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SP 2 DIYC

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions 15 16 31
2 Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 20 14 34
3 St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 21 28 49
4 Antilles School Antilles School Hurricanes 40 20 60
5 Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 36 28 64
6 Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 35 46 81
7 St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 44 40 84
8 H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 47 59 106
9 Fort Myers High School Fort Myers High School Green Wave 66 47 113
10 Manatee High School Manatee High School Hurricanes 55 59 114
11 Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 63 52 115
12 The Pine School The Pine School Knights 55 81 136
13 Gulf Coast High School Gulf Coast High School Sharks 68 79 147
14 Venice High School (FL) Venice High School (FL) Indians 80 85 165
15 Naples High School Naples High School Golden Eagles 82 88 170
16 South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 97 85 182
17 Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Panthers 95 91 186
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions 1 3 1 1 8 1 15 Justin Callahan '22
Danny Rianno '23
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 7 1 2 3 3 4 20 Javier Garcon '21
Lucas Vianna '21
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 6 2 3 2 2 6 21 Connor Boland '21
Mary (Lucy) Meagher '23
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 8 5 6 4 9 3 35 Guthrie Braun '22
Thomas Cura '21
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 5 6 9 7 7 2 36 Daniel Hughes '21
Madeline Hughes '22
Antilles School Antilles School Hurricanes 2 7 11 5 10 5 40 Mia Nicolosi '21 [1-4]
Alexis Young '23 [5-6]
Winn Majette '23 [1-4]
Caitlin Briggs '23 [5-6]
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 9 11 4 9 4 7 44 Emily Allen '21
Dorothy Mendelblatt '24
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 3 9 12 8 1 14 47 Reid Nelson '23
Johnathan Pittman '22
The Pine School The Pine School Knights 10 12 5 13 6 9 55 Peter Foley '22
Jack Squier '21
Manatee High School Manatee High School Hurricanes 11 10 7 14 5 8 55 Bryce Tone '21 [1-6]
Matthew Mackin '21 [1-4]
Sam Wright '22 [5-6]
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 12 8 8 11 13 11 63 William Kulas '24 [1-6]
Kaitlin Eaton '23 [1-4]
Mark Tornese '24 [5-6]
Fort Myers High School Fort Myers High School Green Wave 4 14 14 10 12 12 66 Patrick Walke '21
Zachary Syska '22
Gulf Coast High School Gulf Coast High School Sharks 13 4 13 6 14 OCS 68 Patrick Igoe '22
Caden Traylor '24
Venice High School (FL) Venice High School (FL) Indians 15 13 10 12 15 15 80 Alyssa Jongsma '23
Zoe Watson '22
Naples High School Naples High School Golden Eagles 14 15 16 16 11 10 82 Lauren Connell '22
Reagan Wimsatt '22
Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Panthers 17 17 15 17 16 13 95 Max Maister '23
Thomas Yevoli '23
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 16 16 17 15 17 16 97 Jakub Barski '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Zuzanna Barska '22 [3-4]
Sophie Suereth '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Daphne Dalton '24 [3-4]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 2 1 4 1 1 5 14 Liam O'Keefe '21
Hannah Bast '21
Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions 5 4 1 3 2 1 16 Mitchell Callahan '22
Brianna Ross '22
Antilles School Antilles School Hurricanes 1 2 3 6 6 2 20 Caroline Sibilly '22
Megan Cassidy '22
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 3 7 2 4 8 4 28 Cort Snyder '23
Dante Garcia '24
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 4 3 5 10 3 3 28 Robert (Bobby) Rielly '21 [1-4]
Jack Redmond '22 [5-6]
Sophia St. Romain '22 [1-4]
Ava Meshel '24 [5-6]
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 10 6 6 5 7 6 40 Bella Shakespeare '23
Sidney Moyer '23
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 8 5 8 7 9 9 46 Ethan Danielson '22
Andrew Tang '22
Fort Myers High School Fort Myers High School Green Wave 7 13 10 2 5 10 47 Bo Dwyer '22
Morgan Gahan '22
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 6 12 7 9 4 14 52 Cole Degner '21 [1-6]
Elizabeth Wire '24 [1-4]
Sara Lemba '21 [5-6]
Manatee High School Manatee High School Hurricanes 9 9 9 11 14 7 59 Nick Dewitt '22 [1-6]
Sam Wright '22 [1-4]
Matthew Mackin '21 [5-6]
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 12 10 11 8 10 8 59 Julia Conneely '22
Alexandra Crow '22
Gulf Coast High School Gulf Coast High School Sharks 17 11 14 12 13 12 79 Carson Page '23
Kate Kurtzman '21
The Pine School The Pine School Knights 11 8 17 17 17 11 81 Audrey Foley '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Michael Blotnick '23 [3-4]
Sara Velcani '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Luke Mordente '23 [3-4]
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 13 16 12 16 15 13 85 Siena Pollis '22
Grant Schmidt '24
Venice High School (FL) Venice High School (FL) Indians 14 14 16 13 12 16 85 Kane Fenton '23 [1-6]
Sarah Burbank '24 [1-4]
Abraham Reynolds '23 [5-6]
Naples High School Naples High School Golden Eagles 16 15 15 14 11 17 88 Maia Musial '22
Conner Bricco '22
Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Panthers 15 17 13 15 16 15 91 Jake Burgess '23
William Burke '23
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2019 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Antilles SchoolAntilles School Hurricanes333333
Fort Myers High SchoolFort Myers High School Green Wave555555
Gulf Coast High SchoolGulf Coast High School Sharks141414141414
Gulliver Preparatory SchoolGulliver Preparatory School Raiders888888
Immaculata La Salle High SchoolImmaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions777777
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School Falcons101010101010
Manatee High SchoolManatee High School Hurricanes666666
Naples High SchoolNaples High School Golden Eagles999999
Pine Crest SchoolPine Crest School Panthers444444
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers202020202020
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders111111
St. Thomas Aquinas High SchoolSt. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders222222
Shorecrest Preparatory SchoolShorecrest Preparatory School Chargers171717171717
South Fork High SchoolSouth Fork High School SF BULLDOGS121212121212
St. Petersburg High SchoolSt. Petersburg High School Green Devils181818181818
The Pine SchoolThe Pine School Knights111111111111
Venice High School (FL)Venice High School (FL) Indians131313131313

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Antilles SchoolAntilles School Hurricanes333333
Fort Myers High SchoolFort Myers High School Green Wave555555
Gulf Coast High SchoolGulf Coast High School Sharks141414141414
Gulliver Preparatory SchoolGulliver Preparatory School Raiders888888
Immaculata La Salle High SchoolImmaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions777777
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School Falcons101010101010
Manatee High SchoolManatee High School Hurricanes666666
Naples High SchoolNaples High School Golden Eagles999999
Pine Crest SchoolPine Crest School Panthers444444
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers202020202020
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders111111
St. Thomas Aquinas High SchoolSt. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders222222
Shorecrest Preparatory SchoolShorecrest Preparatory School Chargers171717171717
South Fork High SchoolSouth Fork High School SF BULLDOGS121212121212
St. Petersburg High SchoolSt. Petersburg High School Green Devils181818181818
The Pine SchoolThe Pine School Knights111111111111
Venice High School (FL)Venice High School (FL) Indians131313131313
School / Team SkipperCrew
Antilles School Antilles School Mia Nicolosi '21 [1-4]
Alexis Young '23 [5-6]		 Winn Majette '23 [1-4]
Caitlin Briggs '23 [5-6]
Hurricanes Caroline Sibilly '22 Megan Cassidy '22
Fort Myers High School Fort Myers High School Patrick Walke '21 Zachary Syska '22
Green Wave Bo Dwyer '22 Morgan Gahan '22
Gulf Coast High School Gulf Coast High School Patrick Igoe '22 Caden Traylor '24
Sharks Carson Page '23 Kate Kurtzman '21
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Daniel Hughes '21 Madeline Hughes '22
Raiders Cort Snyder '23 Dante Garcia '24
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Reid Nelson '23 Johnathan Pittman '22
Panthers Julia Conneely '22 Alexandra Crow '22
Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Justin Callahan '22 Danny Rianno '23
Royal Lions Mitchell Callahan '22 Brianna Ross '22
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School William Kulas '24 [1-6] Kaitlin Eaton '23 [1-4]
Mark Tornese '24 [5-6]
Falcons Cole Degner '21 [1-6] Elizabeth Wire '24 [1-4]
Sara Lemba '21 [5-6]
Manatee High School Manatee High School Bryce Tone '21 [1-6] Matthew Mackin '21 [1-4]
Sam Wright '22 [5-6]
Hurricanes Nick Dewitt '22 [1-6] Sam Wright '22 [1-4]
Matthew Mackin '21 [5-6]
Naples High School Naples High School Lauren Connell '22 Reagan Wimsatt '22
Golden Eagles Maia Musial '22 Conner Bricco '22
Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Max Maister '23 Thomas Yevoli '23
Panthers Jake Burgess '23 William Burke '23
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Javier Garcon '21 Lucas Vianna '21
Raiders Liam O'Keefe '21 Hannah Bast '21
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Guthrie Braun '22 Thomas Cura '21
Chargers Ethan Danielson '22 Andrew Tang '22
South Fork High School South Fork High School Jakub Barski '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Zuzanna Barska '22 [3-4]		 Sophie Suereth '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Daphne Dalton '24 [3-4]
SF BULLDOGS Siena Pollis '22 Grant Schmidt '24
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Emily Allen '21 Dorothy Mendelblatt '24
Green Devils Bella Shakespeare '23 Sidney Moyer '23
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Connor Boland '21 Mary (Lucy) Meagher '23
Raiders Robert (Bobby) Rielly '21 [1-4]
Jack Redmond '22 [5-6]		 Sophia St. Romain '22 [1-4]
Ava Meshel '24 [5-6]
The Pine School The Pine School Peter Foley '22 Jack Squier '21
Knights Audrey Foley '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Michael Blotnick '23 [3-4]		 Sara Velcani '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Luke Mordente '23 [3-4]
Venice High School (FL) Venice High School (FL) Alyssa Jongsma '23 Zoe Watson '22
Indians Kane Fenton '23 [1-6] Sarah Burbank '24 [1-4]
Abraham Reynolds '23 [5-6]

Conditions — 03/06/2021 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 54%  ·  Pressure 1020.4 hPa

Temperature

55°F
↑ 62°F   ↓ 43°F
Feels like 52°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.0 kn
avg  ·  max 5.6 kn
Gusts to 11.9 kn
From NW (308°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover23% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity54% Pressure1020.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Davis Island Yacht Club: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.03 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.06
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.06 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Davis Island Yacht Club by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at Davis Island Yacht Club, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →