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South Points #5 Varsity

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 52 35 87
2 Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 37 59 96
3 St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 48 54 102
4 Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 56 104 160
5 Sarasota High School Sarasota High School Sailors 134 44 178
6 St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 103 95 198
7 South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 112 135 247
8 Westminster Christian School Westminster Christian School Warriors 148 102 250
9 St. Stephen's Episcopal School St. Stephen's Episcopal School Varsity 124 132 256
10 Naples High School Naples High School Varsity 150 124 274
11 Pine View School Pine View School Python Varsity 149 157 306
12 Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Panthers 176 130 306
13 Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 160 156 316
14 H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 195 134 329
15 The Pine School The Pine School Knights 96 242 338
16 Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School 123 221 344
17 Fort Myers High School Fort Myers High School Green Wave 199 152 351
18 Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves 168 203 371
19 Martin County High School Martin County High School Tigers 194 199 393
20 Varsity Varsity Varsity 261 132 393
21 Vero Beach High School Vero Beach High School Vero Beach 223 179 402
22 Developing All Stars Developing All Stars Developing All Stars 172 266 438
23 MOA/Westwood High School MOA/Westwood High School Panthers 257 236 493
24 Venice High School (FL) Venice High School (FL) Varsity 267 262 529
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 4 2 4 2 10 1 1 1 1 2 7 2 37 Guthrie Braun '22
Thomas Cura '21
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 3 8 1 3 2 4 10 5 6 4 1 1 48 Connor Boland '21 [1-4, 9-12]
Robert (Bobby) Rielly '21 [5-8]
Daniel Neville '21 [1-8]
Sam Juskiewicz '20 [9-12]
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 1 1 2 1 1 3 4 10 8 16 2 3 52 Lachlain Mc Granahan '20 [1-2, 9-12]
Stephan Baker '22 [3-8]
Hannah Bast '21 [1-2, 9-12]
Adam Kaplan '21 [3-8]
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 2 9 6 6 5 5 2 2 2 1 4 12 56 Daniel Hughes '21
Abigail Sharp '22
The Pine School The Pine School Knights 6 3 5 12 12 8 5 4 12 6 8 15 96 Peter Foley '22
Jack Squier '21
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 7 14 3 8 15 2 7 6 7 7 18 9 103 Emma Shakespeare '20
Hannah Marsicano '20
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 10 6 7 7 4 6 9 13 4 17 16 13 112 Emily Bornarth '20
Ryan Ince '21
Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School 9 4 13 19 6 12 11 14 5 11 9 10 123 Audrey Russler '26
Natalie Scherr '20
St. Stephen's Episcopal School St. Stephen's Episcopal School Varsity 8 5 15 16 7 18 12 3 3 15 11 11 124 J.J. (Jessica) Smith '20
Brandon Shirmer '23
Sarasota High School Sarasota High School Sailors 11 15 22 5 3 10 18 15 10 8 10 7 134 Matthew King '20 [1-4]
Thommi Gritt '22 [5-12]
Nick Powers '21 [1-12]
Westminster Christian School Westminster Christian School Warriors 5 OCS 8 OCS 9 7 15 8 13 13 6 14 148 Enzo Menditto '22
Joshua Pike '22
Pine View School Pine View School Python Varsity 13 18 18 10 14 17 8 7 17 14 5 8 149 Dylan Lopez '27
Mia Quijano '26
Naples High School Naples High School Varsity 21 11 9 15 11 14 13 9 23 3 17 4 150 Lauren Connell '22
Maia Musial '22
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 15 7 10 22 18 11 6 11 21 5 15 19 160 Chloe Hudgins '20
Griffin Barron '21
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves 20 21 12 13 8 15 3 17 14 9 19 17 168 Hilton Kamps '22
Raquel Shulman '22
Developing All Stars Developing All Stars Developing All Stars 12 12 19 11 21 22 16 12 20 19 3 5 172
Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Panthers 16 10 14 14 20 9 17 20 18 18 14 6 176 Bella Casaretto '22
Rachel Becker '23
Martin County High School Martin County High School Tigers 14 20 11 9 16 24 19 19 9 20 13 20 194 Marc Kiener '20
Cameron Lott '20
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 17 13 20 4 17 16 20 21 19 10 20 18 195 Garrett Brooks '22 [1-12]
Emmy Digiacomo '20 [1-8]
Noelle Dennis '22 [9-12]
Fort Myers High School Fort Myers High School Green Wave 22 17 17 20 13 13 24 16 11 12 12 22 199 Bo Dwyer '22
Morgan Gahan '22
Vero Beach High School Vero Beach High School Vero Beach 18 22 21 18 19 19 14 18 16 21 21 16 223 Nita Holloway '20
Katherine Bounassi '23
MOA/Westwood High School MOA/Westwood High School Panthers 24 16 24 21 24 21 22 24 15 23 22 21 257 Heriberto Lara-Mijares '20
Colin Flink '20
Varsity Varsity Varsity 23 19 16 17 23 23 21 23 24 24 24 24 261
Venice High School (FL) Venice High School (FL) Varsity 19 DNF 23 23 22 20 23 22 22 22 23 23 267 Kane Fenton '23 [1-8]
Peyton Dec '23 [9-12]
Nick Waite '23 [1-8]
Eric Vangennip '20 [9-12]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 4 2 RDG 4 1 1 1 7 2 1 8 1 35 Liam O'Keefe '21 [1-2, 5-8]
Javier Garcon '21 [3-4, 9-12]
Claire Holzman '21 [1-4, 9-12]
Nicolas Echarte '21 [5-8]
Sarasota High School Sarasota High School Sailors 1 3 3 3 2 4 4 13 3 2 4 2 44 Will Murray '20
Kay Brumsvold '21
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 2 5 1 6 8 12 2 4 1 6 1 6 54 Joey Meagher '20 [1-4, 9-12]
Libby Redmond '20 [5-8]
Kenna Reed '20 [1-4, 9-12]
Isa Duplessis '20 [5-8]
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers BKD BKD 10 1 5 11 3 1 5 3 5 5 59 Heather Kerns '20
Zuri Patel '20
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 17 9 4 8 6 6 13 5 11 9 3 4 95 Emily Allen '21
Colin Funsch '20
Westminster Christian School Westminster Christian School Warriors 9 4 7 15 10 5 9 2 9 8 7 17 102 Charlie Leigh '22
Fernando Sierra '22
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 6 1 2 5 17 2 8 9 DNF 14 12 3 104 Cort Snyder '23
Karen Liberman '20
Naples High School Naples High School Varsity 18 17 5 11 15 7 15 6 6 12 2 10 124 Thomas Connell '20 [1-12]
Cooper Atkins '23 [1-8]
Conner Bricco '22 [9-12]
Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Panthers 11 8 8 7 14 10 6 16 13 4 18 15 130 Ryan Kronrad '22
Thomas Yevoli '23
Varsity Varsity Varsity 8 6 12 2 4 19 22 12 14 7 13 13 132
St. Stephen's Episcopal School St. Stephen's Episcopal School Varsity 12 13 9 17 9 16 5 3 17 11 9 11 132 Kaitlyn Liebel '22
Ben Defelice '23
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 3 7 11 9 21 9 12 17 10 16 10 9 134 Reid Nelson '23 [1-12]
Kate Prest '20 [1-8]
Spencer Brooks '20 [9-12]
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 10 15 15 14 12 3 10 10 7 17 15 7 135 Katelyn Herter '20 [1-12]
Zuzanna Barska '22 [1-8]
Siena Pollis '22 [9-12]
Fort Myers High School Fort Myers High School Green Wave 13 11 14 12 11 8 20 20 8 13 14 8 152 Zachary Syska '22
Caroline Cicotte '21
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 21 16 13 13 13 14 19 15 4 10 6 12 156 Coby Flannery '21
Dina Coletti '20
Pine View School Pine View School Python Varsity 7 10 6 21 18 13 16 18 12 5 11 20 157 James Mcgirr '20
Dylan Lopez '27
Vero Beach High School Vero Beach High School Vero Beach 14 20 19 10 7 22 7 11 15 18 22 14 179 Sydney Ohs '23
Catherine Lovelady '23
Martin County High School Martin County High School Tigers 20 19 16 22 3 15 14 14 18 19 20 19 199 Kathryn Thorsen '21
Diego Cruz '23
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves 19 14 17 16 16 17 17 21 16 15 17 18 203 Will Dimaio '22
Aidan Deitrick '20
Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School 5 18 18 20 DNF DNF 11 8 DNF 20 21 DNF 221 Natalia Freyre '23
Sarah Gutierrez '23
MOA/Westwood High School MOA/Westwood High School Panthers 15 12 23 19 20 18 18 22 20 23 DNF 21 236 Nicholas Stange '20 [1-12]
Grace Lamb '20 [1-8]
Austin Daigle '20 [9-12]
The Pine School The Pine School Knights 22 23 21 18 19 20 24 23 19 21 16 16 242 Anthony Saia '20
Sara Velcani '21
Venice High School (FL) Venice High School (FL) Varsity 16 21 20 24 DNF 21 23 24 DNF 22 19 22 262 Zoe Watson '22
Annabelle Riggs '20
Developing All Stars Developing All Stars Developing All Stars 23 22 22 23 22 23 21 19 21 24 23 23 266
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.230+0.23
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2020 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
Carrollton School of the Sacred HeartCarrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School112233445555
Developing All StarsDeveloping All Stars Developing All Stars22112020202019191818
Fort Myers High SchoolFort Myers High School Green Wave334455556677
Gulliver Preparatory SchoolGulliver Preparatory School Raiders4433221120202020
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School Falcons555544332211
Martin County High SchoolMartin County High School Tigers776655554433
MOA/Westwood High SchoolMOA/Westwood High School Panthers6677889910101010
Naples High SchoolNaples High School Varsity88991010101011111212
Oxbridge AcademyOxbridge Academy ThunderWolves998877665555
VarsityVarsity Varsity101010101111121213131414
Pine Crest SchoolPine Crest School Panthers1010101099887766
Pine View SchoolPine View School Python Varsity111112121313141415151515
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers555566778899
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders12121111101010109988
St. Stephen's Episcopal SchoolSt. Stephen's Episcopal School Varsity161617171818191920202020
St. Thomas Aquinas High SchoolSt. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders171716161515151514141313
Sarasota High SchoolSarasota High School Sailors131314141515151516161717
Shorecrest Preparatory SchoolShorecrest Preparatory School Chargers141413131212111110101010
South Fork High SchoolSouth Fork High School SF BULLDOGS151515151616171718181919
St. Petersburg High SchoolSt. Petersburg High School Green Devils151515151414131312121111
The Pine SchoolThe Pine School Knights18181919202020201122
Venice High School (FL)Venice High School (FL) Varsity191918181717161615151515
Vero Beach High SchoolVero Beach High School Vero Beach2020202011223344
Westminster Christian SchoolWestminster Christian School Warriors202020201919181817171616

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
Carrollton School of the Sacred HeartCarrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School112233445566
Developing All StarsDeveloping All Stars Developing All Stars22112424232322222121
Fort Myers High SchoolFort Myers High School Green Wave334455667788
Gulliver Preparatory SchoolGulliver Preparatory School Raiders4433221124242323
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School Falcons665544332211
Martin County High SchoolMartin County High School Tigers887766554433
MOA/Westwood High SchoolMOA/Westwood High School Panthers778899101011111212
Naples High SchoolNaples High School Varsity9910101111121213131414
Oxbridge AcademyOxbridge Academy ThunderWolves10109988776655
VarsityVarsity Varsity111112121313141415151616
Pine Crest SchoolPine Crest School Panthers121211111010998877
Pine View SchoolPine View School Python Varsity131314141515161617171818
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers55667788991010
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders1414131312121111101099
St. Stephen's Episcopal SchoolSt. Stephen's Episcopal School Varsity191920202121222223232424
St. Thomas Aquinas High SchoolSt. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders202019191818171716161515
Sarasota High SchoolSarasota High School Sailors151516161717181819192020
Shorecrest Preparatory SchoolShorecrest Preparatory School Chargers161615151414131312121111
South Fork High SchoolSouth Fork High School SF BULLDOGS171718181919202021212222
St. Petersburg High SchoolSt. Petersburg High School Green Devils181817171616151514141313
The Pine SchoolThe Pine School Knights21212222232324241122
Venice High School (FL)Venice High School (FL) Varsity222221212020191918181717
Vero Beach High SchoolVero Beach High School Vero Beach2323242411223344
Westminster Christian SchoolWestminster Christian School Warriors242423232222212120201919
School / Team SkipperCrew
Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Audrey Russler '26 Natalie Scherr '20
Carrollton School Natalia Freyre '23 Sarah Gutierrez '23
Fort Myers High School Fort Myers High School Bo Dwyer '22 Morgan Gahan '22
Green Wave Zachary Syska '22 Caroline Cicotte '21
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Daniel Hughes '21 Abigail Sharp '22
Raiders Cort Snyder '23 Karen Liberman '20
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Garrett Brooks '22 [1-12] Emmy Digiacomo '20 [1-8]
Noelle Dennis '22 [9-12]
Panthers Reid Nelson '23 [1-12] Kate Prest '20 [1-8]
Spencer Brooks '20 [9-12]
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Chloe Hudgins '20 Griffin Barron '21
Falcons Coby Flannery '21 Dina Coletti '20
MOA/Westwood High School MOA/Westwood High School Heriberto Lara-Mijares '20 Colin Flink '20
Panthers Nicholas Stange '20 [1-12] Grace Lamb '20 [1-8]
Austin Daigle '20 [9-12]
Martin County High School Martin County High School Marc Kiener '20 Cameron Lott '20
Tigers Kathryn Thorsen '21 Diego Cruz '23
Naples High School Naples High School Lauren Connell '22 Maia Musial '22
Varsity Thomas Connell '20 [1-12] Cooper Atkins '23 [1-8]
Conner Bricco '22 [9-12]
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy Hilton Kamps '22 Raquel Shulman '22
ThunderWolves Will Dimaio '22 Aidan Deitrick '20
Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Bella Casaretto '22 Rachel Becker '23
Panthers Ryan Kronrad '22 Thomas Yevoli '23
Pine View School Pine View School Dylan Lopez '27 Mia Quijano '26
Python Varsity James Mcgirr '20 Dylan Lopez '27
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Lachlain Mc Granahan '20 [1-2, 9-12]
Stephan Baker '22 [3-8]		 Hannah Bast '21 [1-2, 9-12]
Adam Kaplan '21 [3-8]
Raiders Liam O'Keefe '21 [1-2, 5-8]
Javier Garcon '21 [3-4, 9-12]		 Claire Holzman '21 [1-4, 9-12]
Nicolas Echarte '21 [5-8]
Sarasota High School Sarasota High School Matthew King '20 [1-4]
Thommi Gritt '22 [5-12]		 Nick Powers '21 [1-12]
Sailors Will Murray '20 Kay Brumsvold '21
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Guthrie Braun '22 Thomas Cura '21
Chargers Heather Kerns '20 Zuri Patel '20
South Fork High School South Fork High School Emily Bornarth '20 Ryan Ince '21
SF BULLDOGS Katelyn Herter '20 [1-12] Zuzanna Barska '22 [1-8]
Siena Pollis '22 [9-12]
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Emma Shakespeare '20 Hannah Marsicano '20
Green Devils Emily Allen '21 Colin Funsch '20
St. Stephen's Episcopal School St. Stephen's Episcopal School J.J. (Jessica) Smith '20 Brandon Shirmer '23
Varsity Kaitlyn Liebel '22 Ben Defelice '23
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Connor Boland '21 [1-4, 9-12]
Robert (Bobby) Rielly '21 [5-8]		 Daniel Neville '21 [1-8]
Sam Juskiewicz '20 [9-12]
Raiders Joey Meagher '20 [1-4, 9-12]
Libby Redmond '20 [5-8]		 Kenna Reed '20 [1-4, 9-12]
Isa Duplessis '20 [5-8]
The Pine School The Pine School Peter Foley '22 Jack Squier '21
Knights Anthony Saia '20 Sara Velcani '21
Venice High School (FL) Venice High School (FL) Kane Fenton '23 [1-8]
Peyton Dec '23 [9-12]		 Nick Waite '23 [1-8]
Eric Vangennip '20 [9-12]
Varsity Zoe Watson '22 Annabelle Riggs '20
Vero Beach High School Vero Beach High School Nita Holloway '20 Katherine Bounassi '23
Vero Beach Sydney Ohs '23 Catherine Lovelady '23
Westminster Christian School Westminster Christian School Enzo Menditto '22 Joshua Pike '22
Warriors Charlie Leigh '22 Fernando Sierra '22

Conditions — 02/01/2020 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 88%  ·  Pressure 1015.5 hPa

Temperature

63°F
↑ 65°F   ↓ 61°F
Feels like 61°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.1 kn
avg  ·  max 13.5 kn
Gusts to 23.7 kn
From WNW (290°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover87% Sunshine3.5 hrs Humidity88% Pressure1015.5 hPa Rain0.14 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 13 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Shorecrest Prep/St. Petersburg: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.13)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.02 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.15
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.17 ± 0.06)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.13 means a rating gap counts about 11% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Shorecrest Prep/St. Petersburg by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 2 labelled days at Shorecrest Prep/St. Petersburg, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →