Minnesota Conference Regatta #5

HostWhite Bear Sailing School
Date05/09/2015
TypeIn-League
BoatC420
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Southwest High School	Varsity 1	14	7	21
2	Orono High School	Varsity 1	10	23	33
3	Mounds Park Academy	Varsity	14	23	37
4	Wayzata High School	Blue 2	15	26	41
5	Wayzata High School	Blue 1	17	33	50
6	Benilde St Margarets	Varsity	32	19	51
7	Blake School	Bears	36	19	55
8	Mahtomedi	Zephyrs	31	27	58
9	Orono High School	Varsity 2	41	46	87
10	Providence Academy	Varsity	59	38	97
11	Minnetonka High School	Skippers 2	39	62	101
12	Visitation School	Blazers	54	53	107
13	Washburn High School	Varsity	53 MRP	59 MRP	112 MRP
14	Chanhassen High School	Varsity	66	53	119
15	Minnetonka High School	Skippers 1	61	60	121
16	Stillwater High School	Varsity	80 MRP	58 MRP	138 MRP
17	Southwest High School	Varsity 2	73 MRP	70 MRP	143 MRP
18	Hudson	Raiders	70 MRP	89 MRP	159 MRP

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	TOT	Sailors
Orono High School	Varsity 1	4	2	2	2	10	Samuel Bartel '18 Erich Pinske '18
Mounds Park Academy	Varsity	1	4	1	8	14	Josh Sullivan '16 Emily Jesmer '17
Southwest High School	Varsity 1	7	1	3	3	14	Jason Davis '17 Luc Mainguy '15
Wayzata High School	Blue 2	6	3	5	1	15	Charlie Hicks '16 [1-4] Ava Grafius '15 [1-2] Dominic Serino '19 [3-4]
Wayzata High School	Blue 1	3	5	4	5	17	Jackson Connell '17 Mckenna Miller '16
Mahtomedi	Zephyrs	2	13	6	10	31	Thor Hsu '15 Annika Hsu '17
Benilde St Margarets	Varsity	9	8	11	4	32	Maggie Houtz '15 Jacob Zagaros '19
Blake School	Bears	12	10	8	6	36	Annika Ekholm '16 Maddie Dekko '16
Minnetonka High School	Skippers 2	11	9	10	9	39	Henry Westlund '19 Garrett Moen '19
Orono High School	Varsity 2	14	6	7	14	41	Rachel Bartel '20 Ari Dworsky '19
Washburn High School	Varsity	10	7	9	7	53 MRP	Tate Nolte '16 Tighe Case '18
Visitation School	Blazers	15	12	16	11	54	Emily Stanley '17 Laurel Schreier '17
Providence Academy	Varsity	13	17	14	15	59	Aj Adducci '15 Cierra Ramsay '16
Minnetonka High School	Skippers 1	18	18	13	12	61	Mike Johnson '17 Stratford Vandlik '18
Chanhassen High School	Varsity	16	16	18	16	66	Lucas Haarstad '17 Kent Penner '18
Hudson	Raiders	5	14	12	DNF	70 MRP	Adam Tronnes '20 Oscar Nemitz '20
Southwest High School	Varsity 2	8	11	17	17	73 MRP	Simon Rothman '17 Lochlan Anders-Macleod '17
Stillwater High School	Varsity	17	15	15	13	80 MRP	Leigh Marker '17 Katie Wallace '18

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	TOT	Sailors
Southwest High School	Varsity 1	4	1	1	1	7	Michael Stone '15 Susie Voltz '15
Blake School	Bears	1	2	4	12	19	Mary Amis '15 Ellie Walker '16
Benilde St Margarets	Varsity	7	7	3	2	19	Joey Simpson '17 Erin Patton '17
Mounds Park Academy	Varsity	2	6	11	4	23	Jack Indritz '17 Conner Rodzinka '17
Orono High School	Varsity 1	3	4	2	14	23	Solomon Dworsky '17 Erik Sundberg '17
Wayzata High School	Blue 2	5	3	8	10	26	Alex Honke '16 Anna Brew '17
Mahtomedi	Zephyrs	9	5	10	3	27	Genna Viggiano '18 Clara Brown '18
Wayzata High School	Blue 1	6	10	9	8	33	Emma Aubuchon '19 Michael Donadio '17
Providence Academy	Varsity	10	14	5	9	38	Eleanor Christianson '19 Claire Christianson '18
Orono High School	Varsity 2	13	9	18	6	46	Zach Depietro '16 Kristin Berg '17
Visitation School	Blazers	14	17	7	15	53	Acadia Hegedus '18 Courtney Clark '17
Chanhassen High School	Varsity	17	12	17	7	53	Ryne Ryshavy '17 [1-2] Ryan Bohara '18 [3-4] Max Penner '18 [1-2]
Stillwater High School	Varsity	8	13	6	11	58 MRP	Lars Stannard '16 Leigh Marker '17
Washburn High School	Varsity	12	8	14	5	59 MRP	Jack Erickson '17 Gabrielle Ritacco '18
Minnetonka High School	Skippers 1	15	16	16	13	60	Jordan Leines '15 Kendyll Vandlik '20
Minnetonka High School	Skippers 2	16	15	13	18	62	Charlie Dutton '19 Dan Callister '19
Southwest High School	Varsity 2	11	11	12	16	70 MRP	Lauritz (Lolo) Young-Walser '17 Stephanie Daub '16
Hudson	Raiders	DNF	18	15	17	89 MRP	Oscar Nemitz '20 Oscar Nemitz '20

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.220+0.22

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A
Benilde St Margarets Varsity	1	1	1	1
Blake School Bears	12	12	12	12
Chanhassen High School Varsity	9	9	9	9
Hudson Raiders	11	11	11	11
Mahtomedi Zephyrs	15	15	15	15
Minnetonka High School Skippers 1	8	8	8	8
Minnetonka High School Skippers 2	5	5	5	5
Mounds Park Academy Varsity	13	13	13	13
Orono High School Varsity 1	2	2	2	2
Orono High School Varsity 2	6	6	6	6
Providence Academy Varsity	18	18	18	18
Southwest High School Varsity 1	4	4	4	4
Southwest High School Varsity 2	10	10	10	10
Stillwater High School Varsity	3	3	3	3
Visitation School Blazers	14	14	14	14
Washburn High School Varsity	7	7	7	7
Wayzata High School Blue 1	17	17	17	17
Wayzata High School Blue 2	16	16	16	16

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B
Benilde St Margarets Varsity	1	1	1	1
Blake School Bears	12	12	12	12
Chanhassen High School Varsity	9	9	9	9
Hudson Raiders	11	11	11	11
Mahtomedi Zephyrs	15	15	15	15
Minnetonka High School Skippers 1	8	8	8	8
Minnetonka High School Skippers 2	5	5	5	5
Mounds Park Academy Varsity	13	13	13	13
Orono High School Varsity 1	2	2	2	2
Orono High School Varsity 2	6	6	6	6
Providence Academy Varsity	18	18	18	18
Southwest High School Varsity 1	4	4	4	4
Southwest High School Varsity 2	10	10	10	10
Stillwater High School Varsity	3	3	3	3
Visitation School Blazers	14	14	14	14
Washburn High School Varsity	7	7	7	7
Wayzata High School Blue 1	17	17	17	17
Wayzata High School Blue 2	16	16	16	16

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Benilde St Margarets	Maggie Houtz '15	Jacob Zagaros '19
Varsity	Joey Simpson '17	Erin Patton '17
Blake School	Annika Ekholm '16	Maddie Dekko '16
Bears	Mary Amis '15	Ellie Walker '16
Chanhassen High School	Lucas Haarstad '17	Kent Penner '18
Varsity	Ryne Ryshavy '17 [1-2] Ryan Bohara '18 [3-4]	Max Penner '18 [1-2]
Hudson	Adam Tronnes '20	Oscar Nemitz '20
Raiders	Oscar Nemitz '20	Oscar Nemitz '20
Mahtomedi	Thor Hsu '15	Annika Hsu '17
Zephyrs	Genna Viggiano '18	Clara Brown '18
Minnetonka High School	Mike Johnson '17	Stratford Vandlik '18
Skippers 1	Jordan Leines '15	Kendyll Vandlik '20
Minnetonka High School	Henry Westlund '19	Garrett Moen '19
Skippers 2	Charlie Dutton '19	Dan Callister '19
Mounds Park Academy	Josh Sullivan '16	Emily Jesmer '17
Varsity	Jack Indritz '17	Conner Rodzinka '17
Orono High School	Samuel Bartel '18	Erich Pinske '18
Varsity 1	Solomon Dworsky '17	Erik Sundberg '17
Orono High School	Rachel Bartel '20	Ari Dworsky '19
Varsity 2	Zach Depietro '16	Kristin Berg '17
Providence Academy	Aj Adducci '15	Cierra Ramsay '16
Varsity	Eleanor Christianson '19	Claire Christianson '18
Southwest High School	Jason Davis '17	Luc Mainguy '15
Varsity 1	Michael Stone '15	Susie Voltz '15
Southwest High School	Simon Rothman '17	Lochlan Anders-Macleod '17
Varsity 2	Lauritz (Lolo) Young-Walser '17	Stephanie Daub '16
Stillwater High School	Leigh Marker '17	Katie Wallace '18
Varsity	Lars Stannard '16	Leigh Marker '17
Visitation School	Emily Stanley '17	Laurel Schreier '17
Blazers	Acadia Hegedus '18	Courtney Clark '17
Washburn High School	Tate Nolte '16	Tighe Case '18
Varsity	Jack Erickson '17	Gabrielle Ritacco '18
Wayzata High School	Jackson Connell '17	Mckenna Miller '16
Blue 1	Emma Aubuchon '19	Michael Donadio '17
Wayzata High School	Charlie Hicks '16 [1-4]	Ava Grafius '15 [1-2] Dominic Serino '19 [3-4]
Blue 2	Alex Honke '16	Anna Brew '17

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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Minnesota Conference Regatta #5

Division A

Division B

From the notes