SAISA South Points SP#5 Junior Varsity

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions 9 12 21
2 St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 27 20 47
3 Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 1 25 24 49
4 Vero Beach High School Vero Beach High School Vero Beach 28 32 60
5 Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 2 26 51 77
6 Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 41 48 89
7 H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 45 45 90
8 Green Wave Green Wave Green Wave 61 42 103
9 Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 67 41 108
10 South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 56 77 133
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 9 Keith Grupenhoff '25
Caro Estrada '25
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 1 4 1 4 4 3 3 6 25 Sebastian Van De Kreeke '25 [1-7]
Violet Martin '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Evelyn Yu '24 [3-4, 7]
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 2 6 5 3 3 5 2 2 26 David Dubovy '22
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 3 3 5 2 6 5 3 27 Mariano Viega '25 [1-7]
Martha Dwyer '23 [1-2, 6-7]
Parker Bustamante '25 [3-5]
Vero Beach High School Vero Beach High School Vero Beach 5 7 2 5 1 4 4 28 Nicholas Crull '26
Ryan Ellison '28
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 2 6 6 6 8 6 7 41 Elizabeth Wire '24
Matt Baer '25
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 8 4 9 7 4 8 5 45 Jarah Maynor '24
Ava Edinger '22
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 7 10 7 8 7 7 10 56 Brady Koren '24
Ruby Suereth '24
Green Wave Green Wave Green Wave 9 8 8 9 9 9 9 61
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 10 9 10 10 10 10 8 67 Gregg Chase '25 [1-7]
Daniel Lipof '24 [1-2, 5-7]
Olivia Bueno '25 [3-4]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions 1 5 1 2 1 1 1 12 No Show
Emely Tamayo '24
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 2 1 3 4 3 4 3 20 Ana Lynch Smith '25
Pierce Weber '27
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 1 7 3 2 1 6 3 2 24 Gideon Shaked '22 [1-7]
Rebecca Ferrer '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Christine Keedy-Brown '24 [3-4, 7]
Vero Beach High School Vero Beach High School Vero Beach 3 2 6 5 7 5 4 32 Machael Ladd '26
James Collins '26
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 4 6 4 3 9 9 6 41 Benjamin Pasquier '25 [1-2, 5-7]
Gustavo Alonso '25 [3-4]
Mateo Lowe '24 [1-2, 5-7]
Helena Hermann '25 [3-4]
Green Wave Green Wave Green Wave 9 9 5 6 2 2 9 42
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 5 7 8 8 4 8 5 45 Lydia Woolson '24
Elizabeth Chao '23
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 8 4 7 7 8 7 7 48 Austin Peterson '23
Michael Horn '25
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 2 6 8 9 9 5 6 8 51 David Dubovy '22
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 77 Brady Koren '24
Ruby Suereth '24
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2014 (13 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Green WaveGreen Wave Green Wave7908790879087908790879087908
Immaculata La Salle High SchoolImmaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions5433543354335433543354335433
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School Falcons8762876287628762876287628762
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers4595459545954595459545954595
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders 12222222
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders 231313131313131
St. Thomas Aquinas High SchoolSt. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders3333333
South Fork High SchoolSouth Fork High School SF BULLDOGS8760876087608760876087608760
Vero Beach High SchoolVero Beach High School Vero Beach12121212121212

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
Green WaveGreen Wave Green Wave7908790879087908790879087908
Immaculata La Salle High SchoolImmaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions5433543354335433543354335433
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School Falcons8762876287628762876287628762
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers4595459545954595459545954595
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders 12222222
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders 231313131313131
St. Thomas Aquinas High SchoolSt. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders3333333
South Fork High SchoolSouth Fork High School SF BULLDOGS8760876087608760876087608760
Vero Beach High SchoolVero Beach High School Vero Beach12121212121212

Conditions — 02/26/2022 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 60%  ·  Pressure 1023.3 hPa

Temperature

78°F
↑ 81°F   ↓ 68°F
Feels like 79°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.7 kn
avg  ·  max 9.0 kn
Gusts to 18.7 kn
From E (93°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover35% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity60% Pressure1023.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Ransom Everglades: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.14)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.10 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.24
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.12 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.14 means a rating gap counts about 12% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Ransom Everglades by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 14 labelled days at Ransom Everglades, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →