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T2 Fleet Championship Spring 2025

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Severn School Severn School Admirals 26 18 44
2 Walt Whitman High School Walt Whitman High School Vikings 29 21 50
3 Gunston Gunston Herons 20 38 58
4 Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres 16 44 60
5 Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 66 26 92
6 Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 38 57 95
7 Washington Latin Washington Latin Lions 69 40 109
8 Bethesda Chevy-Chase HS Bethesda Chevy-Chase HS Battlin' Baron 43 72 115
9 Bishop O'Connell High School Bishop O'Connell High School Knights 42 75 117
10 Washington Liberty High School Washington Liberty High School Washington Liberty 43 77 120
11 Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 75 46 121
12 Calvert Hall College High School Calvert Hall College High School Cardinals 79 44 123
13 Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 64 81 145
14 The Tome School The Tome School Titans 69 78 147
15 Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 67 81 148
16 Patuxent Patuxent Panthers 80 70 150
17 Saints Saints Saints 100 54 154
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres 2 2 4 2 3 3 16 Victor Kleppinger '25 [1-6]
Gene Williams '29 [1-2]
Gabby Beckett '28 [3]
Nate Schwaniger '29 [4-6]
Gunston Gunston Herons 4 3 5 3 1 4 20 Lizzy Chiochetti '27
Izzy Labrador '28
Severn School Severn School Admirals 5 1 13 1 5 1 26 Caroline (Cc) Carey '28
Eliza Brenia '28
Walt Whitman High School Walt Whitman High School Vikings 1 7 2 9 8 2 29 Amelia Wire '27 [1-6]
Shane Churilla '25 [1-2]
Abigail Dickey '26 [3-6]
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins DNF 6 1 4 2 7 38 Charlie Mcgeady '29 [1-6]
Logan Lahtinen '28 [1-2, 4-6]
Carson Zinkgraf '28 [3]
Bishop O'Connell High School Bishop O'Connell High School Knights 3 5 7 8 13 6 42 James Reilly '28
Romeo Cayangyang '27
Washington Liberty High School Washington Liberty High School Washington Liberty 6 9 6 7 4 11 43 Dylan Jacobson '28 [1-6]
Arabella Dixon '22 [1-2]
Liliana Langone '28 [3-6]
Bethesda Chevy-Chase HS Bethesda Chevy-Chase HS Battlin' Baron 9 4 11 5 6 8 43 Eve Cintron '26 [1-6]
Eton Smith '27 [1-2, 4-6]
Ha An Do '28 [3]
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 8 16 3 6 17 14 64 Henry Macmillan '26 [1-2]
Cole Ramsey '28 [3-6]
Teagan Leigh '28 [1-2]
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 7 14 BKD 15 15 5 66 Matthew Synoracki '28
Vika Ferus '27
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 10 10 16 10 12 9 67 Nicholas Hutchison '27
Makayla Hansen '26
Washington Latin Washington Latin Lions 11 8 14 12 9 15 69 Mercer Rensberger '28 [1-6]
Karina Schmoyer '29 [1-2, 4-6]
Jack Murphy '29 [3]
The Tome School The Tome School Titans 12 12 8 DNS 7 12 69 John Arty '29
Gideon Garber '28
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 13 15 9 14 14 10 75 Noah Sebaa '29
Austin Brelage '30
Calvert Hall College High School Calvert Hall College High School Cardinals DNF 13 12 13 10 13 79 Marcus Kozlowski '26
Liam Lange '28
Patuxent Patuxent Panthers 14 11 17 11 11 16 80 Annabelle Yurko '29
Colt Touchton '30
Saints Saints Saints DNF DNS 15 16 16 17 100
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Severn School Severn School Admirals 1 12 1 1 2 1 18 Will Tweed '28
Parker Lefever-Farino '28
Walt Whitman High School Walt Whitman High School Vikings 4 1 2 2 3 9 21 James Stahl '27
Owen Garland '27
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 3 4 3 8 6 2 26 Liam Peterson '28
Owen Henry '28
Gunston Gunston Herons 6 8 10 3 5 6 38 Joseph Mcgeady '27 [1-6]
Ella Von Voss '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Nina Johnston '25 [3-4]
Washington Latin Washington Latin Lions 8 2 6 10 4 10 40 Eliana Arteaga '29
Kailash Hsu '30
Calvert Hall College High School Calvert Hall College High School Cardinals 2 13 8 6 12 3 44 Soren Lange '28
Will Nelson '26
Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres 9 9 4 4 11 7 44 Justin Callahan '29 [1-2, 5-6]
Gene Williams '29 [3-4]
Ian Cox '29 [1-2, 5-6]
Gabby Beckett '28 [3-4]
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 5 5 11 5 7 13 46 Gabriel Roberts '27
Kaden Cotugno '27
Saints Saints Saints 10 3 7 9 13 12 54
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 13 7 5 7 9 16 57 Brandon Hall '28 [1-6]
Ryan Stebbins '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Lucille Leigh '28 [3-4]
Patuxent Patuxent Panthers 7 6 13 12 17 15 70 Owen Myers '29
Max Wingate '30
Bethesda Chevy-Chase HS Bethesda Chevy-Chase HS Battlin' Baron DNF 15 12 11 8 8 72 Callie Flesch '28 [1-2]
Ethan Snyder '27 [3-6]
Ben Rashkin '28 [1-2]
Clara Osario '25 [3-4]
Ha An Do '28 [5-6]
Bishop O'Connell High School Bishop O'Connell High School Knights 15 11 15 15 15 4 75 William Marschner '26
Anna Grace Gutfleish '27
Washington Liberty High School Washington Liberty High School Washington Liberty 14 10 9 16 14 14 77 Alexandria Hou '29 [1-6]
Sophia Lenzner '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Mia Laguerre '30 [3-4]
The Tome School The Tome School Titans 12 14 16 DNS 1 17 78 Ellie Neikrash '29
Gideon Garber '28
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 11 DSQ DSQ 13 10 11 81 Samuel Wells '27
Grayson Colvin '27
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 16 16 14 14 16 5 81 Ian Murphy '29
Catherine Hicks '28
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2016 (22 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Archbishop SpaldingArchbishop Spalding Cavaliers113355
Bethesda Chevy-Chase HSBethesda Chevy-Chase HS Battlin' Baron224466
Bishop O'Connell High SchoolBishop O'Connell High School Knights335577
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Bruins446688
Calvert Hall College High SchoolCalvert Hall College High School Cardinals557799
Great Mills High SchoolGreat Mills High School Hornets66881010
Kent Island High SchoolKent Island High School Buccaneers8810101212
Leonardtown High SchoolLeonardtown High School Raiders9911111313
PatuxentPatuxent Panthers101012121414
Sts. Peter & PaulSts. Peter & Paul Sabres131315151717
Severn SchoolSevern School Admirals111113131515
SaintsSaints Saints121214141616
GunstonGunston Herons77991111
The Tome SchoolThe Tome School Titans1414161611
Walt Whitman High SchoolWalt Whitman High School Vikings1515171722
Washington LatinWashington Latin Lions16161133
Washington Liberty High SchoolWashington Liberty High School Washington Liberty17172244

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Archbishop SpaldingArchbishop Spalding Cavaliers224466
Bethesda Chevy-Chase HSBethesda Chevy-Chase HS Battlin' Baron335577
Bishop O'Connell High SchoolBishop O'Connell High School Knights446688
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Bruins557799
Calvert Hall College High SchoolCalvert Hall College High School Cardinals66881010
Great Mills High SchoolGreat Mills High School Hornets77991111
Kent Island High SchoolKent Island High School Buccaneers9911111313
Leonardtown High SchoolLeonardtown High School Raiders101012121414
PatuxentPatuxent Panthers111113131515
Sts. Peter & PaulSts. Peter & Paul Sabres1414161611
Severn SchoolSevern School Admirals121214141616
SaintsSaints Saints131315151717
GunstonGunston Herons8810101212
The Tome SchoolThe Tome School Titans1515171722
Walt Whitman High SchoolWalt Whitman High School Vikings16161133
Washington LatinWashington Latin Lions17172244
Washington Liberty High SchoolWashington Liberty High School Washington Liberty113355
School / Team SkipperCrew
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Matthew Synoracki '28 Vika Ferus '27
Cavaliers Liam Peterson '28 Owen Henry '28
Bethesda Chevy-Chase HS Bethesda Chevy-Chase HS Eve Cintron '26 [1-6] Eton Smith '27 [1-2, 4-6]
Ha An Do '28 [3]
Battlin' Baron Callie Flesch '28 [1-2]
Ethan Snyder '27 [3-6]		 Ben Rashkin '28 [1-2]
Clara Osario '25 [3-4]
Ha An Do '28 [5-6]
Bishop O'Connell High School Bishop O'Connell High School James Reilly '28 Romeo Cayangyang '27
Knights William Marschner '26 Anna Grace Gutfleish '27
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Charlie Mcgeady '29 [1-6] Logan Lahtinen '28 [1-2, 4-6]
Carson Zinkgraf '28 [3]
Bruins Brandon Hall '28 [1-6] Ryan Stebbins '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Lucille Leigh '28 [3-4]
Calvert Hall College High School Calvert Hall College High School Marcus Kozlowski '26 Liam Lange '28
Cardinals Soren Lange '28 Will Nelson '26
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Noah Sebaa '29 Austin Brelage '30
Hornets Gabriel Roberts '27 Kaden Cotugno '27
Gunston Gunston Lizzy Chiochetti '27 Izzy Labrador '28
Herons Joseph Mcgeady '27 [1-6] Ella Von Voss '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Nina Johnston '25 [3-4]
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Henry Macmillan '26 [1-2]
Cole Ramsey '28 [3-6]		 Teagan Leigh '28 [1-2]
Buccaneers Samuel Wells '27 Grayson Colvin '27
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Nicholas Hutchison '27 Makayla Hansen '26
Raiders Ian Murphy '29 Catherine Hicks '28
Patuxent Patuxent Annabelle Yurko '29 Colt Touchton '30
Panthers Owen Myers '29 Max Wingate '30
Severn School Severn School Caroline (Cc) Carey '28 Eliza Brenia '28
Admirals Will Tweed '28 Parker Lefever-Farino '28
Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Victor Kleppinger '25 [1-6] Gene Williams '29 [1-2]
Gabby Beckett '28 [3]
Nate Schwaniger '29 [4-6]
Sabres Justin Callahan '29 [1-2, 5-6]
Gene Williams '29 [3-4]		 Ian Cox '29 [1-2, 5-6]
Gabby Beckett '28 [3-4]
The Tome School The Tome School John Arty '29 Gideon Garber '28
Titans Ellie Neikrash '29 Gideon Garber '28
Walt Whitman High School Walt Whitman High School Amelia Wire '27 [1-6] Shane Churilla '25 [1-2]
Abigail Dickey '26 [3-6]
Vikings James Stahl '27 Owen Garland '27
Washington Latin Washington Latin Mercer Rensberger '28 [1-6] Karina Schmoyer '29 [1-2, 4-6]
Jack Murphy '29 [3]
Lions Eliana Arteaga '29 Kailash Hsu '30
Washington Liberty High School Washington Liberty High School Dylan Jacobson '28 [1-6] Arabella Dixon '22 [1-2]
Liliana Langone '28 [3-6]
Washington Liberty Alexandria Hou '29 [1-6] Sophia Lenzner '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Mia Laguerre '30 [3-4]

Conditions — 05/24/2025 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 48%  ·  Pressure 1017.9 hPa

Temperature

64°F
↑ 66°F   ↓ 58°F
Feels like 57°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
13.6 kn
avg  ·  max 14.8 kn
Gusts to 29.5 kn
From WNW (293°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover51% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity48% Pressure1017.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 15 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Saints Peter & Paul: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.35)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.12 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.47
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.17 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.35 means a rating gap counts about 31% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Saints Peter & Paul by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at Saints Peter & Paul, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →