SSP Combined Division - GOLD

HostSail Sand Point
Date03/21/2015
TypeIn-District
BoatCFJ
ScoringCombined

#	School	Team	TOT
1	Sehome High School	Mariners 1	167
2	Lincoln High School - Portland, OR	Cardinals	188
3	Bainbridge High School	Spartans 3	227
4	Bainbridge High School	Spartans 2	228
5	Bainbridge High School	Spartans 4	249
6	Gig Harbor High School	Tides	352
7	North Kitsap High School	Varsity	372
8	Bainbridge High School	Spartans 1	373
9	Orcas High School	Vikings 2	396
10	Orcas High School	Vikings 1	413
11	Varsity	Varsity	414
12	Woodinville High School	Falcons	435
13	Sehome High School	Mariners 2	438
14	Wolverines	Wolverines	466
15	Wilson High School	Trojans	466
16	Lycee Francais de Chicago	Red Hawks	496
17	Orcas High School	Vikings 3	546
18	Seahawks	Seahawks	601
19	Ballard High School	Beavers	619

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	R9	R10	TOT	Sailors
Bainbridge High School	Spartans 3 A	8	14	6	2	13	7	2	5	2	3	62	Jackson Mccoy '15 [1-10] Nicole Sanford '16 [1-6] Sophie Crandell '18 [7-10]
Sehome High School	Mariners 1 B	11	7	1	8	1	4	9	16	3	2	62	Liam Hood '16 Shea Walker '16
Bainbridge High School	Spartans 2 A	3	5	13	10	5	10	3	8	6	8	71	Blake Bentzen '16 [1-10] Kathryn Smith '17 [1-6, 9-10] Quinn Ring '18 [7-8]
Bainbridge High School	Spartans 4 A	26	12	17	7	7	2	1	4	4	1	81	Stasi Burzycki '15 [1-10] Harrison Saliba '17 [1-2, 5-6] Sophia Kasper '18 [3-4, 7-10]
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR	Cardinals A	4	3	8	6	9	8	11	17	10	7	83	Drew Bennett '15 Mia Dalton '18
Sehome High School	Mariners 1 A	7	6	11	4	2	3	10	26	12	24	105	Jeffrey Werner '16 [1-10] Nicholas Bourlier '16 [1-2, 5-10] Mallory Hood '23 [3-4]
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR	Cardinals B	6	13	14	9	22	18	5	1	7	10	105	Matthew Reynolds '16 Rebecca Reynolds '17
Bainbridge High School	Spartans 1 A	24	9	7	17	12	5	12	11	13	11	121	Lucas Burzycki '15 Francine Brownell '15
Varsity	Varsity A	2	4	2	14	19	9	26	10	29	23	138
Bainbridge High School	Spartans 2 B	9	22	25	16	15	13	28	2	1	26	157	Caelan Juckniess '16 Joshua Rentz '15
Gig Harbor High School	Tides A	13	24	9	5	18	6	30	15	21	17	158	Will Beckman '16 Bekah Ashpole '15
Orcas High School	Vikings 1 A	30	18	21	23	11	12	8	12	5	22	162	Taj Howe '15 Matia Schwartz '17
Bainbridge High School	Spartans 3 B	19	16	4	3	30	28	16	25	8	16	165	Arianna Fiore '21 Karl Anderson '16
Bainbridge High School	Spartans 4 B	16	2	3	15	16	32	21	27	23	13	168	William Brown '15 Nicholas Dresel '15
Wolverines	Wolverines A	17	25	5	18	10	26	32	13	11	18	175
North Kitsap High School	Varsity A	15	8	23	11	6	15	37	21	27	19	182	Liam Sherry '16 [1-10] Maddie Ekin '16 [1-2, 9-10] Nathan Grundmeier '19 [3-4] Mareena Clodfelter '15 [5-6] Alex Ashley '18 [7-8]
Orcas High School	Vikings 2 B	5	20	19	12	4	19	18	28	24	34	183	Axel Greening '17 Kajetan Bullock '18
Sehome High School	Mariners 2 B	1	1	10	1	20	1	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	190	Adam Didomizio '15 Nicolai Blasdel '17
North Kitsap High School	Varsity B	20	15	16	22	23	31	6	9	18	30	190	Maddie Ekin '16 [1-10] Mareena Clodfelter '15 [1-4, 9-10] Maddie Ekin '16 [5-6] Julia Sherry '19 [7-8]
Woodinville High School	Falcons A	DSQ	10	18	DNF	21	25	15	6	14	6	193	Erik Skeel '16 [1-10] Nathan Finger '15 [1-8] Nina Sayed '15 [9-10]
Gig Harbor High School	Tides B	DNS	DNS	30	21	3	11	17	3	26	5	194	Alyosha Strum-Palerm '17 [1-10] Connor Hoeksma '16 [1-4, 8-10] Kara Ashpole '17 [5-7]
Lycee Francais de Chicago	Red Hawks A	21	DNS	20	DNF	8	27	7	22	17	4	204	Chloe Dawson '16 [1-10] Alejandro Montanez '17 [1-2, 9-10] Kaya Wiant '17 [3-8]
Orcas High School	Vikings 2 A	14	28	24	13	17	17	36	19	31	14	213	Wylie Kau '16 William Coe '15
Wilson High School	Trojans A	18	30	27	DNF	26	DNS	4	14	20	12	229	Annabelle 'Belle' Lemoine '15
Wilson High School	Trojans B	BYE	31	28	25	14	22	33	23	9	28	237	Kendall Kracke '15 Elizabeth Keeney '15
Orcas High School	Vikings 3 A	12	19	31	19	DNS	14	27	36	33	9	239	Dominick Wareham '19 Ronan Rankin '19
Woodinville High School	Falcons B	10	21	12	24	25	23	23	35	36	33	242	Karl Skeel '16 [1-2, 5-10] Tim Player '16 [3-4] Tim Player '16 [1-2, 5-10] Karl Skeel '16 [3-4]
Sehome High School	Mariners 2 A	22	11	DNS	DNS	36	20	13	18	15	35	248	Adam Didomizio '15 Nicolai Blasdel '17
Orcas High School	Vikings 1 B	DNS	17	22	27	27	30	35	7	32	15	251	Quinn Freedman '15 Jadyn Kopp '18
Bainbridge High School	Spartans 1 B	23	27	26	20	32	29	14	30	22	29	252	Hannah Harrison '15 Elizabeth Rolfes '17
Varsity	Varsity B	31	DNS	15	28	24	16	29	29	34	31	276
Ballard High School	Beavers A	DNF	23	29	DNF	35	24	20	24	25	32	290	Margaux Currie '15 [1-10] Sho Shrock Manabe '15 [1-8] Lilli Tran '16 [9-10]
Seahawks	Seahawks B	27	34	37	29	33	35	22	34	19	21	291
Wolverines	Wolverines B	32	32	32	26	31	34	31	20	28	25	291
Lycee Francais de Chicago	Red Hawks B	28	26	33	DNF	34	33	24	32	16	27	292	Mckenzie Ginther '16 [1-10] Anchor Jennison '15 [1-4, 7-10] Jackson Wilke '21 [5-6]
Orcas High School	Vikings 3 B	25	29	35	30	28	36	34	33	37	20	307	Maggie Toombs '18 Mccabe Webb '18
Seahawks	Seahawks A	DNS	DNS	34	31	29	21	19	31	30	37	310
Ballard High School	Beavers B	29	33	36	32	BYE	BYE	25	37	35	36	329	Grant Barton '16 Reya Fore '18

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.100+0.10

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (29 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A	8A	9A	10A
Bainbridge High School Spartans 2							82	82
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals									13	13
Lycee Francais de Chicago Red Hawks	14	14	15	15	16	16	2	2
North Kitsap High School Varsity							13	13	14	14
Orcas High School Vikings 1					13	13	14	14	15	15
Orcas High School Vikings 2			13	13	14	14	15	15	16	16
Orcas High School Vikings 3	13	13	14	14	15	15	16	16	2	2
Sehome High School Mariners 1	15	15	16	16	27	27
Sehome High School Mariners 2	16	16	2	2
Varsity Varsity	2	2							6	6
Wilson High School Trojans							6	6	7	7
Woodinville High School Falcons					6	6	7	7	8	8

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B	7B	8B	9B	10B
Seahawks Seahawks			6	6	7	7	8	8	24	24
Bainbridge High School Spartans 1	6	6	7	7	8	8	24	24	25	25
Bainbridge High School Spartans 2	7	7	8	8	24	24	25	25	26	26
Bainbridge High School Spartans 3	8	8	24	24	25	25	26	26	27	27
Bainbridge High School Spartans 4	24	24	25	25	26	26	27	27	28	28
Ballard High School Beavers	25	25	26	26			28	28	29	29
Wolverines Wolverines	26	26	27	27	28	28	29	29	30	30
Gig Harbor High School Tides	27	27	28	28	29	29	30	30	31	31
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals	28	28	29	29	30	30	31	31	32	32
Lycee Francais de Chicago Red Hawks									81	81
North Kitsap High School Varsity	29	29	30	30	31	31	32	32
Orcas High School Vikings 1	30	30	31	31	32	32
Orcas High School Vikings 2	31	31	32	32
Orcas High School Vikings 3	32	32
Sehome High School Mariners 1							81	81	82	82
Sehome High School Mariners 2					81	81
Varsity Varsity			81	81	82	82
Wilson High School Trojans	81	81	82	82
Woodinville High School Falcons	82	82

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Bainbridge High School	Lucas Burzycki '15	Francine Brownell '15
Spartans 1	Hannah Harrison '15	Elizabeth Rolfes '17
Bainbridge High School	Blake Bentzen '16 [1-10]	Kathryn Smith '17 [1-6, 9-10] Quinn Ring '18 [7-8]
Spartans 2	Caelan Juckniess '16	Joshua Rentz '15
Bainbridge High School	Jackson Mccoy '15 [1-10]	Nicole Sanford '16 [1-6] Sophie Crandell '18 [7-10]
Spartans 3	Arianna Fiore '21	Karl Anderson '16
Bainbridge High School	Stasi Burzycki '15 [1-10]	Harrison Saliba '17 [1-2, 5-6] Sophia Kasper '18 [3-4, 7-10]
Spartans 4	William Brown '15	Nicholas Dresel '15
Ballard High School	Margaux Currie '15 [1-10]	Sho Shrock Manabe '15 [1-8] Lilli Tran '16 [9-10]
Beavers	Grant Barton '16	Reya Fore '18
Gig Harbor High School	Will Beckman '16	Bekah Ashpole '15
Tides	Alyosha Strum-Palerm '17 [1-10]	Connor Hoeksma '16 [1-4, 8-10] Kara Ashpole '17 [5-7]
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR	Drew Bennett '15	Mia Dalton '18
Cardinals	Matthew Reynolds '16	Rebecca Reynolds '17
Lycee Francais de Chicago	Chloe Dawson '16 [1-10]	Alejandro Montanez '17 [1-2, 9-10] Kaya Wiant '17 [3-8]
Red Hawks	Mckenzie Ginther '16 [1-10]	Anchor Jennison '15 [1-4, 7-10] Jackson Wilke '21 [5-6]
North Kitsap High School	Liam Sherry '16 [1-10]	Maddie Ekin '16 [1-2, 9-10] Nathan Grundmeier '19 [3-4] Mareena Clodfelter '15 [5-6] Alex Ashley '18 [7-8]
Varsity	Maddie Ekin '16 [1-10]	Mareena Clodfelter '15 [1-4, 9-10] Maddie Ekin '16 [5-6] Julia Sherry '19 [7-8]
Orcas High School	Taj Howe '15	Matia Schwartz '17
Vikings 1	Quinn Freedman '15	Jadyn Kopp '18
Orcas High School	Wylie Kau '16	William Coe '15
Vikings 2	Axel Greening '17	Kajetan Bullock '18
Orcas High School	Dominick Wareham '19	Ronan Rankin '19
Vikings 3	Maggie Toombs '18	Mccabe Webb '18
Sehome High School	Jeffrey Werner '16 [1-10]	Nicholas Bourlier '16 [1-2, 5-10] Mallory Hood '23 [3-4]
Mariners 1	Liam Hood '16	Shea Walker '16
Sehome High School	Adam Didomizio '15	Nicolai Blasdel '17
Mariners 2	Adam Didomizio '15	Nicolai Blasdel '17
Wilson High School	Annabelle 'Belle' Lemoine '15
Trojans	Kendall Kracke '15	Elizabeth Keeney '15
Woodinville High School	Erik Skeel '16 [1-10]	Nathan Finger '15 [1-8] Nina Sayed '15 [9-10]
Falcons	Karl Skeel '16 [1-2, 5-10] Tim Player '16 [3-4]	Tim Player '16 [1-2, 5-10] Karl Skeel '16 [3-4]

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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SSP Combined Division - GOLD

Division A

Division B

From the notes