Archbishop Spalding '28
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.06 (fleet 0.10) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.00 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 2–10 (17%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2025 | 1 | 2–10 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 1 graded regattas (12 matches) the record is 2–10 against 1.8 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+0.2). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 0 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 0 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-18 | MASSA Team Race Championship | skipper | 0.20 | 0.43 | 2–10 | 1.8 | +0.23 | 0.0 | 62% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| MDISA TAYC T2 Fleet | Skipper | B | 4 | 7.8 | 0.22 |
| MDISA St. Marys Ryken Tier 2 Fleet | Skipper | B | 5 | 1.6 | 1.84 |
| MASSA Team Race Championship | Skipper | TR | 14 | 14% | — |
| MDISA BCSC Tier 2 September Regatta | Skipper | A | 6 | 10.8 | -0.82 |
| Spring 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| T2 Fleet Championship Spring 2025 | Skipper | A | 5 | 11.2 | -0.84 |
| MDISA SSPP T2 Fleet | Skipper | A | 4 | 4.0 | 1.11 |
| MDISA T2 Spring 2025 Regatta NERYC 5.3 | Skipper | B | 5 | 1.8 | 2.23 |
| MDISA DC Sail T2 Fleet Race | Skipper | B | 8 | 7.0 | -1.53 |
| Fall 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| MDISA BCSC October Tier 2 Regatta | Skipper | A | 6 | 10.2 | -0.16 |
| MDISA BCSC Tier 2 September Regatta | Skipper | B | 5 | 6.2 | 0.18 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
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