Wet n Cool High School Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Fairhope High School Fairhope High School Pirates Blue 51 11 62
2 St. Michael Catholic High School St. Michael Catholic High School Cardinals 34 34 68
3 Fairhope High School Fairhope High School Pirates Gold 35 40 75
4 Saint Stanislaus Saint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 1 37 44 81
5 St. Andrews Episcopal School St. Andrews Episcopal School St. Andrew's 25 64 89
6 Bayshore Christian School Bayshore Christian School Eagles 48 44 92
7 Saint Stanislaus Saint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 2 70 55 125
8 SEISA-Florida SEISA-Florida SEISA-Florida 62 74 136
9 Christ Episcopal Christ Episcopal Christ Episcopal 89 84 173
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
St. Andrews Episcopal School St. Andrews Episcopal School St. Andrew's 7 1 3 1 3 1 4 2 1 2 25 Ricky Miller '22
Jacob Boone '28
St. Michael Catholic High School St. Michael Catholic High School Cardinals 6 2 1 2 5 2 1 5 5 5 34 Nate Hartwell '24 [1-10]
Gavin Faircloth '22 [1-2, 9-10]
Ethan Agerton '24 [3-4, 7-8]
Austin Gontarski '24 [5-6]
Fairhope High School Fairhope High School Pirates Gold 8 6 6 3 1 3 2 1 4 1 35 Coleman Kennedy '25
Brockton Norris '24
Saint Stanislaus Saint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 1 4 3 5 6 2 4 5 3 2 3 37 Joel Grumme '21
Lane Burroughs '24
Bayshore Christian School Bayshore Christian School Eagles 1 DNS 4 5 4 5 3 4 6 6 48 Cruz Dabney '26
Aidyn James '25
Fairhope High School Fairhope High School Pirates Blue 3 7 2 4 8 6 6 8 3 4 51 Parker Fench '22
Adler Rux '22
SEISA-Florida SEISA-Florida SEISA-Florida 2 5 7 8 6 7 7 6 7 7 62
Saint Stanislaus Saint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 2 5 4 8 7 7 8 8 7 8 8 70 John Andre '24
Ashley Hilton '24
Christ Episcopal Christ Episcopal Christ Episcopal 9 8 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 89
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Fairhope High School Fairhope High School Pirates Blue 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 11 Kip Buck '22
Layton Dugger '26
St. Michael Catholic High School St. Michael Catholic High School Cardinals 1 2 5 2 5 6 4 5 2 2 34 Robert Montgomery '22 [1-10]
Sullivan Stankoski '23 [1-2, 5-10]
Cole Gunter '24 [3-4]
Fairhope High School Fairhope High School Pirates Gold 4 5 2 4 4 2 6 3 4 6 40 Gavin Valentine '22
Elijah Healy '22
Saint Stanislaus Saint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 1 3 6 3 6 2 4 8 4 3 5 44 Devon Long '24
Ruston Breisacher '24
Bayshore Christian School Bayshore Christian School Eagles 6 4 8 8 3 3 2 2 5 3 44 Adler Rux '22
Porter Defee '22
Saint Stanislaus Saint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 2 5 3 4 3 7 7 9 7 6 4 55 Wallace St. Paul '21 [1-2, 5-10]
Jeremy Reddoch '23 [3-4]
Karoline Burroughs '26 [1-10]
St. Andrews Episcopal School St. Andrews Episcopal School St. Andrew's 7 7 9 7 6 5 3 6 7 7 64 Allison Currie '23
Cole Allen '25
SEISA-Florida SEISA-Florida SEISA-Florida 8 9 6 5 8 9 5 8 8 8 74
Christ Episcopal Christ Episcopal Christ Episcopal 9 8 7 9 9 8 7 9 9 9 84
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.220+0.22
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2017 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Bayshore Christian SchoolBayshore Christian School Eagles113355771616
Christ EpiscopalChrist Episcopal Christ Episcopal2244668811
Fairhope High SchoolFairhope High School Pirates Blue4466881133
Fairhope High SchoolFairhope High School Pirates Gold335577161622
St. Andrews Episcopal SchoolSt. Andrews Episcopal School St. Andrew's557716162244
St. Michael Catholic High SchoolSt. Michael Catholic High School Cardinals6688113355
Saint StanislausSaint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 1771616224466
Saint StanislausSaint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 28811335577
SEISA-FloridaSEISA-Florida SEISA-Florida161622446688

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Bayshore Christian SchoolBayshore Christian School Eagles2244668811
Christ EpiscopalChrist Episcopal Christ Episcopal335577161622
Fairhope High SchoolFairhope High School Pirates Blue557716162244
Fairhope High SchoolFairhope High School Pirates Gold4466881133
St. Andrews Episcopal SchoolSt. Andrews Episcopal School St. Andrew's6688113355
St. Michael Catholic High SchoolSt. Michael Catholic High School Cardinals771616224466
Saint StanislausSaint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 18811335577
Saint StanislausSaint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 2161622446688
SEISA-FloridaSEISA-Florida SEISA-Florida113355771616

Conditions — 03/20/2021 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 66%  ·  Pressure 1024.6 hPa

Temperature

59°F
↑ 62°F   ↓ 52°F
Feels like 54°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.8 kn
avg  ·  max 9.1 kn
Gusts to 19.6 kn
From NE (50°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover91% Sunshine1.8 hrs Humidity66% Pressure1024.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 10 kn · N 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Fairhope Yacht Club: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.09
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.03 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Fairhope Yacht Club by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at Fairhope Yacht Club, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →