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SAISA Mallory Qualifier

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 55 39 94
2 Antilles School Antilles School Hurricanes 39 63 102
3 St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 52 56 108
4 H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 60 57 117
5 Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 79 39 118
6 South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 53 77 130
7 Coral Shores High School Coral Shores High School Hurricanes 85 55 140
8 Riverview High School Riverview High School Varsity 61 90 151
9 Wando High School Wando High School Wando Warriors 67 86 153
10 Myers Park High School Myers Park High School Mustangs 91 108 199
11 Beaufort High School Beaufort High School Varsity 103 101 204
12 Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 104 111 215
13 Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep Varsity 112 108 220
14 James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Varsity 149 95 244
15 Porter-Gaud School Porter-Gaud School Varsity 124 124 248
16 Lake Norman High School Lake Norman High School Wildcats 128 135 263
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Antilles School Antilles School Hurricanes 4 1 1 4 1 9 4 5 8 2 39 Sam Morrell '17
Caroline Teare '17
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 2 10 2 13 7 6 2 3 3 4 52 Sophia Reineke '17 [1-10]
Brian Buckley '17 [1-4]
Libby Redmond '20 [5-10]
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 3 2 4 2 3 5 10 6 10 8 53 Trevor Bornarth '18
Emma Barska '19
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 1 8 DSQ 1 2 1 1 1 9 14 55 Shawn Harvey '17 [1-10]
Bernat Miro '19 [1-6, 9-10]
Delilah Lubarsky '17 [7-8]
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 7 6 6 6 9 3 7 14 1 1 60 Connor Nelson '19
Erica Brown '17
Riverview High School Riverview High School Varsity 8 4 7 3 4 7 6 11 6 5 61 Mark Brunsvold '19
Dylan Heinz '20
Wando High School Wando High School Wando Warriors 10 5 5 5 6 12 5 9 7 3 67 Austin Ando '17 [1-10]
Austin Googer '17 [1-4]
Caroline Main '18 [5-10]
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 5 15 13 8 5 15 3 4 4 7 79 Jack Johansson '17
Roberto Lugones '20
Coral Shores High School Coral Shores High School Hurricanes 6 9 8 14 13 2 8 7 12 6 85 Sam Baker '17
Ella Marsden '20
Myers Park High School Myers Park High School Mustangs 11 3 3 9 12 10 15 2 13 13 91 Adam Larson '19 [1-10]
Kenny Corsig '19 [1-2]
Jackson Sippe '17 [3-10]
Beaufort High School Beaufort High School Varsity 12 12 10 12 14 4 13 10 5 11 103 Walter Gnann '17 [1-10]
Jacob Lawson '18 [1-2, 9-10]
Austin (A.J.) Myers '18 [3-8]
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 14 13 12 10 8 8 14 13 2 10 104 Kyle Dochoda '17 [1-10]
Zachery Ofenloch '19 [1-2]
Karlei Kongsiri '19 [3-10]
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep Varsity 9 7 11 15 10 13 12 12 14 9 112 Garrett Mergenthaler '19 [1-10]
Jason Perryman '17 [1-6, 9-10]
Owen Sull '18 [7-8]
Porter-Gaud School Porter-Gaud School Varsity 13 14 15 11 15 16 9 8 11 12 124 Joey Chomyn '19
William Chapman '18
Lake Norman High School Lake Norman High School Wildcats 16 11 9 7 11 11 16 16 15 16 128 Matthew Chenard '17 [1-10]
Jacob Thompson '18 [1-2]
Evan Chenard '20 [3-6]
Zac Brown '18 [7-10]
James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Varsity 15 16 14 16 DSQ 14 11 15 16 15 149 Croix Farmer '17 [1-10]
Jordan Newland '18 [1-2]
Bobby Baker '18 [3-4, 9-10]
Lindsey Hanckel '17 [5-8]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 1 2 2 3 1 1 4 8 7 10 39 Tucker Weed '18 [1-8]
Paul Lobree '18 [9-10]
Alex Sidi '17 [1-4, 9-10]
Maddie Sharp '18 [5-8]
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders BKD BKD 7 2 4 4 5 1 6 2 39 Clay Snyder '18 [1-10]
Teddy Bueres '19 [1-4, 9-10]
Karen Liberman '20 [5-8]
Coral Shores High School Coral Shores High School Hurricanes 4 3 OCS 7 7 2 3 5 3 4 55 Alex Gonzalez '20
Ethan Osborne '19
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 5 1 1 6 10 5 14 7 2 5 56 Conner Correll '18 [1-10]
Dae Kelly '17 [1-8]
Calli Lewis '17 [9-10]
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 11 8 3 9 3 8 1 2 5 7 57 Charlie Curtis '17 [1-2]
Andrw Burns '17 [3-10]
Audrey Perry '17 [1-2]
Olivia Mcintosh '18 [3-10]
Antilles School Antilles School Hurricanes DSQ 6 11 10 2 10 2 3 1 1 63 Christopher Sharpless '19 [1-4]
Teddy Nicolosi '19 [5-10]
Robert Hunter '18 [1-4]
Ryan Hunter '17 [5-10]
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 3 10 4 1 11 9 13 10 13 3 77 Emily Bornarth '20 [1-10]
Kathryn Bornarth '17 [1-2, 7-8]
Griffin Pollis '19 [3-6, 9-10]
Wando High School Wando High School Wando Warriors 7 7 9 5 9 3 6 11 14 15 86 Jamie Renneker '18 [1-8]
Sydney Register '18 [9-10]
Jack Sutton '18 [1-8]
Riverview High School Riverview High School Varsity 2 4 12 8 12 6 16 13 8 9 90 Lillian Myers '19
Taylor Brunsvold '17
James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Varsity 12 11 8 11 8 13 8 4 12 8 95 Jordan Newland '18 [1-10]
Megan Fetterley '19 [1-2, 9-10]
Britton Durst '19 [3-6]
Andrew Shook '19 [7-8]
Beaufort High School Beaufort High School Varsity 9 9 13 13 14 7 10 6 9 11 101 Alex Mazzeo '18 [1-10]
Chris Hoogenboom '18 [1-2, 7-10]
Sarah Suber '18 [3-6]
Myers Park High School Myers Park High School Mustangs 6 DSQ 10 12 5 15 9 16 4 14 108 Kenny Corsig '19 [1-10]
Jackson Sippe '17 [1-2]
Gantt Renner '19 [3-10]
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep Varsity 14 12 5 16 6 12 7 9 11 16 108 Sammy Choufanni '17 [1-9]
Luke Volk '17 [10]
Luke Volk '17 [1-4, 9]
Jenna Stephens '18 [5-8]
Sammy Choufanni '17 [10]
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 8 5 6 14 16 16 15 15 10 6 111 Heather Kerns '20 [1-6, 9-10]
Elizabeth Shanahan '19 [7-8]
Elizabeth Shanahan '19 [1-4, 9-10]
Anika Boicheff '20 [5-6]
Lily Schneider '19 [7-8]
Porter-Gaud School Porter-Gaud School Varsity 15 13 14 4 15 11 12 12 15 13 124 Neil Walters '20 [1-6]
Peter Buyck '18 [7-10]
Peter Buyck '18 [1-2]
Kate Schiable '20 [3-6]
Neil Walters '20 [7-8]
Robert Turner '18 [9-10]
Lake Norman High School Lake Norman High School Wildcats 13 14 15 BKD 13 14 11 14 16 12 135 Jacob Thompson '18 [1-10]
Declan O'Dell '18 [1-6]
Ben Brown '18 [7-10]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2014 (14 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Antilles SchoolAntilles School Hurricanes1133557799
Beaufort High SchoolBeaufort High School Varsity224466881010
Coral Shores High SchoolCoral Shores High School Hurricanes335577991111
Gulliver Preparatory SchoolGulliver Preparatory School Raiders44668810101212
James Island Charter High SchoolJames Island Charter High School Varsity6688101012121414
Lake Norman High SchoolLake Norman High School Wildcats7799111113131515
Myers Park High SchoolMyers Park High School Mustangs881010121214141616
Pine Lake PrepPine Lake Prep Varsity9911111313151511
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers55779911111313
Porter-Gaud SchoolPorter-Gaud School Varsity101012121414161622
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders1111131315151133
Riverview High SchoolRiverview High School Varsity1212141416162244
St. Thomas Aquinas High SchoolSt. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders151511335577
Shorecrest Preparatory SchoolShorecrest Preparatory School Chargers13131515113355
South Fork High SchoolSouth Fork High School SF BULLDOGS14141616224466
Wando High SchoolWando High School Wando Warriors161622446688

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Antilles SchoolAntilles School Hurricanes224466881010
Beaufort High SchoolBeaufort High School Varsity335577991111
Coral Shores High SchoolCoral Shores High School Hurricanes44668810101212
Gulliver Preparatory SchoolGulliver Preparatory School Raiders55779911111313
James Island Charter High SchoolJames Island Charter High School Varsity7799111113131515
Lake Norman High SchoolLake Norman High School Wildcats881010121214141616
Myers Park High SchoolMyers Park High School Mustangs9911111313151511
Pine Lake PrepPine Lake Prep Varsity101012121414161622
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers6688101012121414
Porter-Gaud SchoolPorter-Gaud School Varsity1111131315151133
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders1212141416162244
Riverview High SchoolRiverview High School Varsity13131515113355
St. Thomas Aquinas High SchoolSt. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders161622446688
Shorecrest Preparatory SchoolShorecrest Preparatory School Chargers14141616224466
South Fork High SchoolSouth Fork High School SF BULLDOGS151511335577
Wando High SchoolWando High School Wando Warriors1133557799
School / Team SkipperCrew
Antilles School Antilles School Sam Morrell '17 Caroline Teare '17
Hurricanes Christopher Sharpless '19 [1-4]
Teddy Nicolosi '19 [5-10]		 Robert Hunter '18 [1-4]
Ryan Hunter '17 [5-10]
Beaufort High School Beaufort High School Walter Gnann '17 [1-10] Jacob Lawson '18 [1-2, 9-10]
Austin (A.J.) Myers '18 [3-8]
Varsity Alex Mazzeo '18 [1-10] Chris Hoogenboom '18 [1-2, 7-10]
Sarah Suber '18 [3-6]
Coral Shores High School Coral Shores High School Sam Baker '17 Ella Marsden '20
Hurricanes Alex Gonzalez '20 Ethan Osborne '19
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Jack Johansson '17 Roberto Lugones '20
Raiders Clay Snyder '18 [1-10] Teddy Bueres '19 [1-4, 9-10]
Karen Liberman '20 [5-8]
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Connor Nelson '19 Erica Brown '17
Panthers Charlie Curtis '17 [1-2]
Andrw Burns '17 [3-10]		 Audrey Perry '17 [1-2]
Olivia Mcintosh '18 [3-10]
James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Croix Farmer '17 [1-10] Jordan Newland '18 [1-2]
Bobby Baker '18 [3-4, 9-10]
Lindsey Hanckel '17 [5-8]
Varsity Jordan Newland '18 [1-10] Megan Fetterley '19 [1-2, 9-10]
Britton Durst '19 [3-6]
Andrew Shook '19 [7-8]
Lake Norman High School Lake Norman High School Matthew Chenard '17 [1-10] Jacob Thompson '18 [1-2]
Evan Chenard '20 [3-6]
Zac Brown '18 [7-10]
Wildcats Jacob Thompson '18 [1-10] Declan O'Dell '18 [1-6]
Ben Brown '18 [7-10]
Myers Park High School Myers Park High School Adam Larson '19 [1-10] Kenny Corsig '19 [1-2]
Jackson Sippe '17 [3-10]
Mustangs Kenny Corsig '19 [1-10] Jackson Sippe '17 [1-2]
Gantt Renner '19 [3-10]
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep Garrett Mergenthaler '19 [1-10] Jason Perryman '17 [1-6, 9-10]
Owen Sull '18 [7-8]
Varsity Sammy Choufanni '17 [1-9]
Luke Volk '17 [10]		 Luke Volk '17 [1-4, 9]
Jenna Stephens '18 [5-8]
Sammy Choufanni '17 [10]
Porter-Gaud School Porter-Gaud School Joey Chomyn '19 William Chapman '18
Varsity Neil Walters '20 [1-6]
Peter Buyck '18 [7-10]		 Peter Buyck '18 [1-2]
Kate Schiable '20 [3-6]
Neil Walters '20 [7-8]
Robert Turner '18 [9-10]
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Shawn Harvey '17 [1-10] Bernat Miro '19 [1-6, 9-10]
Delilah Lubarsky '17 [7-8]
Raiders Tucker Weed '18 [1-8]
Paul Lobree '18 [9-10]		 Alex Sidi '17 [1-4, 9-10]
Maddie Sharp '18 [5-8]
Riverview High School Riverview High School Mark Brunsvold '19 Dylan Heinz '20
Varsity Lillian Myers '19 Taylor Brunsvold '17
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Kyle Dochoda '17 [1-10] Zachery Ofenloch '19 [1-2]
Karlei Kongsiri '19 [3-10]
Chargers Heather Kerns '20 [1-6, 9-10]
Elizabeth Shanahan '19 [7-8]		 Elizabeth Shanahan '19 [1-4, 9-10]
Anika Boicheff '20 [5-6]
Lily Schneider '19 [7-8]
South Fork High School South Fork High School Trevor Bornarth '18 Emma Barska '19
SF BULLDOGS Emily Bornarth '20 [1-10] Kathryn Bornarth '17 [1-2, 7-8]
Griffin Pollis '19 [3-6, 9-10]
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Sophia Reineke '17 [1-10] Brian Buckley '17 [1-4]
Libby Redmond '20 [5-10]
Raiders Conner Correll '18 [1-10] Dae Kelly '17 [1-8]
Calli Lewis '17 [9-10]
Wando High School Wando High School Austin Ando '17 [1-10] Austin Googer '17 [1-4]
Caroline Main '18 [5-10]
Wando Warriors Jamie Renneker '18 [1-8]
Sydney Register '18 [9-10]		 Jack Sutton '18 [1-8]

Conditions — 04/22/2017 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 59%  ·  Pressure 1013.9 hPa

Temperature

79°F
↑ 82°F   ↓ 75°F
Feels like 80°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.8 kn
avg  ·  max 11.2 kn
Gusts to 23.1 kn
From ESE (123°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover92% Sunshine6.8 hrs Humidity59% Pressure1013.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 10 kn · S 8 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Ransom Everglades: a favourites’ day (+0.02)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.09 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.06
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.09 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Ransom Everglades by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 14 labelled days at Ransom Everglades, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →