Navigate

May Madness

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Kettle Moraine High School Kettle Moraine High School Varsity 1 47 30 77
2 Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Warhawks 61 71 132
3 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 58 83 141
4 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 71 79 150
5 Catholic Memorial High School Catholic Memorial High School Varsity 112 41 153
6 White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Bears 83 92 175
7 Oshkosh North High School Oshkosh North High School Varsity 92 131 223
8 Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Varsity 136 145 281
9 New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 154 134 288
10 Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Varsity 138 164 302
11 Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 1 128 179 307
12 Hinsdale Central High School Hinsdale Central High School Varsity 173 137 310
13 Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Varsity 1 132 198 330
14 Kettle Moraine High School Kettle Moraine High School Varsity 2 194 136 330
15 Rickover Naval Academy Rickover Naval Academy Varsity 189 148 337
16 Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 2 179 213 392
17 Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Varsity 2 200 194 394
18 Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Raccoons 238 229 467
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
Kettle Moraine High School Kettle Moraine High School Varsity 1 2 5 1 5 1 1 5 10 1 5 1 5 1 4 47 Christian Spencer '18
Maddie Crucius '20
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 3 2 2 6 2 8 8 4 2 8 2 3 7 1 58 Conrad (Cort) Vandlik '17
Berette Mcnaught '16
Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Warhawks 8 6 10 2 6 3 2 7 3 1 3 6 2 2 61 Lily Stemper '20
Gavin Burkhart '16
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 6 4 4 15 7 6 1 1 6 3 8 2 3 5 71 Austin Haag '16
Jamie Bongard '15
White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Bears 4 3 3 8 3 2 9 6 14 7 6 4 11 3 83 Kate Cox '16
Ethan Staruck '18
Oshkosh North High School Oshkosh North High School Varsity 1 1 12 1 8 14 6 8 16 9 5 1 4 6 92 Korbin Kierstad '15
Eddie Hanson '19
Catholic Memorial High School Catholic Memorial High School Varsity 14 7 5 3 5 4 3 14 9 BKD 9 10 10 11 112 Jack Schweda '20
Jonathan Bailey '18
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 1 10 12 9 7 9 10 4 2 12 13 11 16 5 8 128 Zachary Miller '16
Caroline Martin '16
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Varsity 1 9 13 7 13 11 9 13 13 4 2 13 8 8 9 132 James Zampa '16
Emma Zastrow '16
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Varsity 11 11 15 11 4 18 11 5 5 10 4 15 9 7 136 Peter Odom '17 [1-14]
Caroline Bernet '17 [1, 3]
Hanna Mularczyk '17 [2, 4-14]
Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Varsity 5 10 11 9 10 5 14 3 15 6 16 18 6 10 138 Jessica Berger '17
Emma Hyer '18
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 7 8 6 10 16 16 7 12 8 14 14 7 14 15 154 Spencer Keenan '17
Ben Spring '18
Hinsdale Central High School Hinsdale Central High School Varsity 15 17 17 12 13 13 10 9 13 4 12 12 12 14 173 Amanda Bronson '16 [1-14]
Evan Fallon '18 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Cameron Wright '18 [3-4, 7-8, 11-14]
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 2 12 9 8 4 14 17 12 11 17 16 18 14 15 12 179 Hayden Easom '17 [1-8, 13-14]
Dylan Markham '16 [9-12]
Lily Szymanski '17 [1-2, 5-6, 9-14]
Dylan Markham '16 [3-4, 7-8]
Rickover Naval Academy Rickover Naval Academy Varsity 18 14 13 16 12 12 18 16 7 12 7 11 17 16 189 Liam Gorzen '15
Alexia Landl '16
Kettle Moraine High School Kettle Moraine High School Varsity 2 13 15 16 14 17 11 17 18 10 11 10 13 16 13 194 Chloe Frentzel '17 [1-8]
Jack Tegeder '17 [9-14]
Maddie Gruenke '15 [1-8, 13-14]
Chloe Frentzel '17 [9-12]
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Varsity 2 16 16 18 18 15 7 15 15 11 15 15 9 13 17 200 Han-Ray Jahn '17
Sam Garry '17
Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Raccoons 17 18 14 17 18 15 16 17 18 17 17 17 18 OCS 238 Naomi Plack '15
Groth Alex '15
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
Kettle Moraine High School Kettle Moraine High School Varsity 1 1 1 6 2 1 3 2 3 1 2 2 4 1 1 30 Alex Keck '17
Myles Murphy '16
Catholic Memorial High School Catholic Memorial High School Varsity 5 3 3 1 4 2 5 4 3 1 1 3 4 2 41 Patrick Schmidt '17
Erin Sullivan '17
Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Warhawks 3 5 7 6 3 1 14 2 2 3 10 2 3 10 71 Ethan Heinze '15
Katie Carlson '18
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 2 6 2 4 7 6 8 8 4 5 6 10 8 3 79 Lizzy Holimann '16 [1-14]
Sydney Maxwell '17 [1-4, 9-14]
Graham Ness '19 [5-8]
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 10 2 8 9 2 11 4 1 8 6 3 7 5 7 83 Carl Eaton '17 [1-14]
Andrew Nau '15 [1-2, 9-12]
Mike Johnson '17 [3-8, 13-14]
White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Bears 8 4 11 12 5 4 6 10 7 10 4 5 2 4 92 Mary Larson '16
Olivia Staruck '16
Oshkosh North High School Oshkosh North High School Varsity 12 12 1 16 13 7 3 16 14 4 8 11 6 8 131 Reed Weston '19
Karson Mraz '19
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 9 7 9 10 6 5 13 6 13 11 9 8 9 RAF 134 Dylan Cotter '18 [1-14]
Matthew Trunsky '17 [1-2, 5-14]
Haden Wright '17 [3-4]
Kettle Moraine High School Kettle Moraine High School Varsity 2 7 15 16 5 12 18 10 5 6 7 5 14 11 5 136 Kyle Sherry '15
Alex Guindon '17
Hinsdale Central High School Hinsdale Central High School Varsity 4 13 12 13 14 8 1 9 12 12 7 6 7 RAF 137 Berenger Jeannides '18
Cal Bronson '17
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Varsity 6 11 4 15 11 10 7 7 11 13 14 12 13 11 145 James Wagner '17 [1-14]
Lucie Mcknight '17 [1-4]
Caroline Bernet '17 [5-14]
Rickover Naval Academy Rickover Naval Academy Varsity 13 8 13 11 15 16 9 14 5 9 16 1 12 6 148 Jared Gorzen '15
Gabby Becerra '16
Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Varsity 14 10 5 14 8 12 11 18 9 8 13 13 10 RAF 164 Nikolas Chambers '19
Getty Hill '17
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 1 11 9 17 3 16 14 12 13 16 14 11 9 15 DNF 179 Cynthia Rodriguez-Huspen '17 [1-6, 9-10, 13-14]
William Franke '16 [7-8, 11-12]
Genevieve Lee '16 [1-2, 4-6, 11-12]
William Franke '16 [3, 9-10, 13-14]
Cynthia Rodriguez-Huspen '17 [7-8]
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Varsity 2 17 17 14 8 9 13 18 11 15 16 15 15 17 9 194 Nick Ingraffia '17
Will Robinson '18
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Varsity 1 15 16 10 17 10 9 16 12 17 17 17 16 14 12 198 Paul Clark '17 [1-14]
Taj Carter '18 [1-8]
Emma Rosengarten '16 [9-14]
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 2 18 18 18 7 18 15 15 17 10 15 12 18 18 14 213 Natalie Norton '18 [1-14]
Theo Papakyriacou '16 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-14]
Caroline Yardley '16 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Raccoons 16 14 15 18 17 17 17 15 18 18 18 17 16 13 229 Graves Anna '18
Pauline Brown '15
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.200+0.20
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (8 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A
Arrowhead High SchoolArrowhead High School Warhawks113355779911111313
Catholic Memorial High SchoolCatholic Memorial High School Varsity22446688101012121414
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Varsity 133557799111113131515
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Varsity 24466881010121214141616
Hinsdale Central High SchoolHinsdale Central High School Varsity5577991111131315151717
Kettle Moraine High SchoolKettle Moraine High School Varsity 1668810101212141416161818
Kettle Moraine High SchoolKettle Moraine High School Varsity 27799111113131515171711
Latin School of ChicagoLatin School of Chicago Varsity881010121214141616181822
Loyola AcademyLoyola Academy Ramblers 19911111313151517171133
Loyola AcademyLoyola Academy Ramblers 2101012121414161618182244
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 11111131315151717113355
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 21212141416161818224466
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian13131515171711335577
Oconomowoc High SchoolOconomowoc High School Raccoons14141616181822446688
Oshkosh North High SchoolOshkosh North High School Varsity151517171133557799
Rickover Naval AcademyRickover Naval Academy Varsity16161818224466881010
Walter Payton College Preparatory High SchoolWalter Payton College Preparatory High School Varsity171711335577991111
White Bear Lake High SchoolWhite Bear Lake High School Bears18182244668810101212

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B
Arrowhead High SchoolArrowhead High School Warhawks22446688101012121414
Catholic Memorial High SchoolCatholic Memorial High School Varsity33557799111113131515
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Varsity 14466881010121214141616
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Varsity 25577991111131315151717
Hinsdale Central High SchoolHinsdale Central High School Varsity668810101212141416161818
Kettle Moraine High SchoolKettle Moraine High School Varsity 17799111113131515171711
Kettle Moraine High SchoolKettle Moraine High School Varsity 2881010121214141616181822
Latin School of ChicagoLatin School of Chicago Varsity9911111313151517171133
Loyola AcademyLoyola Academy Ramblers 1101012121414161618182244
Loyola AcademyLoyola Academy Ramblers 21111131315151717113355
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 11212141416161818224466
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 213131515171711335577
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian14141616181822446688
Oconomowoc High SchoolOconomowoc High School Raccoons151517171133557799
Oshkosh North High SchoolOshkosh North High School Varsity16161818224466881010
Rickover Naval AcademyRickover Naval Academy Varsity171711335577991111
Walter Payton College Preparatory High SchoolWalter Payton College Preparatory High School Varsity18182244668810101212
White Bear Lake High SchoolWhite Bear Lake High School Bears113355779911111313
School / Team SkipperCrew
Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Lily Stemper '20 Gavin Burkhart '16
Warhawks Ethan Heinze '15 Katie Carlson '18
Catholic Memorial High School Catholic Memorial High School Jack Schweda '20 Jonathan Bailey '18
Varsity Patrick Schmidt '17 Erin Sullivan '17
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS James Zampa '16 Emma Zastrow '16
Varsity 1 Paul Clark '17 [1-14] Taj Carter '18 [1-8]
Emma Rosengarten '16 [9-14]
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Han-Ray Jahn '17 Sam Garry '17
Varsity 2 Nick Ingraffia '17 Will Robinson '18
Hinsdale Central High School Hinsdale Central High School Amanda Bronson '16 [1-14] Evan Fallon '18 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Cameron Wright '18 [3-4, 7-8, 11-14]
Varsity Berenger Jeannides '18 Cal Bronson '17
Kettle Moraine High School Kettle Moraine High School Christian Spencer '18 Maddie Crucius '20
Varsity 1 Alex Keck '17 Myles Murphy '16
Kettle Moraine High School Kettle Moraine High School Chloe Frentzel '17 [1-8]
Jack Tegeder '17 [9-14]		 Maddie Gruenke '15 [1-8, 13-14]
Chloe Frentzel '17 [9-12]
Varsity 2 Kyle Sherry '15 Alex Guindon '17
Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Jessica Berger '17 Emma Hyer '18
Varsity Nikolas Chambers '19 Getty Hill '17
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Zachary Miller '16 Caroline Martin '16
Ramblers 1 Cynthia Rodriguez-Huspen '17 [1-6, 9-10, 13-14]
William Franke '16 [7-8, 11-12]		 Genevieve Lee '16 [1-2, 4-6, 11-12]
William Franke '16 [3, 9-10, 13-14]
Cynthia Rodriguez-Huspen '17 [7-8]
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Hayden Easom '17 [1-8, 13-14]
Dylan Markham '16 [9-12]		 Lily Szymanski '17 [1-2, 5-6, 9-14]
Dylan Markham '16 [3-4, 7-8]
Ramblers 2 Natalie Norton '18 [1-14] Theo Papakyriacou '16 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-14]
Caroline Yardley '16 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Conrad (Cort) Vandlik '17 Berette Mcnaught '16
Skippers 1 Carl Eaton '17 [1-14] Andrew Nau '15 [1-2, 9-12]
Mike Johnson '17 [3-8, 13-14]
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Austin Haag '16 Jamie Bongard '15
Skippers 2 Lizzy Holimann '16 [1-14] Sydney Maxwell '17 [1-4, 9-14]
Graham Ness '19 [5-8]
New Trier HS New Trier HS Spencer Keenan '17 Ben Spring '18
Trevian Dylan Cotter '18 [1-14] Matthew Trunsky '17 [1-2, 5-14]
Haden Wright '17 [3-4]
Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Naomi Plack '15 Groth Alex '15
Raccoons Graves Anna '18 Pauline Brown '15
Oshkosh North High School Oshkosh North High School Korbin Kierstad '15 Eddie Hanson '19
Varsity Reed Weston '19 Karson Mraz '19
Rickover Naval Academy Rickover Naval Academy Liam Gorzen '15 Alexia Landl '16
Varsity Jared Gorzen '15 Gabby Becerra '16
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Peter Odom '17 [1-14] Caroline Bernet '17 [1, 3]
Hanna Mularczyk '17 [2, 4-14]
Varsity James Wagner '17 [1-14] Lucie Mcknight '17 [1-4]
Caroline Bernet '17 [5-14]
White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Kate Cox '16 Ethan Staruck '18
Bears Mary Larson '16 Olivia Staruck '16

Conditions — 05/09/2015 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 72%  ·  Pressure 1019.5 hPa

Temperature

58°F
↑ 64°F   ↓ 50°F
Feels like 55°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.4 kn
avg  ·  max 7.8 kn
Gusts to 17.5 kn
From NNE (33°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover97% Sunshine6.8 hrs Humidity72% Pressure1019.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 6 kn · E 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Pewaukee Yacht Club: an underdogs’ day (−0.06)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.07 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.01
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.26 ± 0.07)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Pewaukee Yacht Club by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (20 labelled days at Pewaukee Yacht Club).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →