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Bham Fleet Race May 1

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Mariners 2 Mariners 2 Mariners 2 9 12 21
2 Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 1 7 18 25
3 Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 2 17 22 39
4 Raiders 1 Raiders 1 Raiders 1 23 22 45
5 Mariners 1 Mariners 1 Mariners 1 17 32 49
6 Raiders 2 Raiders 2 Raiders 2 33 19 52
7 Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 3 31 24 55
8 Seahawks 2 Seahawks 2 Seahawks 2 33 23 56
9 Seahawks 1 Seahawks 1 Seahawks 1 32 26 58
10 Raiders 3 Raiders 3 Raiders 3 28 37 65
11 Seahawks 3 Seahawks 3 Seahawks 3 37 34 71
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 1 1 2 1 3 7 Thomas Buys '22
Andrew Buys '21
Mariners 2 Mariners 2 Mariners 2 5 1 2 1 9
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 2 3 5 7 2 17 Ben Servatius '22
Henry Booth '21
Mariners 1 Mariners 1 Mariners 1 4 6 3 4 17
Raiders 1 Raiders 1 Raiders 1 2 11 4 6 23
Raiders 3 Raiders 3 Raiders 3 9 4 10 5 28
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 3 8 9 5 9 31 Ryan Metz '22
Ej Boilek '22
Seahawks 1 Seahawks 1 Seahawks 1 7 3 11 11 32
Raiders 2 Raiders 2 Raiders 2 6 10 9 8 33
Seahawks 2 Seahawks 2 Seahawks 2 DNF 8 6 7 33
Seahawks 3 Seahawks 3 Seahawks 3 DNF 7 8 10 37
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Mariners 2 Mariners 2 Mariners 2 5 4 2 1 12
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 1 9 6 1 2 18 Colin Byler '24
Hans Scheyer '24
Raiders 2 Raiders 2 Raiders 2 OCS 1 3 3 19
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 2 1 3 9 9 22 Anna Servatius '24
Allison Bailey '23
Raiders 1 Raiders 1 Raiders 1 3 2 10 7 22
Seahawks 2 Seahawks 2 Seahawks 2 2 11 6 4 23
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 3 6 8 5 5 24 Shelby Lang '23
Joshua Odeneal '21
Seahawks 1 Seahawks 1 Seahawks 1 4 7 7 8 26
Mariners 1 Mariners 1 Mariners 1 7 9 4 DNF 32
Seahawks 3 Seahawks 3 Seahawks 3 10 10 8 6 34
Raiders 3 Raiders 3 Raiders 3 8 5 DNF DNF 37
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2018 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Seahawks 1Seahawks 1 Seahawks 156561616
Seahawks 2Seahawks 2 Seahawks 216165151
Seahawks 3Seahawks 3 Seahawks 351511010
Raiders 1Raiders 1 Raiders 153535252
Raiders 2Raiders 2 Raiders 252521414
Raiders 3Raiders 3 Raiders 314145656
Oak Harbor High SchoolOak Harbor High School Wildcats 110101515
Oak Harbor High SchoolOak Harbor High School Wildcats 215155050
Oak Harbor High SchoolOak Harbor High School Wildcats 350505454
Mariners 1Mariners 1 Mariners 154541818
Mariners 2Mariners 2 Mariners 218185353

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
Seahawks 1Seahawks 1 Seahawks 150505454
Seahawks 2Seahawks 2 Seahawks 254541818
Seahawks 3Seahawks 3 Seahawks 318185353
Raiders 1Raiders 1 Raiders 151511010
Raiders 2Raiders 2 Raiders 210101515
Raiders 3Raiders 3 Raiders 315155050
Oak Harbor High SchoolOak Harbor High School Wildcats 153535252
Oak Harbor High SchoolOak Harbor High School Wildcats 252521414
Oak Harbor High SchoolOak Harbor High School Wildcats 314145656
Mariners 1Mariners 1 Mariners 156561616
Mariners 2Mariners 2 Mariners 216165151

Conditions — 05/01/2021 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 66%  ·  Pressure 1019.2 hPa

Temperature

53°F
↑ 56°F   ↓ 48°F
Feels like 49°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.3 kn
avg  ·  max 6.8 kn
Gusts to 16.9 kn
From SSW (211°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover41% Sunshine9.9 hrs Humidity66% Pressure1019.2 hPa Rain0.03 in

What this breeze does at Bellingham — from fleet racing

Breeze: SW about 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In fleet races at Bellingham in this breeze: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in this breeze favours either side in fleet racing here: results follow the ratings about as usual.

Orderliness is how tightly a fleet race’s finishing order follows the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0): positive is the favourites’ day, negative the underdogs’. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day. This event is not a fleet race the rating model scores, so there is no actual value for it: this is what this venue’s fleet racing history says about the breeze on the day, read off the chart at the star. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Bellingham by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Bellingham, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →