NESSA Herreshoff Qualifier- Coast Guard Academy

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 North Kingstown High School North Kingstown High School Skippers 32 17 49
2 The Hotchkiss School The Hotchkiss School Bearcats 41 24 65
3 Greenwich Academy Greenwich Academy Gator 53 22 75
4 Staples High School Staples High School The Wreckers 16 60 76
5 Milton Academy Milton Academy Mustangs 27 50 77
6 Fairfield Ludlowe High School Fairfield Ludlowe High School Falcons 39 43 82
7 Greenwich High School Greenwich High School Cardinals 46 39 85
8 Marthas Vineyard RHS Marthas Vineyard RHS Vineyarders 38 50 88
9 Choate Rosemary Hall Choate Rosemary Hall Wild Boars 52 36 88
10 Middletown High School Middletown High School Islanders 38 52 90
11 East Greenwich High School East Greenwich High School Avengers 56 50 106
12 The Prout School The Prout School Crusades 39 68 107
13 Darien High School Darien High School Blue Wave 69 38 107
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Staples High School Staples High School The Wreckers 2 2 1 2 8 1 16 Nicole Welch '17
Cecilia Adams '19
Milton Academy Milton Academy Mustangs 1 4 6 1 13 2 27 Christina Sakellaris '17
Alana Greenaway '19
North Kingstown High School North Kingstown High School Skippers 3 7 7 6 5 4 32 Marina Barzaghi '17 [1-6]
Adeline Sutton '17 [1-4]
Elsa Kincaid '18 [5-6]
Marthas Vineyard RHS Marthas Vineyard RHS Vineyarders 6 1 11 9 1 10 38 Mary Morano '17
Elizabeth O'Brien '18
Middletown High School Middletown High School Islanders 10 11 5 5 2 5 38 Rebecca Read '17
Taylor Borges '17
The Prout School The Prout School Crusades 5 3 8 8 4 11 39 Payton Canavan '19
Mikaela Kimpton '18
Fairfield Ludlowe High School Fairfield Ludlowe High School Falcons 8 10 4 4 6 7 39 Juiia Reynolds '17
Tory Miletti '18
The Hotchkiss School The Hotchkiss School Bearcats 7 12 9 7 3 3 41 Meredith Moran '19
Elizabeth Koobatian '19
Greenwich High School Greenwich High School Cardinals 11 5 2 11 11 6 46 Rebecca Hillestad '18
Isabella Clemens '18
Choate Rosemary Hall Choate Rosemary Hall Wild Boars 12 6 3 10 12 9 52 Olivia Vandenborn '17 [1-6]
Alexandra Hakim '19 [1-2]
Josefina Ruggieri '17 [3-6]
Greenwich Academy Greenwich Academy Gator 9 9 12 3 7 13 53 Ashton Borcherding '18
Ever Lasley '18
East Greenwich High School East Greenwich High School Avengers 4 8 10 13 9 12 56 Unregistered Sailors '22
Unregistered Sailors '22
Darien High School Darien High School Blue Wave 13 13 13 12 10 8 69 Devin Hart '19
Camille Infurna '18
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
North Kingstown High School North Kingstown High School Skippers 7 3 4 1 1 1 17 Aili Moffett '19 [1-6]
Jaia Colongese '18 [1-2]
Caroline Bourgeois '18 [3-4]
Marissa Cogswell '19 [5-6]
Greenwich Academy Greenwich Academy Gator 6 1 1 7 5 2 22 Sofia Debs '24
Honour Russell '23
The Hotchkiss School The Hotchkiss School Bearcats 4 6 3 2 3 6 24 Tatiana Whitman '18
Jacqui Rice '20
Choate Rosemary Hall Choate Rosemary Hall Wild Boars 10 2 12 6 2 4 36 Madeline Simms '19
Arin Kaye '17
Darien High School Darien High School Blue Wave 1 8 5 8 7 9 38 Madeliene Keene '17
Lauren Miller '19
Greenwich High School Greenwich High School Cardinals 3 4 10 10 9 3 39 Taylor Schinto '18
Isabella Arnaboldi '17
Fairfield Ludlowe High School Fairfield Ludlowe High School Falcons 9 5 2 9 11 7 43 Elizabeth Cutler '20 [1-6]
Allison Wales '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Madi Bull '20 [3-4]
East Greenwich High School East Greenwich High School Avengers 2 13 9 4 8 DNS 50 Unregistered Sailors '22
Unregistered Sailors '22
Milton Academy Milton Academy Mustangs 8 10 6 3 13 10 50 Julia O'Connor '20
Isabelle Alex '21
Marthas Vineyard RHS Marthas Vineyard RHS Vineyarders 11 9 8 13 4 5 50 Katie Morse '19 [1-6]
Sayln Yancey '18 [1-2]
Maggie Mayhew '18 [3-6]
Middletown High School Middletown High School Islanders 12 7 11 5 6 11 52 Delaney Saluja '20 [1-6]
Avery Mey '17 [1-4]
Loiuse Andersen '17 [5-6]
Staples High School Staples High School The Wreckers 13 11 7 11 10 8 60 Eloise Pieper '19
Nora Docter '20
The Prout School The Prout School Crusades 5 12 13 12 12 DNF 68 Isabella De Santis '20
Kaitlynn Slattery '17
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2015 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Choate Rosemary HallChoate Rosemary Hall Wild Boars113355
Darien High SchoolDarien High School Blue Wave224466
East Greenwich High SchoolEast Greenwich High School Avengers335577
Fairfield Ludlowe High SchoolFairfield Ludlowe High School Falcons446688
Greenwich High SchoolGreenwich High School Cardinals66881010
Greenwich AcademyGreenwich Academy Gator557799
Marthas Vineyard RHSMarthas Vineyard RHS Vineyarders77991111
Middletown High SchoolMiddletown High School Islanders8810101212
Milton AcademyMilton Academy Mustangs9911111313
North Kingstown High SchoolNorth Kingstown High School Skippers1010121211
Staples High SchoolStaples High School The Wreckers1111131322
The Hotchkiss SchoolThe Hotchkiss School Bearcats12121133
The Prout SchoolThe Prout School Crusades13132244

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Choate Rosemary HallChoate Rosemary Hall Wild Boars224466
Darien High SchoolDarien High School Blue Wave335577
East Greenwich High SchoolEast Greenwich High School Avengers446688
Fairfield Ludlowe High SchoolFairfield Ludlowe High School Falcons557799
Greenwich High SchoolGreenwich High School Cardinals77991111
Greenwich AcademyGreenwich Academy Gator66881010
Marthas Vineyard RHSMarthas Vineyard RHS Vineyarders8810101212
Middletown High SchoolMiddletown High School Islanders9911111313
Milton AcademyMilton Academy Mustangs1010121211
North Kingstown High SchoolNorth Kingstown High School Skippers1111131322
Staples High SchoolStaples High School The Wreckers12121133
The Hotchkiss SchoolThe Hotchkiss School Bearcats13132244
The Prout SchoolThe Prout School Crusades113355
School / Team SkipperCrew
Choate Rosemary Hall Choate Rosemary Hall Olivia Vandenborn '17 [1-6] Alexandra Hakim '19 [1-2]
Josefina Ruggieri '17 [3-6]
Wild Boars Madeline Simms '19 Arin Kaye '17
Darien High School Darien High School Devin Hart '19 Camille Infurna '18
Blue Wave Madeliene Keene '17 Lauren Miller '19
East Greenwich High School East Greenwich High School Unregistered Sailors '22 Unregistered Sailors '22
Avengers Unregistered Sailors '22 Unregistered Sailors '22
Fairfield Ludlowe High School Fairfield Ludlowe High School Juiia Reynolds '17 Tory Miletti '18
Falcons Elizabeth Cutler '20 [1-6] Allison Wales '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Madi Bull '20 [3-4]
Greenwich Academy Greenwich Academy Ashton Borcherding '18 Ever Lasley '18
Gator Sofia Debs '24 Honour Russell '23
Greenwich High School Greenwich High School Rebecca Hillestad '18 Isabella Clemens '18
Cardinals Taylor Schinto '18 Isabella Arnaboldi '17
Marthas Vineyard RHS Marthas Vineyard RHS Mary Morano '17 Elizabeth O'Brien '18
Vineyarders Katie Morse '19 [1-6] Sayln Yancey '18 [1-2]
Maggie Mayhew '18 [3-6]
Middletown High School Middletown High School Rebecca Read '17 Taylor Borges '17
Islanders Delaney Saluja '20 [1-6] Avery Mey '17 [1-4]
Loiuse Andersen '17 [5-6]
Milton Academy Milton Academy Christina Sakellaris '17 Alana Greenaway '19
Mustangs Julia O'Connor '20 Isabelle Alex '21
North Kingstown High School North Kingstown High School Marina Barzaghi '17 [1-6] Adeline Sutton '17 [1-4]
Elsa Kincaid '18 [5-6]
Skippers Aili Moffett '19 [1-6] Jaia Colongese '18 [1-2]
Caroline Bourgeois '18 [3-4]
Marissa Cogswell '19 [5-6]
Staples High School Staples High School Nicole Welch '17 Cecilia Adams '19
The Wreckers Eloise Pieper '19 Nora Docter '20
The Hotchkiss School The Hotchkiss School Meredith Moran '19 Elizabeth Koobatian '19
Bearcats Tatiana Whitman '18 Jacqui Rice '20
The Prout School The Prout School Payton Canavan '19 Mikaela Kimpton '18
Crusades Isabella De Santis '20 Kaitlynn Slattery '17

Conditions — 04/29/2017 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 78%  ·  Pressure 1014.4 hPa

Temperature

69°F
↑ 76°F   ↓ 58°F
Feels like 70°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.0 kn
avg  ·  max 10.1 kn
Gusts to 24.7 kn
From SW (236°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover97% Sunshine9.0 hrs Humidity78% Pressure1014.4 hPa Rain0.08 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 10 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at U.S. Coast Guard Academy: an underdogs’ day (−0.06)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.06 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.00
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.25 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at U.S. Coast Guard Academy by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 7 labelled days at U.S. Coast Guard Academy, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →