SCC JV

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Severn School Severn School Admirals 7 7 14
2 Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 1 32 16 48
3 St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints 43 9 52
4 Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 33 24 57
5 Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 20 38 58
6 Severna Park Severna Park Falcons 21 48 69
7 Annapolis High School Annapolis High School Panthers 38 31 69
8 Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 1 39 31 70
9 Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 19 54 73
10 Walt Whitman High School Walt Whitman High School Varsity 46 32 78
11 Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres 38 46 84
12 Patuxent Patuxent Panthers 2 47 38 85
13 Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 3 57 31 88
14 Patuxent Patuxent Panthers 1 29 62 91
15 Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 2 48 51 99
16 St. Mary's Ryken St. Mary's Ryken Knights 56 49 105
17 Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 2 57 53 110
18 Georgetown Day School Georgetown Day School Georgetown Day 54 58 112
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Severn School Severn School Admirals 1 1 4 1 7 Teddy Cromwell '20
Rees Tindall '21
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 11 3 1 4 19 Morgan Carew '21
Will Sizemore '20
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 6 5 3 6 20 Dale Vanmeter '19
Peter Morris '23
Severna Park Severna Park Falcons 4 6 2 9 21 Camden Ward '20
No Show
Patuxent Patuxent Panthers 1 3 2 13 11 29 Omar Davis '23
Josie Smith '18
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 1 2 10 5 15 32 Audrey Commerford '21
Tehya Gaines '21
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 10 12 6 5 33 Griffin Richardson '21
Brennan Flood '19
Annapolis High School Annapolis High School Panthers 12 9 9 8 38 Cole Canuel '22
No Show
Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres 18 11 7 2 38 Matthew Collinson '20
Alexander Harkowa '21
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 1 14 4 14 7 39 Crispin Blamphin '18
Katie Norman '19
St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints 5 8 17 13 43 Cole Wiegand '21
Lucy Duckett '21
Walt Whitman High School Walt Whitman High School Varsity 17 7 8 14 46 Lukas Folio '20
Maggie Bruty '20
Patuxent Patuxent Panthers 2 15 18 11 3 47 Carolyn Wilson '20
Megan Roberts '20
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 2 7 17 12 12 48 Corbin Voorhes '21
Samuel Irizarray '21
Georgetown Day School Georgetown Day School Georgetown Day 13 15 16 10 54 Lars Nordquist '21
Ryan Tatelbaum '22
St. Mary's Ryken St. Mary's Ryken Knights 9 16 15 16 56 Christopher Callaghan '20
Timothy Dixon '20
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 3 8 14 18 17 57 Erika Wise '19
No Show
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 2 16 13 10 18 57 Makenna Labor '21
Carlie Monk '21
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Severn School Severn School Admirals 1 1 4 1 7 Zander King '21
Charlie Granitto '20
St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints 4 2 1 2 9 Andrew Tollefson '22
Jessica Groblewski '21
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 1 2 3 6 5 16 Steven Twemlow '20
Hannah Davis '20
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 10 6 5 3 24 Danny Pereira '21
Ben White '21
Annapolis High School Annapolis High School Panthers 5 11 9 6 31 Isabella Fadullon '21
Shalom Fadullon '18
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 1 7 8 7 9 31 Doug Macdonald '19
Riley Van Liew '20
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 3 14 4 2 11 31 Ryan Lacey '18
Bianca Melton '19
Walt Whitman High School Walt Whitman High School Varsity 11 10 3 8 32 Patrick Elwood '19
Ryan Tatelbaum '20
Patuxent Patuxent Panthers 2 3 5 13 17 38 Perrin Hupp '20
Grace Wilson '23
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 9 9 16 4 38 Will Miller '20
Finnegan Ludwig '23
Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres 8 14 17 7 46 Paul Dyer '21
Joshua Sambrano '22
Severna Park Severna Park Falcons 12 16 8 12 48 Connor Killeen '21
Janie Powell '21
St. Mary's Ryken St. Mary's Ryken Knights BKD 7 14 16 49 Olivia Taylor '19 [1-2]
Brady Kinslow '20 [3-4]
Jacob Richardson '20 [1-2]
Nicholas Fernbaugh '20 [3-4]
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 2 6 18 12 15 51 Aliya Berger '20
Mary Macdonald '20
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 2 17 12 11 13 53 Bay Macquilliam '21
Kyle Edwards '20
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 13 13 10 18 54 Caitlin Rosner '21
Katie White '20
Georgetown Day School Georgetown Day School Georgetown Day 15 15 18 10 58 Caden Meuller '22
Francesca Penati '22
Patuxent Patuxent Panthers 1 16 17 15 14 62 Henry Meiser '23
Derick Fahnestock '22
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2018 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Annapolis High SchoolAnnapolis High School Panthers1133
Archbishop SpaldingArchbishop Spalding Cavaliers2244
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Bruins3355
Georgetown Day SchoolGeorgetown Day School Georgetown Day4466
Great Mills High SchoolGreat Mills High School Hornets5577
Kent Island High SchoolKent Island High School Buccaneers 16688
Kent Island High SchoolKent Island High School Buccaneers 27799
Leonardtown High SchoolLeonardtown High School Raiders 1881010
Leonardtown High SchoolLeonardtown High School Raiders 2991111
Leonardtown High SchoolLeonardtown High School Raiders 310101212
PatuxentPatuxent Panthers 111111313
PatuxentPatuxent Panthers 212121414
Sts. Peter & PaulSts. Peter & Paul Sabres13131515
Severn SchoolSevern School Admirals14141616
Severna ParkSeverna Park Falcons15151717
St. Mary's RykenSt. Mary's Ryken Knights171711
St. Mary's High School (MD)St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints16161818
Walt Whitman High SchoolWalt Whitman High School Varsity181822

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
Annapolis High SchoolAnnapolis High School Panthers2244
Archbishop SpaldingArchbishop Spalding Cavaliers3355
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Bruins4466
Georgetown Day SchoolGeorgetown Day School Georgetown Day5577
Great Mills High SchoolGreat Mills High School Hornets6688
Kent Island High SchoolKent Island High School Buccaneers 17799
Kent Island High SchoolKent Island High School Buccaneers 2881010
Leonardtown High SchoolLeonardtown High School Raiders 1991111
Leonardtown High SchoolLeonardtown High School Raiders 210101212
Leonardtown High SchoolLeonardtown High School Raiders 311111313
PatuxentPatuxent Panthers 112121414
PatuxentPatuxent Panthers 213131515
Sts. Peter & PaulSts. Peter & Paul Sabres14141616
Severn SchoolSevern School Admirals15151717
Severna ParkSeverna Park Falcons16161818
St. Mary's RykenSt. Mary's Ryken Knights181822
St. Mary's High School (MD)St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints171711
Walt Whitman High SchoolWalt Whitman High School Varsity1133
School / Team SkipperCrew
Annapolis High School Annapolis High School Cole Canuel '22 No Show
Panthers Isabella Fadullon '21 Shalom Fadullon '18
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Griffin Richardson '21 Brennan Flood '19
Cavaliers Danny Pereira '21 Ben White '21
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Morgan Carew '21 Will Sizemore '20
Bruins Caitlin Rosner '21 Katie White '20
Georgetown Day School Georgetown Day School Lars Nordquist '21 Ryan Tatelbaum '22
Georgetown Day Caden Meuller '22 Francesca Penati '22
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Dale Vanmeter '19 Peter Morris '23
Hornets Will Miller '20 Finnegan Ludwig '23
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Crispin Blamphin '18 Katie Norman '19
Buccaneers 1 Doug Macdonald '19 Riley Van Liew '20
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Corbin Voorhes '21 Samuel Irizarray '21
Buccaneers 2 Aliya Berger '20 Mary Macdonald '20
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Audrey Commerford '21 Tehya Gaines '21
Raiders 1 Steven Twemlow '20 Hannah Davis '20
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Makenna Labor '21 Carlie Monk '21
Raiders 2 Bay Macquilliam '21 Kyle Edwards '20
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Erika Wise '19 No Show
Raiders 3 Ryan Lacey '18 Bianca Melton '19
Patuxent Patuxent Omar Davis '23 Josie Smith '18
Panthers 1 Henry Meiser '23 Derick Fahnestock '22
Patuxent Patuxent Carolyn Wilson '20 Megan Roberts '20
Panthers 2 Perrin Hupp '20 Grace Wilson '23
Severn School Severn School Teddy Cromwell '20 Rees Tindall '21
Admirals Zander King '21 Charlie Granitto '20
Severna Park Severna Park Camden Ward '20 No Show
Falcons Connor Killeen '21 Janie Powell '21
St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Cole Wiegand '21 Lucy Duckett '21
Saints Andrew Tollefson '22 Jessica Groblewski '21
St. Mary's Ryken St. Mary's Ryken Christopher Callaghan '20 Timothy Dixon '20
Knights Olivia Taylor '19 [1-2]
Brady Kinslow '20 [3-4]
Jacob Richardson '20 [1-2]
Nicholas Fernbaugh '20 [3-4]
Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Matthew Collinson '20 Alexander Harkowa '21
Sabres Paul Dyer '21 Joshua Sambrano '22
Walt Whitman High School Walt Whitman High School Lukas Folio '20 Maggie Bruty '20
Varsity Patrick Elwood '19 Ryan Tatelbaum '20

Conditions — 05/05/2018 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 63%  ·  Pressure 1018.9 hPa

Temperature

74°F
↑ 79°F   ↓ 67°F
Feels like 76°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.7 kn
avg  ·  max 6.1 kn
Gusts to 16.5 kn
From NNE (26°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover98% Sunshine9.8 hrs Humidity63% Pressure1018.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Sailing Center Chesapeake: a favourites’ day (+0.07)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.08 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.15
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.13 ± 0.15)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Sailing Center Chesapeake by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Sailing Center Chesapeake, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →