May Madness

HostArrowhead/Oconomowoc
Date05/12/2018
TypeIn-District
BoatC420
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Oshkosh North High School	Spartans 1	27	19	46
2	Pewaukee High School	Varsity	42	17	59
3	Oshkosh North High School	Spartans 2	48	47	95
4	Loyola Academy	Ramblers	42	60	102
5	Oconomowoc High School	Raccoons	34	80	114
6	Evanston Township HS	Wildkits	87	31	118
7	Lane Tech College Prep	Varsity	79	40	119
8	Beacon Academy	Wolves	57	64	121
9	Arrowhead High School	Warhawks	100	35	135
10	Fenwick High School	Friars	73	66	139
11	University of Chicago Laboratory Schools	Maroons	94	80	174
12	Sheboygan North High School (WI)	Raiders 1	107	88	195
13	Sheboygan North High School (WI)	Raiders 2	125	103	228

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	R9	R10	TOT	Sailors
Oshkosh North High School	Spartans 1	5	1	1	6	4	2	1	2	3	2	27	Emily Scherer '20 Jack Scherer '21
Oconomowoc High School	Raccoons	3	5	2	3	3	3	2	3	6	4	34	Will Grosspietsch '18 Ryan Odeja '19
Pewaukee High School	Varsity	1	6	3	4	5	4	3	4	9	3	42	Jack Schweda '20 Tess Kreutzmann '19
Loyola Academy	Ramblers	2	2	6	1	1	8	5	6	5	6	42	Rory Neenan '18 Claire Russell '18
Oshkosh North High School	Spartans 2	4	3	4	11	2	1	4	9	2	8	48	Talia Sheehan '22 Adam Mcavoy '18
Beacon Academy	Wolves	6	12	5	2	10	7	6	7	1	1	57	Preston Anderson '18 Laurel Schenkman '18
Fenwick High School	Friars	9	7	12	7	8	5	11	5	4	5	73	Harry Bearrows '18 Patrick Kelly '21
Lane Tech College Prep	Varsity	12	9	7	8	6	9	8	1	10	9	79	Luke Hosek '20 [1-10] Bradley Hill '19 [1-2, 7-10] Matheui Halpin '19 [3-6]
Evanston Township HS	Wildkits	13	8	11	5	9	6	10	8	7	10	87	Ryan Henderson '19 Elliot Robinson '21
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools	Maroons	11	4	8	10	RAF	12	9	11	8	7	94	Matteo Torquati '19 Philip Lengyel '21
Arrowhead High School	Warhawks	7	13	9	13	7	10	7	12	11	11	100	Graves Anna '18 Jackson Walker '22
Sheboygan North High School (WI)	Raiders 1	10	10	10	9	11	11	12	10	12	12	107	Patrick Fisher '20 Ashley English '20
Sheboygan North High School (WI)	Raiders 2	8	11	13	12	12	13	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	125	Emma Meiselwitz '20 Lindsay Summers '19

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	TOT	Sailors
Pewaukee High School	Varsity	3	4	3	2	2	1	1	1	17	Ella Schieble '22 Carly Kiss '21
Oshkosh North High School	Spartans 1	4	1	1	3	4	2	2	2	19	Eddie Hanson '19 Bailey Lira '20
Evanston Township HS	Wildkits	5	7	2	4	1	5	4	3	31	Ulysses Hennelly '20 Lucy Mulvihill '18
Arrowhead High School	Warhawks	2	2	9	6	5	4	3	4	35	Jackson Walker '22 Max Krotts '21
Lane Tech College Prep	Varsity	1	11	4	1	3	3	5	12	40	William Frendreiss '19 Emily Kowal '20
Oshkosh North High School	Spartans 2	6	3	5	5	7	9	7	5	47	Danny Smith '18 Karson Mraz '19
Loyola Academy	Ramblers	10	5	6	8	9	6	9	7	60	Gregor Leech '18 [1-4, 7-8] Hugh Rider '18 [5-6] Susie Driscoll '18 [1-4, 7-8]
Beacon Academy	Wolves	12	8	7	7	6	10	8	6	64	Greg Wootton '19 Willem Aspinall '21
Fenwick High School	Friars	7	9	8	9	8	11	6	8	66	John Hultquist '20 Clark Davis '20
Oconomowoc High School	Raccoons	8	6	12	12	12	7	12	11	80	Emma Wagner '21 Lexi Garczynski '19
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools	Maroons	11	10	11	11	10	8	10	9	80	Alec Wyers '19 Isabel Drobny '20
Sheboygan North High School (WI)	Raiders 1	9	12	10	10	13	13	11	10	88	Ella Reinemann '19 Rachel Grupe '19
Sheboygan North High School (WI)	Raiders 2	13	13	13	13	11	12	DNS	DNS	103	Jack Williams '19 Bridget Zenk '19

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.100+0.10

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2017 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A	8A	9A	10A
Arrowhead High School Warhawks	1	1	3	3	5	5	7	7	9	9
Beacon Academy Wolves	2	2	4	4	6	6	8	8	10	10
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons	13	13	2	2	4	4	6	6	8	8
Evanston Township HS Wildkits	3	3	5	5	7	7	9	9	11	11
Fenwick High School Friars	4	4	6	6	8	8	10	10	12	12
Lane Tech College Prep Varsity	5	5	7	7	9	9	11	11	13	13
Loyola Academy Ramblers	6	6	8	8	10	10	12	12	1	1
Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders 1	11	11	13	13	2	2	4	4	6	6
Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders 2	12	12	1	1	3	3	5	5	7	7
Oconomowoc High School Raccoons	7	7	9	9	11	11	13	13	2	2
Oshkosh North High School Spartans 1	8	8	10	10	12	12	1	1	3	3
Oshkosh North High School Spartans 2	9	9	11	11	13	13	2	2	4	4
Pewaukee High School Varsity	10	10	12	12	1	1	3	3	5	5

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B	7B	8B
Arrowhead High School Warhawks	2	2	4	4	6	6	8	8
Beacon Academy Wolves	3	3	5	5	7	7	9	9
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons	1	1	3	3	5	5	7	7
Evanston Township HS Wildkits	4	4	6	6	8	8	10	10
Fenwick High School Friars	5	5	7	7	9	9	11	11
Lane Tech College Prep Varsity	6	6	8	8	10	10	12	12
Loyola Academy Ramblers	7	7	9	9	11	11	13	13
Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders 1	12	12	1	1	3	3	5	5
Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders 2	13	13	2	2	4	4	6	6
Oconomowoc High School Raccoons	8	8	10	10	12	12	1	1
Oshkosh North High School Spartans 1	9	9	11	11	13	13	2	2
Oshkosh North High School Spartans 2	10	10	12	12	1	1	3	3
Pewaukee High School Varsity	11	11	13	13	2	2	4	4

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Arrowhead High School	Graves Anna '18	Jackson Walker '22
Warhawks	Jackson Walker '22	Max Krotts '21
Beacon Academy	Preston Anderson '18	Laurel Schenkman '18
Wolves	Greg Wootton '19	Willem Aspinall '21
Evanston Township HS	Ryan Henderson '19	Elliot Robinson '21
Wildkits	Ulysses Hennelly '20	Lucy Mulvihill '18
Fenwick High School	Harry Bearrows '18	Patrick Kelly '21
Friars	John Hultquist '20	Clark Davis '20
Lane Tech College Prep	Luke Hosek '20 [1-10]	Bradley Hill '19 [1-2, 7-10] Matheui Halpin '19 [3-6]
Varsity	William Frendreiss '19	Emily Kowal '20
Loyola Academy	Rory Neenan '18	Claire Russell '18
Ramblers	Gregor Leech '18 [1-4, 7-8] Hugh Rider '18 [5-6]	Susie Driscoll '18 [1-4, 7-8]
Oconomowoc High School	Will Grosspietsch '18	Ryan Odeja '19
Raccoons	Emma Wagner '21	Lexi Garczynski '19
Oshkosh North High School	Emily Scherer '20	Jack Scherer '21
Spartans 1	Eddie Hanson '19	Bailey Lira '20
Oshkosh North High School	Talia Sheehan '22	Adam Mcavoy '18
Spartans 2	Danny Smith '18	Karson Mraz '19
Pewaukee High School	Jack Schweda '20	Tess Kreutzmann '19
Varsity	Ella Schieble '22	Carly Kiss '21
Sheboygan North High School (WI)	Patrick Fisher '20	Ashley English '20
Raiders 1	Ella Reinemann '19	Rachel Grupe '19
Sheboygan North High School (WI)	Emma Meiselwitz '20	Lindsay Summers '19
Raiders 2	Jack Williams '19	Bridget Zenk '19
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools	Matteo Torquati '19	Philip Lengyel '21
Maroons	Alec Wyers '19	Isabel Drobny '20

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

Navigate

Menu

May Madness

Division A

Division B

From the notes