Navigate

SAISA South Points #6

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Riverview High School Riverview High School Varsity 8 19 27
2 H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 17 26 43
3 Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 32 16 48
4 Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 15 35 50
5 South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 20 33 53
6 Coral Shores High School Coral Shores High School Hurricanes 28 27 55
7 Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 24 33 57
8 St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 44 21 65
9 Sarasota High School Sarasota High School Sailors 26 41 67
10 Lakewood High School Lakewood High School Varsity 38 40 78
11 St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 46 43 89
12 Martin County High School Martin County High School Tigers 61 30 91
13 Robinson High School Robinson High School Knights 41 54 95
14 Out-of Door Academy Out-of Door Academy Out-of Door Academy 43 55 98
15 Westminster Christian School Westminster Christian School Warriors 52 57 109
16 Dunedin High School Dunedin High School Lady Falcons 59 54 113
17 Wando High School Wando High School Wando Warriors 76 45 121
18 Osceola Fundamental High School Osceola Fundamental High School Varsity 73 66 139
19 Venice High School (FL) Venice High School (FL) Varsity 73 76 149
20 Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 75 81 156
21 Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves 76 81 157
22 MOA/Westwood High School MOA/Westwood High School Panthers 80 80 160
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Riverview High School Riverview High School Varsity 1 2 1 4 8 Mark Brunsvold '19
Terra Ehrhart '20
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 7 5 2 1 15 Paul Lobree '18
Kat Cochran '18
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 2 1 11 3 17 Connor Nelson '19
Tee Chulikavit '19
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS BKD BKD 4 6 20 Trevor Bornarth '18
Emma Barska '19
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 3 12 7 2 24 Clay Snyder '18
Roberto Lugones '20
Sarasota High School Sarasota High School Sailors 6 4 5 11 26 Matthew King '20
Anna Millbourn '18
Coral Shores High School Coral Shores High School Hurricanes 14 3 3 8 28 Ella Marsden '20
Ethan Osborne '19
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 4 13 10 5 32 Elizabeth Shanahan '19
Karlei Kongsiri '19
Lakewood High School Lakewood High School Varsity 12 11 8 7 38 Callista Hopkins '19
Alex Pearson '18
Robinson High School Robinson High School Knights 13 7 9 12 41 Katie Nelson '20
Claire Shames '21
Out-of Door Academy Out-of Door Academy Out-of Door Academy 10 10 6 17 43 Skye Ehrhart '18
Lucas Macleod '18
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 5 14 15 10 44 Chase Sabadash '18
Kenna Reed '20
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 9 9 13 15 46 Blaire Mccarthy '18
Erika Desonie '19
Westminster Christian School Westminster Christian School Warriors 16 6 17 13 52 Olivia De Olazarra '18
Natalia Gagliano '19
Dunedin High School Dunedin High School Lady Falcons 19 19 12 9 59 Jack Parker '19
Aine Porter '19
Martin County High School Martin County High School Tigers 11 18 18 14 61 Jack Macdonald '18
Kara Percival '18
Osceola Fundamental High School Osceola Fundamental High School Varsity 15 17 21 20 73 Colin Lawther '20
Aislyn Graves '20
Venice High School (FL) Venice High School (FL) Varsity 18 20 14 21 73 Sam Meyer '19
Aaron Williams '20
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 21 16 20 18 75 Frederick Debiase '20
Dina Coletti '20
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves 17 21 16 22 76 Luke Weisberg '19
Arden Capizola '18
Wando High School Wando High School Wando Warriors 22 15 OCS 16 76 Jamie Renneker '18
Jack Sutton '18
MOA/Westwood High School MOA/Westwood High School Panthers 20 22 19 19 80 Heriberto Lara-Mijares '20 [1-4]
Esbeydy Dumas '20 [1-2]
Grace Lamb '20 [3-4]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 4 3 8 1 16 Heather Kerns '20
Zuri Patel '20
Riverview High School Riverview High School Varsity 9 2 4 4 19 Dylan Heinz '20 [1-3]
Lillian Myers '19 [4]
Lars Osell '17 [1-2]
Kay Brunsvold '21 [3-4]
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 3 6 1 11 21 Connor Boland '21 [1-4]
Sam Juskiewicz '20 [1-2]
Isa Duplessis '20 [3-4]
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 8 4 7 7 26 Brandon Geller '19 [1-2]
Sean Toro '19 [3-4]
Dominic Canonico '19 [1-2]
Spencer Brooks '20 [3-4]
Coral Shores High School Coral Shores High School Hurricanes 7 16 2 2 27 Alex Gonzalez '20
Laurel Tyson '21
Martin County High School Martin County High School Tigers 2 9 14 5 30 Kingsley Ehrich '19
Jaxson Stehlin '20
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 1 13 6 13 33 Daniel Hughes '21
Matthew Bueres '21
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 6 7 17 3 33 Emily Bornarth '20
Katelyn Herter '20
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders OCS 1 3 8 35 Javier Garcon '21
Claire Holzman '21
Lakewood High School Lakewood High School Varsity 10 5 13 12 40 Cameron Delgado '19
Robert Hopkins '21
Sarasota High School Sarasota High School Sailors BKD BKD 10 16 41 Will Murray '20 [1-4]
Dan Keim '19 [1-2]
Luke Johnson '19 [3-4]
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 13 8 16 6 43 Emma Shakespeare '20 [1-4]
Kalee Parmentier '19 [1-2]
Emily Allen '21 [3-4]
Wando High School Wando High School Wando Warriors 12 12 11 10 45 Sydney Register '18
Addison Terry '19
Dunedin High School Dunedin High School Lady Falcons 11 19 5 19 54 Jacob Armitage '20
Grace Pfaelzer '21
Robinson High School Robinson High School Knights 16 11 18 9 54 Jonathan Joyner '19
Sam Roulston '21
Out-of Door Academy Out-of Door Academy Out-of Door Academy 14 14 12 15 55 Ryan Appleby '18
Courtney Hamilton '18
Westminster Christian School Westminster Christian School Warriors 19 15 9 14 57 Jonathan Gleason '22 [1-4]
Luciana Solorzano '20 [1-2]
Mariana Sierra '23 [3-4]
Osceola Fundamental High School Osceola Fundamental High School Varsity 17 17 15 17 66 Dana Aljasir '20 [1-4]
Noah Bardes '20 [1-2]
Corinne Graves '20 [3-4]
Venice High School (FL) Venice High School (FL) Varsity 18 21 19 18 76 Eric Vangennip '20
Anthony Gosner '18
MOA/Westwood High School MOA/Westwood High School Panthers 15 22 21 22 80 Nicholas Stange '20
Austin Daigle '20
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves 20 20 20 21 81 Alexander Barr '19
Raquel Shulman '22
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 21 18 22 20 81 Sophia Licata '18
Christopher Volk '18
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2017 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Coral Shores High SchoolCoral Shores High School Hurricanes8899
Dunedin High SchoolDunedin High School Lady Falcons262611
Gulliver Preparatory SchoolGulliver Preparatory School Raiders9966
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School Falcons6677
Lakewood High SchoolLakewood High School Varsity191955
Martin County High SchoolMartin County High School Tigers551313
MOA/Westwood High SchoolMOA/Westwood High School Panthers772424
Osceola Fundamental High SchoolOsceola Fundamental High School Varsity24242525
Out-of Door AcademyOut-of Door Academy Out-of Door Academy13132323
Oxbridge AcademyOxbridge Academy ThunderWolves25251717
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers111919
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders232333
Riverview High SchoolRiverview High School Varsity17171414
Robinson High SchoolRobinson High School Knights332121
St. Thomas Aquinas High SchoolSt. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders22221111
Sarasota High SchoolSarasota High School Sailors141444
Shorecrest Preparatory SchoolShorecrest Preparatory School Chargers21211212
South Fork High SchoolSouth Fork High School SF BULLDOGS442222
St. Petersburg High SchoolSt. Petersburg High School Green Devils12122020
Venice High School (FL)Venice High School (FL) Varsity20201010
Wando High SchoolWando High School Wando Warriors111188
Westminster Christian SchoolWestminster Christian School Warriors10102626

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
Coral Shores High SchoolCoral Shores High School Hurricanes262611
Dunedin High SchoolDunedin High School Lady Falcons9966
Gulliver Preparatory SchoolGulliver Preparatory School Raiders111919
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School Falcons191955
Lakewood High SchoolLakewood High School Varsity772424
Martin County High SchoolMartin County High School Tigers24242525
MOA/Westwood High SchoolMOA/Westwood High School Panthers551313
Osceola Fundamental High SchoolOsceola Fundamental High School Varsity13132323
Out-of Door AcademyOut-of Door Academy Out-of Door Academy25251717
Oxbridge AcademyOxbridge Academy ThunderWolves232333
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers6677
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders17171414
Riverview High SchoolRiverview High School Varsity332121
Robinson High SchoolRobinson High School Knights141444
St. Thomas Aquinas High SchoolSt. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders20201010
Sarasota High SchoolSarasota High School Sailors21211212
Shorecrest Preparatory SchoolShorecrest Preparatory School Chargers442222
South Fork High SchoolSouth Fork High School SF BULLDOGS12122020
St. Petersburg High SchoolSt. Petersburg High School Green Devils22221111
Venice High School (FL)Venice High School (FL) Varsity111188
Wando High SchoolWando High School Wando Warriors10102626
Westminster Christian SchoolWestminster Christian School Warriors8899
School / Team SkipperCrew
Coral Shores High School Coral Shores High School Ella Marsden '20 Ethan Osborne '19
Hurricanes Alex Gonzalez '20 Laurel Tyson '21
Dunedin High School Dunedin High School Jack Parker '19 Aine Porter '19
Lady Falcons Jacob Armitage '20 Grace Pfaelzer '21
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Clay Snyder '18 Roberto Lugones '20
Raiders Daniel Hughes '21 Matthew Bueres '21
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Connor Nelson '19 Tee Chulikavit '19
Panthers Brandon Geller '19 [1-2]
Sean Toro '19 [3-4]		 Dominic Canonico '19 [1-2]
Spencer Brooks '20 [3-4]
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Frederick Debiase '20 Dina Coletti '20
Falcons Sophia Licata '18 Christopher Volk '18
Lakewood High School Lakewood High School Callista Hopkins '19 Alex Pearson '18
Varsity Cameron Delgado '19 Robert Hopkins '21
MOA/Westwood High School MOA/Westwood High School Heriberto Lara-Mijares '20 [1-4] Esbeydy Dumas '20 [1-2]
Grace Lamb '20 [3-4]
Panthers Nicholas Stange '20 Austin Daigle '20
Martin County High School Martin County High School Jack Macdonald '18 Kara Percival '18
Tigers Kingsley Ehrich '19 Jaxson Stehlin '20
Osceola Fundamental High School Osceola Fundamental High School Colin Lawther '20 Aislyn Graves '20
Varsity Dana Aljasir '20 [1-4] Noah Bardes '20 [1-2]
Corinne Graves '20 [3-4]
Out-of Door Academy Out-of Door Academy Skye Ehrhart '18 Lucas Macleod '18
Out-of Door Academy Ryan Appleby '18 Courtney Hamilton '18
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy Luke Weisberg '19 Arden Capizola '18
ThunderWolves Alexander Barr '19 Raquel Shulman '22
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Paul Lobree '18 Kat Cochran '18
Raiders Javier Garcon '21 Claire Holzman '21
Riverview High School Riverview High School Mark Brunsvold '19 Terra Ehrhart '20
Varsity Dylan Heinz '20 [1-3]
Lillian Myers '19 [4]		 Lars Osell '17 [1-2]
Kay Brunsvold '21 [3-4]
Robinson High School Robinson High School Katie Nelson '20 Claire Shames '21
Knights Jonathan Joyner '19 Sam Roulston '21
Sarasota High School Sarasota High School Matthew King '20 Anna Millbourn '18
Sailors Will Murray '20 [1-4] Dan Keim '19 [1-2]
Luke Johnson '19 [3-4]
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Elizabeth Shanahan '19 Karlei Kongsiri '19
Chargers Heather Kerns '20 Zuri Patel '20
South Fork High School South Fork High School Trevor Bornarth '18 Emma Barska '19
SF BULLDOGS Emily Bornarth '20 Katelyn Herter '20
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Blaire Mccarthy '18 Erika Desonie '19
Green Devils Emma Shakespeare '20 [1-4] Kalee Parmentier '19 [1-2]
Emily Allen '21 [3-4]
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Chase Sabadash '18 Kenna Reed '20
Raiders Connor Boland '21 [1-4] Sam Juskiewicz '20 [1-2]
Isa Duplessis '20 [3-4]
Venice High School (FL) Venice High School (FL) Sam Meyer '19 Aaron Williams '20
Varsity Eric Vangennip '20 Anthony Gosner '18
Wando High School Wando High School Jamie Renneker '18 Jack Sutton '18
Wando Warriors Sydney Register '18 Addison Terry '19
Westminster Christian School Westminster Christian School Olivia De Olazarra '18 Natalia Gagliano '19
Warriors Jonathan Gleason '22 [1-4] Luciana Solorzano '20 [1-2]
Mariana Sierra '23 [3-4]

Conditions — 03/10/2018 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 57%  ·  Pressure 1017.9 hPa

Temperature

67°F
↑ 73°F   ↓ 55°F
Feels like 63°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.4 kn
avg  ·  max 10.3 kn
Gusts to 19.8 kn
From SSE (154°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover91% Sunshine5.5 hrs Humidity57% Pressure1017.9 hPa Rain0.02 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 10 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Shorecrest Prep: an underdogs’ day (−0.07)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.03 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.09
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.25 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Shorecrest Prep by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 5 labelled days at Shorecrest Prep, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →