Navigate

VISA Hampton Phoebus Fleet Race Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 16 13 29
2 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 20 15 35
3 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 29 28 57
4 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 9 49 58
5 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 46 17 63
6 Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 1 36 43 79
7 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 60 37 97
8 Mathews High School Mathews High School Blue Devils 1 48 66 114
9 York High School York High School Varsity 56 77 133
10 Grafton High School Grafton High School Varsity 77 70 147
11 Hampton High School Hampton High School Crabbers 100 58 158
12 Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 2 112 75 187
13 Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 69 126 195
14 Granby High School Granby High School Comets 93 102 195
15 Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 2 93 104 197
16 Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 1 126 118 244
17 Mathews High School Mathews High School Blue Devils 2 126 126 252
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 2 1 1 2 1 RDG 1 9 Jack Mckenna '20
Emmaline Dicarlo '20
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 1 4 2 1 4 1 3 16 Mariana Guzman Casas '19
Jeff Elkin '20
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 4 3 3 3 2 RDG 2 20 Parker Purrington '19
Ray Domena '19
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 5 5 4 4 3 4 4 29 Alex Schuck '21
Adam Elci '22
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 1 3 7 7 6 5 2 6 36 Cole Handly '19
Megan Geith '20
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 7 6 5 8 6 6 8 46 Henry Allgeier '23
Ali Zaidi '20
Mathews High School Mathews High School Blue Devils 1 10 2 8 9 7 3 9 48 Andrew Ciszewski '21 [1-7]
David Mattox '21 [1-2, 5-7]
Cody Carnes '21 [3-4]
York High School York High School Varsity 6 9 6 5 12 11 7 56 Brian Fox '19
Charlie Gibson '20
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 8 8 11 7 9 12 5 60 Lucas Masiello '19
Patty Wei '20
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 11 11 10 10 10 7 10 69 Kyle Pfrang '22
Leila Pfrang '25
Grafton High School Grafton High School Varsity DNF 10 9 11 8 10 11 77 Madeline Amthor '22
Lenore Dougherty '20
Granby High School Granby High School Comets 13 14 15 15 13 5 DNS 93 Huaqiu "Cho-Cho" Williams '22
William Green '23
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 2 14 13 13 12 11 DNS 12 93 Emily Britt '23
Henry Allard '24
Hampton High School Hampton High School Crabbers 9 12 12 13 DNS DNS DNS 100 Avery Mcnight '20 [1-4]
No Show [5-7]
Alexandra Smith '23 [1-4]
No Show [5-7]
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 2 12 DNF 14 14 DNS DNS DNS 112 Ryan Nguyen '20 [1-4]
No Show [5-7]
Mallory Soter '20 [1-4]
No Show [5-7]
Mathews High School Mathews High School Blue Devils 2 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 126 No Show
No Show
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 1 DNF DNS DNF DNS DNS DNS DNS 126 Lane Kilduff '25
Gabby Cloe '24
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 1 3 1 3 2 2 1 13 Jeronimo Guzman '21
Carson Rozell '19
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 2 1 3 1 3 1 4 15 Chris Robertson '19
Matt Wright '19
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 4 2 2 2 1 4 2 17 Henry Allgeier '23
Ali Zaidi '20
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 3 4 4 4 5 3 5 28 Robert Chase '22
Jon Krueger '20
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 6 6 8 5 4 5 3 37 Jaxon Parker '22
Cindy Wang '21
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 1 5 7 5 7 7 6 6 43 Tyler Brown '23
Maggie Leddy '20
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 7 8 7 6 6 7 8 49 Chase Brewer '22 [1-7]
Claire Dicarlo '22 [1-6]
Aubrey Walton '23 [7]
Hampton High School Hampton High School Crabbers 10 9 6 9 8 9 7 58 Ricky Cordner '19
Ramazani Clement '23
Mathews High School Mathews High School Blue Devils 1 12 5 9 8 11 12 9 66 Alaya Mccurry '21 [1-7]
Dylan White '22 [1-2, 5-7]
Quinton Dixon '20 [3-4]
Grafton High School Grafton High School Varsity 8 10 13 11 9 8 11 70 David Hanna '21 [1-7]
Jude Link '22 [1-2, 5-7]
Reilly Warren '21 [3-4]
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 2 11 11 10 12 10 11 10 75 Morgan Handly '21
Morgan Riggins '20
York High School York High School Varsity 9 12 12 10 12 10 12 77 Justin Kelly '25 [1-7]
Elias Rooker '23 [1-2]
Luke Manternach '22 [3-4]
Luke Scheeren '20 [5-7]
Granby High School Granby High School Comets 15 15 14 14 13 13 DNF 102 Michael Polsinelli '23
Margaret Wyatt '25
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 2 13 13 11 13 DNS DNS DNS 104 Connor Mccarty '21
Jack Carson '22
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 1 14 14 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 118 Ben Powell '22
Sean Trudell '24
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 126 No Show
No Show
Mathews High School Mathews High School Blue Devils 2 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 126 No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.230+0.23
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2019 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 118181818181818
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 22222222
Grafton High SchoolGrafton High School Varsity3333333
Granby High SchoolGranby High School Comets4444444
Hampton High SchoolHampton High School Crabbers5555555
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Warriors 16666666
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Warriors 27777777
Mathews High SchoolMathews High School Blue Devils 18888888
Mathews High SchoolMathews High School Blue Devils 29999999
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores 110101010101010
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores 211111111111111
Nansemond-Suffolk AcademyNansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints12121212121212
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs13131313131313
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 114141414141414
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 215151515151515
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders16161616161616
York High SchoolYork High School Varsity17171717171717

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 118181818181818
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 22222222
Grafton High SchoolGrafton High School Varsity3333333
Granby High SchoolGranby High School Comets4444444
Hampton High SchoolHampton High School Crabbers5555555
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Warriors 16666666
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Warriors 27777777
Mathews High SchoolMathews High School Blue Devils 18888888
Mathews High SchoolMathews High School Blue Devils 29999999
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores 110101010101010
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores 211111111111111
Nansemond-Suffolk AcademyNansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints12121212121212
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs13131313131313
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 114141414141414
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 215151515151515
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders16161616161616
York High SchoolYork High School Varsity17171717171717
School / Team SkipperCrew
Christchurch School Christchurch School Mariana Guzman Casas '19 Jeff Elkin '20
Seahorses 1 Jeronimo Guzman '21 Carson Rozell '19
Christchurch School Christchurch School Lucas Masiello '19 Patty Wei '20
Seahorses 2 Jaxon Parker '22 Cindy Wang '21
Grafton High School Grafton High School Madeline Amthor '22 Lenore Dougherty '20
Varsity David Hanna '21 [1-7] Jude Link '22 [1-2, 5-7]
Reilly Warren '21 [3-4]
Granby High School Granby High School Huaqiu "Cho-Cho" Williams '22 William Green '23
Comets Michael Polsinelli '23 Margaret Wyatt '25
Hampton High School Hampton High School Avery Mcnight '20 [1-4]
No Show [5-7]		 Alexandra Smith '23 [1-4]
No Show [5-7]
Crabbers Ricky Cordner '19 Ramazani Clement '23
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Cole Handly '19 Megan Geith '20
Warriors 1 Tyler Brown '23 Maggie Leddy '20
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Ryan Nguyen '20 [1-4]
No Show [5-7]		 Mallory Soter '20 [1-4]
No Show [5-7]
Warriors 2 Morgan Handly '21 Morgan Riggins '20
Mathews High School Mathews High School Andrew Ciszewski '21 [1-7] David Mattox '21 [1-2, 5-7]
Cody Carnes '21 [3-4]
Blue Devils 1 Alaya Mccurry '21 [1-7] Dylan White '22 [1-2, 5-7]
Quinton Dixon '20 [3-4]
Mathews High School Mathews High School No Show No Show
Blue Devils 2 No Show No Show
Maury High School Maury High School Lane Kilduff '25 Gabby Cloe '24
Commodores 1 Ben Powell '22 Sean Trudell '24
Maury High School Maury High School Emily Britt '23 Henry Allard '24
Commodores 2 Connor Mccarty '21 Jack Carson '22
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Kyle Pfrang '22 Leila Pfrang '25
Saints No Show No Show
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Henry Allgeier '23 Ali Zaidi '20
Bulldogs Henry Allgeier '23 Ali Zaidi '20
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Parker Purrington '19 Ray Domena '19
Oaks 1 Chris Robertson '19 Matt Wright '19
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Alex Schuck '21 Adam Elci '22
Oaks 2 Robert Chase '22 Jon Krueger '20
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Jack Mckenna '20 Emmaline Dicarlo '20
Islanders Chase Brewer '22 [1-7] Claire Dicarlo '22 [1-6]
Aubrey Walton '23 [7]
York High School York High School Brian Fox '19 Charlie Gibson '20
Varsity Justin Kelly '25 [1-7] Elias Rooker '23 [1-2]
Luke Manternach '22 [3-4]
Luke Scheeren '20 [5-7]

Conditions — 04/20/2019 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 59%  ·  Pressure 1006.7 hPa

Temperature

66°F
↑ 70°F   ↓ 62°F
Feels like 61°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
14.4 kn
avg  ·  max 17.8 kn
Gusts to 30.1 kn
From SSW (201°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover85% Sunshine7.0 hrs Humidity59% Pressure1006.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 30 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Hampton/Phoebus: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.38)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.39
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.39 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.38 means a rating gap counts about 33% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Hampton/Phoebus by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Hampton/Phoebus, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →