Navigate

MDISA DC Sail T2 Fleet Race

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Walt Whitman High School Walt Whitman High School Vikings 75
2 St. Stephens St. Agnes School St. Stephens St. Agnes School Saints 102
3 Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 103
4 Washington Latin Washington Latin Lions 106
5 Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 121
6 Bishop O'Connell High School Bishop O'Connell High School Knights 138
7 Patuxent Patuxent Panthers 196
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Washington Latin Washington Latin Lions A 5 2 4 2 1 4 3 6 27 Mercer Rensberger '28 [1-8]
Karina Schmoyer '29 [1-4]
Arabella Laws-Dunn '28 [5-8]
Walt Whitman High School Walt Whitman High School Vikings A 9 7 1 4 5 1 1 2 30 Amelia Wire '27
Shane Churilla '25
St. Stephens St. Agnes School St. Stephens St. Agnes School Saints A 4 5 10 1 2 6 2 4 34 Cormac Knight '26
Liliana Langone '28
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders A 2 4 7 8 3 3 7 9 43 Gibson Farr '25
Devin De La Paz '25
Walt Whitman High School Walt Whitman High School Vikings B 11 3 6 5 8 5 6 1 45 Ricardo Shayer '25
Grace Shields '25
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers A 7 1 9 10 4 7 4 5 47 Alex Julian '28
Dylan Cinque '27
Bishop O'Connell High School Bishop O'Connell High School Knights A 1 6 3 12 11 2 10 3 48 James Reilly '28
Anna Grace Gutfleish '27
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers B 6 12 2 3 9 9 5 10 56 Matthew Synoracki '28
Vika Ferus '27
St. Stephens St. Agnes School St. Stephens St. Agnes School Saints B 8 9 5 7 7 8 12 12 68 Dylan Jacobson '28
Alexandria Hou '29
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders B 14 10 8 6 10 DSQ 8 7 78 Nicholas Kitts '25
Mason Riley '28
Washington Latin Washington Latin Lions B 3 11 14 13 6 10 14 8 79 Eliana Arteaga '29 [1-8]
Arabella Laws-Dunn '28 [1-4]
Karina Schmoyer '29 [5-8]
Bishop O'Connell High School Bishop O'Connell High School Knights B 13 8 12 11 12 11 9 14 90 Ashley Kroeger '26
Avelyn Dannes '28
Patuxent Patuxent Panthers B 12 14 11 9 13 12 11 13 95 Owen Myers '29 [1-8]
Max Wingate '30 [1-2, 7-8]
Nolan Wingate '28 [3-6]
Patuxent Patuxent Panthers A 10 13 13 14 14 13 13 11 101 Annabelle Yurko '29 [1-4, 7-8]
Max Wingate '30 [5-6]
Loundin Curtis '26 [1-6]
Nolan Wingate '28 [7-8]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2024 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Archbishop SpaldingArchbishop Spalding Cavaliers11223344
Bishop O'Connell High SchoolBishop O'Connell High School Knights221114141313
Leonardtown High SchoolLeonardtown High School Raiders33445566
PatuxentPatuxent Panthers44332211
St. Stephens St. Agnes SchoolSt. Stephens St. Agnes School Saints55667788
Walt Whitman High SchoolWalt Whitman High School Vikings66554433
Washington LatinWashington Latin Lions7788991010

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Archbishop SpaldingArchbishop Spalding Cavaliers88776655
Bishop O'Connell High SchoolBishop O'Connell High School Knights99101011111212
Leonardtown High SchoolLeonardtown High School Raiders1010998877
PatuxentPatuxent Panthers1111121213131414
St. Stephens St. Agnes SchoolSt. Stephens St. Agnes School Saints12121111101099
Walt Whitman High SchoolWalt Whitman High School Vikings131314141122
Washington LatinWashington Latin Lions1414131312121111

Conditions — 03/22/2025 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 42%  ·  Pressure 1008.1 hPa

Temperature

56°F
↑ 63°F   ↓ 42°F
Feels like 49°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.4 kn
avg  ·  max 15.5 kn
Gusts to 33.8 kn
From WSW (249°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover50% Sunshine8.6 hrs Humidity42% Pressure1008.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 10 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Bishop O'Connell H.S/Washington Latin: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.15 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.14
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.14 ± 0.23)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Bishop O'Connell H.S/Washington Latin by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Bishop O'Connell H.S/Washington Latin, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →