Archbishop Spalding '28
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.65 (fleet 1.03) | 187 of 231 | +0.01 ± 0.17 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 16–28 (36%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 | 2 | 11–18 | — |
| Spring 2025 | 1 | 5–10 | — |
Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 3 graded regattas (44 matches) the record is 16–28 against 16.1 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−0.1). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 1 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 1 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | MASSA 2026 Team Race Championship/Baker Qualifier | skipper | 0.90 | 0.10 | 3–9 | 4.1 | −0.80 | 0.5 | 88% |
| 2026-04-11 | MDISA Team Race | skipper | 0.72 | 1.52 | 8–9 | 6.4 | +0.79 | 0.7 | 24% |
| 2025-04-12 | MDISA Baker Pre-Qualifier | skipper | 0.99 | 0.61 | 5–10 | 5.7 | −0.38 | 0.1 | 78% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| MDISA TAYC Fleet Tier 1 | Skipper | B | 5 | 8.0 | 0.66 |
| MDISA Team Race | Skipper | TR | 17 | 47% | — |
| MDISA Fleet Qualifier Spring 2026 | Skipper | A | 2 | 9.5 | 0.61 |
| MASSA 2026 Team Race Championship/Baker Qualifier | Skipper | TR | 12 | 25% | — |
| MASSA 2026 Fleet Championship & Mallory Qualifier | Skipper | A | 2 | 15.5 | 0.41 |
| Fall 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| MDISA TAYC T2 Fleet | Skipper | A | 4 | 3.8 | 1.85 |
| MDISA Varsity Champs Fall 2025 | Skipper | A | 8 | 7.5 | 1.07 |
| MDISA St. Marys Ryken Tier 2 Fleet | Skipper | A | 5 | 2.2 | 1.06 |
| Spring 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| MDISA St. Marys Ryken Tier 2 Fleet | Skipper | B | 6 | 2.5 | 1.59 |
| MDISA SSPP T2 Fleet | Skipper | B | 6 | 2.5 | 1.65 |
| MDISA T2 Spring 2025 Regatta NERYC 5.3 | Skipper | A | 4 | 3.8 | 0.36 |
| MDISA DC Sail T2 Fleet Race | Skipper | A | 8 | 5.9 | -0.68 |
| MDISA Baker Pre-Qualifier | Skipper | TR | 15 | 33% | — |
| 2025 T1 Fleet Championship | Skipper | B | 5 | 7.8 | 0.88 |
| Fall 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| MDISA SCC Tier 1 Fleet Race | Skipper | B | 2 | 6.0 | 0.62 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
To have this profile removed, email quinnbrighton2005@gmail.com.
