Navigate

MDISA TAYC T2 Fleet

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Severn School Severn School Admirals 2 13 11 24
2 Severn School Severn School Admirals 1 8 19 27
3 Gunston Gunston Herons 12 15 27
4 Patuxent Patuxent Panthers 30 8 38
5 Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 15 31 46
6 St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints 22 31 53
7 Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 14 40 54
8 Maret Maret Frogs 33 39 72
9 Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 44 33 77
10 Bethesda Chevy-Chase HS Bethesda Chevy-Chase HS Battlin' Baron 43 35 78
11 Annapolis High School Annapolis High School Panthers 44 47 91
12 Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres 43 49 92
13 Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 62 MRP 50 MRP 112 MRP
14 The Tome School The Tome School Titans 65 MRP 53 MRP 118 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Severn School Severn School Admirals 1 3 1 BKD BKD 8 Grace Crespin '29
Ellie Lawrence '29
Gunston Gunston Herons 6 3 1 2 12 Joseph Mcgeady '27
Ethan Paniere '27
Severn School Severn School Admirals 2 5 2 5 1 13 Emory Mcallister '29
Elle Maddox '28
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 1 4 4 5 14 Allie Clark '26
Owen Smith '26
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 2 7 2 4 15 Alex Julian '28
Kelly Morgenstern '27
St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints 7 6 6 3 22 Sophia Sollock '30
Mia Richardson '29
Patuxent Patuxent Panthers 11 5 7 7 30 Nolan Wingate '28
Ryan Deibler '28
Maret Maret Frogs 4 8 RAF 6 33 Tyler Skibo '27 [1-2]
Jack Mills '30 [3-4]
Jack Mills '30 [1-2]
Tyler Skibo '27 [3-4]
Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres 8 9 13 13 43 Daniel Schwaninger '26
Abby Tucker '28
Bethesda Chevy-Chase HS Bethesda Chevy-Chase HS Battlin' Baron 9 14 8 12 43 Ethan Snyder '27 [1-2]
Callie Flesch '28 [3-4]
Eton Smith '27 [1-2]
Ryan Mckenna '29 [3-4]
Annapolis High School Annapolis High School Panthers 13 12 11 8 44 Bryson Lang '28
John Thomas Pachler '30
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 14 11 10 9 44 Brandon Hall '28
Caleb Carrasco '28
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 10 10 12 10 62 MRP Ben Billets '27 [1-4]
Andrew Lavoie '27 [1-2]
Chris Cool '27 [3-4]
The Tome School The Tome School Titans 12 13 9 11 65 MRP John Arty '29
Landon Craig '29
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Patuxent Patuxent Panthers 2 1 2 3 8 Thomas Birchfield '27
Colt Touchton '30
Severn School Severn School Admirals 2 4 3 3 1 11 Georgia Knoepfle '29
Farrah Maddox '29
Gunston Gunston Herons 3 4 4 4 15 Mercer Rensberger '29
Annabelle Baker '26
Severn School Severn School Admirals 1 1 2 1 DSQ 19 Colin Schwab '29
Charlotte Stites '29
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 5 5 12 9 31 Matthew Synoracki '28
Owen Henry '28
St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints 9 12 8 2 31 Eleanor Moore '30 [1-2]
William Moore '30 [3-4]
William Moore '30 [1-2]
Eleanor Moore '30 [3-4]
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 6 8 11 8 33 Finn Erickson '29 [1-4]
Ellie Dorman '29 [1-2]
Logan Lahtinen '28 [3-4]
Bethesda Chevy-Chase HS Bethesda Chevy-Chase HS Battlin' Baron 8 9 7 11 35 Matthew Sward '27
Ben Rashkin '28
Maret Maret Frogs 14 10 5 10 39 Stuart Wermer '28
Charllote Krahe '31
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 12 6 9 13 40 Garrett Szymendera '28
Tucker Smith '30
Annapolis High School Annapolis High School Panthers 13 14 13 7 47 Ha An Do '28
Kadee Clowry '28
Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres 10 13 14 12 49 Nate Schwaniger '29
Ian Cox '29
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 11 7 6 6 50 MRP Samuel Wells '27 [1-4]
Teagan Leigh '28 [1-2]
Lillyanne Spelhaug '27 [3-4]
The Tome School The Tome School Titans 7 11 10 5 53 MRP Landon Craig '29
Ellie Neikrash '29
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2016 (22 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Annapolis High SchoolAnnapolis High School Panthers1133
Archbishop SpaldingArchbishop Spalding Cavaliers2244
Bethesda Chevy-Chase HSBethesda Chevy-Chase HS Battlin' Baron3355
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Bruins4466
Great Mills High SchoolGreat Mills High School Hornets5577
Kent Island High SchoolKent Island High School Buccaneers7799
MaretMaret Frogs881010
PatuxentPatuxent Panthers991111
Sts. Peter & PaulSts. Peter & Paul Sabres131311
Severn SchoolSevern School Admirals 110101212
Severn SchoolSevern School Admirals 211111313
St. Mary's High School (MD)St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints12121414
GunstonGunston Herons6688
The Tome SchoolThe Tome School Titans141422

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
Annapolis High SchoolAnnapolis High School Panthers2244
Archbishop SpaldingArchbishop Spalding Cavaliers3355
Bethesda Chevy-Chase HSBethesda Chevy-Chase HS Battlin' Baron4466
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Bruins5577
Great Mills High SchoolGreat Mills High School Hornets6688
Kent Island High SchoolKent Island High School Buccaneers881010
MaretMaret Frogs991111
PatuxentPatuxent Panthers10101212
Sts. Peter & PaulSts. Peter & Paul Sabres141422
Severn SchoolSevern School Admirals 111111313
Severn SchoolSevern School Admirals 212121414
St. Mary's High School (MD)St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints131311
GunstonGunston Herons7799
The Tome SchoolThe Tome School Titans1133
School / Team SkipperCrew
Annapolis High School Annapolis High School Bryson Lang '28 John Thomas Pachler '30
Panthers Ha An Do '28 Kadee Clowry '28
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Alex Julian '28 Kelly Morgenstern '27
Cavaliers Matthew Synoracki '28 Owen Henry '28
Bethesda Chevy-Chase HS Bethesda Chevy-Chase HS Ethan Snyder '27 [1-2]
Callie Flesch '28 [3-4]		 Eton Smith '27 [1-2]
Ryan Mckenna '29 [3-4]
Battlin' Baron Matthew Sward '27 Ben Rashkin '28
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Brandon Hall '28 Caleb Carrasco '28
Bruins Finn Erickson '29 [1-4] Ellie Dorman '29 [1-2]
Logan Lahtinen '28 [3-4]
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Allie Clark '26 Owen Smith '26
Hornets Garrett Szymendera '28 Tucker Smith '30
Gunston Gunston Joseph Mcgeady '27 Ethan Paniere '27
Herons Mercer Rensberger '29 Annabelle Baker '26
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Ben Billets '27 [1-4] Andrew Lavoie '27 [1-2]
Chris Cool '27 [3-4]
Buccaneers Samuel Wells '27 [1-4] Teagan Leigh '28 [1-2]
Lillyanne Spelhaug '27 [3-4]
Maret Maret Tyler Skibo '27 [1-2]
Jack Mills '30 [3-4]		 Jack Mills '30 [1-2]
Tyler Skibo '27 [3-4]
Frogs Stuart Wermer '28 Charllote Krahe '31
Patuxent Patuxent Nolan Wingate '28 Ryan Deibler '28
Panthers Thomas Birchfield '27 Colt Touchton '30
Severn School Severn School Grace Crespin '29 Ellie Lawrence '29
Admirals 1 Colin Schwab '29 Charlotte Stites '29
Severn School Severn School Emory Mcallister '29 Elle Maddox '28
Admirals 2 Georgia Knoepfle '29 Farrah Maddox '29
St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Sophia Sollock '30 Mia Richardson '29
Saints Eleanor Moore '30 [1-2]
William Moore '30 [3-4]		 William Moore '30 [1-2]
Eleanor Moore '30 [3-4]
Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Daniel Schwaninger '26 Abby Tucker '28
Sabres Nate Schwaniger '29 Ian Cox '29
The Tome School The Tome School John Arty '29 Landon Craig '29
Titans Landon Craig '29 Ellie Neikrash '29

Conditions — 09/07/2025 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 81%  ·  Pressure 1018.4 hPa

Temperature

66°F
↑ 70°F   ↓ 62°F
Feels like 66°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.0 kn
avg  ·  max 7.9 kn
Gusts to 14.4 kn
From N (10°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover95% Sunshine3.0 hrs Humidity81% Pressure1018.4 hPa Rain0.28 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Saints Peter & Paul: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.10 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.09
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.33 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Saints Peter & Paul by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at Saints Peter & Paul, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →