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Kitsap Open

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 1 15 10 25
2 Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 13 21 34
3 Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 2 16 23 39
4 Seattle Academy of Arts & Sciences Seattle Academy of Arts & Sciences Cardinals 19 21 40
5 Central Kitsap High School Central Kitsap High School Cougars 1 12 30 42
6 Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 3 40 8 48
7 Kingston High School Kingston High School Varsity 24 36 60
8 Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 40 22 62
9 Bellingham High School Bellingham High School Raiders 19 46 65
10 Central Kitsap High School Central Kitsap High School Cougars 2 32 34 66
11 Central Kitsap High School Central Kitsap High School Cougars 3 45 28 73
12 Squalicum High School Squalicum High School Storm 51 36 87
13 Port Angeles High School Port Angeles High School Roughriders 39 50 89
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Central Kitsap High School Central Kitsap High School Cougars 1 3 5 1 3 12 Tyler Nolasco '19
Stefan Anthony '22
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 1 3 4 5 13 Keller Morrison '22
Natalie Aarstol '22
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 1 2 1 3 9 15 Banning Jones '20
Lola White '22
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 2 6 4 5 1 16 Gianna Dewey '23
Garrett Guse '20
Bellingham High School Bellingham High School Raiders 4 6 7 2 19 Leah Anders '22
Leah Feller '22
Seattle Academy of Arts & Sciences Seattle Academy of Arts & Sciences Cardinals 5 2 8 4 19 Jed Redmond '21
Jack Redmond '22
Kingston High School Kingston High School Varsity 9 7 2 6 24 Trenton Filben '23
Reagan Johnson '23
Central Kitsap High School Central Kitsap High School Cougars 2 8 10 6 8 32 Claire Jablonski '19
Jonathan Beil '23
Port Angeles High School Port Angeles High School Roughriders 7 9 11 12 39 Ozzy Minard '23
Maxfield Larsen '20
Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 11 8 10 11 40 Finn Mcclure '23
Caleb Roberts '22
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 3 12 12 9 7 40 Stevenabbot Syc '20
Annalindberg Syc '20
Central Kitsap High School Central Kitsap High School Cougars 3 10 11 DSQ 10 45 Lilyan Coleman '21
Mason Loidhamer '23
Squalicum High School Squalicum High School Storm 13 13 12 13 51 Ian Beatty '22
Nesta Hill '22
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 3 3 1 2 2 8 Zane Walker '22
Jack Turkovich '22
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 1 1 4 1 4 10 Barrett Lhamon '22
Trevor Royset '21
Seattle Academy of Arts & Sciences Seattle Academy of Arts & Sciences Cardinals 2 6 8 5 21 Elliot Dahlin '22
Ozzy Minard '23
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 5 3 4 9 21 Max Case '22
Bailey Logan '22
Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 8 8 3 3 22 Avian De Keizer-Mendoza '23
Fiona Murphy '21
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 2 7 5 5 6 23 Evan Yeung '22
Thomas Mcnulty '21
Central Kitsap High School Central Kitsap High School Cougars 3 9 2 6 11 28 Shea Kuligowski '19
Mathew Terry '23
Central Kitsap High School Central Kitsap High School Cougars 1 4 DSQ 11 1 30 Jeffrey Scholfield '23
Michael Ramsdell '23
Central Kitsap High School Central Kitsap High School Cougars 2 6 11 10 7 34 Annelisa Ayars '20
Madison Estoque '19
Squalicum High School Squalicum High School Storm 10 7 9 10 36 Natalie Werner '22
Tristan Neinaber '22
Kingston High School Kingston High School Varsity 12 9 7 8 36 Thomas Emling '23
Shelby Chandler '25
Bellingham High School Bellingham High School Raiders 11 10 13 12 46 Dylan Boydstun '23 [1-4]
Zac Owen '22 [1-2]
Liam Keane '22 [3-4]
Port Angeles High School Port Angeles High School Roughriders 13 12 12 13 50 Elliot Dahlin '22
Luna Hutchins '22
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Spartans 13333118118
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Spartans 235355252
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Spartans 3118118119119
Bellingham High SchoolBellingham High School Raiders5252120120
Central Kitsap High SchoolCentral Kitsap High School Cougars 1119119121121
Central Kitsap High SchoolCentral Kitsap High School Cougars 2120120122122
Central Kitsap High SchoolCentral Kitsap High School Cougars 3121121123123
Kingston High SchoolKingston High School Varsity122122124124
Olympia High SchoolOlympia High School Bears123123125125
Port Angeles High SchoolPort Angeles High School Roughriders1241245353
Seattle Academy of Arts & SciencesSeattle Academy of Arts & Sciences Cardinals1251255454
Sehome High SchoolSehome High School Mariners53533333
Squalicum High SchoolSqualicum High School Storm54543535

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Spartans 135355252
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Spartans 2118118119119
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Spartans 35252120120
Bellingham High SchoolBellingham High School Raiders119119121121
Central Kitsap High SchoolCentral Kitsap High School Cougars 1120120122122
Central Kitsap High SchoolCentral Kitsap High School Cougars 2121121123123
Central Kitsap High SchoolCentral Kitsap High School Cougars 3122122124124
Kingston High SchoolKingston High School Varsity123123125125
Olympia High SchoolOlympia High School Bears1241245353
Port Angeles High SchoolPort Angeles High School Roughriders1251255454
Seattle Academy of Arts & SciencesSeattle Academy of Arts & Sciences Cardinals53533333
Sehome High SchoolSehome High School Mariners54543535
Squalicum High SchoolSqualicum High School Storm3333118118

Conditions — 03/23/2019 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 62%  ·  Pressure 1021.6 hPa

Temperature

53°F
↑ 58°F   ↓ 43°F
Feels like 50°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
2.0 kn
avg  ·  max 3.1 kn
Gusts to 10.7 kn
From S (179°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover92% Sunshine8.7 hrs Humidity62% Pressure1021.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Central Kitsap: a favourites’ day (+0.08)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.13 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.21
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.62 ± 0.22)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Central Kitsap by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at Central Kitsap, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →