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O'Day Qualifier - Quincy

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Milton Academy Milton Academy Mustangs 51 21 72
2 Boston College High School Boston College High School Eagles 33 46 79
3 Dover Sherborn RHS Dover Sherborn RHS Varsity 28 57 85
4 Belmont Hill School Belmont Hill School Varsity 37 54 91
5 Marblehead High School Marblehead High School Fishwagons 51 46 97
6 Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs 58 41 99
7 Mt. Desert Island HS Mt. Desert Island HS Varsity 63 64 127
8 Cape Elizabeth High School Cape Elizabeth High School Capers 85 59 144
9 Hingham High School Hingham High School Hingham 87 83 170
10 St. John Paul II School St. John Paul II School Varsity 78 MRP 100 MRP 178 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Dover Sherborn RHS Dover Sherborn RHS Varsity 2 1 1 4 7 1 1 1 6 4 28 Eli Gleason '20
Hannah Fay '20
Boston College High School Boston College High School Eagles 3 4 2 5 4 3 6 2 3 1 33 Graziano Nick '19 [1-10]
Andrew Engel '22 [1-6]
Buckeridge Tyler '19 [7-10]
Belmont Hill School Belmont Hill School Varsity 4 3 3 2 2 2 3 9 4 5 37 Francis Selldorff '19
Peter Wade '19
Milton Academy Milton Academy Mustangs 1 DSQ 8 1 3 10 5 8 2 2 51 Hunter Zonnenberg '20 [1-6]
Amelia Carlson '20 [7-8]
Luke Monnich '21 [9-10]
Abigail Borggaard '20 [1-6, 9-10]
Orson Gillick-Morris '20 [7-8]
Marblehead High School Marblehead High School Fishwagons 5 2 5 6 1 8 2 5 8 9 51 Grant Adam '19
Magdelaina Putnam '20
Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs 6 6 10 3 5 6 4 3 9 6 58 Hal Clews '19
Lucy Kilbreth '20
Mt. Desert Island HS Mt. Desert Island HS Varsity 8 5 7 7 8 4 8 4 5 7 63 Alec Fisichella '19 [1-10]
Joe Minutolo '22 [1-6]
Jacob Peabody '21 [7-10]
St. John Paul II School St. John Paul II School Varsity 7 9 4 9 6 5 7 7 1 3 78 MRP No Show
No Show
Cape Elizabeth High School Cape Elizabeth High School Capers 9 7 6 8 9 7 9 10 10 10 85 Alec Bodenski '19 [1-10]
Elliot Brown '22 [1-4]
Lauren Cutter '20 [5-10]
Hingham High School Hingham High School Hingham 10 8 9 10 10 9 10 6 7 8 87 Casey Teahan '28
Nora Synnott '27
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Milton Academy Milton Academy Mustangs 1 3 3 2 1 1 4 2 3 1 21 Jamie Fox '21
Julia O'Connor '20
Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs 2 7 1 5 4 6 2 1 6 7 41 Gavin Sanborn '21
Jondall Norris '20
Marblehead High School Marblehead High School Fishwagons 3 5 7 6 7 7 1 4 4 2 46 Sam Bradley '19 [1-6, 9-10]
Ryan Hamilton '19 [7-8]
Ryan Hamilton '19 [1-6, 9-10]
Sam Bradley '19 [7-8]
Boston College High School Boston College High School Eagles 5 1 6 1 3 9 9 5 1 6 46 Porter Bell '22
Creamer Zachary '19
Belmont Hill School Belmont Hill School Varsity 8 2 4 9 6 2 6 6 8 3 54 Michael Wade '19
Michael Salvatore '23
Dover Sherborn RHS Dover Sherborn RHS Varsity 4 9 8 7 2 5 7 3 2 10 57 Jack Green '20
Sierra Devine '22
Cape Elizabeth High School Cape Elizabeth High School Capers 7 4 10 8 BKD 3 3 8 5 5 59 Aidan Brown '20 [1-10]
Violet Willyard '21 [1-6]
Elliot Brown '22 [7-10]
Mt. Desert Island HS Mt. Desert Island HS Varsity 6 8 2 4 5 4 8 10 9 8 64 Lucas Ingebritson '19
Nate Ingebritson '21
Hingham High School Hingham High School Hingham 9 10 9 3 DSQ 10 5 7 10 9 83 Ethan Burt '22
Caroline O'Hara '25
St. John Paul II School St. John Paul II School Varsity 10 6 5 10 DSQ 8 10 9 7 4 100 MRP No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2019 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
Belmont Hill SchoolBelmont Hill School Varsity1133779911
Boston College High SchoolBoston College High School Eagles224488101012
Cape Elizabeth High SchoolCape Elizabeth High School Capers33779911111
Dover Sherborn RHSDover Sherborn RHS Varsity4488101012122
Hingham High SchoolHingham High School Hingham77991111113
Marblehead High SchoolMarblehead High School Fishwagons8810101212224
Milton AcademyMilton Academy Mustangs99111111337
Mt. Desert Island HSMt. Desert Island HS Varsity1010121222448
St. John Paul II SchoolSt. John Paul II School Varsity121222448810
Portland High SchoolPortland High School Bulldogs11111133779

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
Belmont Hill SchoolBelmont Hill School Varsity224488101012
Boston College High SchoolBoston College High School Eagles33779911111
Cape Elizabeth High SchoolCape Elizabeth High School Capers4488101012122
Dover Sherborn RHSDover Sherborn RHS Varsity77991111113
Hingham High SchoolHingham High School Hingham8810101212224
Marblehead High SchoolMarblehead High School Fishwagons99111111337
Milton AcademyMilton Academy Mustangs1010121222448
Mt. Desert Island HSMt. Desert Island HS Varsity11111133779
St. John Paul II SchoolSt. John Paul II School Varsity1133779911
Portland High SchoolPortland High School Bulldogs121222448810

Conditions — 04/13/2019 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 78%  ·  Pressure 1016.2 hPa

Temperature

64°F
↑ 72°F   ↓ 56°F
Feels like 61°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.9 kn
avg  ·  max 12.3 kn
Gusts to 27.0 kn
From SSW (210°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover94% Sunshine5.3 hrs Humidity78% Pressure1016.2 hPa Rain0.14 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Milton/BCH: an underdogs’ day (−0.07)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.03 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.04
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.16 ± 0.15)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Milton/BCH by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Milton/BCH, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →