Oxbridge Academy '22
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.12 | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | −0.00 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 0–10 (0%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2021 | 1 | 0–10 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 1 graded regattas (10 matches) the record is 0–10 against 0.3 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−0.3). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 1 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 0 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-05-01 | SAISA Baker Team Race Championship | skipper | 0.42 | -2.58 | 0–10 | 0.3 | ≤−3.00 | 0.3 | >99% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2021 Season | |||||
| South Points #4 - SAISA | Skipper | A | 6 | 9.8 | -0.21 |
| South Points 3 | Skipper | A | 7 | 13.6 | -0.90 |
| Saisa South Points #1 | Skipper | A | 7 | 15.0 | -1.51 |
| SAISA Baker Team Race Championship | Skipper | TR | 10 | 0% | — |
| Spring 2020 Season | |||||
| SP 7 | Skipper | B | 6 | 11.5 | 0.63 |
| South Points #5 Varsity | Skipper | A | 12 | 14.0 | 0.13 |
| South Points #6 | Skipper | A | 5 | 12.6 | 0.01 |
| South Points #4 Varsity | Skipper | A | 6 | 14.3 | 0.12 |
| Fall 2019 Season | |||||
| South Points 2 Jensen Beach V | Skipper | A | 4 | 18.0 | -0.30 |
| SAISA South Points #1 - Varsity | Skipper | A | 6 | 15.5 | -0.46 |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ICSA | Hilton Kamps |  Rollins College |
'25 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
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