NOYC High School Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Ben Franklin High School Ben Franklin High School Benjamin Franklin 10 16 26
2 Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 1 21 13 34
3 Pass Christian High School Sailing Club Pass Christian High School Sailing Club Pass Christian 17 25 42
4 Ocean Springs High School Ocean Springs High School Varsity 22 21 43
5 Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 2 26 24 50
6 Brother Martin Brother Martin Crusaders 30 27 57
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Ben Franklin High School Ben Franklin High School Benjamin Franklin 1 1 1 4 2 1 10 Ben Ryan '18 [1-2]
Hayden Sharpe '20 [3-6]
Sarah Marlar '20 [1-2]
Pass Christian High School Sailing Club Pass Christian High School Sailing Club Pass Christian 2 3 2 2 4 4 17 Alex Rouse '18
Camp Steiner '20
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 1 4 5 6 3 1 2 21 Alana Austin '17
Kennedy Cooper '20
Ocean Springs High School Ocean Springs High School Varsity 5 2 3 1 5 6 22 Matthew Demboski '17
Danielle Zwerg '18
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 2 3 6 4 5 3 5 26 Kaitlin Daly '17
Corinne Martin '20
Brother Martin Brother Martin Crusaders 6 4 5 6 6 3 30 Clayton Blake '19
Connor Casso '19
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 1 3 4 2 2 1 1 13 Delaney Ligori '18
Tylar Warren '18
Ben Franklin High School Ben Franklin High School Benjamin Franklin 2 1 4 4 2 3 16 Sarah Bancroft '19
London L'Hoste-Larson '19
Ocean Springs High School Ocean Springs High School Varsity 4 5 1 1 4 6 21 Samantha Hammond '18
Caleb Pitalo '22
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 2 5 2 5 5 5 2 24 Elizabeth Squires '18
Ava Allen '18
Pass Christian High School Sailing Club Pass Christian High School Sailing Club Pass Christian 6 3 3 3 6 4 25 Sebastian Lopez '18
Erin Dees '20
Brother Martin Brother Martin Crusaders 1 6 6 6 3 5 27 Jackson Barousse '20
Brad Corcoran '20
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2017 (18 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Ben Franklin High SchoolBen Franklin High School Benjamin Franklin112233
Brother MartinBrother Martin Crusaders223344
Ocean Springs High SchoolOcean Springs High School Varsity334455
Pass Christian High School Sailing ClubPass Christian High School Sailing Club Pass Christian445566
Ursuline AcademyUrsuline Academy Lions 1556611
Ursuline AcademyUrsuline Academy Lions 2661122

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Ben Franklin High SchoolBen Franklin High School Benjamin Franklin445566
Brother MartinBrother Martin Crusaders556611
Ocean Springs High SchoolOcean Springs High School Varsity661122
Pass Christian High School Sailing ClubPass Christian High School Sailing Club Pass Christian112233
Ursuline AcademyUrsuline Academy Lions 1223344
Ursuline AcademyUrsuline Academy Lions 2334455
School / Team SkipperCrew
Ben Franklin High School Ben Franklin High School Ben Ryan '18 [1-2]
Hayden Sharpe '20 [3-6]
Sarah Marlar '20 [1-2]
Benjamin Franklin Sarah Bancroft '19 London L'Hoste-Larson '19
Brother Martin Brother Martin Clayton Blake '19 Connor Casso '19
Crusaders Jackson Barousse '20 Brad Corcoran '20
Ocean Springs High School Ocean Springs High School Matthew Demboski '17 Danielle Zwerg '18
Varsity Samantha Hammond '18 Caleb Pitalo '22
Pass Christian High School Sailing Club Pass Christian High School Sailing Club Alex Rouse '18 Camp Steiner '20
Pass Christian Sebastian Lopez '18 Erin Dees '20
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Alana Austin '17 Kennedy Cooper '20
Lions 1 Delaney Ligori '18 Tylar Warren '18
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Kaitlin Daly '17 Corinne Martin '20
Lions 2 Elizabeth Squires '18 Ava Allen '18

Conditions — 04/22/2017 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 61%  ·  Pressure 1012.6 hPa

Temperature

80°F
↑ 83°F   ↓ 73°F
Feels like 84°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.4 kn
avg  ·  max 6.3 kn
Gusts to 14.0 kn
From SW (215°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover54% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity61% Pressure1012.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Ursuline Academy: an underdogs’ day (−0.08)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.19 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.10
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.44 ± 0.27)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Ursuline Academy by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 10 labelled days at Ursuline Academy, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →