Yarmouth Latchstring

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Southern ME 1 17 12 29
2 Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Boothbay 19 23 42
3 Mt. Desert Island HS Mt. Desert Island HS Trojans 25 27 52
4 Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Islesboro 29 25 54
5 Yarmouth High School Yarmouth High School Clippers 32 45 77
6 Cape Elizabeth High School Cape Elizabeth High School Capers 26 52 78
7 Cheverus High School Cheverus High School Stags 52 39 91
8 Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Southern ME 2 42 49 91
9 Falmouth High School (ME) Falmouth High School (ME) Yachtsmen 61 31 92
10 Portsmouth High School - NH Portsmouth High School - NH Clippers 45 50 95
11 George Stevens Academy George Stevens Academy Eagles 53 49 102
12 Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs 68 66 134
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Southern ME 1 3 4 4 3 2 1 17 Ava Haag '17
Greata Morissette '17
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Boothbay 8 1 6 1 1 2 19 Hamilton Barclay '23
Ella Beauregard '21
Mt. Desert Island HS Mt. Desert Island HS Trojans 4 5 1 2 8 5 25 Alec Fisichella '19
Lucas Ingebritson '19
Cape Elizabeth High School Cape Elizabeth High School Capers 2 2 3 9 3 7 26 Patrick Miller '19
Aidan Brown '20
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Islesboro 1 3 9 4 4 8 29 Emily Lau '19
Sophie Lau '21
Yarmouth High School Yarmouth High School Clippers 9 6 2 5 6 4 32 Ben Palmer '17
Emi Ruth '18
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Southern ME 2 10 8 10 6 5 3 42 Meghan Taylor '17
Taylor Davis '18
Portsmouth High School - NH Portsmouth High School - NH Clippers 7 10 7 8 7 6 45 Jake Macdonald '19
Thomas Katerakis '20
Cheverus High School Cheverus High School Stags 5 7 8 DSQ 9 10 52 Andrew Morrissette '17
Robert Bossong '18
George Stevens Academy George Stevens Academy Eagles 6 12 5 7 12 11 53 Hattie Slayton '19
Oceana Ragot '19
Falmouth High School (ME) Falmouth High School (ME) Yachtsmen 11 9 11 10 11 9 61 Giacomo Aliboni '17
Catherine Carpenter '19
Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs 12 11 12 11 10 12 68 Adam Wendell-Pearson '20
Jondall Norris '20
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Southern ME 1 7 1 1 1 1 1 12 Calob Niles '17
Harrison Fream '21
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Boothbay 6 6 2 3 4 2 23 Sophia Skinner '18
Nastia Webber '18
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Islesboro 9 3 5 2 2 4 25 Rylee Sienkiewicz '20 [1-6]
Lake Lindelof '22 [1-4]
Pia Gibson '21 [5-6]
Mt. Desert Island HS Mt. Desert Island HS Trojans 2 4 3 4 7 7 27 Lillian Anderson '17 [1-6]
Sofie Dowling '20 [1-5]
Nate Philbrook '20 [6]
Falmouth High School (ME) Falmouth High School (ME) Yachtsmen 1 5 9 7 6 3 31 Sierra Farhman '18 [1-2]
Catherine Morrissette '20 [3-6]
Brendan Mittleider '19 [1-2]
Cheverus High School Cheverus High School Stags 10 10 4 5 5 5 39 William Keith '22
Guggenheim Ana '17
Yarmouth High School Yarmouth High School Clippers 3 2 11 11 10 8 45 Abby Vanlonkhuyzen '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Simon Algara '22 [3]
Sandy Yale '21 [4]
Salome Skinner '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Sandy Yale '21 [3]
Simon Algara '22 [4]
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Southern ME 2 5 7 8 6 12 11 49 Charlie Metcalfe '19
Alden Coldrock '20
George Stevens Academy George Stevens Academy Eagles 8 11 10 8 3 9 49 Katie Forrest '19 [1-4]
Silas Murnik '20 [5-6]
Marie Boulet '19 [1-4]
Tess Williamson '19 [5-6]
Portsmouth High School - NH Portsmouth High School - NH Clippers 4 9 7 12 8 10 50 Connor Durkin '19
Sam Alden '19
Cape Elizabeth High School Cape Elizabeth High School Capers 12 8 6 9 11 6 52 Alec Bodenski '19
Lauren Cutter '20
Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs 11 12 12 10 9 12 66 Daisy Furber '19
Wyatt Dana '20
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2016 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Cape Elizabeth High SchoolCape Elizabeth High School Capers113355
Cheverus High SchoolCheverus High School Stags224466
Falmouth High School (ME)Falmouth High School (ME) Yachtsmen335577
George Stevens AcademyGeorge Stevens Academy Eagles446688
Mt. Desert Island HSMt. Desert Island HS Trojans557799
Portland High SchoolPortland High School Bulldogs66881010
Portsmouth High School - NHPortsmouth High School - NH Clippers77991111
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA Boothbay8810101212
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA Islesboro99111111
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA Southern ME 11010121222
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA Southern ME 211111133
Yarmouth High SchoolYarmouth High School Clippers12122244

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Cape Elizabeth High SchoolCape Elizabeth High School Capers224466
Cheverus High SchoolCheverus High School Stags335577
Falmouth High School (ME)Falmouth High School (ME) Yachtsmen446688
George Stevens AcademyGeorge Stevens Academy Eagles557799
Mt. Desert Island HSMt. Desert Island HS Trojans66881010
Portland High SchoolPortland High School Bulldogs77991111
Portsmouth High School - NHPortsmouth High School - NH Clippers8810101212
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA Boothbay99111111
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA Islesboro1010121222
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA Southern ME 111111133
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA Southern ME 212122244
Yarmouth High SchoolYarmouth High School Clippers113355
School / Team SkipperCrew
Cape Elizabeth High School Cape Elizabeth High School Patrick Miller '19 Aidan Brown '20
Capers Alec Bodenski '19 Lauren Cutter '20
Cheverus High School Cheverus High School Andrew Morrissette '17 Robert Bossong '18
Stags William Keith '22 Guggenheim Ana '17
Falmouth High School (ME) Falmouth High School (ME) Giacomo Aliboni '17 Catherine Carpenter '19
Yachtsmen Sierra Farhman '18 [1-2]
Catherine Morrissette '20 [3-6]
Brendan Mittleider '19 [1-2]
George Stevens Academy George Stevens Academy Hattie Slayton '19 Oceana Ragot '19
Eagles Katie Forrest '19 [1-4]
Silas Murnik '20 [5-6]
Marie Boulet '19 [1-4]
Tess Williamson '19 [5-6]
Mt. Desert Island HS Mt. Desert Island HS Alec Fisichella '19 Lucas Ingebritson '19
Trojans Lillian Anderson '17 [1-6] Sofie Dowling '20 [1-5]
Nate Philbrook '20 [6]
Portland High School Portland High School Adam Wendell-Pearson '20 Jondall Norris '20
Bulldogs Daisy Furber '19 Wyatt Dana '20
Portsmouth High School - NH Portsmouth High School - NH Jake Macdonald '19 Thomas Katerakis '20
Clippers Connor Durkin '19 Sam Alden '19
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Hamilton Barclay '23 Ella Beauregard '21
Boothbay Sophia Skinner '18 Nastia Webber '18
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Emily Lau '19 Sophie Lau '21
Islesboro Rylee Sienkiewicz '20 [1-6] Lake Lindelof '22 [1-4]
Pia Gibson '21 [5-6]
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Ava Haag '17 Greata Morissette '17
Southern ME 1 Calob Niles '17 Harrison Fream '21
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Meghan Taylor '17 Taylor Davis '18
Southern ME 2 Charlie Metcalfe '19 Alden Coldrock '20
Yarmouth High School Yarmouth High School Ben Palmer '17 Emi Ruth '18
Clippers Abby Vanlonkhuyzen '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Simon Algara '22 [3]
Sandy Yale '21 [4]
Salome Skinner '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Sandy Yale '21 [3]
Simon Algara '22 [4]

Conditions — 04/02/2017 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 50%  ·  Pressure 1014.7 hPa

Temperature

44°F
↑ 50°F   ↓ 32°F
Feels like 37°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.0 kn
avg  ·  max 9.1 kn
Gusts to 23.7 kn
From NW (326°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover73% Sunshine9.9 hrs Humidity50% Pressure1014.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 5 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Yarmouth: an underdogs’ day (−0.06)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.10 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.03
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.20 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Yarmouth by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at Yarmouth, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →