SUNY Maritime Spring Intersectional

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 19 19 38
2 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 23 24 47
3 Mamaroneck High School Mamaroneck High School Tigers 25 33 58
4 Rumson-Fair Haven Rumson-Fair Haven Bulldogs 39 24 63
5 Toms River South Toms River South Indians 31 40 71
6 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 50 27 77
7 Rye Country Day School Rye Country Day School Wildcats 36 53 89
8 Rye High School Rye High School Garnets 49 46 95
9 Canisius High School Canisius High School Crusaders 44 53 97
10 Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 69 68 137
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 2 1 2 6 3 1 4 19 Dana Haig '18
Joe Mrazek '20
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 5 3 4 2 4 4 1 23 Michael Ehnot '18
Justin Modin '19
Mamaroneck High School Mamaroneck High School Tigers 3 4 1 4 5 5 3 25 Charlie Roseberry '20
Natalie Manley '20
Toms River South Toms River South Indians 1 2 8 5 6 3 6 31 Zach Higham '19 [1-7]
Paige Zelenak '19 [1-2, 4-6]
Kyle Braden '21 [3]
Alexa Carles '19 [7]
Rye Country Day School Rye Country Day School Wildcats 4 7 5 1 9 8 2 36 Jaume Pujadas '20 [1-3]
Lucie Rochat '18 [4-7]
Tyler Gilman '20 [1-3]
Elysia Pil '19 [4-6]
Will Dunn '18 [7]
Rumson-Fair Haven Rumson-Fair Haven Bulldogs 6 6 7 8 1 2 9 39 Shaanti Choi-Bose '19
Taylor Rice '19
Canisius High School Canisius High School Crusaders 9 10 3 3 8 6 5 44 Rory Mcclenehan '20
Max Balanevsky '18
Rye High School Rye High School Garnets 7 5 6 7 7 9 8 49 Lise Powers '20 [1-6]
Madeline Saffer '20 [7]
Madeline Saffer '20 [1-4]
Nusbaum Felix '21 [5-7]
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 8 8 9 9 2 7 7 50 Thomas Quinn '18
Avery Anderson '21
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 10 9 10 10 10 10 10 69 Luke Duplessis '20 [1-7]
Henry Gallagher '20 [1-2]
Maximillian Duffy '21 [3-7]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 1 4 4 2 3 4 1 19 Brielle Willoughby '20 [1-4]
Bridget Green '21 [5-7]
Bridget Green '21 [1-4]
Brielle Willoughby '20 [5-7]
Rumson-Fair Haven Rumson-Fair Haven Bulldogs 4 8 1 4 1 2 4 24 Patrick Modin '19
Morgan Rice '21
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 5 5 2 6 2 1 3 24 Jack Harrington '18
Joseph David '20
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 6 1 5 3 5 5 2 27 Sean Groskoph '20
Jack Quinn '20
Mamaroneck High School Mamaroneck High School Tigers 2 7 3 9 4 3 5 33 Bo Eaves '18
Molly Banks '18
Toms River South Toms River South Indians 3 2 6 8 6 7 8 40 Leo Krajewski '19 [1-7]
Jack Parks '21 [1-2, 5-7]
Alexandria Carvhalo '21 [3-4]
Rye High School Rye High School Garnets 7 3 7 5 7 DNF 6 46 Van Der Voort Elizabeth '21 [1-4]
Gruber Jack '21 [5-7]
Nicole Papert '18 [1-4]
Kim Hahnbie '20 [5-7]
Rye Country Day School Rye Country Day School Wildcats 8 9 8 7 8 6 7 53 Josie Yeager '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Tyler Gilman '20 [3-4]
Alexa Shea '22 [7]
Will Dunn '18 [1-2]
Andrew Lemley '22 [3-4]
Alexa Shea '22 [5-6]
Tyler Gilman '20 [7]
Canisius High School Canisius High School Crusaders 10 6 9 1 9 8 10 53 Gavin Sheehan '20
Justin Slate '18
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 9 10 10 10 DNS 9 9 68 Yumtsokyi Bhum '19 [1-7]
Zoe Papier '19 [1-2]
Henry Gallagher '20 [3-7]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2018 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Canisius High SchoolCanisius High School Crusaders1133557
Chatham High SchoolChatham High School Cougars2244668
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts3355779
Mamaroneck High SchoolMamaroneck High School Tigers44668810
Rumson-Fair HavenRumson-Fair Haven Bulldogs5577991
Rye High SchoolRye High School Garnets7799113
Rye Country Day SchoolRye Country Day School Wildcats668810102
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams881010224
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers9911335
Toms River SouthToms River South Indians101022446

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
Canisius High SchoolCanisius High School Crusaders2244668
Chatham High SchoolChatham High School Cougars3355779
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts44668810
Mamaroneck High SchoolMamaroneck High School Tigers5577991
Rumson-Fair HavenRumson-Fair Haven Bulldogs668810102
Rye High SchoolRye High School Garnets881010224
Rye Country Day SchoolRye Country Day School Wildcats7799113
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams9911335
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers101022446
Toms River SouthToms River South Indians1133557
School / Team SkipperCrew
Canisius High School Canisius High School Rory Mcclenehan '20 Max Balanevsky '18
Crusaders Gavin Sheehan '20 Justin Slate '18
Chatham High School Chatham High School Luke Duplessis '20 [1-7] Henry Gallagher '20 [1-2]
Maximillian Duffy '21 [3-7]
Cougars Yumtsokyi Bhum '19 [1-7] Zoe Papier '19 [1-2]
Henry Gallagher '20 [3-7]
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Michael Ehnot '18 Justin Modin '19
Colts Jack Harrington '18 Joseph David '20
Mamaroneck High School Mamaroneck High School Charlie Roseberry '20 Natalie Manley '20
Tigers Bo Eaves '18 Molly Banks '18
Rumson-Fair Haven Rumson-Fair Haven Shaanti Choi-Bose '19 Taylor Rice '19
Bulldogs Patrick Modin '19 Morgan Rice '21
Rye Country Day School Rye Country Day School Jaume Pujadas '20 [1-3]
Lucie Rochat '18 [4-7]
Tyler Gilman '20 [1-3]
Elysia Pil '19 [4-6]
Will Dunn '18 [7]
Wildcats Josie Yeager '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Tyler Gilman '20 [3-4]
Alexa Shea '22 [7]
Will Dunn '18 [1-2]
Andrew Lemley '22 [3-4]
Alexa Shea '22 [5-6]
Tyler Gilman '20 [7]
Rye High School Rye High School Lise Powers '20 [1-6]
Madeline Saffer '20 [7]
Madeline Saffer '20 [1-4]
Nusbaum Felix '21 [5-7]
Garnets Van Der Voort Elizabeth '21 [1-4]
Gruber Jack '21 [5-7]
Nicole Papert '18 [1-4]
Kim Hahnbie '20 [5-7]
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Dana Haig '18 Joe Mrazek '20
Rams Brielle Willoughby '20 [1-4]
Bridget Green '21 [5-7]
Bridget Green '21 [1-4]
Brielle Willoughby '20 [5-7]
Summit High School Summit High School Thomas Quinn '18 Avery Anderson '21
Hilltoppers Sean Groskoph '20 Jack Quinn '20
Toms River South Toms River South Zach Higham '19 [1-7] Paige Zelenak '19 [1-2, 4-6]
Kyle Braden '21 [3]
Alexa Carles '19 [7]
Indians Leo Krajewski '19 [1-7] Jack Parks '21 [1-2, 5-7]
Alexandria Carvhalo '21 [3-4]

Conditions — 04/08/2018 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 40%  ·  Pressure 1011.4 hPa

Temperature

40°F
↑ 44°F   ↓ 32°F
Feels like 30°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.0 kn
avg  ·  max 12.3 kn
Gusts to 27.0 kn
From NNW (332°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover83% Sunshine9.4 hrs Humidity40% Pressure1011.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 10 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at SUNY Maritime College: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.03 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at SUNY Maritime College by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at SUNY Maritime College, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →