South Points 3

HostVero Beach
Date03/27/2021
TypeIn-District
BoatC420
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Ransom Everglades School	Raiders	22	17	39
2	Immaculata La Salle High School	Royal Lions	13	34	47
3	St. Thomas Aquinas High School	Raiders	46	27	73
4	St. Petersburg High School	Green Devils	48	29	77
5	Manatee High School	Hurricanes	29	49	78
6	Shorecrest Preparatory School	Chargers	53	44	97
7	H. B. Plant High School	Panthers	54	54	108
8	Jensen Beach High School	Falcons	64	48	112
9	Fort Myers High School	Green Wave	49	70	119
10	The Pine School	Knights	45	81	126
11	Gulf Coast High School	Sharks	92	49	141
12	Vero Beach High School	Vero Beach	88	67	155
13	South Fork High School	SF BULLDOGS	92	79	171
14	Oxbridge Academy	ThunderWolves	95	96	191
15	Naples High School	Golden Eagles	81	113	194
16	Venice High School (FL)	Indians	96	103	199
17	Pine Crest School	Panthers	107	112	219

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	TOT	Sailors
Immaculata La Salle High School	Royal Lions	1	1	2	1	4	1	3	13	Justin Callahan '22 [1-7] Caroline Caudron '23 [1-4, 7] Jadin Gonzalez '24 [5-6]
Ransom Everglades School	Raiders	2	3	3	9	1	3	1	22	Stephan Baker '22 Aidan Murphy '21
Manatee High School	Hurricanes	6	2	1	8	3	2	7	29	Bryce Tone '21 Sam Wright '22
The Pine School	Knights	3	4	10	7	6	9	6	45	Peter Foley '22 [1-7] Jack Squier '21 [1-2, 5-7] Michael Blotnick '23 [3-4]
St. Thomas Aquinas High School	Raiders	11	6	8	4	7	6	4	46	Robert (Bobby) Rielly '21 [1-7] Sophia St. Romain '22 [1-4, 7] Garrett Dixon '21 [5-6]
St. Petersburg High School	Green Devils	5	7	11	11	2	10	2	48	Emily Allen '21 Sidney Moyer '23
Fort Myers High School	Green Wave	7	5	6	2	10	11	8	49	Patrick Walke '21 Zachary Syska '22
Shorecrest Preparatory School	Chargers	8	OCS	7	6	5	4	5	53	Guthrie Braun '22 Thomas Cura '21
H. B. Plant High School	Panthers	4	OCS	4	5	8	5	10	54	Reid Nelson '23 [1-7] Johnathan Pittman '22 [1-4] Garrett Brooks '22 [5-6] Alexandra Crow '22 [7]
Jensen Beach High School	Falcons	14	8	9	3	9	8	13	64	William Kulas '24 Kaitlin Eaton '23
Naples High School	Golden Eagles	12	9	5	13	13	17	12	81	Lauren Connell '22 Conner Bricco '22
Vero Beach High School	Vero Beach	16	14	14	16	12	7	9	88	Sydney Ohs '23 [1-7] Katherine Bounassi '23 [1-4] Catherine Lovelady '23 [5-7]
Gulf Coast High School	Sharks	13	12	15	15	11	15	11	92	Carson Page '23 Kate Kurtzman '21
South Fork High School	SF BULLDOGS	15	10	12	12	15	12	16	92	Jakub Barski '23 Daphne Dalton '24
Oxbridge Academy	ThunderWolves	10	13	13	14	16	14	15	95	Hilton Kamps '22 [1-7] Raquel Shulman '22 [1-6] Campbell Taylor '22 [7]
Venice High School (FL)	Indians	9	11	16	10	17	16	17	96	Alyssa Jongsma '23 Zoe Watson '22
Pine Crest School	Panthers	17	15	17	17	14	13	14	107	Jake Burgess '23 Thomas Yevoli '23

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	TOT	Sailors
Ransom Everglades School	Raiders	2	3	1	3	1	3	4	17	Javier Garcon '21 [1-2, 5-6] Liam O'Keefe '21 [3-4, 7] Lucas Vianna '21 [1-6] Nicolas Echarte '21 [7]
St. Thomas Aquinas High School	Raiders	3	2	2	8	6	4	2	27	Jack Redmond '22 [1-7] Ava Meshel '24 [1-6] Garrett Dixon '21 [7]
St. Petersburg High School	Green Devils	6	4	3	2	2	6	6	29	Bella Shakespeare '23 Travis Brackin '22
Immaculata La Salle High School	Royal Lions	1	1	4	1	DSQ	8	1	34	Mitchell Callahan '22 Danny Rianno '23
Shorecrest Preparatory School	Chargers	11	8	9	5	5	1	5	44	Ethan Danielson '22 Andrew Tang '22
Jensen Beach High School	Falcons	10	9	11	4	3	2	9	48	Coby Flannery '21 [1-7] Elizabeth Wire '24 [1-2] Mark Tornese '24 [3-7]
Gulf Coast High School	Sharks	4	7	8	6	10	7	7	49	Patrick Igoe '22 Caden Traylor '24
Manatee High School	Hurricanes	9	14	5	9	4	5	3	49	Nick Dewitt '22 Matthew Mackin '21
H. B. Plant High School	Panthers	5	6	6	7	11	11	8	54	Julia Conneely '22 [1-6] Garrett Brooks '22 [7] Alexandra Crow '22 [1-6] Johnathan Pittman '22 [7]
Vero Beach High School	Vero Beach	8	11	7	10	7	13	11	67	Denali Harold '24 Luke Franco '23
Fort Myers High School	Green Wave	7	12	10	11	8	12	10	70	Bo Dwyer '22 Morgan Gahan '22
South Fork High School	SF BULLDOGS	12	5	12	14	9	14	13	79	Siena Pollis '22 Grant Schmidt '24
The Pine School	Knights	13	10	13	12	12	9	12	81	Audrey Foley '24 [1-7] Sara Velcani '21 [1-2] Luke Mordente '23 [3-4] Michael Blotnick '23 [5-7]
Oxbridge Academy	ThunderWolves	15	16	15	13	13	10	14	96	Liz Cloninger '22 [1-4] Zander Pestrichelli '22 [5-7] Zan Checetto '22 [1-4]
Venice High School (FL)	Indians	16	13	14	15	14	16	15	103	Kane Fenton '23 [1-4] Roman Khrushchinskiy '23 [5-7] Sarah Burbank '24 [1-4] Abraham Reynolds '23 [5-6] Kane Fenton '23 [7]
Pine Crest School	Panthers	17	17	16	16	15	15	16	112	Sean Anagnoste '23 William Burke '23
Naples High School	Golden Eagles	14	15	17	17	16	17	17	113	Maia Musial '22 Reagan Wimsatt '22

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.110+0.11

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2020 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A
Fort Myers High School Green Wave	10	10	10	10	10	10	10
Gulf Coast High School Sharks	12	12	12	12	12	12	12
Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions	5	5	5	5	5	5	5
Jensen Beach High School Falcons	14	14	14	14	14	14	14
Manatee High School Hurricanes	3	3	3	3	3	3	3
Naples High School Golden Eagles	8	8	8	8	8	8	8
Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves	11	11	11	11	11	11	11
Pine Crest School Panthers	6	6	6	6	6	6	6
H. B. Plant High School Panthers	2	2	2	2	2	2	2
Ransom Everglades School Raiders	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders	4	4	4	4	4	4	4
Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers	17	17	17	17	17	17	17
South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS	15	15	15	15	15	15	15
St. Petersburg High School Green Devils	18	18	18	18	18	18	18
The Pine School Knights	13	13	13	13	13	13	13
Venice High School (FL) Indians	9	9	9	9	9	9	9
Vero Beach High School Vero Beach	7	7	7	7	7	7	7

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B	7B
Fort Myers High School Green Wave	10	10	10	10	10	10	10
Gulf Coast High School Sharks	12	12	12	12	12	12	12
Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions	5	5	5	5	5	5	5
Jensen Beach High School Falcons	14	14	14	14	14	14	14
Manatee High School Hurricanes	3	3	3	3	3	3	3
Naples High School Golden Eagles	8	8	8	8	8	8	8
Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves	11	11	11	11	11	11	11
Pine Crest School Panthers	6	6	6	6	6	6	6
H. B. Plant High School Panthers	2	2	2	2	2	2	2
Ransom Everglades School Raiders	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders	4	4	4	4	4	4	4
Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers	17	17	17	17	17	17	17
South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS	15	15	15	15	15	15	15
St. Petersburg High School Green Devils	18	18	18	18	18	18	18
The Pine School Knights	13	13	13	13	13	13	13
Venice High School (FL) Indians	9	9	9	9	9	9	9
Vero Beach High School Vero Beach	7	7	7	7	7	7	7

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Fort Myers High School	Patrick Walke '21	Zachary Syska '22
Green Wave	Bo Dwyer '22	Morgan Gahan '22
Gulf Coast High School	Carson Page '23	Kate Kurtzman '21
Sharks	Patrick Igoe '22	Caden Traylor '24
H. B. Plant High School	Reid Nelson '23 [1-7]	Johnathan Pittman '22 [1-4] Garrett Brooks '22 [5-6] Alexandra Crow '22 [7]
Panthers	Julia Conneely '22 [1-6] Garrett Brooks '22 [7]	Alexandra Crow '22 [1-6] Johnathan Pittman '22 [7]
Immaculata La Salle High School	Justin Callahan '22 [1-7]	Caroline Caudron '23 [1-4, 7] Jadin Gonzalez '24 [5-6]
Royal Lions	Mitchell Callahan '22	Danny Rianno '23
Jensen Beach High School	William Kulas '24	Kaitlin Eaton '23
Falcons	Coby Flannery '21 [1-7]	Elizabeth Wire '24 [1-2] Mark Tornese '24 [3-7]
Manatee High School	Bryce Tone '21	Sam Wright '22
Hurricanes	Nick Dewitt '22	Matthew Mackin '21
Naples High School	Lauren Connell '22	Conner Bricco '22
Golden Eagles	Maia Musial '22	Reagan Wimsatt '22
Oxbridge Academy	Hilton Kamps '22 [1-7]	Raquel Shulman '22 [1-6] Campbell Taylor '22 [7]
ThunderWolves	Liz Cloninger '22 [1-4] Zander Pestrichelli '22 [5-7]	Zan Checetto '22 [1-4]
Pine Crest School	Jake Burgess '23	Thomas Yevoli '23
Panthers	Sean Anagnoste '23	William Burke '23
Ransom Everglades School	Stephan Baker '22	Aidan Murphy '21
Raiders	Javier Garcon '21 [1-2, 5-6] Liam O'Keefe '21 [3-4, 7]	Lucas Vianna '21 [1-6] Nicolas Echarte '21 [7]
Shorecrest Preparatory School	Guthrie Braun '22	Thomas Cura '21
Chargers	Ethan Danielson '22	Andrew Tang '22
South Fork High School	Jakub Barski '23	Daphne Dalton '24
SF BULLDOGS	Siena Pollis '22	Grant Schmidt '24
St. Petersburg High School	Emily Allen '21	Sidney Moyer '23
Green Devils	Bella Shakespeare '23	Travis Brackin '22
St. Thomas Aquinas High School	Robert (Bobby) Rielly '21 [1-7]	Sophia St. Romain '22 [1-4, 7] Garrett Dixon '21 [5-6]
Raiders	Jack Redmond '22 [1-7]	Ava Meshel '24 [1-6] Garrett Dixon '21 [7]
The Pine School	Peter Foley '22 [1-7]	Jack Squier '21 [1-2, 5-7] Michael Blotnick '23 [3-4]
Knights	Audrey Foley '24 [1-7]	Sara Velcani '21 [1-2] Luke Mordente '23 [3-4] Michael Blotnick '23 [5-7]
Venice High School (FL)	Alyssa Jongsma '23	Zoe Watson '22
Indians	Kane Fenton '23 [1-4] Roman Khrushchinskiy '23 [5-7]	Sarah Burbank '24 [1-4] Abraham Reynolds '23 [5-6] Kane Fenton '23 [7]
Vero Beach High School	Sydney Ohs '23 [1-7]	Katherine Bounassi '23 [1-4] Catherine Lovelady '23 [5-7]
Vero Beach	Denali Harold '24	Luke Franco '23

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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South Points 3

Division A

Division B

From the notes