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Southpoints #6

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 43 16 59
2 Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions 39 34 73
3 Riverview High School Riverview High School Varsity 29 48 77
4 H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 48 37 85
5 Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 49 40 89
6 St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 50 46 96
7 Manatee High School Manatee High School Hurricanes 41 63 104
8 Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 48 68 116
9 Sarasota High School Sarasota High School Sailors 82 37 119
10 South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 45 112 157
11 Westminster Christian School Westminster Christian School Warriors 67 109 176
12 Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School 138 46 184
13 Pine View School Pine View School Pine View Varsity 116 85 201
14 St. Stephen's Episcopal School St. Stephen's Episcopal School Varsity 71 136 207
15 Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 110 102 212
16 St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 138 98 236
17 Dunedin High School Dunedin High School Gnarville Residents 97 142 239
18 Naples High School Naples High School Varsity 135 107 242
19 Robinson High School Robinson High School Knights 95 160 255
20 Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves 139 120 259
21 Martin County High School Martin County High School Tigers 161 102 263
22 Osceola Fundamental High School Osceola Fundamental High School Varsity 141 123 264
23 The Pine School The Pine School Knights 91 173 264
24 Braden River High School Braden River High School Pirates 156 115 271
25 Vero Beach High School Vero Beach High School Vero Beach 133 145 278
26 MOA/Westwood High School MOA/Westwood High School Panthers 177 179 356
27 Admiral Farragut Academy Admiral Farragut Academy Varsity 191 188 379
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Riverview High School Riverview High School Varsity 7 9 3 3 3 1 3 29 Lillian Myers '19
Terra Ehrhart '20
Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions 10 4 2 7 11 4 1 39 Justin Callahan '22
Brianna Ross '22
Manatee High School Manatee High School Hurricanes 4 5 5 4 6 9 8 41 Bryce Tone '21
Matthew Mackin '21
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 12 8 9 2 1 2 9 43 Lachlain Mc Granahan '20 [1-7]
Gabriel Vianna '21 [1-2]
Bernat Miro '19 [3-7]
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 9 7 8 5 2 7 7 45 Emily Bornarth '20
Emma Barska '19
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 1 3 10 14 4 12 4 48 Guthrie Braun '22
Thomas Cura '21
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 3 11 1 6 12 5 10 48 Connor Nelson '19
Tee Chulikavit '19
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 2 1 4 1 20 8 13 49 Daniel Hughes '21
Teddy Bueres '19
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 6 2 BKD 9 9 6 11 50 Joey Meagher '20
Kenna Reed '20
Westminster Christian School Westminster Christian School Warriors 11 12 6 8 8 3 19 67 Enzo Menditto '22 [1-7]
Fernando Sierra '22 [1-6]
Justin Eckstein '22 [7]
St. Stephen's Episcopal School St. Stephen's Episcopal School Varsity 8 10 11 10 16 14 2 71 J.J. (Jessica) Smith '20
Evanthia Stirou '22
Sarasota High School Sarasota High School Sailors 5 17 7 17 5 15 16 82 Will Murray '20
Dan Keim '19
The Pine School The Pine School Knights 20 6 14 11 15 19 6 91 Peter Foley '22
Jack Squier '21
Robinson High School Robinson High School Knights 19 13 12 13 10 16 12 95 Katie Nelson '20
Jonathan Joyner '19
Dunedin High School Dunedin High School Gnarville Residents 13 15 15 18 18 13 5 97 Jacob Armitage '20
Aine Porter '19
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 15 19 23 12 7 10 24 110 Chloe Hudgins '20
Cole Degner '21
Pine View School Pine View School Pine View Varsity 18 14 16 22 13 11 22 116 Natalie Hoffman '26
Matthew Mason '19
Vero Beach High School Vero Beach High School Vero Beach 24 21 18 20 17 18 15 133 Mylee Smith '21
Sydney Ohs '23
Naples High School Naples High School Varsity 21 16 21 21 19 20 17 135 Andrew Douglas '19
Jack Breton '19
Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School 14 25 25 23 14 17 20 138 Carolina Gaston '21 [1-7]
Natalia Freyre '23 [1-2, 5-7]
Manuela Maria Fernandez Olano '20 [3-4]
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 17 18 19 15 22 21 26 138 Emma Shakespeare '20 [1-7]
Kalee Parmentier '19 [1-4]
Hannah Marsicano '20 [5-7]
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves 22 20 17 16 23 23 18 139 Alexander Barr '19
Aidan Deitrick '20
Osceola Fundamental High School Osceola Fundamental High School Varsity 16 24 13 19 24 22 23 141 Colin Lawther '20
Aislyn Graves '20
Braden River High School Braden River High School Pirates 23 22 22 25 25 25 14 156 Mason Sullivan '22
Connor Snead '22
Martin County High School Martin County High School Tigers 25 23 20 27 21 24 21 161 Kathryn Thorsen '21
Jennifer Donelon '22
MOA/Westwood High School MOA/Westwood High School Panthers 26 26 24 24 26 26 25 177 Heriberto Lara-Mijares '20
Esbeydy Dumas '20
Admiral Farragut Academy Admiral Farragut Academy Varsity DNS DNS 27 26 27 DNF 27 191 Mckay Chiemelskiy '17
Zac Fisher '21
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 1 2 3 4 3 2 1 16 Liam O'Keefe '21 [1-2, 5-7]
Javier Garcon '21 [3-4]
Lucas Vianna '21 [1-4]
Adam Kaplan '21 [5-7]
Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions 4 1 8 8 4 4 5 34 Mitchell Callahan '22
Antonio Miranda '20
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 3 5 1 3 10 11 4 37 Brandon Geller '19
Dominic Canonico '19
Sarasota High School Sarasota High School Sailors 6 4 5 5 6 8 3 37 Matthew King '20
Nick Powers '21
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 13 3 6 7 2 1 8 40 Kyle Bramson '20
Karen Liberman '20
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 5 8 4 2 8 10 9 46 Libby Redmond '20
Emma Asturias '20
Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School 8 15 2 11 1 3 6 46 Audrey Russler '26
Natalie Scherr '20
Riverview High School Riverview High School Varsity 10 10 BKD BKD 5 7 2 48 Dylan Heinz '20
Kay Brumsvold '21
Manatee High School Manatee High School Hurricanes 2 6 9 1 11 16 18 63 Nick Dewitt '22
Riley Baugh '20
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 12 7 10 12 12 5 10 68 Elizabeth Shanahan '19 [1-4]
Heather Kerns '20 [5-7]
Karlei Kongsiri '19 [1-4]
Pine View School Pine View School Pine View Varsity 9 9 11 10 20 19 7 85 James Mcgirr '20
Mia Quijano '26
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 23 22 12 9 9 12 11 98 Emily Allen '21 [1-7]
Hannah Marsicano '20 [1-2]
Tommy Chase '20 [3-7]
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 7 13 17 14 17 14 20 102 Chandler Scott '19
Dina Coletti '20
Martin County High School Martin County High School Tigers 14 12 13 19 19 9 16 102 Marc Kiener '20
Cameron Lott '20
Naples High School Naples High School Varsity 20 23 19 13 13 6 13 107 Thomas Connell '20
Lauren Connell '22
Westminster Christian School Westminster Christian School Warriors 19 20 7 23 7 21 12 109 Jonathan Gleason '22
Joshua Pike '22
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 17 11 24 16 14 13 17 112 Griffin Pollis '19
Katelyn Herter '20
Braden River High School Braden River High School Pirates 11 16 14 17 23 15 19 115 Camden Sullivan '21
Jack Soodek '20
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves 15 19 22 18 15 17 14 120 Trevor Honeycutt '19
Raquel Shulman '22
Osceola Fundamental High School Osceola Fundamental High School Varsity 16 14 21 21 18 18 15 123 Dana Aljasir '20
Corinne Graves '20
St. Stephen's Episcopal School St. Stephen's Episcopal School Varsity 21 24 18 6 21 23 23 136 Kaitlyn Liebel '22
Jacob Gekht '22
Dunedin High School Dunedin High School Gnarville Residents 18 17 23 20 22 20 22 142 Olivia Mikkelsen '23
Cassie Urbenz '19
Vero Beach High School Vero Beach High School Vero Beach 24 18 16 22 16 24 25 145 Nita Holloway '20
Catherine Lovelady '23
Robinson High School Robinson High School Knights 25 21 20 26 25 22 21 160 Claire Shames '21
Nick Joyner '22
The Pine School The Pine School Knights 22 25 26 25 24 25 26 173 Anthony Saia '20
Sara Velcani '21
MOA/Westwood High School MOA/Westwood High School Panthers 26 26 27 24 26 26 24 179 Nicholas Stange '20
Austin Daigle '20
Admiral Farragut Academy Admiral Farragut Academy Varsity 27 27 25 DNF 27 27 27 188 Rex Walrond '19
William Rice '20
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.200+0.20
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2019 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Admiral Farragut AcademyAdmiral Farragut Academy Varsity363633282823
Braden River High SchoolBraden River High School Pirates332828232318
Carrollton School of the Sacred HeartCarrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School28282323181816
Dunedin High SchoolDunedin High School Gnarville Residents23231818161614
Gulliver Preparatory SchoolGulliver Preparatory School Raiders18181616141422
Immaculata La Salle High SchoolImmaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions1414222225252
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School Falcons222225252224
Manatee High SchoolManatee High School Hurricanes222424343417
Martin County High SchoolMartin County High School Tigers24243434171720
MOA/Westwood High SchoolMOA/Westwood High School Panthers252522242434
Naples High SchoolNaples High School Varsity3434171720205
Osceola Fundamental High SchoolOsceola Fundamental High School Varsity171720205532
Oxbridge AcademyOxbridge Academy ThunderWolves20205532324
Pine View SchoolPine View School Pine View Varsity5532324427
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers16161414222225
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders32324427271
Riverview High SchoolRiverview High School Varsity4427271135
Robinson High SchoolRobinson High School Knights272711353521
St. Stephen's Episcopal SchoolSt. Stephen's Episcopal School Varsity661515262633
St. Thomas Aquinas High SchoolSt. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders15152626333331
Sarasota High SchoolSarasota High School Sailors113535212130
Shorecrest Preparatory SchoolShorecrest Preparatory School Chargers3535212130306
South Fork High SchoolSouth Fork High School SF BULLDOGS212130306615
St. Petersburg High SchoolSt. Petersburg High School Green Devils303066151526
The Pine SchoolThe Pine School Knights26263333313136
Vero Beach High SchoolVero Beach High School Vero Beach3333313136363
Westminster Christian SchoolWestminster Christian School Warriors313136363328

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
Admiral Farragut AcademyAdmiral Farragut Academy Varsity20205532324
Braden River High SchoolBraden River High School Pirates5532324427
Carrollton School of the Sacred HeartCarrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School32324427271
Dunedin High SchoolDunedin High School Gnarville Residents4427271135
Gulliver Preparatory SchoolGulliver Preparatory School Raiders272711353521
Immaculata La Salle High SchoolImmaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions3535212130306
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School Falcons212130306615
Manatee High SchoolManatee High School Hurricanes661515262633
Martin County High SchoolMartin County High School Tigers15152626333331
MOA/Westwood High SchoolMOA/Westwood High School Panthers303066151526
Naples High SchoolNaples High School Varsity26263333313136
Osceola Fundamental High SchoolOsceola Fundamental High School Varsity3333313136363
Oxbridge AcademyOxbridge Academy ThunderWolves313136363328
Pine View SchoolPine View School Pine View Varsity363633282823
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers113535212130
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders332828232318
Riverview High SchoolRiverview High School Varsity28282323181816
Robinson High SchoolRobinson High School Knights23231818161614
St. Stephen's Episcopal SchoolSt. Stephen's Episcopal School Varsity252522242434
St. Thomas Aquinas High SchoolSt. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders222424343417
Sarasota High SchoolSarasota High School Sailors18181616141422
Shorecrest Preparatory SchoolShorecrest Preparatory School Chargers16161414222225
South Fork High SchoolSouth Fork High School SF BULLDOGS1414222225252
St. Petersburg High SchoolSt. Petersburg High School Green Devils222225252224
The Pine SchoolThe Pine School Knights24243434171720
Vero Beach High SchoolVero Beach High School Vero Beach3434171720205
Westminster Christian SchoolWestminster Christian School Warriors171720205532
School / Team SkipperCrew
Admiral Farragut Academy Admiral Farragut Academy Mckay Chiemelskiy '17 Zac Fisher '21
Varsity Rex Walrond '19 William Rice '20
Braden River High School Braden River High School Mason Sullivan '22 Connor Snead '22
Pirates Camden Sullivan '21 Jack Soodek '20
Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carolina Gaston '21 [1-7] Natalia Freyre '23 [1-2, 5-7]
Manuela Maria Fernandez Olano '20 [3-4]
Carrollton School Audrey Russler '26 Natalie Scherr '20
Dunedin High School Dunedin High School Jacob Armitage '20 Aine Porter '19
Gnarville Residents Olivia Mikkelsen '23 Cassie Urbenz '19
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Daniel Hughes '21 Teddy Bueres '19
Raiders Kyle Bramson '20 Karen Liberman '20
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Connor Nelson '19 Tee Chulikavit '19
Panthers Brandon Geller '19 Dominic Canonico '19
Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Justin Callahan '22 Brianna Ross '22
Royal Lions Mitchell Callahan '22 Antonio Miranda '20
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Chloe Hudgins '20 Cole Degner '21
Falcons Chandler Scott '19 Dina Coletti '20
MOA/Westwood High School MOA/Westwood High School Heriberto Lara-Mijares '20 Esbeydy Dumas '20
Panthers Nicholas Stange '20 Austin Daigle '20
Manatee High School Manatee High School Bryce Tone '21 Matthew Mackin '21
Hurricanes Nick Dewitt '22 Riley Baugh '20
Martin County High School Martin County High School Kathryn Thorsen '21 Jennifer Donelon '22
Tigers Marc Kiener '20 Cameron Lott '20
Naples High School Naples High School Andrew Douglas '19 Jack Breton '19
Varsity Thomas Connell '20 Lauren Connell '22
Osceola Fundamental High School Osceola Fundamental High School Colin Lawther '20 Aislyn Graves '20
Varsity Dana Aljasir '20 Corinne Graves '20
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy Alexander Barr '19 Aidan Deitrick '20
ThunderWolves Trevor Honeycutt '19 Raquel Shulman '22
Pine View School Pine View School Natalie Hoffman '26 Matthew Mason '19
Pine View Varsity James Mcgirr '20 Mia Quijano '26
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Lachlain Mc Granahan '20 [1-7] Gabriel Vianna '21 [1-2]
Bernat Miro '19 [3-7]
Raiders Liam O'Keefe '21 [1-2, 5-7]
Javier Garcon '21 [3-4]		 Lucas Vianna '21 [1-4]
Adam Kaplan '21 [5-7]
Riverview High School Riverview High School Lillian Myers '19 Terra Ehrhart '20
Varsity Dylan Heinz '20 Kay Brumsvold '21
Robinson High School Robinson High School Katie Nelson '20 Jonathan Joyner '19
Knights Claire Shames '21 Nick Joyner '22
Sarasota High School Sarasota High School Will Murray '20 Dan Keim '19
Sailors Matthew King '20 Nick Powers '21
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Guthrie Braun '22 Thomas Cura '21
Chargers Elizabeth Shanahan '19 [1-4]
Heather Kerns '20 [5-7]		 Karlei Kongsiri '19 [1-4]
South Fork High School South Fork High School Emily Bornarth '20 Emma Barska '19
SF BULLDOGS Griffin Pollis '19 Katelyn Herter '20
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Emma Shakespeare '20 [1-7] Kalee Parmentier '19 [1-4]
Hannah Marsicano '20 [5-7]
Green Devils Emily Allen '21 [1-7] Hannah Marsicano '20 [1-2]
Tommy Chase '20 [3-7]
St. Stephen's Episcopal School St. Stephen's Episcopal School J.J. (Jessica) Smith '20 Evanthia Stirou '22
Varsity Kaitlyn Liebel '22 Jacob Gekht '22
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Joey Meagher '20 Kenna Reed '20
Raiders Libby Redmond '20 Emma Asturias '20
The Pine School The Pine School Peter Foley '22 Jack Squier '21
Knights Anthony Saia '20 Sara Velcani '21
Vero Beach High School Vero Beach High School Mylee Smith '21 Sydney Ohs '23
Vero Beach Nita Holloway '20 Catherine Lovelady '23
Westminster Christian School Westminster Christian School Enzo Menditto '22 [1-7] Fernando Sierra '22 [1-6]
Justin Eckstein '22 [7]
Warriors Jonathan Gleason '22 Joshua Pike '22

Conditions — 03/02/2019 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 73%  ·  Pressure 1019.7 hPa

Temperature

75°F
↑ 82°F   ↓ 60°F
Feels like 80°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.8 kn
avg  ·  max 6.5 kn
Gusts to 15.0 kn
From SSW (203°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover22% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity73% Pressure1019.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 7 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Sarasota Sailing Squadron: a typical day (+0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.03 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.01
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.03 ± 0.07)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Sarasota Sailing Squadron by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at Sarasota Sailing Squadron, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →