MN Conference Finale

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Edina High School Edina High School mixed 11 7 18
2 Orono High School Orono High School Mixed 1 8 17 25
3 Orono High School Orono High School Mixed 2 13 13 26
4 Southwest Senior High School Southwest Senior High School Varsity 1 13 17 30
5 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 31 7 38
6 Benilde St Margarets Benilde St Margarets Red 18 21 39
7 Edina High School Edina High School Varsity 18 24 42
8 Chanhassen High School Chanhassen High School Mixed 15 28 43
9 Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 29 19 48
10 Southwest Senior High School Southwest Senior High School mixed 14 37 51
11 Southwest Senior High School Southwest Senior High School Varsity 2 32 20 52
12 Benilde St Margarets Benilde St Margarets Mixed 33 34 67
13 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 38 29 67
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Orono High School Orono High School Mixed 1 4 3 1 8 Seamus Hendrickson '21 [1-3]
Jack "Henry" Strommen '21 [1-2]
Oliver Strommen '22 [3]
Edina High School Edina High School mixed 3 4 4 11 Kate Higgins '18
Madison Mott '17
Orono High School Orono High School Mixed 2 2 2 9 13 Rachel Bartel '20
Louise Rosenbaum '20
Southwest Senior High School Southwest Senior High School Varsity 1 5 1 7 13 Simon Rothman '17 [1, 3]
Remi Clark '19 [2]
Remi Clark '19 [1, 3]
Simon Rothman '17 [2]
Southwest Senior High School Southwest Senior High School mixed 1 8 5 14 Thomas Jagielski '18 [1, 3]
Arya Pamungkas '17 [2]
Arya Pamungkas '17 [1, 3]
Thomas Jagielski '18 [2]
Chanhassen High School Chanhassen High School Mixed 7 5 3 15 Kytalin Hendrickson '22 [1-3]
Olivia Riegert '20 [1-2]
Mei Vickery '21 [3]
Benilde St Margarets Benilde St Margarets Red 6 6 6 18 Riley Norman '19
Caroline Murphy '17
Edina High School Edina High School Varsity 9 7 2 18 George Moore '19
Reilly Hannula '19
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 11 10 8 29 Wiley Hunt '19
Maria Pumper '19
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 12 9 10 31 Evan Komis '20
Madeline Wilson '20
Southwest Senior High School Southwest Senior High School Varsity 2 8 11 13 32 Tighe Case '18 [1, 3]
Henry Chadbourn '18 [2]
Henry Chadbourn '18 [1, 3]
Tighe Case '18 [2]
Benilde St Margarets Benilde St Margarets Mixed 10 12 11 33 Jacob Zagaros '19
Ananya Yogarajah '21
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 13 13 12 38 Sydney Maxwell '17
Audrey Cote '20
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Edina High School Edina High School mixed 1 5 1 7 Nicole Giuliani '20 [1-3]
Grace Drought '19 [1-2]
Natasha Levy '19 [3]
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 2 1 4 7 Rex Frazier '21
Christian Kist '18
Orono High School Orono High School Mixed 2 5 2 6 13 Archie Bolgar '19
Megan Schoenzeit '21
Southwest Senior High School Southwest Senior High School Varsity 1 4 10 3 17 Calvin Lamosse '21
Mason Pirner '21
Orono High School Orono High School Mixed 1 7 8 2 17 Lucas Haarstad '17 [1-3]
Lauren Ische '18 [1-2]
Oliver Strommen '22 [3]
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 3 11 5 19 Drew Schell '19
Reid Vanatta '20
Southwest Senior High School Southwest Senior High School Varsity 2 6 4 10 20 James Jagielski '21 [1-2]
Gints Pelecis '21 [3]
Gints Pelecis '21 [1-2]
James Jagielski '21 [3]
Benilde St Margarets Benilde St Margarets Red 9 3 9 21 Alex Saffert '20
Clare Leeper '19
Edina High School Edina High School Varsity 11 6 7 24 Ben Ragus '20
Xochitl Galvanpizana '18
Chanhassen High School Chanhassen High School Mixed 8 9 11 28 Eleanor Christianson '19 [1-2]
Mei Vickery '21 [3]
Anna Bloomquist '18 [1-3]
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 10 7 12 29 Alexa Shinler '20
Madison Laroche '19
Benilde St Margarets Benilde St Margarets Mixed 13 13 8 34 Matthew Tucker '17
Ana Haarstad '19
Southwest Senior High School Southwest Senior High School mixed 12 12 13 37 Safiya Easthausen '19
Emma Price '19
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2017 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A
Benilde St MargaretsBenilde St Margarets Mixed191919
Benilde St MargaretsBenilde St Margarets Red777
Chanhassen High SchoolChanhassen High School Mixed222222
Edina High SchoolEdina High School Varsity131313
Edina High SchoolEdina High School mixed444
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 1666
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 2151515
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Mixed 1232323
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Mixed 2121212
Southwest Senior High SchoolSouthwest Senior High School Varsity 1888
Southwest Senior High SchoolSouthwest Senior High School Varsity 2111111
Southwest Senior High SchoolSouthwest Senior High School mixed161616
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Navy333

Division B

Team1B2B3B
Benilde St MargaretsBenilde St Margarets Mixed191919
Benilde St MargaretsBenilde St Margarets Red777
Chanhassen High SchoolChanhassen High School Mixed222222
Edina High SchoolEdina High School Varsity131313
Edina High SchoolEdina High School mixed444
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 1666
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 2151515
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Mixed 1232323
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Mixed 2121212
Southwest Senior High SchoolSouthwest Senior High School Varsity 1888
Southwest Senior High SchoolSouthwest Senior High School Varsity 2111111
Southwest Senior High SchoolSouthwest Senior High School mixed161616
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Navy333
School / Team SkipperCrew
Benilde St Margarets Benilde St Margarets Jacob Zagaros '19 Ananya Yogarajah '21
Mixed Matthew Tucker '17 Ana Haarstad '19
Benilde St Margarets Benilde St Margarets Riley Norman '19 Caroline Murphy '17
Red Alex Saffert '20 Clare Leeper '19
Chanhassen High School Chanhassen High School Kytalin Hendrickson '22 [1-3] Olivia Riegert '20 [1-2]
Mei Vickery '21 [3]
Mixed Eleanor Christianson '19 [1-2]
Mei Vickery '21 [3]
Anna Bloomquist '18 [1-3]
Edina High School Edina High School George Moore '19 Reilly Hannula '19
Varsity Ben Ragus '20 Xochitl Galvanpizana '18
Edina High School Edina High School Kate Higgins '18 Madison Mott '17
mixed Nicole Giuliani '20 [1-3] Grace Drought '19 [1-2]
Natasha Levy '19 [3]
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Evan Komis '20 Madeline Wilson '20
Skippers 1 Rex Frazier '21 Christian Kist '18
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Sydney Maxwell '17 Audrey Cote '20
Skippers 2 Alexa Shinler '20 Madison Laroche '19
Orono High School Orono High School Seamus Hendrickson '21 [1-3] Jack "Henry" Strommen '21 [1-2]
Oliver Strommen '22 [3]
Mixed 1 Lucas Haarstad '17 [1-3] Lauren Ische '18 [1-2]
Oliver Strommen '22 [3]
Orono High School Orono High School Rachel Bartel '20 Louise Rosenbaum '20
Mixed 2 Archie Bolgar '19 Megan Schoenzeit '21
Southwest Senior High School Southwest Senior High School Simon Rothman '17 [1, 3]
Remi Clark '19 [2]
Remi Clark '19 [1, 3]
Simon Rothman '17 [2]
Varsity 1 Calvin Lamosse '21 Mason Pirner '21
Southwest Senior High School Southwest Senior High School Tighe Case '18 [1, 3]
Henry Chadbourn '18 [2]
Henry Chadbourn '18 [1, 3]
Tighe Case '18 [2]
Varsity 2 James Jagielski '21 [1-2]
Gints Pelecis '21 [3]
Gints Pelecis '21 [1-2]
James Jagielski '21 [3]
Southwest Senior High School Southwest Senior High School Thomas Jagielski '18 [1, 3]
Arya Pamungkas '17 [2]
Arya Pamungkas '17 [1, 3]
Thomas Jagielski '18 [2]
mixed Safiya Easthausen '19 Emma Price '19
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Wiley Hunt '19 Maria Pumper '19
Navy Drew Schell '19 Reid Vanatta '20

Conditions — 05/13/2017 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 44%  ·  Pressure 1010.5 hPa

Temperature

71°F
↑ 78°F   ↓ 57°F
Feels like 72°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
2.6 kn
avg  ·  max 3.4 kn
Gusts to 10.9 kn
From WNW (294°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover1% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity44% Pressure1010.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Edina/Southwest Senior/Washburn: an underdogs’ day (−0.10)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.06 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.04
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.14 ± 0.26)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.10 means a rating gap counts about 9% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Edina/Southwest Senior/Washburn by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Edina/Southwest Senior/Washburn, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →