EYC JV Spring Regatta

HostEastport Yacht Club
Date04/14/2018
TypeIn-League
BoatCFJ
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Severn School	Admirals	13	12	25
2	Severna Park	Falcons	16	15	31
3	St. Mary's High School (MD)	Saints	10	27	37
4	Sts. Peter & Paul	Sabres	28	30	58
5	Annapolis High School	Panthers	27	31	58
6	Indian Creek School	Eagles	46	16	62
7	Broadneck High School	Bruins	22	41	63
8	Walt Whitman High School	Varsity	40	30	70
9	Archbishop Spalding	Cavaliers	37	35	72
10	Kent Island High School	Buccaneers	36	39	75

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	TOT	Sailors
St. Mary's High School (MD)	Saints	1	3	4	1	1	10	Chase Conway '22 Bridget Bisson '21
Severn School	Admirals	4	2	3	2	2	13	Teddy Cromwell '20 Benji Damon '20
Severna Park	Falcons	3	1	2	4	6	16	Connor Killeen '21 Janie Powell '21
Broadneck High School	Bruins	5	6	1	5	5	22	Morgan Carew '21 [1-5] Josh Becker '20 [1-2, 5] Will Sizemore '20 [3-4]
Annapolis High School	Panthers	8	4	5	3	7	27	Cole Canuel '23 Isabella Fadullon '23
Sts. Peter & Paul	Sabres	2	7	6	10	3	28	Matthew Collinson '20 [1-2, 5] Ole Singelstad '21 [3-4] Mary Nolan '21 [1-2, 5]
Kent Island High School	Buccaneers	7	5	9	7	8	36	Crispin Blamphin '18 [1-2] Aliya Berger '20 [3-4] Corbin Voorhes '21 [5] Scott Carlsen '20 [1-2] Mary Macdonald '20 [3-4] Samuel Irizarray '21 [5]
Archbishop Spalding	Cavaliers	9	10	8	6	4	37	Griffin Richardson '21 [1-5] Joaquin Marquez '21 [1-2, 5] Brennan Flood '19 [3-4]
Walt Whitman High School	Varsity	6	9	7	8	10	40	Lukas Folio '20 [1-5] Deniz Ayhan '24 [1-4] Caden Meuller '21 [5]
Indian Creek School	Eagles	10	8	10	9	9	46	Ally Snead '19 [1-2] Jack Woolls '18 [3-5] Maeve Drury '19 [1-2] Liam Lonergan '19 [3-5]

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	TOT	Sailors
Severn School	Admirals	2	2	4	2	2	12	Zander King '21 Charlie Granitto '20
Severna Park	Falcons	1	1	1	RAF	1	15	Camden Ward '20 Douglas Patrick '20
Indian Creek School	Eagles	4	3	5	1	3	16	Will Dickinson '22 [1-5] Will Morrissey '19 [1-2] Charlotte Dickinson '21 [3-5]
St. Mary's High School (MD)	Saints	6	6	7	3	5	27	Eddie Langemak '19 [1-5] Lucy Duckett '22 [1-2] Jessica Groblewski '21 [3-5]
Sts. Peter & Paul	Sabres	3	5	6	8	8	30	Amy Christopherson '21 Alexander Harkowa '21
Walt Whitman High School	Varsity	5	4	10	5	6	30	Patrick Elwood '20 [1-5] Caden Meuller '21 [1-2] William Edwards '20 [3-5]
Annapolis High School	Panthers	7	8	3	6	7	31	Carter O'Neill '20 Josiah Chase '23
Archbishop Spalding	Cavaliers	10	9	2	4	10	35	Danny Pereira '21 [1-5] Patrick Fichtner '19 [1-2] Brendan Quraishi '19 [3-5]
Kent Island High School	Buccaneers	9	10	9	7	4	39	Elan Fisher '19 [1-2] Doug Macdonald '19 [3-5] Katie Norman '19 [1-2] Riley Van Liew '20 [3-5]
Broadneck High School	Bruins	8	7	8	9	9	41	Ronald Weed '21 [1-2] Caitlin Rosner '21 [3-5] Lily Newman '21 [1-2] Jaclyn Kopernick '21 [3-5]

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.070+0.07

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2018 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A
Annapolis High School Panthers	1	1	3	3	5
Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers	2	2	4	4	6
Broadneck High School Bruins	3	3	5	5	7
Indian Creek School Eagles	4	4	6	6	8
Kent Island High School Buccaneers	5	5	7	7	9
Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres	6	6	8	8	10
Severn School Admirals	7	7	9	9	1
Severna Park Falcons	8	8	10	10	2
St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints	9	9	1	1	3
Walt Whitman High School Varsity	10	10	2	2	4

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B
Annapolis High School Panthers	2	2	4	4	6
Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers	3	3	5	5	7
Broadneck High School Bruins	4	4	6	6	8
Indian Creek School Eagles	5	5	7	7	9
Kent Island High School Buccaneers	6	6	8	8	10
Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres	7	7	9	9	1
Severn School Admirals	8	8	10	10	2
Severna Park Falcons	9	9	1	1	3
St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints	10	10	2	2	4
Walt Whitman High School Varsity	1	1	3	3	5

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Annapolis High School	Cole Canuel '23	Isabella Fadullon '23
Panthers	Carter O'Neill '20	Josiah Chase '23
Archbishop Spalding	Griffin Richardson '21 [1-5]	Joaquin Marquez '21 [1-2, 5] Brennan Flood '19 [3-4]
Cavaliers	Danny Pereira '21 [1-5]	Patrick Fichtner '19 [1-2] Brendan Quraishi '19 [3-5]
Broadneck High School	Morgan Carew '21 [1-5]	Josh Becker '20 [1-2, 5] Will Sizemore '20 [3-4]
Bruins	Ronald Weed '21 [1-2] Caitlin Rosner '21 [3-5]	Lily Newman '21 [1-2] Jaclyn Kopernick '21 [3-5]
Indian Creek School	Ally Snead '19 [1-2] Jack Woolls '18 [3-5]	Maeve Drury '19 [1-2] Liam Lonergan '19 [3-5]
Eagles	Will Dickinson '22 [1-5]	Will Morrissey '19 [1-2] Charlotte Dickinson '21 [3-5]
Kent Island High School	Crispin Blamphin '18 [1-2] Aliya Berger '20 [3-4] Corbin Voorhes '21 [5]	Scott Carlsen '20 [1-2] Mary Macdonald '20 [3-4] Samuel Irizarray '21 [5]
Buccaneers	Elan Fisher '19 [1-2] Doug Macdonald '19 [3-5]	Katie Norman '19 [1-2] Riley Van Liew '20 [3-5]
Severn School	Teddy Cromwell '20	Benji Damon '20
Admirals	Zander King '21	Charlie Granitto '20
Severna Park	Connor Killeen '21	Janie Powell '21
Falcons	Camden Ward '20	Douglas Patrick '20
St. Mary's High School (MD)	Chase Conway '22	Bridget Bisson '21
Saints	Eddie Langemak '19 [1-5]	Lucy Duckett '22 [1-2] Jessica Groblewski '21 [3-5]
Sts. Peter & Paul	Matthew Collinson '20 [1-2, 5] Ole Singelstad '21 [3-4]	Mary Nolan '21 [1-2, 5]
Sabres	Amy Christopherson '21	Alexander Harkowa '21
Walt Whitman High School	Lukas Folio '20 [1-5]	Deniz Ayhan '24 [1-4] Caden Meuller '21 [5]
Varsity	Patrick Elwood '20 [1-5]	Caden Meuller '21 [1-2] William Edwards '20 [3-5]

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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EYC JV Spring Regatta

Division A

Division B

From the notes