
Indian Creek SchoolIndian Creek School Eagles66881010
Key SchoolKey School Zags77991111
MaretMaret Frogs8810101212
Notre Dame Preparatory SchoolNotre Dame Preparatory School Blazers9911111313
Park SchoolPark School Bruins101012121414
PatuxentPatuxent Panthers111113131515
Severn SchoolSevern School Admirals1212141411
Severna ParkSeverna Park Falcons1313151522
Towson High SchoolTowson High School Generals14141133
Washington LatinWashington Latin Lions15152244

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Annapolis High SchoolAnnapolis High School Panthers224466
Archbishop SpaldingArchbishop Spalding Cavaliers335577
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Bruins446688
Calvert Hall College High SchoolCalvert Hall College High School Cardinals557799
Gilman SchoolGilman School Greyhounds66881010
Indian Creek SchoolIndian Creek School Eagles77991111
Key SchoolKey School Zags8810101212
MaretMaret Frogs9911111313
Notre Dame Preparatory SchoolNotre Dame Preparatory School Blazers101012121414
Park SchoolPark School Bruins111113131515
PatuxentPatuxent Panthers1212141411
Severn SchoolSevern School Admirals1313151522
Severna ParkSeverna Park Falcons14141133
Towson High SchoolTowson High School Generals15152244
Washington LatinWashington Latin Lions113355
School / Team SkipperCrew
Annapolis High School Annapolis High School Kadee Clowry '28 Jason Bergerson '28
Panthers Finn Falk '30 John Thomas Pachler '30
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Matthew Synoracki '28 Vika Ferus '27
Cavaliers Dylan Cook '29 Liam Peterson '29
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Carson Zinkgraf '28 [1-4]
Brandon Hall '28 [5-6]		 Logan Lahtinen '28 [1-4]
Bruins Finn Erickson '29 Ellie Dorman '29
Calvert Hall College High School Calvert Hall College High School Soren Lange '28 Will Nelson '26
Cardinals Liam Lange '28 [1-2]
Marcus Kozlowski '26 [3-6]		 Ricky Dixon '28 [1-2]
Liam Lange '28 [3-6]
Gilman School Gilman School Richard Nesti '26 [1-6] Ryan Michael '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Aarav Trivedi '28 [3-4]
Greyhounds Mason Coates '27 [1-6] Victor Sanda '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Peter Berry '29 [3-4]
Indian Creek School Indian Creek School Jack Mills '30 Audrey Yankus '28
Eagles Tyler Skibo '27 Piper Pipkin '30
Key School Key School Whitman Hwa-Crabb '30 [1-6] Mia Richardson '29 [1-4]
Connor Swift '29 [5-6]
Zags Quinn Barone '27 [1-6] Charllote Krahe '31 [1-2, 5-6]
Connor Swift '29 [3-4]
Maret Maret Walter Daigle '30 Eleanore Cowles '30
Frogs Eleanor Moore '30 William Moore '30
Notre Dame Preparatory School Notre Dame Preparatory School Sophia Hammond '26 Eloise Graf '26
Blazers Izzy Norgaard '26 Alette Norgaard '30
Park School Park School Sky Hillel '28 Norah Surcel-Debes '28
Bruins Ezra Ebert '26 Sophie Nusbaum '29
Patuxent Patuxent Owen Myers '29 Loundin Curtis '26
Panthers Annabelle Yurko '29 Jackson Myers '31
Severn School Severn School Grace Crespin '29 Ellie Lawrence '29
Admirals Emory Mcallister '29 Margot Mcgeagh '29
Severna Park Severna Park James Cingel '29 [1-2, 5-6]
Elliana Willens '29 [3-4]		 Issac Heffes '29 [1-2]
Audrey Lukowski '29 [3-4]
Gabrielle Mckenna '28 [5-6]
Falcons Stuart Wermer '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Issac Heffes '29 [3-4]		 Gabrielle Mckenna '28 [1-2]
George Bigden '29 [3-6]
Towson High School Towson High School George Shaeffer '26 [1-2]
Sebastian Haber '27 [3-6]		 Eli Eib '26 [1-2]
Valerie Lemko '28 [3-6]
Generals Ruby Turner '26 [1-2]
Eli Eib '26 [3-4]
Will Carnell '27 [5-6]		 Will Carnell '27 [1-2]
Naomi Middleman '30 [3-6]
Washington Latin Washington Latin Eliana Arteaga '29 [1-6] Cecelia Lepore '29 [1-2, 5-6]
Noah French '29 [3-4]
Lions Kailash Hsu '30 [1-6] Arabella Laws Dunn '29 [1-2]
Tyler Mcgeorge '28 [3-6]

Conditions — 09/27/2025 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 79%  ·  Pressure 1014.6 hPa

Temperature

71°F
↑ 74°F   ↓ 66°F
Feels like 75°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
2.7 kn
avg  ·  max 4.4 kn
Gusts to 9.7 kn
From NE (55°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.6 hrs Humidity79% Pressure1014.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 7 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Calvert Hall College/Towson: an underdogs’ day (−0.06)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.12 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.06
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.02 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Calvert Hall College/Towson by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Calvert Hall College/Towson, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →