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SAISA South Points #4 Varsity

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 25 17 42
2 Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 15 32 47
3 Riverview High School Riverview High School Varsity 32 15 47
4 Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 29 23 52
5 Lakewood High School Lakewood High School Varsity 61 26 87
6 St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 71 23 94
7 Westminster Christian School Westminster Christian School Warriors 32 70 102
8 South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 29 73 102
9 Sarasota High School Sarasota High School Sailors 42 61 103
10 Coral Shores High School Coral Shores High School Hurricanes 54 50 104
11 Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 36 70 106
12 Manatee High School Manatee High School Hurricanes 48 64 112
13 Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 66 50 116
14 St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 41 78 119
15 Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School 98 27 125
16 Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Panthers 97 61 158
17 Martin County High School Martin County High School Tigers 68 96 164
18 Dunedin High School Dunedin High School Varsity 73 93 166
19 Vero Beach High School Vero Beach High School Vero Beach 90 78 168
20 Naples High School Naples High School Varsity 80 90 170
21 Robinson High School Robinson High School Knights 93 100 193
22 Osceola Fundamental High School Osceola Fundamental High School Varsity 101 102 203
23 Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves 105 99 204
24 MOA/Westwood High School MOA/Westwood High School Panthers 114 102 216
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 2 4 2 4 3 15 Guthrie Braun '22
Thomas Cura '21
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 5 12 1 2 5 25 Connor Nelson '19
Tee Chulikavit '19
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 10 5 4 8 2 29 Javier Garcon '21
Claire Holzman '21
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 11 6 3 5 4 29 Emily Bornarth '20
Emma Barska '19
Westminster Christian School Westminster Christian School Warriors 1 7 11 12 1 32 Enzo Menditto '22
Natalia Gagliano '19
Riverview High School Riverview High School Varsity 8 2 6 1 15 32 Mark Brunsvold '19
Kay Brumsvold '21
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 3 3 14 6 10 36 Kyle Bramson '20
Karen Liberman '20
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 9 11 8 7 6 41 Emma Shakespeare '20
Kalee Parmentier '19
Sarasota High School Sarasota High School Sailors 4 8 10 13 7 42 Matthew King '20
Nick Powers '21
Manatee High School Manatee High School Hurricanes 7 1 12 9 19 48 Bryce Tone '21
Matthew Mackin '21
Coral Shores High School Coral Shores High School Hurricanes 12 15 16 3 8 54 Ella Marsden '20
Ethan Osborne '19
Lakewood High School Lakewood High School Varsity 6 9 17 16 13 61 Callista Hopkins '19
Bella Keelin '20
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 13 16 9 17 11 66 Chloe Hudgins '20
Cole Degner '21
Martin County High School Martin County High School Tigers 20 13 5 14 16 68 Kingsley Ehrich '19
Marc Kiener '20
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 18 14 7 11 21 71 Joey Meagher '20 [1-5]
Kenna Reed '20 [1-4]
Emma Asturias '20 [5]
Dunedin High School Dunedin High School Varsity 14 19 13 10 17 73 Jacob Armitage '20
Aine Porter '19
Naples High School Naples High School Varsity 15 10 20 15 20 80 Andrew Douglas '19
Lilly Capiola '19
Vero Beach High School Vero Beach High School Vero Beach 17 22 15 18 18 90 Brendan Williams '19
No Show
Robinson High School Robinson High School Knights 22 20 22 20 9 93 Katie Nelson '20
Claire Shames '21
Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Panthers 16 17 19 22 23 97 Noah Fischer '19
Mia Strempack '22
Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School 24 18 21 23 12 98 Carolina Gaston '21
Natalia Freyre '23
Osceola Fundamental High School Osceola Fundamental High School Varsity 21 24 18 24 14 101 Colin Lawther '20
Aislyn Graves '20
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves 19 21 24 19 22 105 Trevor Honeycutt '19 [1-2, 5]
Alexander Barr '19 [3-4]
Ayla Weisberg '22 [1-2, 5]
Aidan Deitrick '20 [3-4]
MOA/Westwood High School MOA/Westwood High School Panthers 23 23 23 21 24 114 Heriberto Lara-Mijares '20
Esbeydy Dumas '20
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Riverview High School Riverview High School Varsity 2 3 2 4 4 15 Lillian Myers '19
Terra Ehrhart '20
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 5 4 5 1 2 17 Brandon Geller '19
Dominic Canonico '19
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 3 2 1 2 15 23 Robert (Bobby) Rielly '21
Daniel Neville '21
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 7 1 7 7 1 23 Stephan Baker '22 [1-2, 5]
Julia Johansson '19 [3-4]
Adam Kaplan '21 [1-2]
Hannah Bast '21 [3-4]
Lucas Vianna '21 [5]
Lakewood High School Lakewood High School Varsity 8 6 3 6 3 26 Robert Hopkins '21
Talib Moran '20
Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School 1 12 4 3 7 27 Audrey Russler '26
Natalie Scherr '20
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 6 5 6 10 5 32 Elizabeth Shanahan '19
Karlei Kongsiri '19
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 4 9 9 20 8 50 Chandler Scott '19 [1-2, 5]
Caroline Locke '21 [3-4]
Caroline Locke '21 [1-2, 5]
Chandler Scott '19 [3-4]
Coral Shores High School Coral Shores High School Hurricanes 14 11 8 5 12 50 Alex Gonzalez '20
Tony Thiele '20
Sarasota High School Sarasota High School Sailors 13 8 14 17 9 61 Will Murray '20
Luke Johnson '19
Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Panthers 20 13 13 9 6 61 Bella Casaretto '22
Molly Schlesinger '23
Manatee High School Manatee High School Hurricanes 10 16 12 12 14 64 Nick Dewitt '22
Riley Baugh '20
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 9 15 16 13 17 70 Teddy Bueres '19
Roberto Lugones '20
Westminster Christian School Westminster Christian School Warriors 11 10 10 16 23 70 Jonathan Gleason '22
Joshua Pike '22
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 16 18 21 8 10 73 Griffin Pollis '19
Katelyn Herter '20
Vero Beach High School Vero Beach High School Vero Beach 12 14 18 18 16 78 Nita Holloway '20
No Show
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 18 19 17 11 13 78 Emily Allen '21
Tommy Chase '20
Naples High School Naples High School Varsity 21 20 15 14 20 90 Chris Capiola '21 [1-2, 5]
Lauren Connell '22 [3-4]
Jack Breton '19 [1-2, 5]
Maggie Walker '21 [3-4]
Dunedin High School Dunedin High School Varsity 23 7 20 22 21 93 Olivia Mikkelsen '23
Caitlyn Pagano '22
Martin County High School Martin County High School Tigers 19 22 23 21 11 96 Kathryn Thorsen '21 [1-5]
Cameron Lott '20 [1-2, 5]
Jennifer Donelon '22 [3-4]
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves 17 23 22 15 22 99 Will Dimaio '22
Summer Scott '20
Robinson High School Robinson High School Knights 22 24 11 19 24 100 Jonathan Joyner '19
Nick Joyner '22
MOA/Westwood High School MOA/Westwood High School Panthers 15 21 24 24 18 102 Nicholas Stange '20 [1-4]
Esbeydy Dumas '20 [5]
Grace Lamb '20 [1-2, 5]
Austin Daigle '20 [3-4]
Osceola Fundamental High School Osceola Fundamental High School Varsity 24 17 19 23 19 102 Dana Aljasir '20
Corinne Graves '20
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2014 (14 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Carrollton School of the Sacred HeartCarrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School11335
Coral Shores High SchoolCoral Shores High School Hurricanes22446
Dunedin High SchoolDunedin High School Varsity33557
Gulliver Preparatory SchoolGulliver Preparatory School Raiders44668
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School Falcons668810
Lakewood High SchoolLakewood High School Varsity779912
Manatee High SchoolManatee High School Hurricanes99121221
Martin County High SchoolMartin County High School Tigers1010111114
MOA/Westwood High SchoolMOA/Westwood High School Panthers88101011
Naples High SchoolNaples High School Varsity1212212115
Osceola Fundamental High SchoolOsceola Fundamental High School Varsity1111141416
Oxbridge AcademyOxbridge Academy ThunderWolves2121151517
Pine Crest SchoolPine Crest School Panthers1414161618
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers55779
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders1515171719
Riverview High SchoolRiverview High School Varsity1616181820
Robinson High SchoolRobinson High School Knights1717191922
St. Thomas Aquinas High SchoolSt. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders232324242
Sarasota High SchoolSarasota High School Sailors1818202023
Shorecrest Preparatory SchoolShorecrest Preparatory School Chargers1919222213
South Fork High SchoolSouth Fork High School SF BULLDOGS2020232324
St. Petersburg High SchoolSt. Petersburg High School Green Devils222213131
Vero Beach High SchoolVero Beach High School Vero Beach1313113
Westminster Christian SchoolWestminster Christian School Warriors2424224

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Carrollton School of the Sacred HeartCarrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School22446
Coral Shores High SchoolCoral Shores High School Hurricanes33557
Dunedin High SchoolDunedin High School Varsity44668
Gulliver Preparatory SchoolGulliver Preparatory School Raiders55779
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School Falcons779912
Lakewood High SchoolLakewood High School Varsity88101011
Manatee High SchoolManatee High School Hurricanes1010111114
Martin County High SchoolMartin County High School Tigers1212212115
MOA/Westwood High SchoolMOA/Westwood High School Panthers99121221
Naples High SchoolNaples High School Varsity1111141416
Osceola Fundamental High SchoolOsceola Fundamental High School Varsity2121151517
Oxbridge AcademyOxbridge Academy ThunderWolves1414161618
Pine Crest SchoolPine Crest School Panthers1515171719
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers668810
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders1616181820
Riverview High SchoolRiverview High School Varsity1717191922
Robinson High SchoolRobinson High School Knights1818202023
St. Thomas Aquinas High SchoolSt. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders1313113
Sarasota High SchoolSarasota High School Sailors1919222213
Shorecrest Preparatory SchoolShorecrest Preparatory School Chargers2020232324
South Fork High SchoolSouth Fork High School SF BULLDOGS222213131
St. Petersburg High SchoolSt. Petersburg High School Green Devils232324242
Vero Beach High SchoolVero Beach High School Vero Beach2424224
Westminster Christian SchoolWestminster Christian School Warriors11335
School / Team SkipperCrew
Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carolina Gaston '21 Natalia Freyre '23
Carrollton School Audrey Russler '26 Natalie Scherr '20
Coral Shores High School Coral Shores High School Ella Marsden '20 Ethan Osborne '19
Hurricanes Alex Gonzalez '20 Tony Thiele '20
Dunedin High School Dunedin High School Jacob Armitage '20 Aine Porter '19
Varsity Olivia Mikkelsen '23 Caitlyn Pagano '22
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Kyle Bramson '20 Karen Liberman '20
Raiders Teddy Bueres '19 Roberto Lugones '20
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Connor Nelson '19 Tee Chulikavit '19
Panthers Brandon Geller '19 Dominic Canonico '19
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Chloe Hudgins '20 Cole Degner '21
Falcons Chandler Scott '19 [1-2, 5]
Caroline Locke '21 [3-4]		 Caroline Locke '21 [1-2, 5]
Chandler Scott '19 [3-4]
Lakewood High School Lakewood High School Callista Hopkins '19 Bella Keelin '20
Varsity Robert Hopkins '21 Talib Moran '20
MOA/Westwood High School MOA/Westwood High School Heriberto Lara-Mijares '20 Esbeydy Dumas '20
Panthers Nicholas Stange '20 [1-4]
Esbeydy Dumas '20 [5]		 Grace Lamb '20 [1-2, 5]
Austin Daigle '20 [3-4]
Manatee High School Manatee High School Bryce Tone '21 Matthew Mackin '21
Hurricanes Nick Dewitt '22 Riley Baugh '20
Martin County High School Martin County High School Kingsley Ehrich '19 Marc Kiener '20
Tigers Kathryn Thorsen '21 [1-5] Cameron Lott '20 [1-2, 5]
Jennifer Donelon '22 [3-4]
Naples High School Naples High School Andrew Douglas '19 Lilly Capiola '19
Varsity Chris Capiola '21 [1-2, 5]
Lauren Connell '22 [3-4]		 Jack Breton '19 [1-2, 5]
Maggie Walker '21 [3-4]
Osceola Fundamental High School Osceola Fundamental High School Colin Lawther '20 Aislyn Graves '20
Varsity Dana Aljasir '20 Corinne Graves '20
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy Trevor Honeycutt '19 [1-2, 5]
Alexander Barr '19 [3-4]		 Ayla Weisberg '22 [1-2, 5]
Aidan Deitrick '20 [3-4]
ThunderWolves Will Dimaio '22 Summer Scott '20
Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Noah Fischer '19 Mia Strempack '22
Panthers Bella Casaretto '22 Molly Schlesinger '23
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Javier Garcon '21 Claire Holzman '21
Raiders Stephan Baker '22 [1-2, 5]
Julia Johansson '19 [3-4]		 Adam Kaplan '21 [1-2]
Hannah Bast '21 [3-4]
Lucas Vianna '21 [5]
Riverview High School Riverview High School Mark Brunsvold '19 Kay Brumsvold '21
Varsity Lillian Myers '19 Terra Ehrhart '20
Robinson High School Robinson High School Katie Nelson '20 Claire Shames '21
Knights Jonathan Joyner '19 Nick Joyner '22
Sarasota High School Sarasota High School Matthew King '20 Nick Powers '21
Sailors Will Murray '20 Luke Johnson '19
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Guthrie Braun '22 Thomas Cura '21
Chargers Elizabeth Shanahan '19 Karlei Kongsiri '19
South Fork High School South Fork High School Emily Bornarth '20 Emma Barska '19
SF BULLDOGS Griffin Pollis '19 Katelyn Herter '20
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Emma Shakespeare '20 Kalee Parmentier '19
Green Devils Emily Allen '21 Tommy Chase '20
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Joey Meagher '20 [1-5] Kenna Reed '20 [1-4]
Emma Asturias '20 [5]
Raiders Robert (Bobby) Rielly '21 Daniel Neville '21
Vero Beach High School Vero Beach High School Brendan Williams '19 No Show
Vero Beach Nita Holloway '20 No Show
Westminster Christian School Westminster Christian School Enzo Menditto '22 Natalia Gagliano '19
Warriors Jonathan Gleason '22 Joshua Pike '22

Conditions — 01/19/2019 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 60%  ·  Pressure 1017.4 hPa

Temperature

74°F
↑ 77°F   ↓ 62°F
Feels like 72°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.3 kn
avg  ·  max 9.7 kn
Gusts to 19.6 kn
From SSE (156°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover66% Sunshine9.8 hrs Humidity60% Pressure1017.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Ransom Everglades: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.03 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.04
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.10 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Ransom Everglades by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 14 labelled days at Ransom Everglades, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →