South Points #4 - SAISA

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions 19 10 29
2 Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 16 20 36
3 Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 23 13 36
4 Manatee High School Manatee High School Hurricanes 27 42 69
5 The Pine School The Pine School Knights 24 50 74
6 St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 50 31 81
7 St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 43 41 84
8 Good Hope County Day School Good Hope County Day School Panthers 49 42 91
9 Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 43 57 100
10 H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 52 49 101
11 Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves 59 77 136
12 Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 82 58 140
13 South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 80 63 143
14 Naples High School Naples High School Golden Eagles 76 81 157
15 Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Panthers 76 93 169
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 3 1 5 2 1 4 16 Daniel Hughes '21
Madeline Hughes '22
Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions 1 5 1 4 3 5 19 Justin Callahan '22 [1-6]
Danny Rianno '23 [1-2]
Brianna Ross '22 [3-6]
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 5 6 4 1 4 3 23 Liam O'Keefe '21
Nicolas Echarte '21
The Pine School The Pine School Knights 6 2 6 6 2 2 24 Peter Foley '22 [1-6]
Jack Squier '21 [1-4]
Michael Blotnick '23 [5-6]
Manatee High School Manatee High School Hurricanes 7 4 2 8 5 1 27 Bryce Tone '21
Sam Wright '22
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 2 3 3 3 DNS DNS 43 Guthrie Braun '22
Thomas Cura '21
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 4 9 7 5 8 10 43 Emily Allen '21
Sidney Moyer '23
Good Hope County Day School Good Hope County Day School Panthers 8 11 9 9 6 6 49 Milo Miller '23 [1-6]
Brielle Schindler '23 [1-4]
Miles Timmon '23 [5-6]
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders RDG RDG 10 7 9 8 50 Jack Redmond '22 [1-4]
Laura Hamilton '23 [5-6]
Ava Meshel '24 [1-2]
Kevin Gosselin '23 [3-6]
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 9 10 8 11 7 7 52 Reid Nelson '23
Alexandra Crow '22
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves 10 8 12 10 10 9 59 Hilton Kamps '22
Raquel Shulman '22
Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Panthers 11 14 14 13 12 12 76 Bella Casaretto '22
Molly Schlesinger '23
Naples High School Naples High School Golden Eagles 14 15 11 12 13 11 76 Lauren Connell '22
Reagan Wimsatt '22
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 12 13 13 15 14 13 80 Zuzanna Barska '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Jakub Barski '23 [3-4]
Daphne Dalton '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Sophie Suereth '22 [3-4]
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 15 12 DNF 14 11 14 82 Cole Degner '21 [1-6]
Elizabeth Wire '24 [1-2, 4-6]
Emma Brazee '23 [3]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions 1 1 1 3 2 2 10 Mitchell Callahan '22 [1-6]
Brianna Ross '22 [1-2]
Danny Rianno '23 [3-6]
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 2 2 3 4 1 1 13 Jackson Mcaliley '23
Louis La Fontisse '21
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 3 7 2 1 3 4 20 Cort Snyder '23
Jonas Carvalho '23
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 4 5 5 5 6 6 31 Robert (Bobby) Rielly '21 [1-6]
Kevin Gosselin '23 [1-2]
Sophia St. Romain '22 [3-6]
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 7 8 9 2 4 11 41 Bella Shakespeare '23
Travis Brackin '22
Manatee High School Manatee High School Hurricanes 6 6 6 7 7 10 42 Nick Dewitt '22
Matthew Mackin '21
Good Hope County Day School Good Hope County Day School Panthers 11 3 11 6 8 3 42 Lucia Bishop '21 [1-6]
Alex Tonin '23 [1-2]
Elyssa Franklin '22 [3-6]
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 8 9 7 9 9 7 49 Garrett Brooks '22 [1-6]
Madison Roy '22 [1-2]
Patrick Parker '21 [3-6]
The Pine School The Pine School Knights 10 11 8 11 5 5 50 Audrey Foley '24 [1-6]
Sara Velcani '21 [1-2]
Jack Squier '21 [3-6]
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 5 4 4 12 DNS DNS 57 Kate Danielson '24
Danny Drysdale '22
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 12 10 10 8 10 8 58 William Kulas '24 [1-6]
Sara Lemba '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Kaitlin Eaton '23 [3-4]
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 9 12 12 10 11 9 63 Siena Pollis '22 [1-6]
Grant Schmidt '24 [1-4]
Sophie Suereth '22 [5-6]
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves 13 13 13 14 12 12 77 Liz Cloninger '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Zander Pestrichelli '22 [3-4]
Campbell Taylor '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Zan Checetto '22 [3-4]
Naples High School Naples High School Golden Eagles 14 14 14 13 13 13 81 Maia Musial '22
Conner Bricco '22
Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Panthers 15 15 15 DNS DNF DNF 93 Max Maister '23
Thomas Yevoli '23
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2021 (6 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Good Hope County Day SchoolGood Hope County Day School Panthers111111
Gulliver Preparatory SchoolGulliver Preparatory School Raiders222222
Immaculata La Salle High SchoolImmaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions444444
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School Falcons555555
Manatee High SchoolManatee High School Hurricanes666666
Naples High SchoolNaples High School Golden Eagles777777
Oxbridge AcademyOxbridge Academy ThunderWolves888888
Pine Crest SchoolPine Crest School Panthers999999
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers333333
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders101010101010
St. Thomas Aquinas High SchoolSt. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders141414141414
Shorecrest Preparatory SchoolShorecrest Preparatory School Chargers111111111111
South Fork High SchoolSouth Fork High School SF BULLDOGS121212121212
St. Petersburg High SchoolSt. Petersburg High School Green Devils131313131313
The Pine SchoolThe Pine School Knights151515151515

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Good Hope County Day SchoolGood Hope County Day School Panthers111111
Gulliver Preparatory SchoolGulliver Preparatory School Raiders222222
Immaculata La Salle High SchoolImmaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions444444
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School Falcons555555
Manatee High SchoolManatee High School Hurricanes666666
Naples High SchoolNaples High School Golden Eagles777777
Oxbridge AcademyOxbridge Academy ThunderWolves888888
Pine Crest SchoolPine Crest School Panthers999999
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers333333
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders101010101010
St. Thomas Aquinas High SchoolSt. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders141414141414
Shorecrest Preparatory SchoolShorecrest Preparatory School Chargers111111111111
South Fork High SchoolSouth Fork High School SF BULLDOGS121212121212
St. Petersburg High SchoolSt. Petersburg High School Green Devils131313131313
The Pine SchoolThe Pine School Knights151515151515
School / Team SkipperCrew
Good Hope County Day School Good Hope County Day School Milo Miller '23 [1-6] Brielle Schindler '23 [1-4]
Miles Timmon '23 [5-6]
Panthers Lucia Bishop '21 [1-6] Alex Tonin '23 [1-2]
Elyssa Franklin '22 [3-6]
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Daniel Hughes '21 Madeline Hughes '22
Raiders Cort Snyder '23 Jonas Carvalho '23
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Reid Nelson '23 Alexandra Crow '22
Panthers Garrett Brooks '22 [1-6] Madison Roy '22 [1-2]
Patrick Parker '21 [3-6]
Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Justin Callahan '22 [1-6] Danny Rianno '23 [1-2]
Brianna Ross '22 [3-6]
Royal Lions Mitchell Callahan '22 [1-6] Brianna Ross '22 [1-2]
Danny Rianno '23 [3-6]
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Cole Degner '21 [1-6] Elizabeth Wire '24 [1-2, 4-6]
Emma Brazee '23 [3]
Falcons William Kulas '24 [1-6] Sara Lemba '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Kaitlin Eaton '23 [3-4]
Manatee High School Manatee High School Bryce Tone '21 Sam Wright '22
Hurricanes Nick Dewitt '22 Matthew Mackin '21
Naples High School Naples High School Lauren Connell '22 Reagan Wimsatt '22
Golden Eagles Maia Musial '22 Conner Bricco '22
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy Hilton Kamps '22 Raquel Shulman '22
ThunderWolves Liz Cloninger '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Zander Pestrichelli '22 [3-4]
Campbell Taylor '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Zan Checetto '22 [3-4]
Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Bella Casaretto '22 Molly Schlesinger '23
Panthers Max Maister '23 Thomas Yevoli '23
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Liam O'Keefe '21 Nicolas Echarte '21
Raiders Jackson Mcaliley '23 Louis La Fontisse '21
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Guthrie Braun '22 Thomas Cura '21
Chargers Kate Danielson '24 Danny Drysdale '22
South Fork High School South Fork High School Zuzanna Barska '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Jakub Barski '23 [3-4]
Daphne Dalton '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Sophie Suereth '22 [3-4]
SF BULLDOGS Siena Pollis '22 [1-6] Grant Schmidt '24 [1-4]
Sophie Suereth '22 [5-6]
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Emily Allen '21 Sidney Moyer '23
Green Devils Bella Shakespeare '23 Travis Brackin '22
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Jack Redmond '22 [1-4]
Laura Hamilton '23 [5-6]
Ava Meshel '24 [1-2]
Kevin Gosselin '23 [3-6]
Raiders Robert (Bobby) Rielly '21 [1-6] Kevin Gosselin '23 [1-2]
Sophia St. Romain '22 [3-6]
The Pine School The Pine School Peter Foley '22 [1-6] Jack Squier '21 [1-4]
Michael Blotnick '23 [5-6]
Knights Audrey Foley '24 [1-6] Sara Velcani '21 [1-2]
Jack Squier '21 [3-6]

Conditions — 04/24/2021 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 70%  ·  Pressure 1015.8 hPa

Temperature

80°F
↑ 82°F   ↓ 75°F
Feels like 81°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
12.3 kn
avg  ·  max 14.2 kn
Gusts to 24.9 kn
From SSE (151°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover88% Sunshine10.1 hrs Humidity70% Pressure1015.8 hPa Rain0.02 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 19 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Jensen Beach: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.14)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.04 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast +0.10
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.14 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.14 means a rating gap counts about 12% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Jensen Beach by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 6 labelled days at Jensen Beach, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →