Deception Pass Duel

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 1 15 15
2 Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 2 19 19
3 Seahawks 3 Seahawks 3 Seahawks 3 37 37
4 Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 4 49 49
5 Seahawks 1 Seahawks 1 Seahawks 1 53 53
6 Falcons Falcons Falcons 53 53
7 Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 3 65 65
8 Seahawks 4 Seahawks 4 Seahawks 4 80 80
9 Seahawks 2 Seahawks 2 Seahawks 2 86 86
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 1 1 1 4 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 15 Thomas Buys '22
Andrew Buys '21
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 1 1 2 19 Ben Servatius '22 [1-10]
Henry Booth '21 [1-3, 5-10]
Kaitlin Mann '23 [4]
Seahawks 3 Seahawks 3 Seahawks 3 3 3 1 2 6 5 3 4 6 4 37
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 4 5 8 7 5 5 4 4 3 3 5 49 Ryan Metz '22
Joshua Odeneal '21
Seahawks 1 Seahawks 1 Seahawks 1 4 5 6 4 4 8 7 7 5 3 53
Falcons Falcons Falcons 8 7 5 6 3 3 5 6 4 6 53
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 3 6 4 3 7 7 7 6 5 DNS DNS 65 Anna Servatius '24
Shelby Lang '23
Seahawks 4 Seahawks 4 Seahawks 4 9 6 8 RDG 9 6 8 8 DNF 8 80
Seahawks 2 Seahawks 2 Seahawks 2 7 9 9 8 8 9 9 DNS DNS 7 86
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (9 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Seahawks 1Seahawks 1 Seahawks 16666666666
Seahawks 2Seahawks 2 Seahawks 241414141414141414141
Seahawks 3Seahawks 3 Seahawks 343434343434343434343
Seahawks 4Seahawks 4 Seahawks 445454545454545454545
Oak Harbor High SchoolOak Harbor High School Wildcats 11111111111
Oak Harbor High SchoolOak Harbor High School Wildcats 22222222222
Oak Harbor High SchoolOak Harbor High School Wildcats 33333333333
Oak Harbor High SchoolOak Harbor High School Wildcats 44444444444
FalconsFalcons Falcons5555555555
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 1 Thomas Buys '22 Andrew Buys '21
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 2 Ben Servatius '22 [1-10] Henry Booth '21 [1-3, 5-10]
Kaitlin Mann '23 [4]
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 3 Anna Servatius '24 Shelby Lang '23
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 4 Ryan Metz '22 Joshua Odeneal '21

Conditions — 04/07/2021 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 84%  ·  Pressure 1017.0 hPa

Temperature

45°F
↑ 48°F   ↓ 43°F
Feels like 38°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.5 kn
avg  ·  max 10.8 kn
Gusts to 23.7 kn
From S (169°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover98% Sunshine0.5 hrs Humidity84% Pressure1017.0 hPa Rain0.14 in

What this breeze does at Oak Harbor — from fleet racing

Breeze: S about 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In fleet races at Oak Harbor in this breeze: a favourites’ day (+0.06)
Favourites’ conditions: in fleet racing here the results follow the ratings more closely than usual, and the top seeds hold their places.

Orderliness is how tightly a fleet race’s finishing order follows the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0): positive is the favourites’ day, negative the underdogs’. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day. This event is not a fleet race the rating model scores, so there is no actual value for it: this is what this venue’s fleet racing history says about the breeze on the day, read off the chart at the star. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Oak Harbor by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 7 labelled days at Oak Harbor, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →