MDISA T2 Spring 2025 Regatta NERYC 5.3

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres 9 11 20
2 Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 24 9 33
3 Notre Dame Preparatory School Notre Dame Preparatory School Blazers 14 27 41
4 Bethesda Chevy-Chase HS Bethesda Chevy-Chase HS Battlin' Baron 18 24 42
5 Gilman School Gilman School Greyhounds 22 27 49
6 Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 26 28 54
7 Calvert Hall College High School Calvert Hall College High School Cardinals 41 16 57
8 The Tome School The Tome School Titans 25 45 70
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres 1 1 1 5 1 9 Victor Kleppinger '25 [1-5]
Gene Williams '29 [1-2]
Gabby Beckett '28 [3-5]
Notre Dame Preparatory School Notre Dame Preparatory School Blazers 4 2 3 2 BKD 14 Sophia Hammond '26
Eloise Graf '26
Bethesda Chevy-Chase HS Bethesda Chevy-Chase HS Battlin' Baron 3 6 5 1 3 18 Eton Smith '27
Eve Cintron '26
Gilman School Gilman School Greyhounds 2 5 6 4 5 22 Carter Robbins '25
Aarav Trivedi '28
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 6 4 DNF 3 2 24 Alex Julian '28 [1-2, 4-5]
Nikki Rahim '29 [3]
Owen Henry '28 [1-2, 4-5]
Vikki Rahim '29 [3]
The Tome School The Tome School Titans 5 7 2 7 4 25 Charles Partridge '28
Nathaniel Wyman '28
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 7 3 4 6 6 26 Cole Ramsey '28
Samuel Wells '27
Calvert Hall College High School Calvert Hall College High School Cardinals DNF DNF 7 8 8 41 Will Nelson '26
Liam Lange '28
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 1 1 3 3 1 9 Matthew Synoracki '28
Liam Peterson '28
Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres 2 3 2 2 2 11 Justin Callahan '29 [1-2]
Gene Williams '29 [3-5]
Ian Cox '29 [1-2]
Calvert Hall College High School Calvert Hall College High School Cardinals 4 2 1 5 4 16 Soren Lange '28
Zak Kozlowski '29
Bethesda Chevy-Chase HS Bethesda Chevy-Chase HS Battlin' Baron 6 5 6 4 3 24 Chloe Cummings '25
Callie Flesch '28
Gilman School Gilman School Greyhounds 5 4 5 7 6 27 Mason Coates '27
Jacob Davis '26
Notre Dame Preparatory School Notre Dame Preparatory School Blazers DNF 6 4 1 7 27 Sebastian Haber '27 [1-5]
Charlotte Borsella '28 [1-2]
Cameron Baummer '27 [3-5]
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 3 7 7 6 5 28 Ben Billets '27
Teagan Leigh '28
The Tome School The Tome School Titans DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 45 Hunter Miller '26
Gideon Garber '28
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2018 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Archbishop SpaldingArchbishop Spalding Cavaliers55777
Bethesda Chevy-Chase HSBethesda Chevy-Chase HS Battlin' Baron66888
Calvert Hall College High SchoolCalvert Hall College High School Cardinals77999
Gilman SchoolGilman School Greyhounds88101010
Kent Island High SchoolKent Island High School Buccaneers99111111
Notre Dame Preparatory SchoolNotre Dame Preparatory School Blazers1010121212
Sts. Peter & PaulSts. Peter & Paul Sabres1111555
The Tome SchoolThe Tome School Titans1212666

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Archbishop SpaldingArchbishop Spalding Cavaliers66888
Bethesda Chevy-Chase HSBethesda Chevy-Chase HS Battlin' Baron77999
Calvert Hall College High SchoolCalvert Hall College High School Cardinals88101010
Gilman SchoolGilman School Greyhounds99111111
Kent Island High SchoolKent Island High School Buccaneers1010121212
Notre Dame Preparatory SchoolNotre Dame Preparatory School Blazers1111555
Sts. Peter & PaulSts. Peter & Paul Sabres1212666
The Tome SchoolThe Tome School Titans55777

Conditions — 05/03/2025 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 61%  ·  Pressure 1011.4 hPa

Temperature

76°F
↑ 81°F   ↓ 69°F
Feels like 75°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.2 kn
avg  ·  max 13.0 kn
Gusts to 27.6 kn
From SW (218°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover69% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity61% Pressure1011.4 hPa Rain0.01 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 12 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at North East River Yacht Club: an underdogs’ day (−0.06)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.13 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.07
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.25 ± 0.25)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 6% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at North East River Yacht Club by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 2 labelled days at North East River Yacht Club, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →