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2016 MASSA Spring Silver Championship

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 37 31 68
2 South River High School South River High School Seahawks 33 45 78
3 Edmund Burke School Edmund Burke School Bengals 38 44 82
4 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 27 64 91
5 Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 63 34 97
6 St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints 65 47 112
7 Severna Park Severna Park Falcons 58 61 119
8 Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 85 68 153
9 Princeton High School Princeton High School Little Tigers 76 92 168
10 Red Bank Catholic High School Red Bank Catholic High School Caseys 75 96 171
11 Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres 96 77 173
12 Toms River South Toms River South Indians 96 99 195
13 Canisius High School Canisius High School Varsity 99 99 198
14 Mercy High School Mercy High School Varsity 107 104 211
15 The Stony Brook School The Stony Brook School Bears 126 120 246
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 4 2 8 1 1 4 2 1 4 27 Ellie Maus '18
Chris Robertson '19
South River High School South River High School Seahawks 6 4 4 2 2 2 3 4 6 33 Tyler Mowry '18
Alexa Schoeneborn '17
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 1 1 3 11 6 3 8 3 1 37 Emily Haig '17
Sam Westby '16
Edmund Burke School Edmund Burke School Bengals 2 3 1 DSQ 4 1 1 8 2 38 Casey Cabot '17
Talia Frank '17
Severna Park Severna Park Falcons 3 5 6 8 5 5 11 6 9 58 Kate Riley '18 [1-9]
Josh Picoli '15 [1-4]
Jack Carty '17 [5-9]
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 7 9 5 6 12 7 4 5 8 63 Erin Mcgarry '17
Regina Vahey '18
St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints 15 11 2 7 3 6 14 2 5 65 Michael Bisson '18
Eddie Langemak '19
Red Bank Catholic High School Red Bank Catholic High School Caseys 5 12 10 5 8 8 12 12 3 75 Brendan Gilman '18
Shayn Lynch '18
Princeton High School Princeton High School Little Tigers 8 6 7 13 7 12 5 11 7 76 Nathan Drezner '16
Ashley Dart '17
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 10 8 9 4 11 9 10 14 10 85 Cole Handly '19 [1-9]
Micaela Twisdale '16 [1-2, 5-8]
Will Olson '17 [3-4, 9]
Toms River South Toms River South Indians 13 7 14 10 13 11 9 7 12 96 Lauren Zelenak '17 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Willow Wahlers '17 [3-4, 7-8]
Carol Nunn '19 [1-2, 5-9]
Lauren Zelenak '17 [3-4]
Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres 14 10 13 12 9 10 6 9 13 96 Luke Dufour '17 [1-4]
Coleman Walker '17 [5-9]
Coleman Walker '17 [1-4]
Matt Shearon '17 [5-9]
Canisius High School Canisius High School Varsity 9 13 11 3 15 14 7 13 14 99 Max Balanevsky '18
Gannon O'Connor '17
Mercy High School Mercy High School Varsity 11 15 15 9 10 13 13 10 11 107 Kyle Flaherty '19
Emily Davis '19
The Stony Brook School The Stony Brook School Bears 12 14 12 14 14 15 15 15 15 126 Thomas Derose '19 [1-4, 7-8]
George Gildersleeve '19 [5-6, 9]
Ella Simmons '19 [1-4, 9]
Isaac Voros '17 [5-6]
Fiona Farrel '17 [7-8]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 3 3 5 1 6 2 6 1 4 31 Tom Green '19 [1-2]
Dana Haig '18 [3-9]
Michael Scales '16 [1-2]
Tom Green '19 [3-9]
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 1 4 2 3 3 9 1 4 7 34 Cole Banias '17
Maureen Mcgarry '17
Edmund Burke School Edmund Burke School Bengals 10 8 1 2 1 13 2 2 5 44 Tye Rubin '17 [1-9]
River Carson '17 [1-2]
Genevieve Dickinson '17 [3-9]
South River High School South River High School Seahawks 2 2 13 4 7 3 5 3 6 45 Ethan Schrand '19
Megan Rutkai '17
St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints 4 6 3 8 4 6 9 5 2 47 Ian Mathiesen '15
Annabelle Hutchinson '17
Severna Park Severna Park Falcons 7 1 8 5 10 5 11 11 3 61 Stanley Galloway '18 [1-4]
Benjamin Podlich '18 [5-9]
Colleen Walker '17 [1-4]
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 6 5 11 11 5 1 8 8 9 64 Parker Purrington '19
Matt Wright '19
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 5 7 10 7 11 11 7 9 1 68 Sam Brady '19 [1-9]
Jillian Kilgore '16 [1-2, 7-8]
Grace Holloway '17 [3-4, 9]
Emily Butler '19 [5-6]
Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres 8 11 4 12 2 8 3 14 15 77 Noah Kullman '17
Sarah Westheim '16
Princeton High School Princeton High School Little Tigers 13 9 7 14 12 4 12 13 8 92 Harrison Barfield '17
Benjamin Drezner '19
Red Bank Catholic High School Red Bank Catholic High School Caseys 9 12 6 10 9 15 13 10 12 96 Molly Meehan '19 [1-9]
Caroline Fortier '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Caroline Greeley '17 [3-4, 7-8]
Canisius High School Canisius High School Varsity 12 15 12 13 14 7 10 6 10 99 Matthew Galbraith '17
Christian Rottner '17
Toms River South Toms River South Indians 14 13 14 9 8 12 4 12 13 99 Alexa Carles '19
Leo Krajewski '19
Mercy High School Mercy High School Varsity 15 10 9 6 13 10 15 15 11 104 Grace Taylor '18
William Santos '18
The Stony Brook School The Stony Brook School Bears 11 14 15 15 OCS 14 14 7 14 120 Kadin Via '17 [1-4, 7-9]
Isaac Voros '17 [5-6]
Jack Adams '18 [1-4]
Margaret Hunt '19 [5-6]
Alyssa Jette '19 [7-9]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
Canisius High SchoolCanisius High School Varsity113355779
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins2244668810
Edmund Burke SchoolEdmund Burke School Bengals3355779911
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Warriors446688101012
Mercy High SchoolMercy High School Varsity557799111113
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks66881010121214
Princeton High SchoolPrinceton High School Little Tigers77991111131315
Red Bank Catholic High SchoolRed Bank Catholic High School Caseys881010121214141
Sts. Peter & PaulSts. Peter & Paul Sabres991111131315152
Severna ParkSeverna Park Falcons101012121414113
South River High SchoolSouth River High School Seahawks111113131515224
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams1212141411335
St. Mary's High School (MD)St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints1313151522446
The Stony Brook SchoolThe Stony Brook School Bears14141133557
Toms River SouthToms River South Indians15152244668

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
Canisius High SchoolCanisius High School Varsity2244668810
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins3355779911
Edmund Burke SchoolEdmund Burke School Bengals446688101012
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Warriors557799111113
Mercy High SchoolMercy High School Varsity66881010121214
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks77991111131315
Princeton High SchoolPrinceton High School Little Tigers881010121214141
Red Bank Catholic High SchoolRed Bank Catholic High School Caseys991111131315152
Sts. Peter & PaulSts. Peter & Paul Sabres101012121414113
Severna ParkSeverna Park Falcons111113131515224
South River High SchoolSouth River High School Seahawks1212141411335
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams1313151522446
St. Mary's High School (MD)St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints14141133557
The Stony Brook SchoolThe Stony Brook School Bears15152244668
Toms River SouthToms River South Indians113355779
School / Team SkipperCrew
Canisius High School Canisius High School Max Balanevsky '18 Gannon O'Connor '17
Varsity Matthew Galbraith '17 Christian Rottner '17
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Erin Mcgarry '17 Regina Vahey '18
Griffins Cole Banias '17 Maureen Mcgarry '17
Edmund Burke School Edmund Burke School Casey Cabot '17 Talia Frank '17
Bengals Tye Rubin '17 [1-9] River Carson '17 [1-2]
Genevieve Dickinson '17 [3-9]
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Cole Handly '19 [1-9] Micaela Twisdale '16 [1-2, 5-8]
Will Olson '17 [3-4, 9]
Warriors Sam Brady '19 [1-9] Jillian Kilgore '16 [1-2, 7-8]
Grace Holloway '17 [3-4, 9]
Emily Butler '19 [5-6]
Mercy High School Mercy High School Kyle Flaherty '19 Emily Davis '19
Varsity Grace Taylor '18 William Santos '18
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Ellie Maus '18 Chris Robertson '19
Oaks Parker Purrington '19 Matt Wright '19
Princeton High School Princeton High School Nathan Drezner '16 Ashley Dart '17
Little Tigers Harrison Barfield '17 Benjamin Drezner '19
Red Bank Catholic High School Red Bank Catholic High School Brendan Gilman '18 Shayn Lynch '18
Caseys Molly Meehan '19 [1-9] Caroline Fortier '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Caroline Greeley '17 [3-4, 7-8]
Severna Park Severna Park Kate Riley '18 [1-9] Josh Picoli '15 [1-4]
Jack Carty '17 [5-9]
Falcons Stanley Galloway '18 [1-4]
Benjamin Podlich '18 [5-9]		 Colleen Walker '17 [1-4]
South River High School South River High School Tyler Mowry '18 Alexa Schoeneborn '17
Seahawks Ethan Schrand '19 Megan Rutkai '17
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Emily Haig '17 Sam Westby '16
Rams Tom Green '19 [1-2]
Dana Haig '18 [3-9]		 Michael Scales '16 [1-2]
Tom Green '19 [3-9]
St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Michael Bisson '18 Eddie Langemak '19
Saints Ian Mathiesen '15 Annabelle Hutchinson '17
Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Luke Dufour '17 [1-4]
Coleman Walker '17 [5-9]		 Coleman Walker '17 [1-4]
Matt Shearon '17 [5-9]
Sabres Noah Kullman '17 Sarah Westheim '16
The Stony Brook School The Stony Brook School Thomas Derose '19 [1-4, 7-8]
George Gildersleeve '19 [5-6, 9]		 Ella Simmons '19 [1-4, 9]
Isaac Voros '17 [5-6]
Fiona Farrel '17 [7-8]
Bears Kadin Via '17 [1-4, 7-9]
Isaac Voros '17 [5-6]		 Jack Adams '18 [1-4]
Margaret Hunt '19 [5-6]
Alyssa Jette '19 [7-9]
Toms River South Toms River South Lauren Zelenak '17 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Willow Wahlers '17 [3-4, 7-8]		 Carol Nunn '19 [1-2, 5-9]
Lauren Zelenak '17 [3-4]
Indians Alexa Carles '19 Leo Krajewski '19

Conditions — 04/16/2016 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 55%  ·  Pressure 1030.1 hPa

Temperature

57°F
↑ 62°F   ↓ 48°F
Feels like 55°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.2 kn
avg  ·  max 5.8 kn
Gusts to 14.8 kn
From NE (51°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover2% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity55% Pressure1030.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 5 kn · NE 3 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Washington College: a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.02 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.05
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.06 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Washington College by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (17 labelled days at Washington College).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →