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MDISA BCSC October Tier 2 Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Severn School Severn School Admirals 26 8 34
2 Gilman School Gilman School Greyhounds 14 23 37
3 Friends School of Baltimore Friends School of Baltimore Quakers 16 55 71
4 Calvert Hall College High School Calvert Hall College High School Cardinals 69 17 86
5 Patuxent Patuxent Panthers 46 42 88
6 Key School Key School Zags 1 26 73 99
7 Indian Creek School Indian Creek School Eagles 75 33 108
8 Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 61 52 113
9 Bethesda Chevy-Chase HS Bethesda Chevy-Chase HS Battlin' Baron 66 49 115
10 St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints 46 71 117
11 Key School Key School Zags 2 65 53 118
12 Loyola Blakefield Loyola Blakefield Dons 62 60 122
13 South River High School South River High School Seahawks 56 66 122
14 Park School Park School Bruins 58 68 126
15 Notre Dame Preparatory School Notre Dame Preparatory School Blazers 41 89 130
16 Severna Park Severna Park Falcons 91 58 149
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Gilman School Gilman School Greyhounds 1 2 6 2 2 1 14 Liam Rivers '25
Ryan Michael '26
Friends School of Baltimore Friends School of Baltimore Quakers 2 1 1 3 4 5 16 Anna Makovich '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Carter Robbins '25 [3-4]
Valerie Lemko '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Key School Key School Zags 1 3 3 3 1 10 6 26 Ethan Purdon '29
Charlotte Lian '29
Severn School Severn School Admirals 6 7 5 4 1 3 26 Will Tweed '28
Parker Lefever-Farino '28
Notre Dame Preparatory School Notre Dame Preparatory School Blazers 5 5 2 11 8 10 41 Sophia Hammond '26
Charlotte Borsella '28
Patuxent Patuxent Panthers 7 4 7 14 12 2 46 Nolan Wingate '28 [1-6]
Annabelle Yurko '29 [1-2]
Max Wingate '30 [3-6]
St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints 10 11 4 5 3 13 46 James Chapman '27
Barrett Mouritzen '28
South River High School South River High School Seahawks 12 10 14 7 9 4 56 Nathan Willoughby '25
Matthew Treatman-Clark '27
Park School Park School Bruins 14 9 10 6 11 8 58 Emma Borden '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Sky Hillel '28 [3-4]
Sky Hillel '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Norah Surcel-Debes '28 [3-4]
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 8 15 12 9 6 11 61 Matthew Synoracki '28
Dylan Cinque '27
Loyola Blakefield Loyola Blakefield Dons 11 13 13 13 5 7 62 George Shaeffer '26
Eli Eib '26
Key School Key School Zags 2 9 8 9 12 15 12 65 Bryson Lang '28
No Show
Bethesda Chevy-Chase HS Bethesda Chevy-Chase HS Battlin' Baron 13 6 15 10 7 15 66 Eve Cintron '26
Ben Rashkin '28
Calvert Hall College High School Calvert Hall College High School Cardinals 4 12 11 8 DNS DNS 69 Soren Lange '28
Liam Lange '28
Indian Creek School Indian Creek School Eagles 16 14 8 15 13 9 75 Henry Oaten '25
Kendall Arnold '28
Severna Park Severna Park Falcons 15 16 16 16 14 14 91 Stuart Wermer '28
Rhodes Opalinsky '27
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Severn School Severn School Admirals 1 1 1 1 2 2 8 Caroline (Cc) Carey '28
Char Wilkin '26
Calvert Hall College High School Calvert Hall College High School Cardinals 3 6 4 2 1 1 17 Marcus Kozlowski '26
Will Nelson '26
Gilman School Gilman School Greyhounds 2 3 2 4 3 9 23 Richard Nesti '26
Mason Coates '27
Indian Creek School Indian Creek School Eagles 5 4 9 5 7 3 33 Ryan Mills '27
No Show
Patuxent Patuxent Panthers 9 7 5 12 5 4 42 Jekari Mason '29 [1-2, 5-6]
Annabelle Yurko '29 [3-4]
Nolan Wingate '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Bethesda Chevy-Chase HS Bethesda Chevy-Chase HS Battlin' Baron 6 5 7 8 9 14 49 Ethan Snyder '27
Chloe Cummings '25
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 4 14 10 7 11 6 52 Freddie Ervin '28 [1-6]
Sloane Fagiolo '27 [1-4]
Zachary Zupkusky '27 [5-6]
Key School Key School Zags 2 7 11 3 9 10 13 53 Finn Lerner '31
No Show
Friends School of Baltimore Friends School of Baltimore Quakers 14 13 14 3 6 5 55 Ruby Turner '26
Will Carnell '27
Severna Park Severna Park Falcons 12 2 11 14 12 7 58 Gil Glister '28
Gabrielle Mckenna '28
Loyola Blakefield Loyola Blakefield Dons 13 8 8 11 4 16 60 Sebastian Haber '27
Cameron Baummer '27
South River High School South River High School Seahawks 10 9 6 DSQ 14 10 66 Robert David '27 [1-6]
Rory Campbell '28 [1-2]
Hazen ... '28 [3-4]
Finn Fraser '28 [5-6]
Park School Park School Bruins 11 12 13 6 15 11 68 Ezra Ebert '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Norah Surcel-Debes '28 [3-4]
Veronica Schneider '25 [1-2, 5-6]
St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints 15 15 12 13 8 8 71 Cameron Scanlon '28
Mia Downey '28
Key School Key School Zags 1 8 10 15 15 13 12 73 Kyle Lapointe '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Henry Legum '31 [3-4]
Zane Barone '29 [1-2, 5-6]
Notre Dame Preparatory School Notre Dame Preparatory School Blazers 16 16 16 10 16 15 89 Katy Stansbury '27
Greyson Vaslow '26
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2017 (12 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Archbishop SpaldingArchbishop Spalding Cavaliers113355
Bethesda Chevy-Chase HSBethesda Chevy-Chase HS Battlin' Baron224466
Calvert Hall College High SchoolCalvert Hall College High School Cardinals335577
Friends School of BaltimoreFriends School of Baltimore Quakers557799
Gilman SchoolGilman School Greyhounds66881010
Indian Creek SchoolIndian Creek School Eagles77991111
Key SchoolKey School Zags 18810101212
Key SchoolKey School Zags 2446688
Loyola BlakefieldLoyola Blakefield Dons9911111313
Notre Dame Preparatory SchoolNotre Dame Preparatory School Blazers101012121414
Park SchoolPark School Bruins111113131515
PatuxentPatuxent Panthers121214141717
Severn SchoolSevern School Admirals1313151511
Severna ParkSeverna Park Falcons1414171722
South River High SchoolSouth River High School Seahawks15151133
St. Mary's High School (MD)St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints17172244

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Archbishop SpaldingArchbishop Spalding Cavaliers224466
Bethesda Chevy-Chase HSBethesda Chevy-Chase HS Battlin' Baron335577
Calvert Hall College High SchoolCalvert Hall College High School Cardinals446688
Friends School of BaltimoreFriends School of Baltimore Quakers66881010
Gilman SchoolGilman School Greyhounds77991111
Indian Creek SchoolIndian Creek School Eagles8810101212
Key SchoolKey School Zags 19911111313
Key SchoolKey School Zags 2557799
Loyola BlakefieldLoyola Blakefield Dons101012121414
Notre Dame Preparatory SchoolNotre Dame Preparatory School Blazers111113131515
Park SchoolPark School Bruins121214141717
PatuxentPatuxent Panthers1313151511
Severn SchoolSevern School Admirals1414171722
Severna ParkSeverna Park Falcons15151133
South River High SchoolSouth River High School Seahawks17172244
St. Mary's High School (MD)St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints113355
School / Team SkipperCrew
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Matthew Synoracki '28 Dylan Cinque '27
Cavaliers Freddie Ervin '28 [1-6] Sloane Fagiolo '27 [1-4]
Zachary Zupkusky '27 [5-6]
Bethesda Chevy-Chase HS Bethesda Chevy-Chase HS Eve Cintron '26 Ben Rashkin '28
Battlin' Baron Ethan Snyder '27 Chloe Cummings '25
Calvert Hall College High School Calvert Hall College High School Soren Lange '28 Liam Lange '28
Cardinals Marcus Kozlowski '26 Will Nelson '26
Friends School of Baltimore Friends School of Baltimore Anna Makovich '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Carter Robbins '25 [3-4]		 Valerie Lemko '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Quakers Ruby Turner '26 Will Carnell '27
Gilman School Gilman School Liam Rivers '25 Ryan Michael '26
Greyhounds Richard Nesti '26 Mason Coates '27
Indian Creek School Indian Creek School Henry Oaten '25 Kendall Arnold '28
Eagles Ryan Mills '27 No Show
Key School Key School Ethan Purdon '29 Charlotte Lian '29
Zags 1 Kyle Lapointe '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Henry Legum '31 [3-4]		 Zane Barone '29 [1-2, 5-6]
Key School Key School Bryson Lang '28 No Show
Zags 2 Finn Lerner '31 No Show
Loyola Blakefield Loyola Blakefield George Shaeffer '26 Eli Eib '26
Dons Sebastian Haber '27 Cameron Baummer '27
Notre Dame Preparatory School Notre Dame Preparatory School Sophia Hammond '26 Charlotte Borsella '28
Blazers Katy Stansbury '27 Greyson Vaslow '26
Park School Park School Emma Borden '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Sky Hillel '28 [3-4]		 Sky Hillel '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Norah Surcel-Debes '28 [3-4]
Bruins Ezra Ebert '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Norah Surcel-Debes '28 [3-4]		 Veronica Schneider '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Patuxent Patuxent Nolan Wingate '28 [1-6] Annabelle Yurko '29 [1-2]
Max Wingate '30 [3-6]
Panthers Jekari Mason '29 [1-2, 5-6]
Annabelle Yurko '29 [3-4]		 Nolan Wingate '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Severn School Severn School Will Tweed '28 Parker Lefever-Farino '28
Admirals Caroline (Cc) Carey '28 Char Wilkin '26
Severna Park Severna Park Stuart Wermer '28 Rhodes Opalinsky '27
Falcons Gil Glister '28 Gabrielle Mckenna '28
South River High School South River High School Nathan Willoughby '25 Matthew Treatman-Clark '27
Seahawks Robert David '27 [1-6] Rory Campbell '28 [1-2]
Hazen ... '28 [3-4]
Finn Fraser '28 [5-6]
St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) James Chapman '27 Barrett Mouritzen '28
Saints Cameron Scanlon '28 Mia Downey '28

Conditions — 10/06/2024 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 67%  ·  Pressure 1018.2 hPa

Temperature

67°F
↑ 73°F   ↓ 54°F
Feels like 68°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.8 kn
avg  ·  max 5.5 kn
Gusts to 13.4 kn
From SSE (152°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover4% Sunshine10.8 hrs Humidity67% Pressure1018.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Baltimore County Sailing Center: a favourites’ day (+0.07)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.13 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.20
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.07 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Baltimore County Sailing Center by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 11 labelled days at Baltimore County Sailing Center, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →